chance of bowl: 13.6%
8p, ESPN/ESPN3, Alabama-Birmingham at Central Florida
As many of you can tell, I'm addicted to college football. As Paul pointed out to me last night, there is not a night from yesterday through Thanksgiving week without at least some kind of college or pro game on. This is my time of year.
Tonight's EPIC Conference USA GRUDGE MATCH features the 1-3 (0-1 in conference) UAB Blazers and the 2-2 UCF Knights. This will be UCF's first conference game.
UAB isn't a great team but they do have a fairly decent offense, ranking 28th in passing yards per game and 48th in rushing yards per game. They have been porous at best on defense, getting rolled by SMU, losing a shoot out against FAU, winning a shootout with Troy, and losing to Tennessee in overtime.
UCF is built more around their defense than their offense. In 4 games this year, they'v given up just 15.5 points per game, good for 21st best in the nation. That does include 2 games against BCS AQ opponents in NC State and undefeated Kansas State. As a defensive oriented team, you can probably guess that ball control on offense is key. They do rank 38 in rushing yards per game for that reason. In fact, their pass offense is horrendous. #98 in yards per game.
The line is UCF -11.5, -12, or -12.5 depending your site. The over/under is at 48 or 48.5.
Feed your addiction. Watch the game. Comment on how silly the little UCF gets. Comment about GLEE and watch your mgopoints dwindle by 30,000.
(HT: The Only Colors, THE quality MSU blog)
My god this is amazing intro. It's crazy to think how far GameDay has come and how long the cast has been together.
Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you: The Sparty, No! quiz.
"Can you name the teams that defeated Michigan State's football team when these 'Sparty, No!' moments occurred?"
As Smiling Jack Ross might remind you, "These are the facts of the case. And they are undisputed."
So the early meme on recruiting was that we just needed to win, and the recruits would come. IIRC, Brian and Tom VH suggested that this class was too late, but we would really see the payoff in 2012.
It now looks like a real possibility to end up with 9 - 10 wins this year. It also looks like we are only losing Schilling, Webb and Dorrenstein from the offense, meaning as good as the offense is this year, it will only be better next year.
It also looks like there is immediate playing time available for a killer safety, corner, and linebacker.
Does this change the recruiting equation? Sam has suggested a surprise 5 star recruit coming in for a visit. I'm wondering if Denard and the publicity and the possibility of immediate PT for a five star DB or LB is causing some to reconsider. After all, to be able to possibly play as a freshman on a MNC team . . . .does it get any better than that?
- is our performance this year going to change the equation, or is 2012 still the year?
- Are there any unexpected 5 star DB & LB candidates who are now seriously interested in Michigan?
- What does this do with our current commits? In particular, do we have to keep all of them, or do we subtly encourage some of the commits to reopen their recruiting (or get buried on the depth chart, with little chance of playing time.) I think you need to do at least two things: if better recruits are signing up, let current commits know that their commitment will be honored, but they are less and less likely to ever see the field.
- How many recruits do we sign? (Mods, when are you going to update the board?) In particular, do we oversign by one, assuming that out of 20 recruits, there will be at least one "Demar" disaster.
- What happens with Moore and Witty? And are there any others out there who were offered in a previous year (Conelius?) who we reoffer?
- Does our secondary disaster affect the mix of recruits taken?
- It seems like classes at top 10 schools are filling up earlier and earlier. Do they let recruits know the clock is ticking? In other words, we are willing to sign either corner A or corner B. Do we tell both, "there is room for only one corner between the two of you. Whoever signs first gets the spot. Once one signs, the offer is pulled from the other?
I really think that we are potentially going to get to 10 wins, and think that this is going to create some interesting recruiting problems.
So, I am watching WolverineHistorian's typically outstanding summary video on YouTube and trying to see if the conventional wisdom on "soft" corner play is accurate. I start grabbing screenshots. What I think as soft corner play, say here...
...may not be? Is a better definition of soft corner play that, when the ball is snapped, the defender doesn't close if needed? Because what little I could find of Patrick Peterson doesn't show him playing all that much closer to the LOS:
Well, a little closer. So, someone who knows coverage schemes edumacate me. Are these "soft"?
Or is "soft" a nonsense term that really is an indictment of instincts (closing on a short pass, being able to recover if the receiver turns it up field, etc.) rather than cushion?
I have no idea if we actually script plays but whatever:
- Fake QB draw / deep slant
- QB lead draw (left)
- Zone read
- Flare to HB (Smith)
- Rollout right - curl/flat combo pattern
- QB power offtackle
- Zone read with option to Odoms bubble
- Edge pitch (Shaw)
- Delayed QB draw
- 5 wide send Stonum and Hemingway deep