i refuse to even consider this a possibility
Not sure if anyone had posted this prior - if so, feel free to remove - but it appears as if Caris Levert is getting some NBA love now? NBADraft.net has him listed as a first-round pick in the 2015 draft. I am perhaps not the largest Caris Lavert supporter but his development, offensively at least, has been amazing. That said, I'm skeptical of this projection. I'm just not sure where he would project to in the NBA given his size and skill set.
Related, Stephen Ross should just start mailing Lavall Jordan envelopes full of cash now.
Because I was bored during lunch, I wanted to see how John Beilein's teams had improved over his tenure at Michigan by looking at the final KenPom and Sagarin numbers. I made 2 quick and dirty graphs that show the teams yearly final rank and rating. I thought the team rank would probably be the best way to compare across years because it is more standardized as the formula for the rating may have slight tweaks that impact the final value of the rating between years.
Amazingly, Michigan's teams under Beilein showed a progressive improvement each year with the outlier of one year, 2009 or 2010. You could make a case that Michigan overachieved ahead of schedule in 2009 or underachieved in 2010. I also thought it was pretty interesting that Michigan has played one of the toughest schedules in the nation under Beilein. Some of this has to do with the Big Ten Conference, but even within the Big Ten, Michigan's SOS are some of the best. Michigan has pretty much had a top 15 SOS every year under Beilein.
EDIT: Can't figure out how to successfully cut and paste the graphs.
The raw numbers:
|Year||KenPom Rank||KenPom Rating||Sagarin Syn Rank||Sagarin Syn Rating||Sagarin Predict Rank||KenPom SOS||Sagarin SOS|
Randomly putzing around on the YouTubes, I came across this. This is awesome material, not just for the video breakdown but also because the guy drew up all the play diagrams as well (link below). Must see stuff for those that like to breakdown basketball the way many breakdown football on this site (Also, for those who, in your weakest moments, say "OMG BEELINE DOESN'T RUN AN OFFENSE, THEY JUST PASS THE BALL AROUND." I keed, I keed.)
PDF of the play diagrams:
Very cool stuff and some of it gets kinda complicated. And, note this is just stuff JB has run against the 2-3, which is probably the least common defense you see at the college level. I'd be interested in seeing which of this stuff they also try to implement against the 1-3-1. Makes me want to go back and watch some of the games against Matta's 1-3-1.
Edited to make comment meant to be in jest more in jest.