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2014 basketball recruiting
Aubrey Dawkins has committed to Michigan.
6-4 New Hampton wing Aubrey Dawkins has committed to Michigan, he confirmed to @FlyerHoops. Picked the Wolverines over the Flyers— Matthew Schwade (@FlyerHoops) April 28, 2014
***NOTE: Sam Webb recently said Dawkins is closer to 6-6.
EDIT: Sam has a story out with some post-commit quotes from Dawkins:
“It was a tough decision, but a degree from Michigan carries more weight than one from Dayton,” Dawkins said. Not necessarily because it’s better academically, but because it’s Michigan.”
. . .
“They [the Michigan coaching staff] see me as a guy that is similar to Glenn Robinson… athletic, lean… just along those lines. They want me to play the wing spot.”
Sam Webb offered a couple of interesting insights into the basketball recruiting situation on today's recruiting roundup (podcast). Contrary to the notion of Muhammad Ali Abdur-Rahkman and Aubrey Dawkins being an "either-or" scenario, he believes the two players would fill different roles at Michigan, and so taking both of them would make sense.
Abdur-Rahkman: He can immediately serve as an effective backup to Caris LeVert, and longer term—although his ceiling isn't as high as Levert's—he looks like a four-year contributor who may eventually be a starter. He's just a "decent" shooter, but John Beilein has said he can take an average shooter and turn him into a good one. Abdur-Rahkman also has an effective midrange game and can get to the rim. His quickness isn't exceptional, but in Michigan's ball-screen-heavy offense, he'll be able to get open for shots and drives. Abdur-Rahkman also needs to get stronger but has Camp Sanderson in his future to take care of that.
Dawkins: Although reports have him at 6-4 or 6-5, Sam says it sounds like he's actually closer to 6-6+. Dawkins, who possesses more athleticism than Adbur-Rahkman, is more in the mold of Glenn Robinson III and would play the 3 and even some at the 4 at Michigan. He's not as athletic as Robinson but could fill the void in the transition game that exists with Robinson's departure. Following his visit and the Michigan offer, Sam says Dawkins is "extremely high" on the Wolverines. He still plans to visit Dayton this week (and I think it's worth keeping in mind that Dayton has been recruiting him much longer).
Not recruited out of HS by U of M, but he went to Pioneer and is looking to transfer closer to home. Originally, he was at Owens Junior College in Ohio. Averaged 6.0 points, 3.7 rebounds in 17.9 minutes, connected on 48.5 percent (65-134) of shots from field, 40.5 percent (15-37) from long range at Miami (YTM) last year.
The three game suspension raises some concerns and it is unlikely that he will be able to play next year. Anyone who knows more than I do: is there potential for interest in Kelly from the coaching staff?
On today's recruiting roundup (podcast), Sam Webb provided a good overview of where Michigan's basketball recruiting stands in regard to late 2014 signings and possible transfers. Here are the highlights:
- Muhammad Ali Abdur-Rahkman and Aubrey Dawkins (both of whom Sam talked to) are scheduled to be on campus this weekend at the same time, setting up an interesting dynamic because Sam believes that Michigan would want just one of them, not both.
- Abdur-Rahkman has Michigan at the top of his list; he has no other visits scheduled and won't decide on taking any other visits until after his Michigan visit.
- Dawkins has Michigan and Dayton at the top of his list; he has a visit to Dayton scheduled for next week.
- Input from Michigan players will play a key role in Michigan's process of vetting the two players for possible offers.
- In terms of ranking Michigan's interest in the various players who have been mentioned as possible late additions, Sam says Abdur-Rahkman and Dawkins are at the top given their pending visits.
- Next in terms of interest from Michigan are two transfers—6-9 power forward Sean Obi (Rice) and 6-9 forward Cole Huff (Nevada)—plus 6-5 wing Tavarius Shine (Fork Union Military Academy). Further down the list are two possible late 2014 signees: 6-5 wing Ryan Taylor (St. John's Northwest Military Academy) and 6-7 wing Marial Shayok (Blair Academy; Marquette decommit).
- Sam believes that 6-5 guard Byron Wesley (USC transfer) might be expressing interest in Michigan, but he hasn't heard that Michigan has any interest in him.
One other note: Sam talked about Huff being a good fit for Michigan as a stretch forward, but as was noted in yesterday's thread on him, apparently a major reason he's transferring is because he wants to play the 3, not the 4, in preparation for the position he'd potentially play in the NBA.
On both Twitter and today's recruiting roundup (podcast), Sam Webb has reported that the Michigan basketball program will host a second visitor this weekend—Aubrey Dawkins, a 6-4 shooting guard out of New Hampton Prep in New Hampshire. He's the son of Johnny Dawkins, head coach at Stanford and a national player of the year during his college career at Duke who went on to play nine years in the NBA. Rivals lists Aubrey Dawkins with offers from Dayton and Rhode Island. Why not Stanford? Sam says it's probably because of Stanford's tough admission standards.
So that's two possible late 2014 signees who are visiting this weekend—the other of course being Muhammad Ali Abdur-Rahkman.
Sam Webb has a detailed DetNews article out on one of the Wolverines' main remaining 2014 targets: Michigan emerges as major player for elite shooter James Blackmon Jr. He includes lots of quotes from Blackmon, his father, and some recruiting "experts." Given the worries of some Michigan fans that both Blackmon and Devin Booker will pick Kentucky, I thought what Scout's Brian Snow said in the second paragraph quoted below was particularly worth highlighting. It'll be interesting to see how this plays out.
All that’s left for Blackmon now is a return visit to Kentucky Oct. 18 and potential trip to Kansas (though no date has been mentioned). From there he plans to make his decision in time to sign a letter of intent during the early signing period (Nov.13-20). The Hoosier State star hasn’t listed any favorites among his finalists, but as is the case with Booker, many pundits believe that Kentucky is in strong position. Furthermore, some believe that a scenario in which the Wolverines and Wildcats split the two talented youngsters to be a distinct possibility.
“Blackmon and Booker and not exactly alike,” Snow explained. “They’re very similar as players, and you can make a reasonable argument that one’s better than the other, depending on what type of player you’re looking for. But they’re similar enough that as a coach I don’t think you’d want to take both of them. If you’re a player, you don’t want to go to the same spot as someone else who plays just like you and plays your position. It’s just not logical. So I think if player A goes to Kentucky, that will cross Kentucky off player B’s list. If player A goes to Michigan, that will cross it off player B’s list. The fact that they’re each considering heavily three of the same schools, and maybe only have four real options, it’s going to be very interesting to see who commits where and what kind of ripple effect that does have.”