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When Beilein Has a Week to Prepare…
A wise man once said, When John Beilein has a week to prepare, there will be subs and it will be crazy. And looking at Michigan’s past games, that’s not really how the games go. Below, I take a look at how Michigan has performed against quality opponents with 4-7 days rest and prep-time. I have removed teams such as Long Beach State and Coppin State because it really does us no good to quantify.
2014 Non-Conference Games
Iowa State on the road with five days rest. Michigan loses 77-70.
Duke on the road with four days rest. Michigan loses 79-69
Arizona at home with seven days rest. Michigan loses 72-70.
Stanford at a neutral site with seven days rest. Michigan wins 68-65.
For those of you keeping score at home, that’s 1-3 in games after significant rest. However, we know that wasn’t the same Michigan team. Also, two road games and three contests versus the remaining Sweet 16 in which Michigan was 1-2.
2014 Conference Games
At Minnesota with five days rest, Michigan wins 63-60
At Nebraska with four days rest, Michigan wins 71-70
At home vs. Penn State with four days rest, Michigan wins 80-67
At Wisconsin with four days rest, Michigan wins 77-70
At home vs. Iowa with four days rest, Michigan wins 85-67
At home vs. Purdue with five days rest, Michigan wins 75-66
Against Wisconsin on four days rest, Michigan loses 75-62
At home against MSU on seven days rest, Michigan wins 79-70
At home vs. Indiana on four days rest, Michigan wins 84-80
Nuetral site vs. Illinois on six days rest, Michigan wins 64-63.
For those of you keeping score at home, Michigan went 9-1 in conference when they had four or more days of rest. Overall, Michigan was 10-4 this season when having four or more days of rest, with a record of 4-2 vs. teams that remain in the Sweet 16 and 5-3 against teams that have made the tournament.
At this point the results are pretty inconclusive. While Michigan tends to win more often than not when they have extra rest, they’ve also won more games in general this year. There have also been outliers this year such as Duke and Wisconsin where the team has had significant rest and looked bad and quick turnarounds vs. MSU where the team has looked good.
Let’s look at some other games to see if we can note any more trends.
Previous tournament games under coach Beilein:
2014 vs. Wofford on five days rest, Michigan wins by 17
2013 vs. North Dakota State on 5+ days rest, Michigan wins by 13
2013 vs. Kansas on six days rest, Michigan wins in OT by two.
2013 vs. Syracuse on five days rest, Michigan wins by two
2012 vs. Ohio on 5+ days rest, Michigan loses
2011 vs. Tennessee on 5+ days rest, Michigan wins by 30
2009 vs. Clemson on 5+days rest, Michigan wins by 3
Again, we find Michigan with a winning record in tournament games with significant rest. Here, Michigan has gone 6-1 in the NCAA Tournament under coach Beilein when they have had a few extra days to prepare. However, there are once again outliers where Michigan doesn’t perform well such as there game against Ohio. On the other hand, there are games on minimal rest such as last year’s contests vs. VCU and Florida where Michigan rolls.
Moreover, when Michigan beats Kansas by two after a furious comeback, is that a win because John Beilein has prepared well? Or rather because Kansas faltered and Trey Burke hit a wild shot? One can make the argument that Michigan stayed close because of great gameplanning by the coaches. It is all up to interpretation.
And while these results are a bit inconclusive because of the varying factors involved in such analysis (road games, top-ranked opponents, injuries, etc.) the results do favor Michigan’s chances a bit when they have extra time to prepare. Overall Michigan is 16-5 this season and in the NCAA tournament over many years under John Beilein when they have significant rest. While 16-5 isn’t a sure bet to win, that’s damn good considering the teams that were played. Wofford may be the only cupcake on that list. And for every South Dakota State, there are a few blue bloods.
Needless to say, Michigan with an extra day this week (six days off vs. Tennessee’s five) certainly favors Michigan but having a good coach favors them a bit more.
30 min to tip off ad no one is talking about it?
Let's finish strong and hope MSU falters later today. Go Blue!
While basketball may be more than two months away, and football has barely gotten its feet wet, I thought that given the massive amounts of anticipation that will inevitably build over the course of Notre Dame week, a little hype video fun might help assuage some of that anticipatory build. It may not be football-related, but hopefully it’s entertaining and gives people something to watch this week.
The past few months I’ve watched numerous Michigan Football hype videos on YouTube, some better than others but all equally demonstrating passion and excitement about Michigan Football. I’ve even learned a few things myself, including a few very creative video ideas, impressive editing techniques and most importantly the significance of song choice (as evidenced by a mild disdain for 30 Seconds to Mars, which is cool, no worries, I get it). But, what I didn’t see was anything hype-video related for the basketball team. I found this simultaneously moderately unfair and completely understandable. Nevertheless … an idea began to form and I got to work.
The result is below for your enjoyment (per usual, it's in HD if you switch to 720/1080 within the embed):
Now, a few words if you’ll indulge me.
Basketball will always hold a special place in my competitive center. I gushed over the Fab Five when I was in middle school, and I was lucky enough to play ball in high school just down the street from Crisler at Ann Arbor Pioneer HS. I know and love Michigan basketball as much as any fan I know, save for a certain friend of mine who lives in Cali and could literally be the Maize Rage all by himself.
I say that only to hopefully bolster the following.
I realize that the inclusion of the Fab Five clips may not sit well with some people, particularly any clips of Webber. I can see someone looking at the video and saying things like “That’s not what those kids should strive to be on the court” or “That’s not who they should aspire to be.” I can understand those sentiments, but that’s not the reason why I mashed the clips up. I don’t want this team, or any other Michigan Basketball team to be like the Fab Five, for both the good and the bad tied to that team.
I was as crestfallen as anyone when the bottom dropped out of the men’s basketball program and our name got thrown around in the muddy gutters where vacated seasons go to wither and rot. I didn’t mash-up the clips to tell Tim Hardaway Jr. that he needs to be more like Jalen Rose, or Morgan like Webber, or Burke like King (though if Vogrich turned into Pelinka, or McLimans morphed into Voskuil, I’d grin stupidly). I mashed-up the clips because that was the last time Michigan Basketball was great.
Not good. Not tournament-worthy. But great.
I mashed-up the clips to show that Michigan Basketball has the capability to be great … right now.
For the first time in forever I feel like Michigan Basketball is finally grazing its fingers up against what it feels like to be a truly dominant program again. From the returning players to the freshmen, from the coaching staff to the recruits landing on campus in a few years, top to bottom and back again, this group of kids finally looks like they’re ready to put their own indelible stamp on Michigan Basketball.
I haven’t felt like that in awhile.
The last time I did I was 10 and Webber was catching alley-oops from Jalen and Jimmy, Juwan was hitting mid-range jumpers and Ray was chomping at the bit on the bench waiting for his turn to start.
So, I didn’t mash-up the clips to tell this year’s team that they need to be more like the Fab Five.
I mashed-up the clips to remind everyone that this year’s team can do everything that the Fab Five did on the court. They can hit the same threes, throw the same alley-oops, wear that same passion and fire on their sleeves and play within a successful system as a team just like the Fab Five did.
They can be great. Just like the Fab Five were once upon a season ago. They may not reach it this year, but they’re building the foundation and laying the groundwork. It’s going to be something else to watch.
Thanks for the indulgence. I don’t usually prater on in these diary entries, as they are first and foremost to serve as a viewing vehicle for the video, but I felt the extra explanation necessary given the sensitivity of the material and the potential for misinterpretation.
Per usual, many thanks are necessary and a few questions will attempt to be pre-emptively answered:
- As always, my efforts are not possible without the efforts of others, particularly the folks over at UMHoops.com. Footage was used from a great many sources, including Dylan, who took the time to film considerable amount of practice last year, while Coach David Merritt put together some very nice All Access behind the scenes footage of Zack and THJ. However, the greatest amount of props and thanks has to go to Josh Houchin, who produces the excellent “end of season” highlight videos for the entire team, as well as Darius, THJ, Zack, Stu and Jordan individually. Those videos can be found HERE for your own perusal, while the full-season video can be found HERE. His editing is outstanding, and I definitely recommend viewing them if you haven’t already. I will certainly be taking some of his techniques into account for my own future videos. Lastly, thanks to MgoVideo/Pahokee for uploading the basketball highlights from last year.
- Music: “Lux Aeterna” by Clint Mansell (Full Orchestra version) via “Requiem for a Dream”. I considered Public Enemy’s “He Got Game” and Eminem’s “No Love” as hip hop/rap alternatives to the classical piece, but in the end Lux won the day. I’ve always wanted to see this piece of music in a video like this and I figured I might as well be the one to give it a shot. Hopefully it's tolerable to the internet masses, as it's an excellent piece of music. FYI, ignore the "music tag" on YouTube, as that song is in no way by Ray Ventura.
- Length: Yeah, it’s on the long side. But there’s no good place to splice down the music, and dammit if I’m not going to give everyone their attention span’s worth for a hype video. Hopefully the build to the fanatic finish is enough to assuage any tired eyes.
- Voiceovers: They are from an NBA Amazing video where players like Wade, Kobe and KG talk about their love of basketball. I needed something to cover the lulls and those fit perfectly with the clips. Unfortunately the YouTube video has been taken down because the TV station it was broadcast on filed a request about the images, but the audio is still good to use thankfully.
- Opening Commercial: That’s from Michael Jordan’s “Become Legendary” line of advertisements. You can watch the original version HERE.
- Basketball Speeches: The first speech after the commercial is of course, from Hoosiers. If you didn’t know that, I can’t help you. The others later in the video are from “Coach Carter” and “Glory Road” respectively.
- My Favorite Part? The Sparty crushing segment, easily, building to the NCAA highlights.
This is just my version of a basketball hype video, complete with all the trimmings that I think should be in something like this (storyline + coaches + practice + highlights + theme + music + etc.), instead of the more straightforward versions (highlights + MUSIC + rawr).
Hopefully this gets the ball rolling on a few more basketball videos, as I’d love to see other people’s takes on this kind of effort, which is a little bit different from the football versions in the sense that the highlights are a little more generically compact and repetitively similar, and thus requires some alternative editing concepts. I’d love to start seeing this become a regular occurrence for the basketball team.
That’s all I got. Thanks for the feedback/comments. Always appreciated.
Great way to entertain the troops.