chance of bowl: 13.6%
*edit* updated 8:30am ET
What was the best Big Ten game of 2012?
23%Michigan 38, Northwestern 31 (OT)
11%Nebraska 29, Northwestern 28
18%Ohio State 29, Purdue 22 (OT)
19%Nebraska 28, Michigan State 24
29%Penn State 24, Wisconsin 21 (OT)
Nice to see the winning QB of the 2008 Minnesota game progressing in his coaching career. He'll be coaching tonight for the WKU Hilltoppers before doing the George Jefferson thing to South Florida next year.
“SEEKING RELATIONSHIPS IN THE RUSHING GAME”
In a similar fashion to a diary about correlations in the passing game that I presented a little over a week ago, I decided to do a quick analysis of all 144 regular season Big Ten games and their rushing statistics. Once again, this is to see if the relationships that we believe we see do in fact present themselves mathematically in some fashion.
One of the driving forces behind this particular analysis, as with the passing correlations, is to probe certain (perhaps insignificant admittedly) aspects of the so-called “eye test”, which to me has always been a somewhat nebulous term that people used to encompass broad perceptions of games, regardless of the actual relationships which may exist within the game.
I managed to collect the total carries, total yards and yards per carry for each of the 144 regular season games for the 2012 season, so this should be a sufficient sample size to find some evidence of the three tested relationships that I chose to look at. These are “Carries / Yards”, “Carries / YPC” and “Yards / YPC”.
Carries / Yards
Carries / YPC
Yards / YPC
On two of the above relationships, there is a rather strong correlation. In the case of carries being positively correlated to total rushing yards, we know that this is generally true unless your team either has a substandard rushing attack which they wield anyway, or alternatively when a team runs often against a superior rushing defense. Both scenarios are evident in the individual game statistics of the Big Ten this season. Yards and Yards Per Carry have the strongest relationship, and in my own opinion, one of the major contributors to that are games where good rushing teams have gone against substandard rushing defenses, accumulation prolific yardage and, by extension, longer runs.
So, as was true with the passing diary a week or so ago, you aren’t necessarily being told something you didn’t already know implicitly. The idea here was to explore the possibility that the relationship you believe you see does in fact exist in the numbers, and in the case of the rushing game, at least for this season, it would seem to be the case.
ONE OF MY FAVORITE MOMENTS FROM "THE CRITIC", JUST BECAUSE:
Hope everyone had a good Christmas and survives being back to work after a 4 day weekend. I was taking a look at ESPNs BIG power rankings and Tremendous and was wondering what everyone else's looks like.
5. Michigan State
This is where the teams are just plain awful:
12. Penn State
Like one of the comments said at the bottom, if they bench him for fumbling, what does he think they will do for this?