The nutty Michigan coverage isn't so much about Harbaugh as it is a signal to the Big Ten that Fox wants to party.
Fear. Fear intimidates. Fear paralyzes. Fear leads to loathing. If a poll was taken at this current moment, the results would show that the largest per capita loathing resides in Ann Arbor, Michigan. Since the departure of Lloyd Carr (not when we left in utter disgust last Saturday) fear has reverberated throughout the marrow of every maize and blue faithful. From the mind boggling ineptitude of Rich Rod's defense to the ineptitude of Hoke and Brandon's handling of just about everything post Sugar Bowl, Michigan fans and alum have feared for the future thinking the next year, week, or day would be the bottom of the abyss. The bottom of the abyss has yet to present itself and one thing reigns true that I've learned throughout life; it can always get worse. So far it has.
After the humiliation of the Utah game, many maize and blue faithful had underlying joy that the LOLophers were next on the schedule. Not since a decade ago could the Gophers sniff the scent of relevancy from the Brown Jug. I must admit I was one of the many that expected Shane Morris to ride in on a Stallion next to Vladimir Putin and begin the trek towards a B1G championship starting with the eradication of varmints from the land of funny accents.
Oh how blind we were. The glaring problem was hidden by my fandom, or maybe intoxicants. As the game began I noticed no change in tempo, Hoke still coaching Amish style, and a QB that thought he was playing for San Diego State against the hated Trojans of San Jose State. So did Hoke. By halftime the fear was creeping into our veins with no Thorazine to combat it. Fans were booing, announcers on ABC were condoning it, and sense of a rift within the team became apparent.
As much as we praise the players for the work and effort they put in sacrificing their bodies, the sight of Gardner refusing to collaborate with Nuss and young Morris made me angry enough to kill baby seals and feed them to Kim Jung Un with a jewel encrusted spoon haunted by the souls of unborn princes in 18th century France. Although angry at Gardner, leadership comes from the top and my anger again found its way to targeting Hoke and Brandon. As the game went on and all hope was lost, I was enraged with Hoke and Brandon for letting such an athletically talented group of young men fall into a gaggle of squawking pile of hog shit. Development of the line has not improved. Development of a 5th year grad student QB has not come to fruition. Development of clock management and special teams remained stagnant. Then came the incident personally known as Morrisgate.
Shane Morris received a punishing series of hits and twists which left him vividly hurt and concussed. Any sane man with at least an amedulla oblongata would have yanked Morris' ass in a flash. Not Hoke. Hoke believes that MANBAW requires pain and humiliation to build character. Hoke claims he did not see the hit nor the wobbly after effects even though Nuss, 90,000 fans, ABC announcer Ed Cunningham, and Morris' parents were there to all witness it. To be fair, perhaps Hoke did not see it. I did not see him pointing. Perhaps he was shot with shock as he has been lately when down to inferior opponents. To make matters worse, ABC gave a game update where an Arkansas punter outperformed the whole Michigan offense. It was clear that Morris should have been pulled at the half due to performance and inexperience. If one thing is clear, it is Hoke at least has no fucking clue what is going on inside the rectangle of stadiums and at most disregards the social norms of intelligent football play. By admitting he did not see the hit, hear the shouts of get Morris off the field, and see him cradled by offensive linemen, one wonders what the fuck he was watching. Was it Dave Brandon waving at him from his luxury box? Was it Mary Sue Coleman doing a keg stand in row 68? Or was he daydreaming about chugging gravy from the Brown Jug before handing it over to Jerry Kill?
At least the game ended and the suffering was over. The Brown Jug was gone, Morris was off the field, and the rest of us began testing the limits of our livers and consciousness. This is when the fear in Ann Arbor turned to loathing. I've received at least three concussions in my life playing football in high school and lacrosse in college. It took all of 10-15 minutes to diagnose it. At Michigan, it apparently takes more than 48 hours. As Michigan was dragged through squid shit on the national media and gaining attention in the halls of Congress, all was quiet on the western front. Brandon who is no stranger to a microphone and Hoke who is just a complete imbecile, said nothing of Morris' obvious concussion and the decision to leave him in and send him back in. It was as if Hoke began pointing to the nation of Wolverine fans with his middle finger instead of his index finger. Morris was locked in a dark room of silence and Hoke continued on with his arrogant but maybe ignorant ranting of execution, hard practices, and fucking fairy dust ideas of a B1G championship. Finally Dave Brandon broke the silence, albeit at the most offensive hour he could have possibly chosen. He admitted what we already knew, gave a blanket apology, and retired to his room of selfies and pizza box forts.
I awoke on the Sunday post Minnesota after testing my liver's limit on Sobieski. I thought once the fog was gone and my body was revived by herbal medicines that I'd feel better. Then I remembered I'm a Michigan fan. We lost the Jug. Brandon still reigns supreme, and Hoke has his index fingers intact. I fear the future and loathe the present.
I wanted to write earlier but I did not know how to handle such loathing without punching a one way ticket to Bolivia. I also wanted to add constructive ideas to what to do next in order to force the bottom of the abyss. My plebian ideas come down to two different ponderings.
1. I disagree with Brian and do not wish to boycott any games. We are there for the players. Not for the hack jobs in the AD office and Schembechler Hall. If the stadium is filled, this will also give ample opportunity to raise the volume of Fire Brandon chants. Hoke may not notice it because that asshole doesn't know anything going on inside a football game, but the message will be sent. The longer and louder the chant, the better.
2. Allow Hoke to stay head coach. Changing coaches this year will not change anything and will only hurt recruiting more. You cannot strengthen an offensive line nor teach the mechanics necessary within that short amount of time. If Hoke discovers how to be a head coach in 11 weeks, good, if not, he has no legs to stand on and we can send that swine fucker to the depths of ohio where he came from. I highly doubt another player would be put in danger with such an outcry and verbal beating he took on Morris.
Rage on. Loathing is always better than fearing.
As the boards have been going through a list of potential candidates, there is a lot of angst over who was missed in the past so I thought I'd do a review of the 2 big hires last year - Charlie Strong & James Franklin to see how they'd compare to current candidates. In that spirit I will review them as if we had an opening after the 2013 season and do a similar format as other coaching candidate reviews. The other big hire of 2013 was Steve Sarkisian but he was sort of a USC or bust candidate and his Pac 12 record is not much different than say what a Dan Mullen is performing.
We also took a look back to Sumlin (in relation to Todd Graham) in this piece if interested. Sumlin and Strong actually have some parallels in that both only had 4 years of HC experience before a big name came calling and before their HC experience they were at a major university for a good amount of time. Sumlin was at A&M in 01-02, and then Oklahoma from 03-07. Strong was at Florida from 02-09.
(again this is written as if he has just completed his last year at Louisville, and we have an opening)
"2014" candidate.... Charlie Strong, age: 53
Summary: Charlie Strong is a highly touted coach at Louisville and should be a candidate for a few of the top jobs opening up this year. Strong has been a long time coordinator at Florida, first with Zook and then with Urban Meyer. For 3 years he was co-coordinator with our very own (former) DC Greg Mattison. As always when you are with a highly successful HC such as Meyer, Saban, et al the question is do the coordinators get too much credit. Luckily we have some data points of his experience on his own once he moved to HC at Louisville, that seem to show he is not just a product of Urban Meyer.... at least on the defensive end. Strong struggled his first 2 years at Louisville on the offensive side but landed heralded 4 star QB recruit Teddy Bridgewater (who ironically had a Florida offer), and the rest is history. Combining a star QB with Strong's steady defenses - and Louisville surged in Strong's last 2 years.
Recent (10 years) coaching background
- 2003-2004: DC at Florida
- 2005-2007: Co-DC at Florida with Greg Mattison
- 2008-2009: DC at Florida
- 2010-2013: HC at Louisville
Analysis: Very stable; originally was a DC for the Ron Zook Gators. When Meyer showed up Charlie Strong was the only assistant Meyer retained (sort of the Fred Jackson of Florida football). Meyer did bring Mattison and he and Strong co-coordinated for 3 years. After Mattison's departure, Strong continued for 2 years until Louisville came calling.
Before arriving at Florida, Strong was a DC for 3 years at South Carolina, and a DL coach at Notre Dame in the late 90s.
In terms of Big 10 footprint, we can say Louisville is close enough as you have a nice radius of Ohio, Illinois, Indiana close by... he also has 4 years at Notre Dame. Combined with a long term history in the South - to me this is a perfect candidate for the Michigan job as the Midwest talent pool shrinks. You still have a guy who can legitimetely speak to experience recruiting OH/PA/IL kids but also have a guy who knows the Southeast very well.
Caveat for results ----> (a) nothing exists in a vacuum (b) as a coordinator you can benefit or be penalized if your HC is good or bad or average (c) injuries or graduation can change your results dramatically in any 1 year. This is the type of stuff you'd research as an AD staff on every potential candidate.
I will break down his results at 2 time frames - DC at Florida, HC at Louisville
(1) DC at Florida
Strong was at Florida for 7 years thru 2 head coaches. He also was a co-coordinator for 3 years which I have placed an asterisk next to. Let's see how the total defense rankings stood for the Charlie Strong era, along with the year prior to Strong's arrival (2002).
|W/L||Tot Off||Tot Def|
Before Strong arrived at Florida they had a quite solid 25th rank defense under John Thompson (NTJT). Truth be told, Strong struggled in Zook's fnal 2 years as you'd never think a Florida team with access to that level of talent post Spurrier era would be anywhere near 50. But it was. You could blame it all on Zook but his prior DC did pretty well. So up to that point some question on Strong.
(please note just as I penalize all Big 10 defensive rankings due to their lack of pro level QBs and quite bad offense in general up in the Midwest, you have to allow the SEC defenses some leeway as there are some high powered offenses down there)
In came Urban Meyer and gosh darnit, as usually happens when Urban shows up, total offense and total defense rankings magically improve. The Strong and Mattison combo had 2 great top 10 years. The 3rd year was back to average but without looking at that year closely (major graduations of key seniors, injuries, etc) we will consider that a blip when we see what happened in 2008-2009 which was a return to excellent defenses. The Meyer/Strong combination was excellent for 4/5 years - give kudos.
This was enough for Louisville to come calling with an offer.
(2) HC at Louisville
Louisville came calling at this time and 49 year old Strong got his first chance to be a head coach. While technically a "Big 6" conference the Big East was dying off in tis period with West Virgnia being the "power" team. Other members were the Rutgers, Syracuse, Cincy, Louisville cabal. By Strong's last year in the conference the Big East had died and had been replaced with the American Athletic Conference. West Virginia was long gone and had been replaced by teams like SMU and Temple. So SOS was not super high bu a lot of coaches get their first chance in conferences like this, the Mountain West, and Conference USA.
Let's look at Strong's data along with Steve Kragthorpe led 2009 squad:
|W/L||Tot Off||Tot Def|
Strong came to a pretty bad team - it was 4-8, and bad at offense and middle of the pack in America (there are ~120 teams in FBS) in defense. Forgetting the record what you can see is excellence in defense all 4 years of Strong's tenure. This would be the open question for a coordinator who is attached to a very strong HC such as Meyer .. is he a product of Meyer or was he indeed talented on his own? (This is the type of question Narduzzi will have to answer once he spins out to his first HC job). In this case Strong answered the call.
The offense? Not a good start. So bad in fact, in year 2 of his regime Strong replaced his OC. 2012 saw a large improvement - but it sure helps when a talent of Teddy Bridgewater arrives to the scene. 2012 was ok and 2013 was quite good, especially for a pro style set. Which of course would be an easy transition (in theory) for the type of players UM has recruited in the Hoke era.
The overall record obviously improved as well in the last 2 years so let's look at some key results:
Analysis of wins and losses
The 2010 Cardinal was 3-4 in conf, and 7-6 overall. Losses were to Kentucky, Oregon State, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, South Florida, and West Virgina. West Virginia was a 9-4 team (ok loss) and Cincinnati was a 4-8 team (not a good loss). The other 4 teams were basically at Louisville's level. Key point - other than a 20-3 loss to Pittsburgh all losses were by 7 pts or less. That's the benefit of having a good defense. On the flip side a few baby seals were beat but Louisville did beat co-conference champion 8-5 UConn and and ok 8-5 Southern Miss in a bowl.
2011 was the year of very bad offense. That said Louisville did finish 5-2 in the conference which was good enough for co-championship with #17 West VA and #25 Cincy. Both those teams had better overall records though and by a wide margin. Again just as in 2010 all losses except 1 (25-16) were by a touchdown or less. So even as the offense flailed away, the defense kept Louisville in every game - something you like to see, a coach with an expertise on 1 side of the ball. CIncy was a 9 pt loss and West VA was a 3 pt win. So in year 2 despite struggling, Louisville did beat the highest ranked team it played - you want to see that early in a tenure IMO. The overall record may not be great but you are beating some of the top teams you play.
2012 Louisville again was co-champion of the league with Cincy, Rutgers, and Syracuse - all at 5-2. The only losses were a beatdown by Syracuse (19 pts) and a strange 3 OT loss to mediocre UConn. Cincy (a good 10-3 Butch Jones team) was beaten 34-31 in OT and 9-4 Rutgers was like wise beaten by 3. Out of conference Louisville beat a very bad Kentucky and a solid North Carolina squad.... along with 2 baby seals. The big win of the year was versus (at the time) #4 Florida in the Sugar Bowl: 33-23. I think that was the game to announce the arrival of Charlie Strong nationally.
2013 was a great year with a revved up Teddy Bridgewater combined with a high quality defense. The only loss was to a very good 12-1 Bortles led UCF, 38-35. Baby seals + Kentucky provided 4 wins. In conference, Cincy and Houston were really the only 2 decent teams outside of UCF. So one can question strength of schedule but it was a good year. A 9-4 Miami FL team was decimated in the bowl to the tune of 36-9.
There are not too many "perfect" candidates that come around. For UM there was probably Brian Kelly who parlayed a long successful run at GVSU to decent success at CMU to great success at Cincinnati. And probably Urban Meyer pre Florida when he declared UM, OSU, and ND his 3 dream jobs after romping at Bowling Green and Utah. Strong is not quite that perfect but right behind those type of guys. Worst case scenario he looks like he will bring a bad a$$ defense up here - we have the players to help! and he seems to have groomed a nice defensive guru in Vance Bedford. Yes THAT Vance Bedford! With our very young offense it may be a case like early at Louisville where we struggle until he gets his players in, but at least we have a 5th year SR QB poised to make a big jump and super weapon Funchess.
I like Charlie's hard nosed approach as well - since we can't get Jim Harbaugh this is the next best thing. I don't want the players to have a friend as their HC when they are here, I want them to have a friend after they graduate when they can understand what their HC was doing to and for them - see Bo, see Lloyd, see Harbaugh, see Saban. His age is great, his footprint is perfect for the shifts in US population, and even early at Louisville he won versus some superior opponents ala Harbaugh.
In summary - I don't see a better candidate out there to help fix the situation after Hoke. That said, I assume USC and Texas and PSU will all have interest. And Florida might fire Will Muschamp after that 4-8 disaster to go get Strong. So after firing 2 coaches after 3 years each we are at risk of turning into Notre Dame for 15 years. This next hire has to be the one or Brandon goes bye bye and we're in a friggin 20 year abyss. Brandon better bring the big boy bucks - we're talking Urban Meyer money circa $5M. Go get it done Dave!
Dave will be out soon with this media frenzy that is surrounding this imploding football program and embarassing athletic department, there is simply no way he can stay - plain and simple. This guy has "created the future", just like the all-too-frequent mgoblog tags. What Dave Brandon is really all about is Dave Brandon, not the University of Michigan. That is what is bringing the football team to the depths it is at currently.
No athletic director sits in on film study, picks a coach after purposely avoiding to offer Jim Harbaugh - the biggest, most accomplished option at the time, and then 'pimping out' the school's tradition and brand while raising ticket prices. This guy stands on our sidelines during games and clearly has a presence in all of the critical events of each teams' seasons. This guy is Jerry Jones. Michigan football is now nothing like it was during the Carr years which, while not the most successful during his later years, were a period of stability and success for this team. Dave Brandon turned the football team into a product that he can supply, market, and create a profit. This has become Michigan football in name only. Things must change, from the top-down.
Dave Brandon if you read this, don't make this uglier for any of us and resign please. Michigan students, fans, alumni, whoever - they proved that we demand change. Brandon will be removed when we continue to make our voices heard. We can't let the program continue to fall apart.
Watching the rally and Brian speak today, and then later seeing the major news story that this is becoming is unreal. The fans are demanding Brandon fired, Hoke removed, and some are demanding an offer to Jim Harbaugh to be our next coach. Could Michigan become something that the University must share decision making processes with its alumni and students? A Green Bay Packers situation and maybe even the opposite of the players' union at Northwestern. This entire season has been crazy and almost surreal and I hope this is all resolved as soon as possible.
This is the worst week I can remember for Michigan football. My mom, a Michigan grad, sent me a text this morning saying she's ashamed of Michigan and sad about the program's state of affairs. The world does and should expect more of Michigan, she says. My mom follows the team perhaps more than the average mother, but I do not usually receive texts from her on Tuesday mornings about the program. That by itself means something's very wrong.
I share her sentiments, and I think Michigan should unquestionably do better than it did. But I also can't help but see a contradiction between being outraged by what Michigan did and also being a part of tackle football – even as a fan.
To explain my reasoning, I ask that you indulge me in a brief journey backward: I grew up playing pick-up football. I loved it. I was also either knocked unconscious or made woozy, stumbling around seeing stars, multiple times. The same happened when I played organized ball. Those few of you who usually read my posts may not be surprised.
I bring up my own unremarkable experience playing football because I believe my experience was entirely typical. And the important point here is that football and concussions go together like dating and awkward moments. Football is a concussion-producing machine.
Does everyone remember the 2012 OSU v. MSU game? William Golson was knocked out for a good minute, and he still finished the game. MSU later claimed he had the wind knocked out of him. You can see that he was unconscious here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3AZsok00Pio
If you don’t remember that 2012 contest, how about 2009 Iowa v. Michigan? Tate Forcier was slammed to the turf by Adrien Clayborne and kicked in the head by another Hawkeye (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_VrBNPEVFuM) He played another series before being pulled by Coach Rodriguez for performance-related reasons. Coach Rod wouldn’t learn he had a mild concussion until after the game. http://www.annarbor.com/sports/tate-forcier-suffered-a-concussion-vs-iowa-still-michigans-starting-quarterback/
And what about 2010 Notre Dame v. Michigan? Brian Kelly put Dayne Crist back into the game after Crist took a hit to the head that caused him to lose vision in his right eye. http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/news/story?id=5576505
A final clip: one of the many absolutely brutal hits 49ers great Steve Young took during his career, which was cut short by concussions. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hkm2TzGPX8Y
These are, needless to say, not isolated incidents. The Center for Disease Control estimates that teenagers suffer two million brain injuries per year while playing football. http://grantland.com/features/jonah-lehrer-concussions-adolescents-future-football/
Also needless to say, brain injuries are bad. Former NFL players age 30-49 are 19 times more likely to have dementia than men in that age group from the general population. http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/30/sports/football/30dementia.html?_r=3&hp&
Grantland, meanwhile, reported the following regarding research into concussions in youth players:
"In 2002, a team of neurologists surveying several hundred high school football players concluded that athletes who had suffered three or more concussions were nearly ten times more likely to exhibit multiple “abnormal” responses to head injury, including loss of consciousness and persistent amnesia. A 2004 study, meanwhile, revealed that football players with multiple concussions were 7.7 times more likely to experience a “major drop in memory performance” and that three months after a concussion they continued to experience “persistent deficits in processing complex visual stimuli.” What’s most disturbing, perhaps, is that these cognitive deficits have a real-world impact: When compared with similar students without a history of concussions, athletes with two or more brain injuries demonstrate statistically significant lower grade-point averages."
Additionally, teens with a history of concussions suffer from depression at three times the rate of teens who have not had a single concussion.
Jeffrey Max, M.D., studies the psychiatric outcomes of traumatic brain injury in young people at the University of California, San Diego. He stated the following this year:
"In the clinic, we've certainly seen cases where within hours [of sustaining a concussion], a kid who's never had depression before is suddenly depressed and suicidal. One of our studies found that the brain images in children with traumatic brain injury and depression were actually quite similar to those seen in adults who develop depression as a result of traumatic brain injury."
I don't post any of this to absolve anyone involved in the game this Saturday. But I do post it to put the game in context.
Given that context, I caution any football fan away from being too high-and-mighty with regard to the Morris incident. You're drawing some awfully convenient conclusions if you think you are clean with regard to the issues described above.
Remember when we all loved this picture?
You're fooling yourself if you think PSU's Anthony Morelli wasn't concussed on that play. Despite this, we - myself included - reveled in that moment. And that was only eight years ago, though we've admittedly learned a lot about football and concussions since then.
Standards change, and that's often good. A series of bad acts also don't justify another bad act. But with football, we are all contributing to possible bad acts against young people all the time. You can minimize risk, something Michigan failed at on Saturday, but you also cannot have football without this:
Michigan and all schools should be better about watching out for possible concussions. But everyone involved in football should take time to think about the nature of the game and its inevitable outcomes. We can lessen the game's risks, but all fans and participants of football live in a glass house when it comes to player safety. We should be mindful of that.
YouTube video of today's Brandon protest at president's house.
Sorry the video embed is not working.
More video's including, one with Brian, from the rag east of Ann Arbor.