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roster overanalysis

Hokepoints: O-Line Depth Chart, Spring Video, & More Roster Overanalysis

By Seth — March 21st, 2013 at 9:17 AM — 27 comments
Filed under:
  • ben braden
  • freshmen
  • hokepoints
  • jack miller
  • kyle kalis
  • offensive line
  • roster overanalysis
  • taco charlton
  • walk-ons

mgovideo

Sorry to interrupt your day of madness with more football right now, but since the Spring rosters were recently published it's time for that annual MGo-Tradition of way overanalyzing weights and numbers and stuff...which Brian just informed me he's working on too [ED: this was written on Monday] after I got most of this written so figure this is Part II to that. By request the Depth Chart by Class received a major overhaul. Clicking on a name will bring up their MGoRecruiting profiles, hovering over a name gives you the current height, weight, and the player he'd most resemble if everything works out.

Before we get to the new faces, let's pick through that video. Non-bullets:

Offensive Line-Up: Miller seems to be the #1 center. The first clip shows him snapping the ball to Gardner, who hands off to Justice Hayes. Later while Lewan is talking we see two snaps (both of them pulls to Schofield's side) where the 1st team goes and the second team steps up in order behind them. Screen grab:

offensiveline2013spring

Starters at the moment appear to be Schofield-Burzynski-Miller-Braden-Lewan. Second team is Gunderson-Kalis-Glasgow-Bars-Mateus. Magnuson (at RT), Ben Pliska (at C) and Bosch (at LG) are the guys walking up behind them. Chris Bryant appears to not be doing these things yet; I don't know where LTT is, nor preferred walk-on Dan Gibbs. I'm not so worried about Kalis since the coaches still love him and it's early enough in spring that you'd expect a freshman to be behind last year's first backup. That Braden's practicing with the ones ahead of the 5-star, and he's the guy pulling, seem to bode very nice things for him—like potential star things. I am worried that there may not be enough guys in the picture above to make two teams for a real spring game.

Thomas Gordon interview. He says this year's defense is much faster. Let's qualify that; here's our current expectations for new starters vs. the departures:

  • Kovacs to winner of safety free-for-all: Thomas Gordon appears to be sliding down to strong safety but the other spot could be any of Jarrod Wilson, Josh Furman, Marvin Robinson, Dymonte Thomas, Jeremy Clark, Allen Gant or Delano Hill, and if anything can be gleaned from Hoke's comments that list is a pick 'em through Thomas right now. Unless it's Clark or Gant the safeties are gaining a lot of speed, though that's overrated next to Kovac's intuitiveness.
  • Demens/Morgan/Ross/Bolden to Morgan/Ross/Bolden. Ross and Bolden are the faster dudes, though apparent speed at linebacker is more instinctual than athletic. We're trading Demens's underrated coverage and size for a sizeable jump in response time, which should work out to better run defense offsetting the loss in pass pro.
  • Roh/Campbell to Wormley/Heitzman/Black. But don't totally discount Godin, who's the guy in the video providing the requisite attack on a sled. I've got Wormley hype in my shopping cart and need just one more positive review to buy. It may seem weird that the coaches are still saying the 290-lb. redshirt freshman is an SDE while Jibreel Black, holding steady at 276, is the presumed DT, but remember they did the same with Heininger at 3T and RVB at 5T much of 2011. They're pretty interchangeable.
  • JT Floyd to Blake Countess. An upgrade.

A more accurate description would be the further you get from the line the greater the intensity of a general shift from greater experience to greater talent. It's hard to say if the net will be a better defense until we see what kind of sophomore leap we got out of the Class of 2011.

Welcome, early enrollees and your numbers:

Name No. Pos. Ht. Wt. (R/S/ESPN) # Previously worn by
Kyle Bosch 65 OL 6'5 307 (285/280/311) Patrick Omameh, Leo Henige
Jake Butt 88 TE 6'6 231 (230/220/231) Jim Mandich, Mark Campbell
Taco Charlton 33 DE 6'6 265 (240/235/249) Mike Taylor (LB), Carl Russ
Ross Douglas 7 DB 5'10 176 (180/180/181) Alfie Burch, Mark Jacoby
Dymonte Thomas 25 DB 6'2 187 (175/180/180) Ernest Shazor
Logan Tuley-Tillman 72 OL 6'7 285 (321/295/314) Dan Dierdorf, Jumbo Elliott

The one that stands out obviously is Taco Charlton, whose camp measurements had him at linebacker size while his spring weight puts him already well within the bell curve for starting WDEs. Woodley and Jibreel Black are the only rush ends in recent memory to arrive over 260 but they're a lot shorter guys. The closer comparison is Glen Steele, who was 6'5/255 as a freshman in '93, redshirted, and got into the rotation in '94 at about 270. Before we were thinking Taco would be either redshirted or deployed as a kind of situational Shawn Crable while the coaches waited for him to grow into a regular down player, but if he's large enough already to stand up to OTs, that puts him squarely in competition with Beyer/Clark/Ojemudia.

The other guy significantly off from the services' numbers is LTT, who's down 36 lbs. from what Rivals said. We were rooting for this! Scouts said he put on some bad weight last summer and he's a project recruit who like Long/Lewan before him needs a redshirt to learn technique no matter what the OT depth chart looks like right now.

Dymonte Thomas is also 1 or 2 inches taller than the sites pegged him.

Carl Russ ascendsSomebody's an early '70s fan. That 33 for Taco stands out; I'm sure he'll have an explanation that isn't "Let me give you a history lesson." But if you blinked at a non-back wearing that number, you could use a little refresher on early '70s linebackers. Michael Taylor (NNMT) survived Bo's weeding out process to become an All-American inside linebacker, tallying 132 tackles his senior year. The number was immediately inherited by Carl Russ (right), who walked on to the '71 team and starred on the '73 and '74 defenses, two of Bo's best. Both 33s had short NFL careers.

As for Rick Leach's digit going to a defensive back, considering all the recruiting profiles of 6'2" corners you'll be seeing here this summer you might as well read up now on Alfie Burch, the early '90s prototype for big boy boundary cornerbacks who can stand up to blocks on the edge and neutralize tall/rangy receivers. Course Ross Douglas isn't that—he's more of a nickel type. In the '70s it was worn by Mark Jacoby, Bo's "Wolf" who played kind of a Shawn Crable role from what's technically the same field position (SAM) that the nickel corner plays.

There is also a new crop of walk-ons. Hello new walk-ons!

Name No. Pos. Ht. Wt. Elig. Hometown (High School)
Brad Anlauf 49 WR 6'4 187 RS FR Hinsdale, Ill. (Hinsdale Central)
Shaun Austin 15 QB 6'1 204 RS FR Plymouth, MI (Plymouth)
Clark Grace 46 TE 6'3 228 RS FR Tecumseh, Ontario (L'essor)
Bobby Henderson 51 RB 5'11 226 RS FR Hopewell Junction, NY (John Jay)
Michael Jocz 95 TE 6'4 213 RS FR Novi, Mich. (Novi)
Dan Liesman 66 LB 6'2 220 RS FR Lansing, MI (Lansing Catholic)
AJ Pearson 36 DB 6'0 199 RS FR Johns Creek, Ga. (Northview)

Alex Mitropoulos-Rundus was on the roster last year as David. Internet search pulls up an interview with a really girlie site called Michigan: Her Campus where he's asked questions about what he looks for in a girl.

"I don't ever really think about a list of things that girls must have, I'm more of the type of guy that just knows when it's right or not.  We all have that gut feeling."

Gals don't even know when they've been Sam Webb'd.

Position Changes: Only ones of note are Wormley is listed as a "DL" (was a "DE" last year) and Matthew Godin was a "DT", is now a "DE". Safeties Allen Gant and Jeremy Clark are back to the nebulous "DB" which means nothing. Interestingly redshirt junior Anthony Capatina, listed as a kicker last year, is now a "DB". Matt Wile is listed as a "PK" and preferred walk-on Kenny Allen is a "K/P" so Hagerup remains the only designated punter on the roster. Read into that what you will.

Non-Returning Walk-ons: You've heard of some of them but from last year's roster we're missing receivers Steve Wilson and Devon Micou, tight ends Nate Allspach and Chris Eddins, safeties Charlie Zeller and Andrew Offerdahl, and cornerback Chris Maye. Walk-ons who didn't return for a 5th year are onetime rotation Seth Broekhuizen, injured Nate Brink, and long snapper Curt Graman.

Number changes: None so far that I've seen.

Weight Gain 2013: Brian covered on Tuesday.

  • 27 comments

Spring Roster Overanalysis 2013

By Brian — March 18th, 2013 at 2:54 PM — 74 comments
Filed under:
  • roster overanalysis
  • spring practice 2013

I can't believe no entry in this series has previously embedded this youtube video. I endeavor to correct this oversight now:

In this spirit, we proceed.

THING: Boy, is it depressing to delete Denard Robinson from your spreadsheet here. On the other hand, not deleting Taylor Lewan.

QUARTERBACK
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 Spring 2013 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13
Devin Gardner -- 210 205 206 210 -- -5 1 4
Russell Bellomy -- -- 189 201 213 -- -- 12 12
Running Back
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 Spring 2013 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13
Fitzgerald Toussaint 185 200 195 203 200 15 -5 8 -3
Thomas Rawls -- -- 219 217 217 -- -- -2 0
Justice Hayes -- -- 176 183 190 -- -- 7 7
Dennis Norfleet -- -- -- 170 168 -- -- -- -2
Drake Johnson -- -- -- 203 212 -- -- -- 9
Sione Houma -- -- -- 221 229 -- -- -- 8
WIDE RECEIVER
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 Spring 2013 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13
Jeremy Gallon 165 180 185 186 187 15 5 1 1
Drew Dileo -- 172 172 180 177 -- 0 8 -3
Amarah Darboh -- -- -- 218 213 -- -- -- -5
Jehu Chesson -- -- -- 183 193 -- -- -- 10
TIGHT END
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 Spring 2013 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13
Jordan Paskortz -- -- 246 ? 251 -- -- ? 5
AJ Williams -- -- -- 282 265 -- -- -- -17
Devin Funchess -- -- -- 225 228 -- -- -- 3
Jake Butt -- -- -- -- 231 -- -- -- 0
OFFENSIVE LINE
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 Spring 2013 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13
Michael Schofield 268 293 299 302 303 25 6 3 1
Taylor Lewan 268 294 302 308 308 26 8 6 0
Chris Bryant -- -- 341 320 325 -- -- -21 5
Jack Miller -- -- 263 287 291 -- -- 24 4
Blake Bars -- -- -- 282 284 -- -- -- 2
Ben Braden -- -- -- 299 314 -- -- -- 15
Kyle Kalis -- -- -- 292 297 -- -- -- 5
Erik Magnuson -- -- -- 290 286 -- -- -- -4
Kyle Bosch -- -- -- -- 307 -- -- -- --
Logan Tuley-Tillman -- -- -- -- 285 -- -- -- --
DEFENSIVE LINE
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 Spring 2013 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13
Quinton Washington 325 315 302 299 305 -10 -13 -3 6
Jibreel Black -- 265 260 276 276 N/A -5 16 0
Richard Ash -- 320 301 301 316 N/A -19 0 15
Frank Clark -- -- 228 260 277 -- -- 32 17
Keith Heitzman -- -- 251 ? 277 -- -- ? 26
Brennen Beyer -- -- 225 252 254 -- -- 27 2
Matt Godin -- -- -- 270 277 -- -- -- 7
Willie Henry -- -- -- 302 306 -- -- -- 4
Ondre Pipkins -- -- -- 337 308 -- -- -- -29
Tom Strobel -- -- -- 250 262 -- -- -- 12
Chris Wormley -- -- -- 268 290 -- -- -- 22
Mario Ojemudia -- -- -- 223 244 -- -- -- 21
Taco Charlton -- -- -- -- 265 -- -- -- N/A
LINEBACKER
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 Spring 2013 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13
Cameron Gordon 208 207 222 235 233 -1 15 13 -2
Mike Jones 203 208 224 ? 223 5 16 ? -1
Jake Ryan -- 225 230 242 241 N/A 5 12 -1
Antonio Poole -- -- 212 ? 218 -- -- ? 6
Desmond Morgan -- -- 220 230 227 -- -- 10 -3
Royce Jenkins-Stone -- -- -- 206 215 -- -- -- 9
James Ross -- -- -- 225 223 -- -- -- -2
Kaleb Ringer -- -- -- 225 236 -- -- -- 11
Joe Bolden -- -- -- 230 222 -- -- -- -8
CORNERBACK
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 Spring 2013 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13
Courtney Avery -- 174 173 173 174 -- -1 0 1
Raymon Taylor -- -- 169 183 186 -- -- 14 3
Delonte Hollowell -- -- 164 177 175 -- -- 13 -2
Blake Countess -- -- 176 182 181 -- -- 6 -1
Terry Richardson -- -- -- 154 162 -- -- -- 8
Ross Douglas -- -- -- -- 176 -- -- -- 0
SAFETY
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 Spring 2013 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13
Josh Furman -- 208 208 204 197 -- 0 -4 -7
Marvin Robinson -- 203 200 201 202 -- -3 1 1
Thomas Gordon 205 205 208 209 208 0 3 1 -1
Jarrod Wilson -- -- -- 190 196 -- -- -- 6
Jeremy Clark -- -- -- 191 201 -- -- -- 10
Allen Gant -- -- -- 196 203 -- -- -- 7
Dymonte Thomas -- -- -- -- 187 -- -- -- 0

ITEMS OF INTEREST

    Remember, all weight gain or loss is good.
  • Ondre Pipkins dumped 29 pounds over the course of a few months, which should bode well for his playing time. Competing at the three-tech? Yeah, possible.
  • Elsewhere on the defensive line it's mostly BEEFCAKE, with Chris Wormley up to a hello-three-tech 290, Frank Clark up to 277, Mario Ojemudia up to 244, and Keith Heitzman scaling up to 277 after not having a spring weight last year.
  • Guys who did not move significantly are Quinton Washington (after three years of dropping, a few added pounds at 300 are probably good), Jibreel Black (probably not so good if he is a 276-pound DT), and Brennen Beyer (possibly good or bad or something). Surely there will be better options than a 276-pound three tech; I bet Black moves to SDE to compete with Heitzman. Meanwhile, Clark is now listed at exactly the same weight as those guys, blowing past classmate and WDE competitor Beyer. Most have pegged that as a platoon in which Beyer executes the run defense and Clark gets to the QB; could Clark take over the role full-time? He'll have to be a lot more responsible.
  • If Beyer can't continue adding weight a move back to SAM might make sense. This has been your Brian Wonders About Moving Someone To SAM moment.
  • Taco Charlton entering at 265 means he has a shot to blow past everyone at WDE as well. Likely? No, but despite the apparent depth at that position don't put him in the autoredshirt category.
  • The tight ends are not exactly hulking up. It makes sense that AJ Williams would shed some weight as he transitions back from offensive line to TE, and 265 is a reasonable weight for an in-line blocking TE. Devin Funchess adding three pounds is not ideal unless he's really just a wide receiver with a little blocking to do. Jake Butt showing up at 231 isn't a huge surprise—he weighed in at exactly that number for the Army game—but may indicate he, too, is not going to be much use as a blocker in year one. Redshirt? Probably not since there are no other scholarship TEs on the roster and Kwiatkowski graduated.
  • Jehu Chesson and Amarah Darboh are meeting in the middle. For non-lineman bodies ten pounds is a relatively big change. See also beanpole safety Jeremy Clark.
  • Dennis Norfleet losing two pounds isn't a huge surprise since guys that size usually stay exactly that size.
  • Relatively flat OL numbers are generally good news since they indicate radical overhauls are not necessary for player X to see the field. See Lewan and Schofield above. Chris Bryant is a clear exception since 325 is tough to play at and his injury makes it difficult for him to do a lot of the things Michigan would like him to. Meanwhile, size concerns about Jack Miller are probably minor. 291 is well within plausible.
  • I'd be surprised if Blake Bars can overtake Ben Braden, who is 30 pounds heavier. Magnuson and Bars going nowhere in year one is a slight concern.
  • Chattering about Kyle Bosch being ready to play this fall is reinforced by his 307 pounds. Logan Tuley-Tillman at 285 brings this whole exercise into question since that almost has to be fiction. The other option is that LTT is going to be a rich man when he shares his diet secrets. If he really is 285, that would be very good news since his star rose and fell based on his weight when he was a recruit. He seemed like a boom or bust type because of that. I'll ask Ace, who saw him in person with some frequency, to evaluate the plausibility of that weight after the spring game.
  • James Ross, man, you're supposed to get bigger. Also you, Joe Bolden. All linebackers not named Ringer have been on a diet.

We will do this again in fall, because we are strange.

  • 74 comments

Class of 2012: The New Numbers

By Seth — August 3rd, 2012 at 8:09 AM — 85 comments
Filed under:
  • baquer sayed
  • brennen beyer
  • dreadlocks
  • frank clark
  • ondre pipkins
  • roster overanalysis
  • rostering

fbl-guide-2011fbguide2012

The 2012 Football Media Guide was released last night. Like all media guides it has lots of information reporters will Google/Bentley anyway if they ever need it. This one also comes with an extensive section on 100-yard rushers and 100-yard rushing duos in case, you know, anyone needs to write an article this year about two guys rushing for over 100 yards in a game or something. It also has a roster. A ROSTER!!! OMIGOD OMIGOD OMIGOD OMIGOD, OBSESSIVE ATTENTION TO ROSTER NUMBERS, GO!

Notable non-bullets:

NO position switches: Everybody who was a thing in spring is still that thing. sayed

Baquer Sayed not on it again. This same thing happened last year and then he turned up back on the team so this could be nothing. (UPDATE: Confirmed he has left the team.) Baquer was in the Spring Game and caught one of those passes listed as "unknown" in the box score. He was a 2010 preferred walk-on, one of those tall, loping-type receivers who look like they're hunched over until they extend to unworldly lengths. He turned down MAC offers to walk on here. Tim Sullivan interviewed him on MGo a few years ago. Yes, that Fordson.

Devin Gardner a junior, not RS soph. You shouldn't expect him to be since they won't say until he applies following the 2013 season, but I always look anyway.

WDEs the Biggest Gainers. Brennan Beyer is now 252 lbs., up 27 from the Spring roster, meaning he has gained the mass of the world's biggest lobster. Space fact: it now takes as much extra energy for Beyer to jump as it takes an astronaut in his space suit to jump from the surface of the moon. Frank Clark is up 32 lbs. for a listed 260. In other guys moving down the line, Jibreel Black is up to 276 (+16) and Roh is listed at 278 (+9).

Holy Ondre! Ondre Pipkins, at 337 pounds, is the biggest dude on the entire roster. For reference, Will Campbell arrived at 309, Richard Ash was 320, and freshman Gabe Watson was 358.* Other freshmen arriving much larger than advertised are Willie Henry (6'3-302, from 6'2-270), Ben Braden (6'6-319, from 285), Erik Magnuson (6'6-290 from 275), Amara Darboh (6'2-218 from 190), A.J. Williams (6'6-282 from 270), The Funchess (6'4-225 from 6'5-205), and James Ross (6'1-225 from 6'0-209). Only RJS arrived smaller than sites said (6'2-206 from 215).

* "That's all?" —everyone my age who ever played against Southfield

---------------------------------------

On to the fully digit-ed freshmen!

No. Name Pos. Ht Wt Note
12 Allen Gant S 6'2 196 Nice compromise btw dad (14) and cousin (2)
13 Terry Richardson CB 5'9 154 154 pounds = 11 stone, $239 U.S., "small"
15 James Ross LB 6'1 225 Much closer to LB size than as a recruit (209)
19 Devin Funchess TE 6'4 225 Much closer to TE size than as a recruit (205)
22 Jarrod Wilson S 6'2 195 Spring
26 Dennis Norfleet RB 5'7 161  
29 Drake Johnson RB 6'1 203  
34 Jeremy Clark S 6'4 191  
35 Joe Bolden LB 6'3 224 Spring
39 Sione Houma FB 6'0 221  
43 Chris Wormley DE 6'5 268  
49 Kaleb Ringer LB 6'1 230 Spring - up 11 lbs. since
50 Tom Strobel DE 6'6 250  
52 Royce Jenkins-Stone LB 6'2 206 Winner of "I'm Ray Lewis" sweepstakes among Mattison LB recruits. Guessing redshirt.
53 Mario Ojemudia DE 6'2 223 Wore 53 in high school
56 Ondre Pipkins DT 6'3 337 He asked for 56 - for Woodley
62 Blake Bars OL 6'5 282  
67 Kyle Kalis OL 6'5 292  
69 Willie Henry DT 6'3 302 How did they miss a kid that size at a program like Glenville?
71 Ben Braden OL 6'6 319 Is this OT depth is see? Size: yes. Technique: unlikely.
78 Erik Magnuson OL 6'6 290 Same as with Braden.
82 Amara Darboh WR 6'2 218 I was so sure he'd take 15
84 A.J. Williams TE 6'6 282 Is it legal to make a guy that size an eligible receiver?
86 Jehu Chesson WR 6'3 183  
99 Matthew Godin DT 6'6 270  

You are welcome to see how wrong I was at guessing. Or you can burn that. You know what, burn that.

Number Changes:

Not as many as in years previous.

Name Pos. Was Now This is not the reason
Drew Dileo WR 26 9 Step 1: Get assigned locker next to Gallon. Step 2: Steal cloaking device.
Devin Gardner QB 7 12 Bought a Gutierrez jersey in '04 before he got his Henne one. Recently discovered it in back of the closet.
Paul Gyarmati FB 99 31 Inaugural "Name Legends" jersey, will include patch honoring Herman Everhardus (1930-'33)

Meet the Walk-Ons:

The new guys. Those listed were not on the spring roster.

No Name Pos Ht Wt Elig Hometown (H.S.)
3 Bo Dever# WR 6'2 189 FR Lake Forest, Ill. (Lake Forest)
6 Brian Cleary# QB 6'3 202 FR Detroit, Mich. (Detroit Jesuit)
18 Devon Micou WR 6'0 184 RS FR Ann Arbor, Mich. (Huron)
31 Andrew Offerdahl S 5'11 192 FR Fort Lauderdale, Fl. (Cardinal Gibbons)
46 Chris Maye# DB 5'11 178 FR Union City, Mich. (Union City)
59 Mark Lawson# LB 6'2 207 FR Ada, Mich. (Forest Hills Eastern)
63 Ben Pliska OL 6'3 267 FR Kirkland, Wa. (Lake Washington)
79 Dan Gibbs# OL 6'7 311 FR Birmingham, Mich. (Seaholm)
91 Kenneth Allen# P 6'3 205 FR Fenton, Mich. (Fenton)
91 David Mitropoulos-Rundus TE 6'2 242 RS FR Ann Arbor, Mich. (Pioneer)
95 Anthony Capatina K 5'9 181 RS SO Novi, Mich. (Detroit Catholic Central)
96 Ryan Glasgow# DL 6'4 285 FR Aurora, Ill. (Marmion Academy)

# = preferred walk-on. Interesting note: Glasgow is listed at DL, though the little chatter about him on the interwebs expected him to be an interior offensive lineman.

Counting Things on Scholarship

brandonandcount

(note: Brink, Heininger and Kovacs counted as scholarship players)

31! Thirty-one scholarship players with junior (19) or senior (12) eligibility, ah ah ah! Last year was 18 juniors and 15 seniors; 2010 was 14 and 11. This year there are only 11 sophomores (since few redshirted in '10 and many did last season.

38! Thirty-eight players left from the '08-'10 classes, ah ah ah! This roster is already mostly Hoke's. Show? Show.

Class of: 2012 2011 2010 2009
2005       6
2006     8 16
2007   9 11 12
2008 8 17 17 18
2009 15 17 18 22
2010 15 18 22  
2011 15 19    
2012 25      
Total on Scholarship 78 80 76 74

7! Seven receivers on last year's August roster who are now gone. Odoms, Grady and Hemingway by graduation, Stonum by action, Stokes and Williamson by volition, Terrence Robinson by unrenewsion. AHHHH!

14! Fourteen scholarship players at defensive back, ah ah ah! As opposed to nine on the roster in 2009.

44! Forty-four of the guys pictured in the Media Guide with facial hair, ah ah ah! This has to be a new record since the '70s.

Team 133 Photo Day

THE THREE STAGES OF BEARDLINESS:

kennydemensnateallspachEliottMealer

They are Demens, Allspach, and Mealer.

TEAM DREAD-FLOW 133!:

JTFloydChrisEddinsbrendangibbonsDenardRobinsonCraigRohStephenHopkins

(EDIT: Almost forgot:

JakeRyanJoeBolden.)

They are Wolverines with lions' manes sticking out of their helmets, soaring through the air in much the same way Odre Pipkins doesn't. They are: J.T. Floyd, Chris Eddins, Gibbons U PUT IT THRU THE UPRITES, Denard with something on his upper lip that shouldn't be there, Roh's left eyebrow, Roh's right eyebrow, Hopkins, the Jake (love the Jake), and Bolden. Here's some dudes trying to get into the club:

ThomasGordonjeremygallonJarrodWilsonDennisNorfleetJusticeHayessethbroekhuizen

T-Gordon, Gallon, Jarrod Wilson, Dennis Norfleet, Justice Hayes, Seth Broekhuizen.

NO LONGER PART OF TEAM DREAD-FLOW:

JoshFurman

Josh Furman.

I KNEW THERE WAS A REASON I CHOSE HIM AS MY TOTALLY UNREASONABLE NAME ON NOBODY'S LIPS TO GET ALL EXCITED ABOUT

DelonteHollowell

Delonte Hollowell. Somebody get this man a bow-tie.

  • 85 comments

Dear Diary Runs on Denard Lumens

By Seth — July 27th, 2012 at 7:51 AM — 17 comments
Filed under:
  • 2011 nebraska
  • 2012 alabama
  • dear diary
  • photoshop
  • roster overanalysis
  • solar car
  • uniforms

Can somebody with a uniqname go to the Music Library and get them a better soundtrack?

From time to time people from the less-heralded sports/activities at Michigan provide detailed diaries of their teams and their exploits. Sometimes they actually succeed in making us turn our heads and get into something other than the big five of hoops, hockey, football, football (teams we play), and football (Penn State).

This week we witnessed the Other Sports Diary to End All Other Sports Diaries by Bronco648, a running, day-by-day recap of their week-long race with a national title on the line, kicked off with a entire media guide that includes photos/profiles of each team member. Example:

Jordan Feight

Feight was raised by a family of wild Spartans then imprisoned by a mad skiing coach before discovering his mutant meteorological powers could help him escape to Ann Arbor.

It's like NASCAR except with clean energy and electrical engineering and a team meteorologist, so of course Michigan is awesome at it. The car's name is Quantum (who voted against Dilithium?) and it built a strong lead in the early going before the team got caught using Denard Robinson's smile to boost the radiant flux, a 90-minute penalty. To discover the ending, read the thing, or else find a freshman WLB or CRex family member to translate this for you:

2012 전국 챔피언을만 세!!!

Family members of CRex? Like another recent epic tale about a ring, the latest installment of CRex's great adventure begins with a flashback, where we discover how two Chinese gangsters and a deity named Guan Yu (go blue?) brought about the fall of the Sweatervest Lord. The action then shifts stateside, where Little Sister has gone from heartbreaking debutante to Warcraft addict to Marmot Rambo to Ricky Bobby in the span of two weeks. Q: How is it that vampires and obnoxious people from New Jersey have so many TV shows but this guy doesn't? A: Because CRex Family Hour's target audience would skip it anytime they can instead watch…

Footbawwwwwwww. Thank hart20 for diving into reams of stats to come back with data on how much production is returning from each of our opponents. Part the First puts all that data into tables that say things like 15 percent of MSU's receiving yards are returning, and 100% of Justin Siller isn't(!). Then the rubber hits the chart in Part II which you must read because we are going to quote from it all year. Sample? Sample.

II. Rushing Offense

The formula that I used to calculate the total returning percent for each team’s rushing offense was to give a 33.3% weight to each of returning carries, returning rushing yards, and returning rushing TDs.

image

Hart20 is your Diarist of the Week, plus 200 "Hero" points (I just made those up).

Great Scott, our freshmen are heavy. Just in before press time, LSAClassof2000 has put the weights and heights of Big Ten players into a spreadsheet. Included is a comparison of our freshmen versus the conference's mean, where we find our WRs, TEs, DTs, DEs, and DBs are already larger than the average B1G (which averages presumably include walk-ons). MSU is the heaviest in our division by a large (ha!) margin; Nebraska is the shortest, though they rate highest in the conference in returning rushing punch, which was quite the punch.

fists1annie_thumb_0

Quite the punch? Then why do I remember it more like an 8-year-old girl? Well, sonny, you just sit down right there and let Uncle BlueSeoul tell you about the greatest all-around performance by Michigan since 1997 Penn State. It (the diary) got bumped, and not just because somebody whose name rhymes with "Eyeco" left a pic of Urban Meyer bicep flexing on top of the front page all weekend. Actually these always get bumped, but you may not remember that because BlueSeoul hadn't done a GW(WPs!) since the middle of last season. The most anticipated MGoArticle you'd completely given up on not named "Upon Further Review: Virginia Tech" is finally available. And yes, m'boy, a man DID once force a pitch from the back side.

6707663035_c3953086e2

Geography. After I had already put last week's DD to bed TSS posted his next Michigan-Alabama Roster analysis and this one is just so cool: a chart of distance from campus for players on M/Bama's rosters.

image_thumb_233

The difference really highlights the regional strength of the South. Whereas Michigan recruits a bunch of guys from really close by and then a bunch of guys from all over the Pisces-Cetus Supercluster Complex, Alabama's players are primarily regional. If the mass you see at about 230 miles from Tuscaloosa is Atlanta and Mobile, and the cluster 200 miles from Ann Arbor is W-Mich and the Ohioans, then the big difference between us and them is their Floridians (cluster around 600 mark) are closer to home than ours (1200 to 1300 cluster).

Football (Penn State). NCAA's nuclear bunker-buster fell upon Happy Beaver State College Valley Whatever this week. Fallout diaries include jmblue suggesting a realignment of Big~Ten divisions, a "don't you get it?" message to PSU fans that probably qualifies under the definition of rant, and oakapple describes the path that will lead the nittany lion-beavers back to five/six stars of program strength.

Travel guide for Dallas. Eat BBQ, skip everything else. Dallas sucks. And America hates all of your teams.

Etc. Michigan Stadium brought to you by McDonArby's Dunkin' Save Mart Lanes and Shredder. Brian is entranced by David Brandon playing golf. Blazefire puts the 2012 season and Jerry Sandusky to Hotel California, though not sure I liked the result. The Blockhams visit football's Valhalla. This is one of my favorites so far, though I waited in vain for Fielding Yost to tap Bo on the shoulder and (with Bob Ufer standing behind him), say "you still haven't thanked me for AC and Indiana!"

Best of the Board

A REENACTMENT OF THE BUMBLEBEE MURDERS OF 2011

This is a reenactment of WH responding to an Adidas promo video of (Devin Gardner?) jumping around in the latest Michigan uniform that isn't as good as the regular uniform:

Michigan was always up there with schools like USC and Penn State (though I hate mentioning anything PSU now) as being football uniforms you don't screw with.

whitesovertheyears

I know this is a fad in college football that I'm just going to have to get used to. But I always liked the whole, "If it's not broke, don't fix it," thing.

Fonts are Akka, Flynn, SuperMario256, and Shrek; if you don't get some of these references that's because a future created only lasts as long as the marketing campaign for it. If that is Gardner (can anyone tell?) in the video, it's at least no more ridiculous than the show he put on in the last ones.

SHANE MORRIS PHOTOSHOPPING

By the time he steps on campus he'll have more content on here than any 4-year player on the roster. Still, photoshop thread is insta-linked:

7626294124_e1d7c183ce33nagavzerodaymuppets

PAT'S GONNA PUT YOU IN THE MOVIES

Pre-Gaming With guy is shooting at 1p.m. on Sunday on the Diag if you want to be in the "I Love You Denard" music video. I do not believe he is accepting lyric suggestions.

Your moment of zen:

GoBlue

Yay ticket arrivals! If you're signed up to get the emails/texts/FB/twitter from MGoBlue, you can order individual tickets for AF/UMass/NW/Iowa ($75 each), plus the UMass family pack thing, starting about 8:30 this morning.

  • 17 comments

Fall Roster Overanalysis 2012

By Brian — July 26th, 2012 at 3:21 PM — 75 comments
Filed under:
  • amarah darboh
  • chris wormley
  • roster overanalysis
  • royce jenkins-stone
  • terry richardson
  • willie henry

An annual tradition. Remember: all weight changes are positive events.

This is slightly incomplete as the info sheet handed out at media day is either incomplete or the assembled numbers are—Heiko and Ace didn't get in on that sweet xerox action before they ran out. So a few players are stuck with question marks after their names for current weights. I've bolded changes or additions I find interesting.

QUARTERBACK
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12
Denard Robinson 185 193 195 196 8 2 1
Devin Gardner -- 210 205 206 -- -5 1
Russell Bellomy -- -- 189 201 -- -- 12
RUNNING BACK
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12
Fitzgerald Toussaint 185 200 195 203 15 -5 8
Vincent Smith 168 180 172 175 12 -8 3
Stephen Hopkins -- 230 228 235 -- -2 7
Thomas Rawls -- -- 219 217 -- -- -2
Justice Hayes -- -- 176 183 -- -- 7
Dennis Norfleet -- -- -- 170 -- -- --
Drake Johnson -- -- -- 203 -- -- --
Sione Houma -- -- -- 221 -- -- --
WIDE RECEIVER
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12
Ricardo Miller -- 217 234 ? -- 17 ?
Jeremy Gallon 165 180 185 186 15 5 1
Roy Roundtree 170 176 177 180 6 1 3
Jerald Robinson -- 199 206 ? -- 7 ?
Drew Dileo -- 172 172 180 -- 0 8
Amarah Darboh -- -- -- 218 -- -- --
Jehu Chesson -- -- -- 183 -- -- --
TIGHT END
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12
Brandon Moore 243 250 255 261 7 5 6
Jordan Paskortz -- -- 246 ? -- -- ?
AJ Williams -- -- -- 282 -- -- --
Devin Funchess -- -- -- 225 -- -- --
OFFENSIVE LINE
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12
Michael Schofield 268 293 299 302 25 6 3
Ricky Barnum 275 286 292 301 11 6 9
Taylor Lewan 268 294 302 308 26 8 6
Elliott Mealer 299 313 310 309 14 -3 -1
Patrick Omameh 276 299 299 306 23 0 7
Chris Bryant -- -- 341 320 -- -- -21
Jack Miller -- -- 263 287 -- -- 24
Blake Bars -- -- -- 282 -- -- --
Ben Braden -- -- -- 299 -- -- --
Kyle Kalis -- -- -- 292 -- -- --
Erik Magnuson -- -- -- 290 -- -- --
DEFENSIVE LINE
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12
Quinton Washington 325 315 302 299 -10 -13 -3
William Campbell 318 333 322 308 15 -11 -14
Kenny Wilkins -- 270 280 290 N/A 10 10
Craig Roh 238 251 269 278 13 18 9
Jibreel Black -- 265 260 276 N/A -5 16
Richard Ash -- 320 301 301 N/A -19 0
Frank Clark -- -- 228 260 -- -- 32
Keith Heitzman -- -- 251 ? -- -- ?
Brennen Beyer -- -- 225 252 -- -- 27
Nate Brink -- -- 263 272 -- -- 9
Matt Godin -- -- -- 270 -- -- --
Willie Henry -- -- -- 302 -- -- --
Ondre Pipkins -- -- -- 337 -- -- --
Tom Strobel -- -- -- 250 -- -- --
Chris Wormley -- -- -- 268 -- -- --
Mario Ojemudia -- -- -- 223 -- -- --
LINEBACKER
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12
Kenny Demens 236 250 248 242 14 -2 -6
Cameron Gordon 208 207 222 235 -1 15 13
Mike Jones 203 208 224 ? 5 16 ?
Jake Ryan -- 225 230 242 N/A 5 12
Brandin Hawthorne 198 203 214 220 5 11 6
Antonio Poole -- -- 212 ? -- -- ?
Desmond Morgan -- -- 220 230 -- -- 10
Royce Jenkins-Stone -- -- -- 206 -- -- --
James Ross -- -- -- 225 -- -- --
Kaleb Ringer -- -- -- 225 -- -- --
Joe Bolden -- -- -- 230 -- -- --
CORNERBACK
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12
J.T. Floyd 183 183 185 184 0 2 -1
Courtney Avery -- 174 173 173 -- -1 0
Raymon Taylor -- -- 169 183 -- -- 14
Delonte Hollowell -- -- 164 177 -- -- 13
Blake Countess -- -- 176 182 -- -- 6
Terry Richardson -- -- -- 154 -- -- --
SAFETY
Player 2009 2010 2011 2012 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12
Jordan Kovacs 194 195 197 202 1 2 5
Josh Furman -- 208 208 204 -- 0 -4
Marvin Robinson -- 203 200 201 -- -3 1
Thomas Gordon 205 205 208 209 0 3 1
Tamani Carter -- -- 175 185 -- -- 10
Jarrod Wilson -- -- -- 190 -- -- --
Jeremy Clark -- -- -- 191 -- -- --
Allen Gant -- -- -- 196 -- -- --

NOTES!

Amarah Darboh is large. Jerald Robinson probably put on a few pounds but Darboh comes in as Michigan's heaviest wide receiver not converted from tight end by a good ten pounds. Hopefully he can step right into the lineup. Also, Jehu Chesson's coming in at a potentially college-ready weight.

Terry Richardson is small. A redshirt or broken tackles beckon.

WDE BEEEEFCAKE. Not a huge surprise since both entered as linebacker-sized dudes and are now being asked to take on tight ends and whatnot, but Beyer and Clark have added 59 pounds between them.

INTERIOR DL VEGANCAKE. Michigan's starting five-tech and three-tech are 278 and 276 pounds, respectively. That seems like it bodes poorly. Mattison is going to have to get very aggressive slanting those guys, because there's no way either holds up to double teams. Nate Brink is also struggling to crack 280, though he's got his injury as an excuse.

In better vegancake news, Will Campbell's halfshirt humiliation diet has him down to an extremely reasonable 308. Please be good.

Wasn't RJS supposed to be big? You could have gotten big odds that RJS would not have been the lightest incoming linebacker by 20 pounds. He's still listed at 6'2" and therefore seems like the guy best suited to be a SAM linebacker long-term (other than Bolden, but Bolden seems busy)… but it'll take a while to get there. Either I'm overestimating how big these SAMs have to be or we should be worried about the depth post Cam Gordon. Since both SAMs put on around 12 pounds to near 240, I'm choosing the latter until the 2013 edition of this post shows RJS +32 pounds or whatever.

Bryant and Miller will meet in the middle. Both head towards 300 in 20-pound increments. When they meet next year they'll hopefully be field-ready.

Willie Henry is a… at 6'2", 302 he's probably a nose tackle. No one else in the class on the DL is under 6'4" or over 270 save Pipkins, who is obviously also a nose tackle.

Chris Wormley's height. Okay, so he's listed at 6'4". Strobel is listed at 6'6". That picture I've posted a couple times does make that seem accurate. With the Godin height/weight (basically identical to Wormley) and the above bullet on Henry, we can confirm the proposed incoming DL spectrum from the Wormley recruiting post. From most NT to least NT:

  • Pipkins (NT only)
  • Henry (NT/3tech)
  • Godin (3tech)
  • Wormley (SDE/3tech)
  • Strobel (SDE)
  • Ojemudia (WDE)

Second-year corners. Are a lot less tiny.

  • 75 comments

Michigan Muse(nes)day Plays Predicting the Freshman Numbers Game

By Seth — April 18th, 2012 at 9:24 AM — 26 comments
Filed under:
  • 100% hot nerd action
  • amara darboh
  • museday
  • ondre pipkins
  • roster overanalysis
  • rostering

fbl-guide-2011

All-Americans and presidents: the future of ALL our recruits.

Every year during Spring Practice, because I'm exactly that kind of geek, I start trying to predict what the jersey numbers will be of incoming freshmen. This probably started back when I was still buying annual versions of the EA Sports game that they're still labeling a year off, which meant my virtual freshmen needed to be in iconic jerseys while real freshmen were in prom suits/coed naked t-shirts/whatever they're wearing these days.

This is an exercise fraught with danger, and likely to be 80% to 90% incorrect given all of the variables like current players changing numbers, walk-ons getting shoved out of the way, numbers with special meaning, and the randomness of the universe, etc. What we have to go on are the traditions of the coaching staff (for example Rodriguez was much 01.anthony.carter higher on repeating digits between units; Hoke seems more like Carr in limiting these), high school numbers, birthdays, actuary tables, and the general availability of digits.

Let's start with what's not available. I'm guessing it's unlikely that a freshman is going to receive a "Michigan Football Legend" number (so far that is just 21). I'm also giving walk-ons the benefit of the doubt if someone from another unit is already wearing their number. (Right: from SI's best college player for each number)

Numbers they can't have: 1 (Edwards scholarship goes to current players), 4 (Steve Wilson and Cam Gordon), 5 (Justice Hayes and Courtney Avery), 7 (Gardner and Hawthorne), 8 (Bellomy and J.T. Floyd), 11 (retired for Wisterts), 14 (Jack Kennedy and Josh Furman), 27 (Jon Keizer and Mike Jones), 38 (Thomas Rawls and Al Backey), 40 (Nate Allspach and Antonio Poole), 47 (retired), 48 (retired), 57 (Elliott Mealer and Frank Clark), 87 (retired), 98 (retired).

Special Teamers' numbers: You can't have two players with the same number on the field at the same time, so very rarely will you see a special teams starter's number shared with another player, else that player might not be able to play on special teams if needed. The exception here is quarterbacks (e.g. former KOS Troy Nienberg shared 10 with Clayton Richard in 2003 and '04). Special teamers who don't start don't count (e.g. Nienberg shared 6 with Victor Hobson and Alijah Bradley in '01 and '02). This year those numbers are 34 (Gibbons), 43 (Hagerup), 45 (Wile), 46 (Broekhuizen), and 54 (Jareth Glanda, long snapper and sometime immaculate receiver).

How Do the Football Legends Work Now? 21 is open on both sides of the ball.

Available on Defense Only: These are the numbers already held by scholarship players woodleysackon offense. They are unlikely to be used because Hoke doesn't seem to like repeating numbers across units: 2, 10, 12, 16, 17, 26, 28, 33, 36, 52, 56, 58, 60, 65, 75, 77, 80, 83, 89, 94.

Available on Offense Only: 3, 6, 18, 20, 22, 24, 25, 30, 32, 35, 37, 41, 44, 49, 55, 67, 73, 76, 88, 90, 92, 95, 97

Just a Walk-On in the way: Walk-ons who make the two deep often change their numbers; those who don't often have a scholarship player take their numbers. There are exceptions; for example Mike Kwiatkowski is working his way into the tight end rotation and it's not like anyone desires 81 that much. I left out Burzynski who's on the projected two-deep already. The rest: 13 (Alex Swieca), 19 (Charlie Zeller) 23 (Floyd Simmons), 42 (Dylan Esterline), 61 (Graham Glasgow), 69 (Erik Gunderson), 70 (Kristian Mateus), 81 (Mike Kwiatkowski), 85 (Joe Reynolds), 93 (Chris Eddins), 96 (Baquer Sayed), 99 (Paul Gyarmati).

Currently Unused (Most Likely to be taken): 9, 15, 29, 31, 39, 50, 51, 53, 59, 62, 63, 64, 66, 68, 71, 72, 74, 78, 79, 82, 84, 86, 91

So here's the dudes who need numbers:

Name Pos. # in HS Tea Leaves Best Guess
A.J. Williams TE 88 n/a 88 – Open on offense; Roh will be gone next year.
Allen Gant S 7 and 14 Father Tony wore 14 14 – Not filled with confidence re: Furman (I don't know any more than you do)
Amara Darboh WR 15 Wore 415 at Nike Camp, favorite athlete is Carmelo Anthony who wore 15 in Denver 15 - book it.
Ben Braden OL 51 Wants to play right away 51 - it's open now so why not
Blake Bars OL 67 Wore 542 at Army game 72 - Honestly I'm just assigning OT numbers.
Chris Wormley DE 47 Wore 842 at Nike camp, 44 in hoops 84 or 68 – This one has me stumped.
Dennis Norfleet RB/KR 21 Wears 2 for hoops team, wore 80 at BoMW camp. Received his Michigan offer on 2/1. Born on 2/8 21 if available, or 31 - I don't know how they'll use Legends numbers now. If freshmen can have them it's an easy pick.
Devin Funchess TE 5 and 15 No. 5 TE according to ESPN 85 - Move over Joe Reynolds.
Drake Johnson RB 2 and 18 Was a QB at first and chose 18 for Peyton Manning, then 2 for Woodson. His college # will be someone good 32 or 6 or 23 - Drake is well versed in M RB lore
Erik Magnuson OL 77 77 in US Army game, 714 at NFTC, 74 at Nike camp, 31 in hoops 78 - See Bars
James Ross LB 6 Born 6/26. Wore 34 at Intl Bowl 36 – Going out on a limb with this one.
Jehu Chesson WR 5 Wants the 1. Wore 357 at Army Bowl, 164 at NFTC 82 - with an eye on changing one day?
Jeremy Clark S 2 Born 6/29 29 - Woolfolk-ish player, birthday, open, fits.
Kyle Kalis OL 67 67 here, 67 there, 67 everywhre. 67 - Brink has it on D so no problem
Mario Ojemudia DE 53 Twitter (when he had it) was @akaRio53 53 - Another easy fit.
Matthew Godin DT 62 Was 774 at Nike, 408 at Army Combine 62 - it's available
Ondre Pipkins NT 71 Publicly says he will wear 56 for Woodley 56 - book it
Royce Jenkins-Stone LB 10 Wore 10 at Army Game. Twitter handle has 10 in it. Wore 54 at Intl Bowl 10 - seems special to him for some reason.
Sione Houma FB 35 Is a fullback. 41 or 32 or some fullbackian number
Terry Richardson CB 3 and 6 and 9 Wore 28 in Intl Bowl., #1 at UA Bowl. One of 9 kids. 9 – pretty good guess.
Tom Strobel DE 36 40 and 52 in Basektball. 63 or 93 or 86.
Willie Henry DT 74 Not much out there on him. 74 or 68 - (YMRMFSPA Mike Martin) so why not.

Guess away. If we can be 50% correct when these things are announced in late July/early August, well, we'll be really special nerds.

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