I thought that myself when I read that article that talked about a Data Scientist(tm)
Sparty fans speculating that Denard won't be able to finish the game. Time for another bounty investigation, this time by the NCAA.
Here are the departing seniors as listed on the depth charts posted at the official Michigan State and Michigan websites:
SAM 50 Steve Gardiner (6-1, 224, Sr.-5)
FC 32 Mitchell White (5-11, 185, Sr.-5)
BC 5 JOHNNY ADAMS (5-11, 177, Sr.-5)
WR 21 Roy Roundtree (6-0, 180, 5th Sr.)
LG 52 Ricky Barnum (6-3, 296, 5th Sr.)
C 57 Elliott Mealer (6-5, 308, 5th Sr.)
RG 65 Patrick Omameh (6-4, 305, 5th Sr.)
TE 87 Brandon Moore (6-5, 268, 5th Sr.)
TE 81 Mike Kwiatkowski (6-5, 262, 5th Sr.)
QB 16 Denard Robinson (6-0, 197, Sr./Sr.)
FB 31 Paul Gyarmati (6-1, 234, 5th Sr.)
RB 2 Vincent Smith (5-6, 175, Sr./Sr.)
DT 73 Will Campbell (6-5, 308, Sr./Sr.)
DE 88 Craig Roh (6-5, 281, Sr./Sr.)
MLB 25 Kenny Demens (6-1, 242, 5th Sr.)
WLB 7 Brandin Hawthorne (6-0, 220, Sr./Sr.)
SS 32 Jordan Kovacs (6-0, 202, Sr./Jr.) [Should be listed as "5th Sr."]
SS 23 Floyd Simmons (6-0, 200, 5th Sr.)
RCB 8 J.T. Floyd (6-0, 183, 5th Sr.)
Last year Michigan State punched Michigan in the mouth. They literally punched them in the mouth. After being called for 13 penalties (6 of them of the 15 yard variety) Michigan State Defensive Coordinator Pat Narduzzi famously said, "That's what we try to do. Sixty minutes of unnecessary roughness. I'm just happy it didn't get called on every snap."
State has clearly been the more physical team of late and their boundary pushing gameplans have paid off to the tune of four straight wins in the rivalry. This wallpaper was inspired by their bold and reckless tactics. I picture the Michigan State coaching staff handing out stacks of flash cards like those used to teach sight words to kindergarteners. Yes, this is a dig at the level of intelligence required to gain acceptance to the state university. Yes, I attended a state university (not that state university) so I am licensed to dig.
The images below are previews only. You can get the widescreen, iPad and mobile wallpapers at The Art. The Art. The Art!.
MIchigan is the top team in the B1G according to The Sagarin poll. Below I list the PREDICTOR ratings--which are the best in actually predicting game outcomes. I also list the overall national rank according to these ratings.*
1. Michigan (#13 overall, rating 85.33)
2. Ohio (#18 overall, rating 83.15) INELIGIBLE for postseason
3. Neb (#23, rating 81.74)
4. Wisconsin (#27, rating 79.69)
5. PSU (#28, 79.64) ALSO INELIGIBLE for postseason
6. MSU (#36. 77.2)
One predicts the outcome of future games by subtracting the two Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings (with + or -3 for Home Field). So, if we play Wisc in INDY for the B1G title, we should be favored by 5-6 points. If Ohio were not ineligible and Michigan played them in INDY, UM would beat Ohio. In Columbus, the game would be essentially a tossup (less than a one point margin). Also, Michigan would be favored over MSU by 8 points on a neutral field and by 11 points this coming week in Ann Arbor (+3 for home field).
I don't know what the Vegas point spread is, but I suspect that it will be smaller, since UM-MSU is a rivalry game.
*Michigan also is #1 when Sagarin's PREDICTOR ratings are averaged with the ELO-CHESS ratings. The latter do not consider point margins and are not as good in predicting actual game outcomes. Regrettably, the overall BCS computer rankings use the ELO-CHESS Sagarin ratings--as well as other computer polls that often overweigh WL records and underweigh SOS. So, we will not do as well when the BCS computer rankings come out. However, I do not believe that any of these alternative ranks has been shown to do as well as the Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings in forecasting actual game outcomes. And that's what's important in predicting the rest of the UM season.
During our bye week/wife week, Ohio is playing against Michigan State. These are our two most important opponents and rivals. I still feel numb after the tire fire in South Bend, and haven't posted in days. What can you say?
However, life goes on, so here are three simple questions:
- Who do you want to win: Ohio or Michigan State?
- Who do you think will actually win: Ohio or Michigan State?
- Who winning benefits Michigan the most: Ohio or MSU?
It is harder for me to answer these questions than usual. I have a certain malaise such that I really don't care right now. More than that, there are many and varied reasons I dislike both of them, and don't care for either to win. The bye week is good for me personally, because I don't want to watch any college football this weekend.
The answer to the questions is the same for me: I want Ohio to win, think they will win, and if they win, it benefits Michigan because Michigan State has a loss against them, affecting who wins our division. I don't think Maxwell will perform any better against Ohio's defense than he did against ND, and I think Braxton Miller may just be good enough to score against Michigan State's defense. I do believe the matchup between Michigan State's defense and Ohio's offense (especially Braxton) is the key to the game.