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conference power rankings

Conference Power Rankings: Week 4

By 1484 — September 27th, 2011 at 9:08 PM — 0 comments
Filed under:
  • conference power rankings
  • cpr
  • football

Of Note

I'm not going to give a conference-by-conference breakdown this week, as I am pressed for time. A few notes:

-What is worse than having a team in your conference lose to an FCS school? Being the Mountain West this week, who fell four spots due to two crushing FCS losses. The Big Ten also lost a spot due to Minnesota's apparent lack of skillz. Once Jerry Kill has led a long an fulfilling life, I can revisit this loss and say that Minnesota has taken on the character of their coach. Their entire game against NDSU looked like one prolonged seizure. But I won't make that joke now, as it would be crude and inappropriate.

-The Denard WHHHHATTT of the week finds the Pac-12 gaining a spot in our standing after going 0-1 in this weeks OOC schedule. This is more due to the collapse of the Mountain West and the ACC than it is about a silver lining for the Pac-12.

-The Big 12 has all but wrapped up the Cy-Hawk Trophy Memorial Award this year after posting a perfect 3-0 record in Week 4 which included wins against Miami and two other FBS schools.

-Half of the Big Ten's 12 OOC losses stem from Indiana and Minnesota. Michigan is one of four teams to hand the conference a perfect 4-0 OOC record. Of those four, Michigan gained the most points for the Big Ten, scoring 1.966 non-adjusted points. Wisconsin was second (1.690), Nebraska third (1.540), and Illinois fourth (1.383). A large part of that is due to Michigan not playing an FCS school this year. In a follow up diary, I intend to go into more depth about the state of the Big Ten after OOC play. Look for that at some point in the next couple of days.
 

Chartography

CPR - Week 4

Conf. Wk 1 Wk 2 Wk 3 Wk 4 Season CPR Rank + / - CPR +/-
Big 12 10-0 4-1 9-1 3-0 26-2 1.000 - +0.000
SEC 10-2 8-0 4-2 3-0 25-4 0.747 - +0.052
Big East 8-0 4-4 4-3 5-2 21-9 0.410 +2 +0.086
Big 10 10-2 7-5 9-3 8-2 34-12 0.407 -1 +0.031
Indy 2-2 1-3 2-2 2-1 7-8 0.230 +4 +0.107
Pac 12 8-4 6-2 5-4 0-1 19-11 0.224 +1 -0.048
ACC 7-3 6-2 6-2 2-4 21-11 0.175 -1 -0.135
Mount 4-2 3-2 5-2 4-4 16-10 0.062 -4 -0.276
CUSA 5-6 3-3 5-3 2-5 15-17 -0.009 - +0.002
MAC 8-5 5-5 1-8 5-6 19-24 -0.203 - +0.029
Sun Belt 0-7 4-4 2-5 2-2 8-18 -0.309 - -0.061
WAC 1-6 4-4 1-4 1-3 7-17 -0.563 - -0.014
FCS 2-36 0-20 1-15 3-10 6-81 -0.932 - +0.003

 

How the rankings are calculated (read the first reply)

 

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Conference Power Rankings: Week 2

By 1484 — September 11th, 2011 at 2:45 PM — 3 comments
Filed under:
  • conference power rankings
  • cpr
  • football

Regression to the Mean

What do you get when you have a game between two crappy conferences, one which comes into the game posting an 8-0 record and the top CPR among all conferences, and another that comes in as the only conference not to log a non-conference win over the opening weekend?

Yaaay, law of averages.

The Big East lost their clean sheet on Friday night, as Louisville fell to the mighty Golden Panthers of Florida International. To the Panthers' credit they have started the season 2-0, even though the Sun Belt had yet to win an interconference game. Their opening game was against conference foe, North Texas - the Texas team which is least likely to start talking about how pretty it is.

The last conference to post a perfect resume for 2011 fell only hours later. The Big 12 fought hard for their perfect record, with Arizona State needing overtime to beat Mizzou and break the streak of 11-0. This is not a big deal for the Big 12, though, as it is not like they're going to disintegrate the conference because of the loss...
 

Chartography
 

Week 2

SEC 8-0 1.000
Pac 12 6-2 0.953
Big 12 4-1 0.921
CUSA 3-3 0.454
ACC 6-2 0.419
Big 10 7-5 0.220
Mount 3-2 -0.000
Big East 4-4 -0.079
Sun Belt 4-4 -0.131
WAC 4-4 -0.183
Indy 1-3 -0.325
MAC 5-5 -0.406

 

Season

Conf. Wk 1 Wk 2 Season CPR + / -
Big 12 10-0 4-1 14-1 1.000 +1
SEC 10-2 8-0 18-2 0.908 +2
Big 10 10-2 7-5 17-7 0.366 -
Pac 12 8-4 6-2 14-6 0.311 +6
Big East 8-0 4-4 12-4 0.283 -4
CUSA 5-6 3-3 8-9 0.174 +2
Mount 4-2 3-2 7-4 0.143 -1
ACC 7-3 6-2 13-5 0.066 +1
Indy 2-2 1-3 3-5 -0.091 -4
MAC 8-5 5-5 13-10 -0.092 -3
Sun Belt 0-7 4-4 4-11 -0.273 -
WAC 1-6 4-4 5-10 -0.382 -
FCS 2-36 0-20 2-56 -0.890 -

From the Top


ACC
The red-headed stepchild of the BCS. The ACC comes in below both the MWC and CUSA in this weeks table. Talks of the ACC poaching from the Big East should cease, as the Big East actually looks like a stronger conference.

Big 10
What happens to your CPR when you go 7-5? Nothing, apparently. The B1G stays at number 3 even after developing a subpar record this week. I was tempted to give them +1,000,000 for Michigan's efforts, but that would skew my numbers a bit. Instead, the Big 10 stays at three and watches the top two conferences put some distance between themselves and the pack.

Big 12
Well, this is kinda akward. The Big 12 this year is like a boyfriend who saw the light a little too late. Yes, they are on their best behavior, but she's totally over you, Big 12. The B12 is leading our CPR at this point, but they're still going to come home at some point and find all their shit on the lawn.

Big East
The Big East took a nosedive this week, after leading the FBS in the CPR last week. They drop four spots to number 5 due to a 'meh' 4-4 effort which saw losses to teams such as Vanderbilt and FIU.

Conference USA
CUSA can lay claim to the title 'Best of the Rest'. Their 8-9 record is good enough as 11 of their 17 OOC games have been against BCS conferences. They have posted three wins in those games, with two more coming to other FBS schools.

MAC
Don't look now, but EMU is 2-0! Largely due to the Hart influence, no doubt. A heartbreaker in Columbus was very nearly the biggest win the MAC has seen in years. Northern Illinois also lost a close game to Kansas while CMU kept it close throughout most of their game against Kentucky, only to lose 27-13.

Mountain West
A lukewarm 3-2 record which included two wins against FCS schools saw the MWC drop a spot. Their lone win was a 3 point SDSU win over Army.

Pac 12
The Pac 12 rebounded nicely from a disasterous opening week to climb six points in the CPR. They did so with a 6-2 week that saw them become the only conference which has beaten the Big 12.

SEC
Undefeated. 8-0. The AFC Southwest. God's gift to ESPN. God's gift to God. The reason I couldn't watch the opening kickoff of the greatest game in the history of the word 'game'. The SEC shot up as the only potential challenger for the CPR crown. At this point, it appears to be a two horse race with the Big 12 narrowly beating the SEC.

Sun Belt
The Sun Belt didn't wait until Saturday to post their first win, with FIU beating Louisville on Friday night. The Sun Belt went 4-4 with wins over the MAC, CUSA, Mountain West, and an FCS school. For their part, the Sun Belt has beaten up the fewest cupcakes (sounds like innuendo?), having only played one FCS school.

WAC
The WAC has brought up the rear among FBS conferences for the second week in a row. That's what happens when you post a 5-10 record, with only two of those wins over other FBS schools.

Independent
Navy posted the only vistory this week as they rolled over Western Kentucky. BYU gave Texas a run, but came up short by a point. Notre Dame was apparently involved in some sort of 'night game' thing.

FCS
The FCS was picked on less this week, as they only played 20 games against FBS schools, compared to 36 the week before. They posted as many wins this week as Notre Dame.

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