somehow we're only 124th
I just realized that if Jim Harbaugh becomes Michigan's coach, I won't actually find out about it on MGoBlog.
The server will be in full meltdown mode as soon as the news hits. It could be the last we see of each other for months.
So if it happens, farewell in advance. Lives will change by then. People will move on, new people will come in. Milestones will be reached in the cycle of life - births, graduations, marriages, divorces, retirements, deaths.
MGrowOld will become even older and move to Florida. MGoBrewMom and Carlos SpicyWeiner will finally hook up. WD will get married and have kids who will attend Michigan. Brain will shave. Things will be different. They say you can never go back. The MGoBlog you wake up to that morning will not be the same MGoBlog that one day returns to you.
I did not want to live with the regret of not saying a proper goodbye. As each day passes, we get closer to that fateful day where we are all separated from each other, with no reunion date certain. It will be a bittersweet moment, but there can be no joy without some sadness as well. Such is life.
Au revoir, MGoBlog.
OT CC: SI - Hiring Coordinators without HC Experience Becoming More Rare, Partly due to Financial Gulf btw Big 5 and Rest
A good story via SI that might catch the interest of those who watch college football in general; it doesn't apply to UM obviously as we're getting Harbaugh (or Miles). In essence there has been massive wage inflation for highly coveted Big 5 coordinators - pushing their salaries well in advance of HC jobs in non power 5 conferences. Hence, a motivated coordinator often needs to take a step down (and a steep one) in salary in his first HC job at a non Big (i.e. Herman to Houston), to get to his eventual goal of being a Big 5 HC. Mentions the big drop in salary Malzahn took (for one year) and what Chad Morris and Herman (who at the time of the story was still employed at OSU) will take.
Also interesting, only 8 of the last 34 Big 5 jobs (23%) have been filled by non experienced coordinators. 3 of those 8 were internal promotions meaning only 5 of those 34 hires were coordinators from outside the program (<15%). So what was once very common is becoming increasingly rare - partially due to the changing economics (haves and have nots) of college football.
In December 2011, Gus Malzahn resigned from his position as Auburn’s offensive coordinator to take the head job at Arkansas State. The move made sense, as Malzahn hails from Arkansas and desired to start his career as a head coach.
But the decision also came with a decisive risk, one that more and more high-profile assistant coaches are facing as the financial gap widens between the Power 5 conferences and the rest of the college football. Malzahn took a $450,000 pay cut from his coordinator position at an SEC power to become a Sun Belt head coach. Malzahn bet big on himself and won, as he returned to Auburn a year later as head coach and now makes $3.85 million per year.
But his salary decrease in order to eventually further his career has become a common risk-reward proposition in an era where million-dollar coordinators are becoming common and the highest-paid MAC coach made slightly more than $500,000 last year.
The trend of coordinators facing the prospect of taking a pay cut for head jobs coincides with a dueling trend of Power 5 schools hiring fewer coaches that lack head coaching experience. In the past three hiring cycles, 26 of 34 coaches hired in the Power 5 had FBS or NFL head coaching experience. Of the eight coordinators that got a Power 5 job, three were promoted from within (Oregon’s Mark Helfrich, Syracuse’s Scott Shafer and Rutgers’ Kyle Flood). That means just five coordinators have been hired for the top jobs without college head coaching experience -- Vanderbilt’s Derek Mason, Kentucky’s Mark Stoops, Texas Tech’s Kliff Kingsbury, Pittsburgh’s Paul Chryst and Penn State’s Bill O’Brien.
I now return you to your normally scheduled Jim Harbaugh 24/7 programming.
We've been so fixated on Harbaugh exiting SF, which appears to be a foregone conclusion, but something just struck me the past couple days:
Once the 49ers part ways with JH, who the heck do they have in mind who would be an upgrade?? I've been on the board, um ... a lot ... and I have never seen mention of who the 49ers might target to replace him. I don't even have a clue, but surely York and Baalke have someone in mind?
I realize they wouldn't make that conversation public or anything, so any guess would be just that — pure speculation. I'm just wondering if there's been any buzz or any favorites among 49er nation. I suspect more than a few of them would rather Jim stay.
Greg Roman? David Shaw? Brian Billick? Jon Gruden?
Recruiting and player development go hand in hand – a lesson we have learned the hard way over the past few seasons. While it is important to recruit highly rated players, it is equally important to be able to discern which ones are more likely to pan out. At the same time, no matter how much potential a recruit has it is crucial to be able to maximize that potential on the field. Obviously the ideal coach has the ability to both evaluate talent, and to create a staff that will get everything out of them.
Jim Harbaugh had four recruiting classes at Stanford (though the first and the last may not have been solely his due to the coaching changes). To keep this simple I have just used the Rivals ratings. The first two classes had a lot of two stars as reflected in the average stars below:
2007: 2.63 (one 4*)
2008: 2.70 (two 4* including Luck)
2009: 3.27 (eight 4*)
2010: 3.13 (five 4*)
As you can see the quality improved each year, and I would guess that 2010 would have been even better had he not jumped to the Niners. On a personal note, when I look at recruits I am much more interested in offer lists than star ratings. Beginning in 2008 I began to see Stanford offers popping up all over the country – both for big name players and diamonds in the rough. Stanford offers were practically non-existent in my Michigan-centric searches before that. Clearly JH was even then capable of spreading a very wide and selective net throughout the country.
In 2009 Stanford had risen from terrible to 8-5, yet Harbaugh’s first (mixed) class were only juniors, and his next two classes were sophomores and freshmen.
By 2010 when they went 12-1 the only upperclassmen were 3rd and 4th year guys from his weaker first two classes (average stars well less than three). Of course there must have been help from the stronger ’09 and ’10 classes, but they were only 2nd and 1st year recruits.
JH was able to create a solid BCS bowl winning team with talent that – on its face – looks a lot lower than what we get at Michigan. This indicates not only his ability to develop talent, but also the recruiting acumen to find players with more potential than their star ratings would indicate. In sum, it appears (not surprisingly) that JH brings the same intensity and ability to recruiting and talent development that he does to all phases of the game.
Good Mlive Piece: Regardless of the head coach, Michigan's quarterback issues will be biggest area of concern in 2015
Mlive has a good read about several areas of concern for the 2015 football team, including QB, WR's, OL, DE's and culture.
If we're being honest, the quarterback position was the ultimate undoing of Brady Hoke's tenure at Michigan. This is still a quarterback's game, and Michigan suffered from the inability to develop anything at the position, and also the head-scratching confusion over the failure to really make the most of Denard Robinson's talents.
And now the biggie, something some might not want to hear, but also a pretty big reality.
This program needs a culture change. If it didn't, Hoke probably still would be the head coach and we wouldn't be talking about this.
Michigan hasn't been a "tough" football team since a scrappy group of fifth-year seniors demanded as such in 2011. The team looked entitled through portions of 2012 and 2013, and just confused in 2014. But never along the way was anything confused with "toughness."