"Jim's a tough guy and you can see his personality is all over this football team," Fitzgerald said.
I have no doubt that Coleman will have a good day against us - he may be the first RB taken in the NFL draft.
But I think the key to UofM winning the game is limiting Diamont's damage.
He threw for 11 yards against MSU and ran for 13 (lost 25 for a net of -12)
I am thinking Diamont will throw for something like 100yrds against us and run for 25 yards on the read option keepers
Coleman will rush for nearly 200
So UofM gives up ~325 yards to IU in total
anyone think differnetly?
I think this is a winnable game, if the offense shows up and we have no turnovers
OUR (ESTIMATED) PROSPECTS IN A HANDY GRAPHIC FORMAT
Just a brief diary this week about what the statistical crystal ball might hold for the remainder of the season.
For those of you who regularly check Massey and Sagarin and other sites which calculate ratings and/or projected win probabilities, you may have already figured this out, but for those of you that aren’t in the habit or have not yet dared to dream (a terrible dream, of course) at looking through these stats, here’s the current estimate.
In all seriousness, of course, we’re not quite doomed yet, although it would be fair to say that our chances at redemption grow fainter by the game, and by redemption, I mean at least gaining a berth in a certain bowl which, if you live in Metro Detroit, is within rather convenient driving distance. Actually, that’s probably not a conventional definition of the term “redemption”, so we’ll just keep it at “bowl eligible” and leave it for now.
Here’s the matrix – blue indicates a hypothetical win, with each number being the Massey estimate of this occurring (numbers current as of yesterday mid-morning). The estimated probability of each of the remaining possible combinations of wins and losses is in the final column:
So, yeah, the most likely single combinations of events is beating Indiana and then cruising to a cool 4-8 mark on the year, followed by losing out and going 3-9. After that, the next most likely combination would put us at 5-7 with wins against Indiana and Maryland. You can see where this is going, of course. Our collective chances of winning X number of games are below:
Bowl eligibility – 3 or 4 wins – currently sits at 12.18%. Hypothetically, if we beat Indiana, the chances at becoming bowl eligible rise to 20.06% if no other numbers change. If we lose on Saturday, the estimate on bowl eligibility would fall to a very manageable (if you want to call it that) 1.73% - if we don’t change any of the other probabilities in the matrix.
Angelique Chengelis has an ARTICLE in today's Detroit News. Whoever wrote the headline summed it up nicely: "Scrutiny Relentless on Embattled UM AD Dave Brandon". It's great to see this issue continue to get front page treatment (although Schlissel's measured approach won't satisfy all who frequent this board).
The alumni survey gets a lot of attention, and MGoBlog gets a shoutout, in typically accurate Chengelis fashion:
Also on Tuesday, MGoBlog, a Michigan fan blog, published email exchanges allegedly made between Brandon and several fans. The blog could not verify Brandon wrote them, but the responses credited to him were dismissive and smug.
WIth the current instability with both our Coach & AD it is inevitable that our recruits will at least maintain contacts with other schools. Out of the current 9 recruits which players can we afford to lose the least ?
I actually think 3 are critical:
1) Alex Malzone - we really need a QB especially one who seems to have a genuine love for Michigan and has done nothing but win championships at Brother Rice.
2) Grant Newsome - OL depth is critical. We all have learned what can happen when we whiff even a single year at this position.
3) Brian Cole - We need dynamic playmakers and we need to keep him away from Sparty.