As of yesterday, Peppers is listed at 12/1 odds. He has the fifth best odds right now, however, I personally don't think he will win for a few reasons.
I was surprised to see only one other Michigan player high enough to have his own odds listed for bettors:
Wilton Speight !!!
Of course, Wilton's odds are not good. They sit at 1000/1. But, the MERE FACT he is specifically listed on any Heisman odds list is just.... maybe the most surprising thing all year to me. Just a great job by the staff on a kid who had a much different future not too long ago....
It is likely that it is purely based on his position as QB for an unbeaten team, but I would have thought maybe Chris Evans, Khalid Hill (TD machine), Jourdan Lewis, etc. would be up their with Wilt the Stilt.
Nope - just the big man and Mr. Peppers.
I didn't see this posted yet, My mistake if i was and please delete if it was. I just found this quote to be so Harbaugh.
Jeter and a few other potential Michigan recruits were on campus Saturday night with current Michigan players. Harbaugh picked up the recruits at midnight.
“He picked us up in a van to take us back to the hotel,” Jeter said. “What other head coach would come and pick up recruits at midnight in a van?”
Here's the next installation of Bill Connelly's Five Factors metrics matchup between UM & MSU. It's a bit busy, but what you see are columns of raw metrics for both offenses and defenses. The Category of the given metric is given in the column at the left. To the right of the team offense and defense metrics are the National Averages for that category. The last two columns are where the rubber meets the road...
The "M Offense vs. MSU Defense" column either averages (if inversely proportional) or takes the ratio (if not inversely related) between those two metrics to gauge the performance of the UM offense against the MSU defense. Likewise, the "MSU Offense vs. M Defense" averages or differences the other two metrics to gauge the performance of the Michigan State Offense. From there, the column with the greater aggregate number has the competitive advantage...EXCEPT, in the three categories with asterisks: "Stuff Rate", "SD Sack Rate" and "PD Sack Rate", which are contra-metrics that gauge the offense's ability to avoid the given categorical description.
Anyway, the numbers showing the advantage are in bold, and as such it appears the matchups tilt in M's favor in four of the Five Factors, including Turnovers. Breaking it down further, UM has the advantage in all but three sub-categories, as follows:
- Rushing IsoPPP (rushing explosiveness, measured as pts. scored per successful rushing plays). Neither team has an advantage here, as the result is draw. Also, since this metric considers successful plays only, it can be a bit deceiving. The net Rushing Success Rate for the MSU offense is about 30% lower than UM (this is about the same as what LOLRutgerz was by comparison).
- Passing IsoPPP (passing down explosiveness, measured as pts. scored per successful passing play). Same idea here as with 1. and 2. Look at the Passing Success Rate: M is 50% better than MSU.
- SD IsoPPP (standard down explosiveness, measured as pts. per successful standard down). The same as against Colorado, PSU & Wisconsin, RU... Again, keep in mind that IsoPPP consider successful plays only, of which there are not a great number against the stout UM defense. Again, the success rate for UM is about 50% greater than MSU.
(less T/O Luck)
|M Off||M Def||MSU Off||MSU Def||
M Off v
v M Def
3) FIELD POSITION:
4) FINISHING DRIVES
Pts./Trip in 40
5) T/O MARGIN:
T/O Luck (PPG)
|Rushing Success Rate||46.7%||17.6%||40.4%||41.7%||42.4%||44.2%||29.0%|
|Adj. Line Yards||107.5||188.7||97.4||106.5||100.0||1.0||0.5|
|Power Success Rate||80.6%||60.0%||61.1%||70.4%||68.0%||75.5%||60.6%|
|Passing Success Rate||45.0%||19.3%||41.2%||44.7%||40.9%||44.9%||30.3%|
|Adj. Sack Rate||153.9||189.0||97.4||47.2||100.0||3.3||0.5|
|SD Success Rate||50.9%||22.9%||47.6%||46.8%||47.0%||48.9%||35.3%|
|SD Line Yds/Carry||3.37||1.48||2.97||2.62||2.98||3.00||2.23|
|SD Sack Rate*||3.4%||11.1%||1.2%||2.7%||5.1%||3.1%||6.2%|
|PD Success Rate||32.9%||13.2%||28.2%||35.3%||30.3%||34.1%||20.7%|
|PD Line Yds/Carry||2.79||1.62||2.5||2.67||3.40||2.73||2.06|
|PD Sack Rate*||7.8%||15.6%||10.1%||4.1%||8.0%||6.0%||12.9%|
The IsoPPP advantages of Sparty in standard downs and passing plays will mean UM must be on the lookout defensively in order to contain explosive plays, particularly on Standard Downs. This is not necessarily a weakness so much as a condition of the UM Defense under Don Brown's aggressive schemes. It doesn't happen often - it just seems that UM's secondary will need to continue to be on its toes in blitz situations. Judging from the PFF numbers I've seen regarding QB ratings vs. Stribling and Lewis, however, QB's would do better by just throwing the ball out of bounds than anywhere near the U-M CB's.
In general, however, I would say this matchup looks as one might expect rolling into
Piscataway East Lansing. Personally, I would love to see a complete annihilation of the Scarlet Knights Spartans, for reasons I will leave to you, dear reader, in the comments below...
Through 7 games so far this season Michigan as a team has passed for 1581 yds with 14 TDs and only 2 ints; while MSU as a team has passed for 1645 yds wiht 12 TDs and 8 ints. With a number of blowouts this season, Mich has taken its foot of the gas in the second half of games and is only 64 yds behind MSU with 2 more passing TDs and 6 less ints.
In terms of rushing, Michigan as rushed for 1800 yds and 28 TDS, while MSU has rushed for 1087 yds and 8 TDS.
Michigan is only 200 yds away from passing its rushing mark from last year with 5 games to go!