here's one vote for "John Beilein's head in a Futurama jar"
Latest detnews article linked, talking up improvement(?) of sales. My sister is a Sparty grad and sent me the e-mail from Ford: 4 tickets complimentary, for any employee
I wonder if the jump from 12K to 25K over the last several days is Ford "buying" tickets to give to employees? Epic fail for Sparty, and any poor slob who shelled out $75 for this game. Free offer isn't open to the general public, only Ford emp's, but still.
In retrospect, who in FLA is an FAU fan? Of those, how many would travel to Michigan? Spartan fans living 5 minutes away won't pay to see this game.
I hope this doesn't happen but I could totally see a moment where ND is frustrated and tackles Dilithium by the dreads. I know in the NFL this is legal (it happened to Polamalu and Ricky Williams when he still had the dreadlocks). Does anyone know if it different in college football?
This may or may not be a running series based on time constraints and feedback.
Legitimate scouting of an offense should have 2-4 of the most recent games, but only one has been played. Online video sources efficient for scouting purposes are hard to come by, as well. The bitTorrents take 8-10 hours to receive with my computer and NBC.com (which I used) made me want to kill myself. The need to constantly rewind for 5-10 seconds with poor tools is beyond tedious (Tom Hammond didn’t help). TV is also notorious for cutting important information out of the shot and, where this occurred, I didn’t record data.
- If you enjoy this and know a way to get full game video quickly please let me know.
A Few Disclaimers
- The focus was on data and not particular players’ ability. I didn’t watch anything trying to figure out how good a particular player or position group is. Regardless, I picked up some things that I note at the bottom.
- I recorded 56 total plays, stopping when they were up 23-12 and bleeding clock
- I link to my own site to explain some terms utilized.
- Nominal analytical errors certainly exist, but don’t effect points made in a meaningful way.
The Irish never make analytical errors
2010 Notre Dame Offense vs. Purdue
By Down and Distance
- On 1st and 10, the Irish were 68% run, 32% pass. On all other downs they were 21% run, 79% pass
- On 3rd and 2+, they were 90% 5 Step
- Overall 45% Run, 55% Pass, but you can see where the runs come from
By Field Zone
- Unsurprisingly, the Irish are more conservative inside their own 20. In 5 plays they relied on Power, Play Action, and a Jailbreak screen
- No other meaningful tendencies solely by field position
By Personnel, Backfield, and Formation
(A quick note on Personnel: Rudolph moves around a lot between TE and receiver. I used whichever position he actually lined up in, rather than identifying him as a TE every play.)
- ND most popular backfield is Empty, using 00 Personnel. In 13 plays they used a version of the Trips Open formation (3 x 2) 12 times and Quads Open (4 x 1) once. All plays were 5 Step except one, where they faked a sweep to a player in motion and ran Crist unsuccessfully on a Power.
- In 10 Personnel ND uses a formation I call Detroit. Because the play concepts are similar regardless of backfield, I combined instances of the Gun Near and Gun Far backfields for 14 total plays. 9 were 5 Step, followed by Draws (2), Play Action, Trap, and Inside Zone (1 each).
- From here, things get more interesting. Again in 10 Personnel, ND used Gun Near Trips Open 9 times, 8 of which were runs (6 different zone plays, a Power, and a Draw). When the #3 receiver lines up as a true slot (1 x 1 off the OT, always Rudolph) ND called 4 runs to the weakside and nothing else. Those plays netted 16, 13, 15, and 13 yards, respectively. This could have been solely to exploit a defender or the scheme, but a major tendency nonetheless.
- When the Irish go to 11 Personnel they lined up in Trey Open (Gun Near and Gun Far) for 11 of 12 plays. 9 runs, 3 passes. Runs were balanced between strong/weak.
- The obvious: they throw a lot of 5 step (27 of 56 plays)
- Most popular runs: Power (8), Inside Zone (5), Draw (3), Read Zone (3)
By Passing Zone and vs. Blitz
- Crist threw to the strong or weak curl zone 13 times.
- Of the 7 passes he threw over 15 yards, 2 were complete (+21, +19) and one was called for defensive PI.
- Purdue only blitzed 3 times before the score was 20-3. The Irish handled it at that time (+5, +12, +7). After, Purdue blitzed 8 times netting 2 sacks, 3 incompletions, 1 scramble (for 0 yards), and a safety on a run play. Against the late blitzes, the Irish succeeded once on an Inside Zone run (+18).
- Crist is not a great run threat, but like any QB he can scramble for yards in a pinch
- Floyd will be moved around as necessary to create favorable matchups
- Rudolph, though utilized often, is not a great receiver in terms of measurables. His routes are about as round as a circle and he’s not fast. I didn't see what the hype is about. In the Empty set, ND put him in the weak slot a couple times, had the 3 strong receivers clearout that side and dragged him across for easy yardage. They also hit him 3 times in the weak curl zone for +8, +9, +9.
- Crist audibled into a counter weak for ND’s first TD (+22).
- ND pulls their center or backside tackle often to lead through the hole rather than the backside guard. (Those are some of the plays I labeled Power. Some may disagree with that name, but the concept is the same.)
- Purdue plays a 4-3 and was happy to sit in Cover 2 for almost 50% of all plays. Often a nickel back was in the game replacing the Sam, but serving the same function. The safeties sat at 10-12 pre-snap and weren’t going to let anything over their heads.
- It’s impossible to know how much of ND’s offense is “what they want to do offensively” vs. “what Purdue was allowing.” Michigan played a lot of Cover 3 last week. Based on the the ND scheme and what happened vs. Purdue I’d guess M plays much more Cover 2, Cover 4, Cover 6, and rolls to Cover 3 more often, if employed, to give Crist a different look. I’d also expect M to pressure or show pressure more often than Purdue did, based on how Crist performed against it.
- I didn’t pay too much attention to the RBs because I focused on data, but they are legit. I’m sure Brian will have plenty on them.
- If someone wants my chart, I can try to find a way to put it up.
I know this happened a couple weeks ago, but I suppose it's still on point given all the wailing and gnashing of teeth it caused. (Really, it just took me a lot longer than I thought to make it.)
and let me know what you think. Who am I kidding? This is mgoblog; of course you're gonna let me know what you think.
Everyone has their own special reason for hating Notre Dame, and rather than analyze the weather, matchups, or what Jim Rome said yesterday, I'd like to hear why Notre Dame has a special place in your heart. I'll start: Why do I hate Notre Dame? The Notre Dame Grotto is totally misleading. When I think of grotto, I think of this:
Notre Dame's Grotto is a little different...
Truth in advertising anyone?
Just got a cell phone update. Inside Michigan Football will be at Pizza House in AA tonight at 7 PM, and Coach Rodriguez will be there. If you're in AA, hit it up.