two University of Colorado political science professors say statistical analysis indicates firing a coach for poor team performance is far from a surefire way to turn things around, and, in some cases, may actually harm a team's future performance.
Looking at results for four years after a coaching replacement, the study concluded bringing in a new coach, on average, had a negligible effect on a team's win-loss record.
"I had always watched these teams fire coaches, pay for a buyout and then hire more expensive coaches and I wondered, 'Are they actually getting anything out of this?'" said Adler, a University of Michigan alumnus and college football fan. "What we find is, as you go out to the fourth year, the difference between teams that did and didn't replace their coaches were just nonexistent. They were performing just about the same."
How a Michigan alumnus and fan could write a study concluding this is beyond me.
Seriously, though, Michigan is clearly an outlier -- we are a premiere program. I think this study is relevant to teams like Minnesota, who fire good coaches (Glen Mason) thinking that they are capable of being more than they are. But the new coach can't improve the facilities, can't change the amount of local football talent, etc.
I would love to see every senior get drafted or picked up by an NFL team. In all reality, there are several seniors that will not get that chance. Of the group this year, which one, (if any) do you think has a shot of staying on as a GA? I think there will definitely be a shot for Kovacs in the NFL, but I could sure picture him as a coach someday. Thoughts?
The B1G will get $27.5 million of ESPN's money whenever they send a team to the Orange Bowl. If it happens to be Notre Dame that goes, they'll get a huge chunk less, but I suspect it'll still be more than each B1G team would get in revenue sharing, but perhaps roughly the same that the attending team receives when you take into account the allowance.
Assuming travel allowance is about $1.5M, each B1G team stands to get over $2M whenever the conference sends a team to the Orange Bowl.
I just read Chris Brown's article on Chip Kelly. Kelly has been covered pretty extensively so most of the stuff is not new to the readers of this blog, but I did find one thing in the article interesting as it pertains to Michigan. The last few days the RR regime has been brought up again as his 1st full senior class comes to an end.
Brian sighed as he was reminded that we didn't use blocking sleds when RR was here and Mattison's comments about the state of the defensive players always puzzled me as I think most coachces are more similar then they are different. This quote from the article I think can help explain what was going on here.
For all of the hype surrounding Oregon games, Oregon practices might be even better. Oregon practices are filled with blaring music and players sprinting from drill to drill. Coaches interact with players primarily through whistles, air horns, and semi-communicative grunts. Operating under the constraint of NCAA-imposed practice time limits, Kelly's sessions are designed around one thing: maximizing time. Kelly's solution is simple: The practice field is for repetitions. Traditional "coaching" — correcting mistakes, showing a player how to step one way or another, or lecturing on this or that football topic — is better served in the film room. ThiThe=
This sounds like what was going on in our practices and can maybe help explain why maybe our defensive fundamentals were lacking. With so many young guys on defense maybe they had not been drilled enough in the fundamentals because it takes longer to learn it from film and doing it by yourself than repping it in practice. Not saying one is wrong or right or better but it does appear to be a 180 in philosophy. Obviously both coaches have had great success doing both. Hoke and Mattison are big on teaching on the field and doing fundamentals where RR must have been relying on the players to pick it up from the film room.
Maybe one is better for offense vs defense? Not sure. You guys can discuss that but for me it helps explain the differences more logically than believing are previous coaches had no idea on how to coach certain position groups.
Chris Brown (@smartfootball) has an excellent read up on Grantland about Chip Kelley's philosopy regarding offense. 2 things that really stuck out to me (besides the great scheme and play breakdowns) is that Kelly was actually an O-Line coach to get his start, and he really only had 4 blocking schemes for his OL in 2008. Thing 2 was that his absolute goal is to run the ball up the middle on you. Give it a read.
While the coach-player interaction may be limited during Kelly's practices, it's significant before and after them, mostly in the teaching of scheme. At its most fundamental, Kelly's system is a carefully organized, carefully practiced method for forcing defenses to defend the whole field, and then exploiting those areas left exposed. And the first tool Kelly uses is a surprising one: math.
"If there are two high safeties [i.e., players responsible for deep pass defense], mathematically there can only be five defenders in the box. With one high safety, there can be six in the box. If there is no high safety, there can be seven in the box," Kelly explained at the 2011 spring Nike Coach of the Year Clinic. The easiest case is if the defense plays with two deep defenders: "With two high safeties, we should run the ball most of the time. We have five blockers and they have five defenders."
Courtesy of Chris Brown
As Vanderbilt's excellent offensive line coach, Herb Hand, recently told me, "I tell my offensive line that if the defense plays two safeties deep, it's like spitting in your face — it's a lack of respect for your run game." Oregon's run game doesn't suffer from any lack of respect; as a result, they rarely face two-deep defenses except on obvious passing downs.
When a team brings that extra defender into the box, the calculus for the offense changes. "If the defense has one high safety and six defenders in the box, the quarterback has to be involved in the play," Kelly explained. "He has to read one of the defenders, in effect blocking him. We can block five defenders and read the sixth one." Marcus Mariota, Oregon's dynamic freshman quarterback, has been an excellent blocker without hitting anyone at all.
This is not good, but Northwestern scored 54 on Michigan two weeks before the last win in Ohio Stadium, so there's that.