somehow we're only 124th
Just gauging MGoBoard's feelings about the football program.
Picking up from last year, I'll be starting a weekly analysis on the BCS standings since we're getting close to the time it actually starts to matter and the variables get reduced. First, your updated BCS standings:
4) Boise St
So what this means is:
- Oregon and Auburn / Alabama likely control their destiny. Oregon more so, since they have no real roadblocks on the way to a #1 or #2 BCS ranking. Auburn may jump them at the end if they beat Bama and win the SEC, but the Ducks got a slot if they keep winning.
- I still think Alabama will jump all the non-AQ teams if they beat Auburn and win the SEC champ game. Voting pools still make a huge portion of the polls and I have a hard time thinking more "traditional" college football pollsters will not move Bama up considerably with those two wins, and the computers are going to give Bama a big time trampoline-like bounce with potential wins against Auburn and an SEC champ game opponent.
- The non-AQ is playing out as I thought a couple weeks ago. For a slot opposite Oregon or Auburn/Bama should one of the two slip up, it's the TCU/Utah winner, not Boise St. the computers and voters are more impressed with TCU's quality wins at this point over Boise St, and the game against Utah is going to far outweigh any bump in computers's Boise's going to get from either Hawaii or Nevada.
- I also think though, that you're looking at 2 non-AQ's in BCS at large berths. So with that, we're looking at (10 bids overall):
BCS CHAMP 1: Oregon
BCS CHAMP 2: Auburn
ACC: Va Tech/ FSU winner (likely only 1 team)
BIG EAST: Pittsburgh? (Do we have to?)
BIG TEN: Wisconsin or Iowa or tOSU at this point, but more thoughts below
SEC: see above
BIG 12: Nebraska / Mizzou / Oklahoma winner (likely 1 team)
PAC 10: see above
Fill- in for Auburn's SEC (champ slot replacement rules): (1 loss) Alabama
Fill-in for Oregon's PAC-10 (champ slot replacment rules): Stanford / Arizona
At-Large 1: TCU / Utah winner
At-Large 2: Boise St
BCS Championship: Oregon v Auburn
Rose Bowl: Stanford/Arizona v. Wisconsin/Iowa/tOSU
Orange Bowl: Va Tech / FSU v. TCU
Sugar Bowl: Alabama v. Pitt
Fiesta Bowl: Okl/Neb/Mizz vs. Boise St
Big Ten: At this point, I think the Big Ten is likely the conference to get most screwed. Lets say Alabama beats Auburn, I still think both the SEC champ game winner AND a 1-loss Auburn get BCS bids. Sugar Bowl's going to take an SEC team if at all humanly possible to replace Auburn's slot. The fill in for Oregon's slot is probably going to be the Pac-10 runner up so the Rose Boel gets it Big Ten v Pac-10 matchup. Both an undefeated TCU/Utah and an undefeated Boise St are probably for to autoqualify for a BCS at-large slot taking one of the second conference slots from the Big Ten. The second team from the Iowa/Wiscy/tOSU triumverate are going to have to hope for a loss by either (TCU and Utah) or Boise St.
- Big games left really are Alabama v Auburn and Boise St vs. Hawaii or Boise v Nevada. TCU v Utah is big terms of who gets a loss, but really, the winner of that should be able to win out and secure themselves a BCS at large slot. Th eonly real drama about TCU . v Utah is that if Utah wins, then Boise probably has the top non-AQ slot from voters, Utah has the top non-AQ slot from computers, and the difference in BCS standings will be miniscule.
- The Iron Bowl is really shaping up as football armageddon 2010. Should Auburn win, they're either the BCS champ rep or the SEC at-large depending on the result of the SEC champ game, but really, Alabama's probably out at that point. If Bama wins, then we are on the verge of absolute chaos. Bama wins the SEC championship, they're probably in the BCS champ with a whole lot of wailing/gnashing of teeth jumping over non-AQ's & 1-loss Oklahoma/Neb. A loss by Bama in the SEC championship and we probably have the first non-AQ in the championship game, most likely TCU, not Boise.
Ohio LB Sean Duggan committed to Boston College. It makes sense since he goes to a Jesuit high school, and has teammates at BC. Michigan was doing some things right with him, but it wasn't enough.
What the hell was that? Two weeks to prepare for Penn State, a walk on quarter back, an injury riddled defense and we come up with that? The entire coaching staff is to blame for this debacle. GERG ever here of blitzing? How can you not challenge a walk on? Thomas Gordon was the only player that even got close. I like many other alumni and season ticket holders demand better than this. This was one of the worst efforts I have seen in years. We deserve much , much better.
If you want to defend the staff, fine. But please don't trot out the old "It's our fanbase that disappoints me the most" line. That might be applicable at some schools, but it isn't here.
We have a great fanbase. Yes, maybe it's a little quieter than it could be on gameday, but the fact is, we turn out in larger numbers than any other fanbase in the country to see our team play. The last two years, PSU had a larger stadium than us, but we still outdrew them - we continued to sell out, while they couldn't do so even when their team went 11-2 back-to-back years. We filled up the place to watch a 3-9 team and a 5-7 team. And even after those disappointments we're still turning out this season. And by and large, this fanbase has been patient. RR has always drawn more cheers than boos when he's been announced. I can tell you that this would not happen at a lot of other schools, given how he's done. When he says we have great fans, he's not kidding. He saw what it was like at WVU. We've treated him with respect and will always do so, even if he ends up losing his job.
People aren't upset because they "aren't fans." If they weren't fans, they wouldn't care. Watching the winningest program in history go 13-19 over three seasons (4-16 in conference) is incredibly painful. It's like watching a friend battle an addiction. You hope the friend (program) will get it together, but at some point you wonder if it will happen, and if not, what can be done to bring things back to the way they were. That is a reasonable reaction. Above all, we're fans of Michigan. I would love for RR to win big here. But at the end of the day, if it's not in our program's interests for him to stay employed, so be it. Don't tell me I'm not a fan for saying that.
Just got back from the game (stayed over night in PA), and had a few random observations to share about the experience:
1-from the direction we came in, the stadium looked huge and dominated the landscape.
2-as it got dark out before the game ... the stadium structure, style, and lighting, looked very similar to a cruise ship docked at port.
3-tailgating was abundant and there were many more visibly drunk people than I expected.
4-apparently there is a uniform for all the girls ... you need to be skinny, have long brown/black hair to your mid-back, wear tight black or gray leggings (or jeans), and Uggs boots. It was quite odd really ... there seemed like there were 1,000s of girls that looked identical in this way. Maybe this is the way college girls dress when it is colder out, but I did not notice the same trend at any other game this year.
5-the lighted concession stands outside the stadium were the same as at a carnival or fair ... which added to that type of atmosphere.
6-inside the stadium, the concourses where riddled with girders that created a maze of obstacles that you can to duck under and weave in and out of. We saw two people hit their heads ... it was not attractive and was annoying.
7-the bathrooms were bad ... the worst I have been to in a while ... and the lines were silly long.
8-at our seats, the stadium looked pretty big ... but not collegiate. The student section was impressive with their white wear and pom poms.
9-the crowd did get into it at times, but seemed a bit subdued.
10-took a good hour to get out of the parking lot after game was over.
All in all, the Michigan stadium and experience is sooo much nicer, classier, and I am not at all jealous of PSU ... except maybe for their student section involvement.