Remember when Rich Rod jokingly said that his young son would one day be a Michigan QB? Well he's a 3 star dual threat and committed to Arizona. Pretty impressive hightlights - though not sure about the level of competition:
per scout, brandon sebastian will no longer be taking an OV to michigan this weekend. no reason given.
I know many of you don't follow Twitter and find it creepy (I find my own Twitter habits creepy too even if I don't tweet at recruits), but I wanted to let those of us who are interested know that Coach Hamilton is now on Twitter (@CoachPepHam).
It looks like a newly created account so it does give some insight as to which recruits UM is still in contact with (or at least trying to maintain) such as Oliver Martin, Trevor Lawrence, etc.
He'd been an offensive GA at Tennessee the last two years. Also, I didn't realize Bill was still coaching.
Congratulations to Nick. We'll always have that Minnesota game...
If you prefer to regard our beloved Meeechigan football teams through rose-colored glasses, then maybe you should stop reading here. Otherwise, if you have the intestinal fortitude to take a long, hard look in the cold light of day while the bombs fall around you, then by all means, keep calm and carry on.
Now that a couple of weeks have transpired since the Charlie Foxtrot that was the Orange Bowl, a consensus seems to have emerged that the root cause of many of Team 137's deficiencies is associated with the Offensive Line. Alas, this is not a new story, and the explanations as to how Michigan's OL has reached such a state are well documented. Nonetheless, some folks might still contend that the OL has improved under the tutelage of the new coaching staff, and any underperformance is simply a reflection of the available talent having maximized its potential. Maybe, but then again, maybe not.
Anyway, to get to the point of this post, Bill Connelly of S&P+ fancy stats fame now has available the 2016 season wrap-up metrics for OL performance. What's more, the same metrics are also available for the previous 2 seasons. So, after a bit of mousing around in the Excel, the following chart captures everything S&P you'd want to know about the OL's of Teams 135, 136 and 137:
To interpret the data, the pseudo-color scale is based on the ranking range of 1 to 128 (green = 1, yellow = 64, red = 128). Averages for the run-blocking and pass-blocking metrics are also calculated to give some sense of aggregate performance. The trend lines are keyed to the raw values, with green markers denoting the best performance values; red markers, the worst.
What these results show is a nearly wholesale regression in performance from 2015 to 2016, both in pass-blocking and run-blocking. All pass-blocking metrics have declined, with the PD Sack Rate being the worst over the past 3 seasons. As for run-blocking, SD Line Yards, Opportunity Rate and Power Success Rate are improved, but to start, SDLY and Opp. % couldn't have gotten much worse. On the other hand, Stuff Rate, PD Line Yards and Adjusted Line Yards all hit 3 year lows. In a nutshell, the OL shows qualified improvement in pass-blocking over Hoke's last season, but a general decline in the run-blocking metrics.
Just looking at the raw numbers is somewhat stunning in a few cases. A PD Sack Rate of 9.2% means that the QB is getting sacked about 1 in every 11 drop backs on passing downs. With that sort of sack incidence, it's no wonder the PD Line Yards are nearly the worst in the NCAA. Also, a Stuff Rate of 19.5% means that a TFL occurs on about 1 in every 5 rushing attempts. Poor damn Fitzgerald Toussaint has been replaced by poor damn Deveon Smith (and just nevermind poor damn Thomas Rawls).
To sum up, the bubble-gum-and-bailing-wire approach to installing an Offensive Line can only do so much and last so long. Talent, depth and experience make up the three-legged stool on which an Offensive Line Program is established. Alas, UM is still early in the process of building an OL Program. One or two five-star recruits do not an OL make, because like a chain, the OL is only as strong as its weakest link. A key injury can lead to disaster without depth to backfill and experience that can span the gaps.
Yours in football, and Go Blue!