After talking with Brian and Seth I have decided to employ a bit of a rating scale when it comes to offered prospects and prospects I outline in the "Names To Watch" series.
I noticed that I almost always end my mini-interviews and introductions with a sentence that looks something like, "I think Michigan's chances with him.....", but with no actual level of measurement. From now on, offered prospects will be rated on the following scale:
0 - Not interested
1 - If he visits, let's talk
2 - Probably Top 15
3 - Probably Top 5
4 - Probably Top 2/3
5 - True Blue Lock
This gives a bit of a measurable value to where a recruits interest level is, but isn't concrete and is also easy to adjust as visits happen, other offers roll in, and relationships are built.
The "Names To Watch" scale could be a little tougher to nail down, but I'll still attempt to put some value on how serious the interest is from both parties. A lot of kids love Michigan but don't really have much of a chance to earn an offer. On the flip side, sometimes the coaches would love to have a kid, but the chances just aren't very realistic so an offer may not materialize.
Names To Watch
0 - Not going to happen
1 - Doesn't look good right now, but we'll see
2 - 50/50, yes or no, wouldn't be surprised
3 - It looks like an offer could come in the future
4 - I fully expect an offer to come
5 - Guarantee this kid is offered
As I said above, this could be a little harder to gauge because I'm not in the war room with the coaches. I have some contact with the staff, but it's limited and it's against the rules to really talk about the kids before they sign anyway.
I hope these numerical values give some insight as to what I have been able to learn first hand from the recruits, their coaches, or their parents. I am open for suggestions involving the scale but plan to start using this, or some version of it, moving forward.
Of course I recognize this has little to do with Michigan Football, per se. But am I the only one doing the math on the two years remaining on his $5M/Year contract. Adam Schefter reports he's looking for $8-$9M moving forward, so if a certain thing with a certain hot-seat coach were to not work out so well in 2014, would this be a viable (real) option?
This assumes he would even consider coming back to college football.
Per Brian on the Twitterz:
Report from reader at Hoke speech at DAC: Heitzman to TE, Butt projected back by game three.
Hooray third hand info!
Ht/Wt/40: 6'2" / 225 lbs. / 4.59
Location: Archbishop Wood Catholic High School – Warminster, PA
Offers: Boston College, Duke, Georgia Tech, Illinois, Northwestern, Penn State, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Syracuse, Temple, Virginia
Rating: ★★★ .8513 (247 Composite)
Ranking: #711 NAT/ #26 ILB (247 Composite)
Coach Ferrigno stopped by Archbiship Wood Catholic during the first week of February to check in on Ryan Bates, who eventually earned an offer and recently committed to Penn State, and linebacker prospect Jake Cooper. Cooper has a decent offer list at this point and has continued to garner interest from the Wolverines. Ferrigno actually told Cooper that if it was his decision alone, he'd have already offered him.
Jake was very excited to see Coach Ferrigno in his school even if there main focus was Bates.
I'm very interested in Michigan! Coach Ferrigno was cool and spent a little time with me and Ryan. I know Ryan was offered, he's a beast. Hopefully I'm next. Getting an offer from Michigan would be awesome.
The day I spoke with Jake he was actually offered by James Franklin and the in-state Nittany Lions. With Cooper being a Pennsylvania native and a linebacker I assumed he was a lifelong Penn State fan, but it turns out that wasn't actually the case.
My pops is a Notre Dame fan so I grew up liking the Irish. I have to admit I've always had a little something in me for Linebacker U.
Michigan's contact with Cooper could drop off since Ryan Bates is off the table now that he's committed to Penn State, but it was very evident that he has a lot of interest in the Wolverines. At this point he's simply a name to keep an eye on and I will continue to check with him periodically to see if the coaches are maintaining a relationship with him.
This unit will no doubt be the linchpin to our 10 plus win season in 2014. Watching Taylor Lewan on NFL Network inspired me to gander at our O Line situation for next season.
Here is what I project. What do you guys think?
LT. Erik Magnuson
Logan Tulley-Tillman/ Blake Bars
RT. Ben Braden
Chris Fox/ Blake Bars
LG. Kyle Kalis
RG. David Dawson
C. Graham Glasgow
Most of these fellas will have 2 years in the program and should be physically ready to compete at a Big Ten level. The issue should NOT be run blocking. I forsee issues in Pass Pro particularly with two new tackles. This is not good for Gardner who doesn't show the most patience in the pocket. This could potentially lead to so ill advised scrambles or just plain leave us susceptible to stout D lines....unfortunately along the lines of what MSU and Ohio will be rolling out. Given the loss of Butt, it appears MAJOR work needs to be put in by this group come August to regain our BiG title form. It can be done...but it will be an uphill battle. This is a very green bunch....albeit it a very talented one. Go BLue!!!