LIST OF WWE PERSONNEL?!?
The season is starting to wind down, so rather than trying to pick some bad games out of the dwindling pool of options, I will instead take a look at the Big East playoff picture, which is Ugly unto itself. When there is a four-way possibility that the winner will have four losses, that deserves a look. But first:
Akron wins a game! Akron wins a game! Oh my God, Akron wins a game! The Zips beat Buffalo 22-17 to get their first win for the season. Akron's QB, P. Nicely, was 13/24 for 193 and 3 TDs. I really only mention it to say that his name is P. Nicely. Buffalo was making a game of it, until a late fumble gave the ball back to Akron to run out the clock.
North Carolina almost blew a 24-10 lead to Duke in the 4th quarter, but Duke ran out of time on their last drive. Not sure why Duke threw a 6 yard pass to the 41 as the last play, but they are Duke. Laettner must not have been open at the free-throw line. They did manage to score 19 points with 275 total yards and a 0.8 YPC rushing average. I'm sure they're happy it's basketball season.
Last, Vanderbilt dutifully lost to a 3-9 Wake Forest team 34-13. Vanderbilt's AD issued a statement saying he and Caldwell reached a "mutual agreement that the university and the football program needed to go in a new direction." Well, from where they are, there's only one way to go: up. Vandy actually had more offense than Wake, but missed two field goals (I know how that feels) and turned over on down five times to give Wake short fields.
We do have the Washington/Washington State mess, but nothing holds a candle to the impending Big East Trainwreck, so without further ado I present:
aka the "Big" East preview. There is no scenario in which the Big East winner will have fewer than three losses. First off, UConn controls their own destiny. Win and they are in the BCS. At 8-4. And probably unranked. They are 4-2 in conference, with key wins over the other contenders West Virginia, Syracuse and Pitt. They play one of the other possible title contenders, South Florida this weekend. I'm assuming here that the first tie-breaker is head-to-head, then overall record, which gets them in a head of 8-3 West Virginia, because West Virginia is also 4-2 in conference.
That's the easy part: if UConn wins, they get it. But if they lose, here come the scenarios. If UConn loses, they are 4-3 in conference. West Virginia is the next most likely winner, as they are also 4-2. They play Rutgers this weekend, who is 1-5. West Virginia has beaten USF and Pitt, so that gives them the edge in the head-to-head. So if West Virginia wins and UConn loses, they're in. Notice: after this point it starts to get meteor-hitting-a-lottery-winner level of likelihood, but I'm going to do it anyway.
If WVU loses, unlikely, though it may be, next in line is Pitt. Pitt plays on the road at Cincinnati, and is coming off a stretch versus UConn (loss), USF (win), and WVU (loss). A win would put Pitt at 7-5 overall and 5-2 in conference. And in a BCS bowl. A Pitt loss really throw a wrench in the works by making 5 teams 4-3 in conference: West Virginia, UConn, Pitt, Syracuse and USF.
I think maybe Syracuse gets the title since they beat USF, who will have beaten UConn, so by transitivity they win? Does UConn win by virtue of beating WVU, Pitt and Syracuse? I hope the Big East has enough tie-breakers to handle this, and I really hope one of them involves a 100 yard dash between the mascots to decide it. I don't know what else to do in this scenario, other than declare TCU the winner a year in advance.
I haven't seen these posted yet, but I have two awesome photos of Michigan Stadium at night under the recently installed lights. [EDIT: thanks for the sarcastic technical support]
Apparently the Big Ten coaches and media do not agree that Michigan's offensive weapons are significant - count of players on the media and/or coaches two-deep on offense per team:
10 - Ohio State
10 - Wisconsin
6 - Iowa
5 - Michigan State
4 - Illinois
4 - Michigan
3 - Penn State
3 - Northwestern
2 - Indiana
0 - Minnesota
0 - Purdue
Solidly in the middle, tied with Illinois. When you expand the count to defense and the honorable mentions, this gets much, much worse (obviously):
34 - Wisconsin
31 - Michigan State
30 - Iowa
28 - Ohio State
20 - Illinois
17 - Penn State
12 - Northwestern
12 - Purdue
11 - Michigan
10 - Indiana
4 - Minnesota
While many on this board may still have faith that we have the talent on this team to compete for a BIg Ten Title next year, the Big Ten coaches and media appear to strongly disagree.
I guy on rivals put this up yesterday and I assumed it could be correct. Borton has referenced it in one of his front page stories so maybe it is.
I am not making any point with this post besides the fact that I would have bet large sums of money that the hypothesis regarding scoring was false, as in no f*cking way this would be true. Maybe my memory is failing me. However, you can slice data any number of ways and I have to give the two guys credit for what they did with an offensive line held together with baling wire and band-aids. Tip of the hat guys.
The flip side of this is that this means the 2010 defense is for the loss by a huge margin, thanks for keeping it close. Anyhow, here is the fancy chart I created with data from "the ner"
Comparison of B10 First Half Game Statistics
Though we're not one of them, being one of the few teams that had to play all three Big Ten 2010 Champions, and since we generally hate all three, I figured Michigan bloggers might be in a good position to adjudicate the mess atop our conference this year.
Base comparisons are as follows. I would appreciate any comments, and would like to change it up based on your opinions.
|Loss||6-37 @ Iowa (-2)||18-31 @ Wis.||24-34 @ MSU|
|Ohio State's loss to Wisconsin was by more, but Wisconsin won the turnover battle by 3 and still lost to Michigan State by 10. They're pretty much even. Michigan State got beat much worse (-1) by a worse team (-1)|
|BCS OOC||34-31 ND||36-24 Miami (+1)||20-19 ASU (-1)|
|Notre Dame and Miami are both erratic, 7-5 teams against tough schedules but Ohio State didn't make it close, while MSU needed a fake punt conversion (that was covered!) to beat ND. I count both of those as better than ASU, who will finish 5-7 most likely a tough (-1) to Wisconsin, though they get the benefit of the doubt next close one.|
|Big Ten 1||34-24 Wis (+1)||20-17 @ Iowa (-1)||31-18 OSU (+1)|
|The Iowa game is Ohio State's biggest win, and it wasn't that great of a win -- as close as the 3-point spread looks (-1). MSU/Wis and OSU/Wis were dominating wins over Top 10 teams. (+1)|
|MICHIGAN||34-17 @ Mich||37-7 Mich||48-28 @ Mich (+1)|
|Easiest comparison to make. Ohio State and Michigan State both dominated thanks to Michigan mistakes, while Wisconsin made its trip to Ann Arbor a bloody affair (+1) from kickoff.|
|Purdue||35-31 Purdue (-1)||49-0 Purdue (+1)||34-13 @ Purdue|
|Ohio State murdered (+1), Wisconsin held serve, Michigan State (-1) needed a 4th quarter comeback to beat a worse Purdue team than either other one played|
|PSU/Iowa||28-22 @ Penn St||38-14 Penn St||31-30 @ Iowa|
|Iowa's a better 7-5 team than Penn State, but the close road win didn't tell us much. Ohio State got the Lions at home when they were worse, but they did better. 0s all around.|
|Minn||31-8 Minn||52-10 @ Minn (+1)||41-23 Minn|
|Pasting, bigger pasting on the road (+1), pasting.|
|Illini/NW||26-6 Illini||24-13 @ Illini||70-23 NW (+1)|
|Illinois is better than Northwestern. MSU came on late but came on. Ohio State made it a lot closer. But Wisconsin's 70-point finale against a worse Northwestern team (+1) is more impressive.|
|Ind/NW||35-27 @ NW (+1)||38-10 Ind.||83-20 Ind. (+1)|
|MSU looked to lose to Northwestern right up until the end, but they're a much better team than Indiana so (+1). Ohio State did what it was supposed to, but Wisconsin put up 83 (+1)|
|OOC||38-14 WMU||45-7 Marshall||41-21 @ UNLV|
|Pasting, pasting, slightly worse pasting but on the road.|
|OOC||30-17 Fl.Atl (-1)||43-7 Ohio||27-14 SJSt. (-1)|
|FL-Int. kind of made it close (-1) and so did SJ State (-1) while OSU rolled over Ohio|
|TomatoCan||45-7 N.Colo||73-20 EMU||70-3 Austin Peay|
|Doesn't count -- any FBS team but EMU might give Ohio State a|
It's not a perfect line-up, but it gets the job done, giving us some close and semi-close apples and oranges to compare. The +'s and -'s are simply numeric comparisons for how the teams did against each other on that line, i.e. they say how much each team disguished itself from its two conference competitors in that comparable.
You can argue a lot of my conclusions.
So Michigan State's resume, lined up as best as I can, is substantially behind that of Ohio State and Wisconsin. I wouldn't feel bad about ranking them several slots behind the other two if there are some other 1-loss teams. Remember above where I said Wisconsin gets the benefit of the doubt? There you are. I'd put them slightly over Ohio State, whom they defeated. The late-season murderous rampage worked.
Okay, bloggers. Fisk away.