LIST OF WWE PERSONNEL?!?
As we wind down this season, it is obvious that we are a fanbase divided. Some want to retain RR. Some want him thrown out of town effective yesterday. Some want GERG to stay and be given a chance to work with players who have entered puberty. Other want him gone.
We are not happy with the present state of our program. And who would be? We all remember competing for B10 Championships and Rose Bowl births, and we long for the days where "15 extra practices" didn't even factor in to our consciousness.
But, this is OSU week - to me, the greatest week of the year. We will be facing off against our arch-rival in what is still considered by many to be the greatest rivalry game in sports. This is a time to send nasty emails to your Buckeye friends, to entertain dreams of Denard streaking by helpless OSU defenders, to hope for what could be and to just enjoy being a college football fan.
Whever happens with RR and GERG will not be decided this week. And after this week, there will be plenty of time for discussion on what DB should do. Hell, if we can find a way to go out there and take down the Buckeyes, I would imagine that the discussion would become moot for all but a few fans (who would never be pleased with RR). Greater upsets have happened. Greater upsets have even happened in this very rivalry.
While most are expecting a loss, with our offense, anything is possible. Plus, when a team has nothing but pride on the line, strange things can happen. Plus, plus, RR and the players have said on more than one occasion that they practice something new for OSU every week. I for one can't wait to see what RR pulls out for this game. (I hear that Mike Martin will be playing QB for a play with Denard lining up atleft guard to exploit his speed - kidding, of course).
So let's table the whole coaching decision thing until next Monday. There is a definite time for that discussion, but that time is not this week. After this week, we will have plenty of time to analyze the situation.
Certainly not trying to tell anyone what to do. Just my $.02.
Zettel's comments post Iowa City visit:
"Michigan has been my leader through the whole [recruiting process]," Zettel said. "I still feel really comfortable there, but I wouldn't say I have a leader right now."
Not cool Zeus.
It looks like we get the last shot at him at The Big Chill, hopefully we can bring him home...
[please tell me if you think that these stats need to be manipulated better. I’m still working on the ideas behind these concepts, and any ideas are welcome. This is meant to be a look to his likely stats next year through stats and deduction. I will continue to try and do this with other players and units as the off-season starts. Any ideas for further analysis helps.]
He’s already set the record for most rushing yards in a season, on a 6.8 yards/attempt average. Let’s admit that he’s most likely not going to do that again, although I’d bet his average will stay around the same. Because he’s a more athletic version of Pat White, I’ll use those stats to try and show what I think Denard will do on the ground.
Pat White had 197 attempts for 1335 yards at 6.8 YPC his junior year. I would imagine that Denard would have about the same stats. So, we’ll get a drop in yardage by about 100 yards, but this will be made up by his throwing stats I’d assume.
Other things to note:
- Denard still does not scramble very often. Vince Young, Pat White, and others did this much more and were able to get a lot of yards of scrambles. As Denard gets another year under his belt, I’d expect much more scrambling and bigger gains. This will, of course, help open the passing lanes.
- Denard runs the iso and zone read a lot. I don’t know how many times White ran it, or V. Young, but I think Denard has many more designed runs than any other QB has had. This will most likely get cut down because of his injuries this year, Dee Hart coming in, and his passing game getting better. With that being said, on to the…
(I wanted to take passing stats from players who are like Denard. I believe these are the closest guys to him.)
THE LONG BALL:
As most of us know, Denard doesn't throw the long ball as well as we'd like him to. He does not use much touch yet, and this is something that we can expect growth on in the off-season. He throws the short passes decently, but without the deep ball threat he's still not 100% effective. There have been great throws, but they are too few. The long ball will be one development, but along with throwing the ball deep, we get a much higher chance of INTs. Based on this, I wanted to try and predict Denard's INT totals for next year from other prolific running QBs. Below are the stats and their significance.
Int thrown/100 passes by year in the league:
Denard is at 4.3 INT/100 attempts
If you look at the stats you’ll see that Denard’s average is about where V. Young was in his sophomore year. Young then made an impressive downswing of one less interception thrown every 100 passes. However, when you look at the total averages there isn’t much of a jump from sophomore to junior year.
Dixon’s stats are the ones which screw this up, so if you throw out that outlier you do get a decent jump in INT/100 passes.
WHAT THIS MEANS:
Assuming Dixon’s stats are a outlier, we can expect Denard to throw about 1 less interception per 100 attempts. He’s going to have about 250 attempts this season so that’s 2.5 less interceptions next year. Assuming he throws 300 passes, that’s 9 interceptions next year. (Vince Young had 10 the season he won his Heisman.)
Denard should have around 1400 rushing yards at about 7 YPC. I believe he will have less designed runs, but more sneaks. He will also throw about 9 INTs next year, when I believe he'll have just shy of 300 attempts.
This guy is an absolute clown. Did anyone listen to their show at all today? Not only would MSU "probably beat Ohio State in East Lansing," but "Craig Roh can't play," and "Rodriguez simply can't recruit." I can't handle Spartan Media.
Upon a debate I came across on whether our defensive players were much smaller than "before". I did a little research on one of the recruiting sites on what type of recruits we are getting now (under current coach) compared to 2002-2004 (under past coach). I was very encouraged with my results,
Remember these #'s reflect the defensive side of the ball (before transfers / position switches / etc.
Current Staff - AVG weight (defensive line) 264.20 (3.8 stars) / LB wt. 209 (3.67 stars) DB wt. 188.25 (3.38 stars)
Past staff - AVG weight (DL) 266.88 (3.75 stars) / LB wt. 230 (3.75 stars) DB wt 191.86(3.71 stars)
I guess in short, the reason for my optimism is, the past coach had these results in the middle of his "term" following years of Big 10 champs, a 3 year rcord of 28-10 and within 5 yrs following a National Championship. The other had to persuade these recruits after a coaching change in December, the biggest upset in college football history AND a combined record 16-20. I will say this, there seemed to be MORE defensive recruits under the past coach vs. the current-