this may be of some local interest
After the Minnesota near debacle I appreciate the Scarlet Knights for playing almost exactly as the numbers would show them to. They were decent in the few places they were supposed to be, and "rutgery" in the places they were supposed to be. After playing 2 teams back to back with few strengths and many weaknesses we face Indiana who has quite a few more strengths....but still racks up a lot of weaknesses.
Things Indiana is Good At
|Passing yds per comp||23||13.76|
|Passes Had Intecepted||27||6|
|Red zone Offense||12||91.7%|
|Sacks allowed / game||20||1.2|
|TFL allowed / game||26||5.1|
|Misc / Special Teams|
|Turnover Margin / game||24||0.56|
As one would expect almost all of Indiana's strengths lay on offense. The only thing the D does well is recover fumbles but UM usually does a good job not giving those up. Indiana also doesn't turn the ball over much which is a credit to them considering how much yardage they generate. Creating fumbles has been a massive issue for UM D as it is now among the worst in the nation in that category.
Offensively I included "rushing offense" in Indiana's strengths even though they don't rank top 30ish because the excellent Jordan Howard missed quite a few games either completely or a shell of himself. He seems to be back to full form as of last week and is a guy I wish we had gotten in the transfer market - he is a beast.
Indiana has a quick strike deep ball offense - one thing Iowa did an excellent job last week was keeping everything in front of them; some games Sudfeld has a 10-11 yards per attempt; he was down near 5 last week which is Nick Sheridan range. Indiana is deadly in the red zone. Last - whether due to the quick strike nature of their offense, tired defenses, or just a QB with a quick release Indiana does not get sacked a lot. Nor do they give up a lot of TFL so expectations should be in check in term of getting to the QB or creating negative plays. It is not that easy against Indiana.
Things Indiana is Not so Good At
|3rd down conversion %||81||38.2%|
|3rd down conversion %||110||45.2%|
|Passing yds Allowed||126||330|
|Red zone defense||75||84.4%|
|Misc / Special Teams|
|Fewest Penalty Yds/Game||85||59.6|
|Kickoff return defense||75||21.7|
Indiana is not good at many things. Starting at the bottom one thing I have noticed doing this for various opponents the past 5-6 weeks is that Big 10 special teams is just bad. Not mediocre but bad.... almost all our opponents save NW really have sucked at special teams. This leads to a huge advantage to UM. The ave starting spot for UM's 6 TD drives last week was our own 49 yd line i.e. 51 yds to score. Indiana continues this trend with horrid kickoff returns, bad kickoff return defense (hello Lewis), and a bad net punting game. Expect more good field position for UM this week. They are also often penalized and no surprise lose the TOP game (by design).
Offensively, Indiana is surprisingly bad at 3rd down conversions. Sudfeld's completion % is 60% which is good considering how many deep balls he throws but the backups that played when he was out hurt Indiana's data point there so you can ignore it.
Defensively, Indiana is not good. Among the nation's worst in total defense (yds given up per game) and scoring defense. The rushing defense is not terrible but mediocre while the passing defense is putrid. Hopefully Jake can take his talents from last week on the road. They are also abysmal on getting teams off the field on 3rd down.
To this point, the eye test tells me that Michigan may just be one of the four best college football teams in the country this season. Unfortunately, a certain punt didn't go quite as planned and it may result in this team being on the outside looking in even if this season closes in spectacular fashion. We need some help, and alas, this weekend looks like one where some damage could be done at or near the top of the rankings. In case you have not mapped things out this Saturday, all games below could have a significant on our slim, but real, chances at the BIG championship and College Football Playoff this year:
Florida at South Carolina (ESPN-Noon) - After running it up on the Commodores last week to the tune of 9-6, the Gators take to the road for the Used to Involve Spurrier Bowl. The Cocks come home after narrow losses at Tennessee and A&M, and could give the Gators a game. I think there is some real potential here.
Maryland at Michigan State (Pam Ward-Noon) - There will literally be hundreds in attendance to watch this one go down. State should get back to things comfortably here, but Maryland has not been that bad the last couple of weeks and MSU has reason to look ahead.
OSU at Illinois (ABC - Noon) - lol
Wake Forest at Notre Dame (Fighting Irish Television Network - 3:30) - This could get ugly. ND looking to quiet the masses of non-believers, Wake being Wake. Look for Kelly to run this one up.
Michigan at Indiana (ABC-3:30) - Hope our secondary gets some rest tonight. I like Michigan here but Indiana is due to close one of these deals out. Lets see ALL the Peppers.
Oklahoma State at Iowa State (ESPN - 3:30) - Iowa State did beat Texas, sooooo, nevermind, nothing to see here.
Arkansas at LSU (ESPN - 7:00) - Arkansas has some talent and this, at least used to be, a "throw the records out" type of affair but LSU is solid. Not a lot of potential here but worth a watch.
Oregon at Stanford (Gus Johnson Network - 7:30) - I'm going to watching this game. Oregon has cleaned some things up and I think could put up a fight here. This one in particular could be big for Michigan as I see Stanford as a major potential roadblock to our slim playoff hopes.
Oklahoma at Baylor (ABC-8:00) - I think this may be "can't lose" for us. TCU dropped below us with one loss last week to a ranked team and I think we move ahead of the loser of this game regardless of who it is, assuming of course we take care of business.
Utah at Arizona (FS1 -After I pass out) - Yes, those pesky Utes are still in the picture. Arizona is still dangerous, and, at home, a loss for the Utes would be big for us as well.
Now that is some good watching. May want to push back the first beer until AT LEAST 7:30 AM to ensure you can see some of the late action. Could be a big weekend.
Virginia Tech Hokies (4-5)
Georgia Tech Yellowjackets (3-6)
7:30 pm Ann Arbor Time on ESPN
Bobby Dodd Stadium at Histori Grant Field, Atlanta, Georgia
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns (4-4)
South Alabama Jaguards (4-4)
7:30 pm Ann Arbor Time on ESPU
Ladd-Peebles Stadium, Mobile, Alabama
Buffalo Bills (4-4)
New York Jets (5-3)
8:25 pm Ann Arbor Time on NFLN
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
It's been about 2 years since the last one, so... Who ya got?
I'll start off with mine.
A few weeks ago I decided I wanted to play with some web scraping and RShiny and thought building a toy for the MGoCommunity to be able to look at old players would be a fun project.
I now have the points to actually post a new message and it's all up-to-date, so here it is:
I've put the project up on github:
for anyone to grab and improve. Until I move it to a different host, I'll need to keep the live version updated if anyone makes changes.
Things it can do:
- Make plots of individual players pluses, minuses, and total +/- from the charts of all the UFRs since the end of 2005.
- Look at position group totals as well in the same way as above
- Aggregate numbers to their mean by year for cleaner viewing
- Compare players +/- side-by-side on the same scale
- There is a sortable table for looking at best/worst career/season/game or for looking at the raw data for any players
- RPS/other team metrics can be viewed in the Single Player Tab, their position is "TM" in the Sortable Table if that matters
- Top 10/Bottom 10 lists - quick look at a wall of fame/shame to get context for particularly big or rough games.
- Automatically checks for new UFR data on viewing. Should keep it up to date as long as it's used (probably at least by me) every 4 games or so.
Things to fix:
- Pressure metric for D is missing since 2010 due to a typo in my scraping. I'll fix it at some point but this is a side project for me so timeframe is unknown
- iOS support bug - for some reason there is a resizing issue on iOS devices. No clue why; will try to fix it later
- Possibly change hosting do to some of the restrictions on that current host. I'll assess that based on traffic
Things to add:
Panel for Top 10/Bottom 10 lists - I already have the functions to do that and it's easy for anyone to check on their own with the table, but it would still be nice to have a dedicated panel to quickly look at a wall of fame/shame to get context for particularly big or rough games
- "Similar players" tool for trying to get an idea for who is grading out similar to players past - good and bad.
- Add ability to adjust for # of plays in a game. Would be even better to adjust for playing time per person, but that might be ambitious.
I've started sharing a few of the plots in UFR threads in order to finally get the mgopoints to be able to post (Been a lurker since forever...). Some examples are below. The x-axis labels should be more legible on the web app:
I hope the community likes it, please give feedback! Feel free to "Save Image As..." and share images at your leisure, though obviously I'd appreciate the source being mentioned.