chance of bowl: 13.6%
Slow day on the boards. I've been staring at the UMHoops thread all day, so I figured I'd give everyone else something quasi-relevant to stare at. I've done too much actual work today.
On your way home from work / school / interviewing a Chinese sex worker, you are hit by a bus carrying the Dhali Lama, the Pope, Joel Osteen, and an atheist. The atheist laughs, and the other three say a prayer for you. Through some unholy union of the three prayers, you wake up and stare apprehensively at your weathered old man hands. Congratulations, your disembodied soul has transplanted itself into Jim Delany, like a boring version of Patrick Swayze in Ghost. You're stuck in a meeting with the AD's and coaches from the B1G football teams. The discussion is how to attract recruits to some school, ANY school, not named Michigan or Ohio State. What is your advice? It could be an overall approach to the conference. It could be pointed at a specific school.
Stay within the confines of what could likely happen. Don't cheat, this isn't the SEC. I'd like to hear how you, new Mr. Delaney, would actually do if given the power to persuade and oversee. After you kick Mark Dantonio in the balls, of course.
While watching Once Brothers last night, I threw out the idea to my friends of "If they came to you and asked you for your best 30 for 30 idea, what would it be?"
Mine was totally MGoBlog inspired:
"You Were Killed By a Bear and I am Sad"--A reflective look at Michigan football from November 12, 2006 to January 2, 2008.
It would encompass the week leading up to the 2006 "Game of the Century", Bo's death, the Game itself, the bickering over the BCS in 2006, USC beating Michigan in the Rose Bowl, The Horror, the Oregon slaughter, the resurrection games against ND and Penn State, the Little Brother game, the Champaign nights, Boom Malletted, Coach Carr's retirement, the coaching search, a new era, and going out on top.
I know it has a very parochial feel and I know that it would be hard for many Michigan fans to watch, but I think it's reflective of a sea change in college football in microcosm.
So, with that in mind, what would be your hypothetical Michigan athletics 30 for 30 idea. It works better if you give your angle.
I don't believe we've seen a thread like this since the off-season, and I'm sure most of us are thankful for that. However, now that we are 5-0, I just have to ask: would you rather end the regular season 7-5 with wins over MSU and OSU, or 10-2 with losses to both of those teams?
Let's assume for the sake of argument two plausible scenarios for next week: MSU gets their hat handed to them by Wisconsin, and we beat Indiana on the road.
What kind of psychological condition is MSU in when they travel to Ann Arbor a week later?
a) they don't give a crap; they're our little brother and they want to kill us
b) their egos are dented and they play with less conviction/confidence
c) they're more dangerous still
d) something that I haven't thought of
P.S. If this kind of looking ahead or conjecture is not your cup of tea, that's great; you are not required to respond
after watching lots of bowls this week, i have been wondering what would have happened if the ones that got away had not gotten away. i am referring to the illinois game (1st thru 4th and 1 to seal the game) and purdue game (missed PAT, etc) as the winnable games that UM didn't win. you could obviously choose to throw in msu and iowa as those were close, but i don't have the same sort of regret about losing to those two (anger, not regret).
scenario 1 - michigan wins 1 of those games. this gives them a 2-6 conf record, 6-6 total and because iowa goes bcs every b10 team moves up a bowl, the pizza bowl goes to michigan where they face off against ohio. ohio got down early 21-0 to marshall and managed to come back before losing 21-17.
scenario 2 - michigan wins both of those games. this gives them a 3-5 conf record, 7-6 total and because the conference tie breaker goes to better total record, michigan goes to the insight bowl to face iowa state. iowa state won this one 14-13 in a pretty evenly matched game, statistically.
there are obviously many intangibles and reasons why we can't simply plug michigan in, but this is hypothetical so i am gonna. i know national rankings are a bit flawed, but this has really been too long a post already.
hypo pizza pizza bowl - UM v OU
OU (78th O, 46th D) lost closely to Marshall (96th O, 68th D)
michigan had the 44th O and 82nd D. this tells me that UM scores more than marshall, by a 10-14, but lets up more points by a little, 3-7. bottom line - UM wins pizza pizza bowl.
hypo insight bowl - UM v ISU
ISU (103rd O, 99th D)was even with Minnesota (101st O, 61st D).
michigan had the 44th O and 82nd D. again, simplistically, michigan scores many more points, 14-21, and allows more 10-14. bottom line - UM wins insight bowl.
i know this is very remedial, but i really really miss michigan football. i just wish michigan would have been able to pull out these wins against non bowl teams.