As I was watching the game on Saturday, I couldn't help but notice how it seemed a lot of our guys got dinged up (the ones I remember are Carvin, Jonas, and D-Rob, but it felt like more), and not a lot of their guys did (there was one toward the end of the game that I remember).
I'm not bashing Barwis at all with this, he's obviously done a terrific job of getting our guys in elite shape, but I remember him saying that a big part of his program is about injury prevention. Can these injuries be pegged on him? Or are they more attributable to the fact that injuries just happen as a result of bad luck/some guys being more prone to injury? Maybe someone with more time on their hands could put together a diary comparing injuries at various programs over the past few years to see if the Barwis Effect is helping us.
Not to poop on the parade, but is anyone else worried about whether at 193 pounds, Denard Robinson can take the physical beating of thirty rushes every week (plus any hits when he's dropping back to pass). Most feature back are heavier than that and often don't run as often. I'm worried both for his long-term health and, more immediately, whether he can make it through the season unscathed. If not, can we can be the team we want to be if he misses a couple, or several, games.
I'm getting a little sick and tired of this crap, here, folks. Some people around here need to show some backbone and stop freaking out.
There is no other shoe. It's not going to drop on your head and kill you. Yes, other bad things COULD still happen, but there is no reason at all to expect them to, and thinking or worrying that they will will only detract from your ability to enjoy the season. Lets recount what has really happened:
Some guys we would've liked didn't have the grades to get in.
A guy we would've liked back decided to go to the NFL.
A guy we would've liked back decided to go all Sparty on us.
A guy who wasn't likely to play, but could have, in a fantasy world, been very good transfered.
A guy we were were all counting on to have a big season got hurt, and some guys that aren't ready are going to have to step up.
These are random, unconnected events that happen every season. The only thing that breathlessly waiting for the next gunshot to rip throught the night air accomplishes is to give you heartburn. We don't know, and certainly shouldn't speculate, that there will BE another problem. Seriously, we're grown men and women, mostly. We can't go around claiming heartbrokeness, or worse, insensitivity, because we're terrified of what goes bump in the night.
People said they wouldn't be surprised at a transfer. Why? Because any players have publicly spoken out against the program recently? Because we've had a rash of dozens of transfers? Or because we're becoming a lot of little worry worts who flinch every time a twitter goes up, expecting it to declare a mob deal gone wrong that ended up with our entire RB group in lead shoes?
Man up and stop sniveling in the corner! There is no other shoe! Nothing else bad should be expected to happen! Sissies!
If Troy Woolfolk were to encounter a season ending injury, which freshman would step up to fill the void at corner?
P.S. This probably happened.
EDIT: This did happen.
EDIT, EDIT: Sorry I brought it up in a dick way, but my source is about as reliable as it gets.
It's been awhile since we got any information on how key player (e.g., V. Smith, Molk, etc.) injuries were progressing. Earlier indications were that everyone should be ready to go in the fall, but the last public news/fluff on injury progress seemed to be around the time of the spring game. Does anyone have any reliable updates on players' health?
I have read a good part of the posts and threads on being dead right and dead wrong on 2010 football. Interesting, and some good points.
I believe we will have a winning season. The experience, seasoning, and continuity with Gerg as the DC will make a difference.
However, there are at least two variable factors that make it impossible to predict whether we have six wins or nine.
First, it is impossible to predict injuries. As we saw with Molk last year, and with the running backs to some degree, critical injuries are especially bad for Michigan, because of our lack of depth. If we largely remain healthy through the season, I believe we will be on the upper end (eight or nine wins.) On the other hand, if we have significant line injuries, if Tate & Denard go down, if our fastest receivers go down, we could be sunk. Of course, our opponents will have to deal with their own injuries, another variable affecting the W-L column.
Second, it is impossible to predict the ability of the incoming freshman class, and even to some degree the red-shirt freshman and early enrollees now going through Spring Practice. We will have a clue after the next month of practice, but only a clue. You just don't know for sure until guys are on the field. For instance, I remember criticism when Mike Hart was recruited and given a scholarship. He definitely proved the naysayers wrong.
If we can survive this year, each subsequent year should improve. The reason is that our depth will improve, and we will be able to bring solid players in off the bench. In fact, even this coming season, if we can make it to at least the half-way point with few injuries, the incoming freshman will be better prepared to step in and contribute. In our secondary last year, the lack of depth was disastrous.
My best guess is 7 or 8 wins. However, if we stay healthy at all the critical positions, if we have a higher success rate among freshman then is typical, if turnovers go down, if one or two of our critical rivals have a devastating injury (or crime spree, etc.) we could go as high as 9 wins, even 10 with miracles. If we have terrible injuries ourself, we could go down to six wins. My hope, even if this happens, is that RR still gets another year. I have felt consistently that 2011 will be the critical year.
After two years with RR, I believe more strongly that the program was not in good health when he arrived. I think it is comparing apples to oranges to compare RR's record at WVa and Tulane to UofM. Because those programs didn't have the high expectations present at Michigan, he was able to make a much larger impact in a shorter amount of time.