I'VE HAD JUST ABOUT ENOUGH OF YOU SONNY
The 91 Heisman Trophy vote would go down still to this day as the biggest margin of victory by any football player. Our very own Desmond Howard won the trophy with 2077 votes beating FSUs Casey Weldon who got 503 votes. Desmond got the highest percentage of first place votes ever with 640 votes to 19 for Weldon. OJ Simpson was at the presentation and his reaction was priceless. Too bad his life spiraled outta control. I also posted the 91 awards ceremony where Desmond won the Maxwell award.
Enjoy and GO BLUE!!!
EDIT: Bruce Feldman confirms the hire:
ORIGINAL RUMORS: According to ESPN's Brett McMurphy as well as footballscoop:
Notre Dame DC Bob Diaco in "serious negotiations" to become UConn coach, source told @ESPN— Brett McMurphy (@McMurphyESPN) December 12, 2013
Sources tell us Bob Diaco will be the new head coach at UConn. Happy for him http://t.co/sNnVtycOD5— FootballScoop Staff (@footballscoop) December 12, 2013
A lot of coaching news breaking tonight (Boise, EMU, UConn) -- hopefully some news out of Texas will come soon, too?
NEW YORK -- The five power conferences of college sports want more flexibility in providing financial support to athletes.
A major reason they lack that freedom in the first place is other NCAA members have feared widening the wealthiest programs' competitive advantage.
Now NCAA president Mark Emmert and the leaders of those behemoth leagues must convince schools with fewer resources that giving the power conferences greater autonomy is in the best interest of college athletics.
For those confused about the thread title, I refer you to this: http://mgoblog.com/content/why-small-schools-are-overriding-fcoa
If you don't know who Harsin is, you probably haven't heard of Chris Creighton -- he's the current head coach for the Drake Bulldogs.
According to footballscoop, Mike Hart was interviewed for the position -- so at least they gave him a shot.
Sixty Wolverines from 7 fall sports were named to Academic All-B1G Teams. Congratulations to all of the student-athletes honored for their academic and athletic accomplishments.
Michigan's 2013 Fall Academic All-Big Ten Team
MEN'S CROSS COUNTRY (5)
Mason Ferlic, Jr., aerospace engineering, St. Paul, Minn.
August Pappas, Jr., performance music, Chelsea, Mich.
Nick Posada, Jr., political science, Winter Park, Fla.
Morsi Rayyan, Sr., biology, Dewitt, Mich.
James Yau, Sr., movement science, Troy, Mich.
WOMEN'S CROSS COUNTRY (8)
Brook Handler, Jr., chemical engineering, Rochester Hills, Mich.
Devon Hoppe, Jr., international studies, Newport Beach, Calif.
Gina McNamara, So., Literature, Science and the Arts/undeclared, Northville, Mich.
Anna Pasternak, Jr., psychology, Brighton, Mich.
Megan Pearson, Sr., sport management, Paw Paw, Mich.
Taylor Pogue, Sr., sociology, Goodrich, Mich.
Heather Price, So., mathematics, Holland, Mich.
Brittany Robinson, So., movement science, Fenton, Mich.
FIELD HOCKEY (11)
Jaime Dean, So., Literature, Science and the Arts/undeclared, Marathon, N.Y.
Mackenzie Ellis, Jr., Literature, Science and the Arts/undeclared, Madison, N.J.
Sammy Gray, Sr., sociology, Wilmette, Ill.
Lauren Hauge, Sr., environment, Tulsa, Okla.
Chris Lueb, So., computer science, Hertogenbosch, Netherlands
Rachael Mack, Sr., English, Bromsgrove, England
Taryn Mark, So., art and design, West Vancouver, British Columbia
Ainsley McCallister, Sr., movement science, Ann Arbor, Mich.
Shannon Scavelli, So., Literature, Science and the Arts/undeclared, Yorktown Heights, N.Y.
Leslie Smith, Sr., general studies, Hummelstown, Pa.
Lauren Thomas, So., art and design, Aylesbury, England
Courtney Avery, Sr., political science/Afro-American and African Studies, Mansfield, Ohio
Brennen Beyer, Jr., history, Canton, Mich.
Joey Burzynski, Sr., biomedical engineering, Carlsbad, Calif.
Jareth Glanda, Gr., movement science, Rochester Hills, Mich.
Graham Glasgow, Jr., economics, Aurora, Ill.
Jeremy Jackson, Sr., general studies, Ann Arbor, Mich.
Joe Kerridge, Jr., sport management, Traverse City, Mich.
Desmond Morgan, Jr., secondary education/social studies, Holland, Mich.
Joe Reynolds, Sr., Spanish, Rochester, Mich.
Matt Wile, Jr., industrial and operations engineering, San Diego, Calif.
MEN'S SOCCER (10)
Tyler Arnone, Sr., physical education, Hicksville, N.Y.
Adam Grinwis, Sr., Spanish, Ada, Mich.
Ezekiel Harris, Sr., political science, Flint, Mich.
Tyler Leppek, Sr., biochemistry, Rochester, Mich.
Nick Lewin, Sr., civil engineering, Walled Lake, Mich.
Ben Manko, Jr., organizational studies, Mission Viejo, Calif.
Colin McAtee, Jr., economics, San Diego, Calif.
Dylan Mencia, Sr., economics, Honesdale, Pa.
James Murphy, So., Literature, Science and the Arts/undeclared, Oxford, England
Fabio Pereira, Sr., general studies, Sao Paulo, Brazil
WOMEN'S SOCCER (13)
Maddie Clarfield, So., business administration, Malibu, Calif.
Nkem Ezurike, Sr., economics, Lower Sackville, Nova Scotia
Corinne Harris, So., Literature, Science and the Arts/undeclared, Chicago, Ill.
Holly Hein, Sr., screen arts and cultures, Castaic, Calif.
Zaryn Jennings, Jr., environment, Dexter, Mich.
Danielle Mazur, Jr., economics, Bloomfield Hills, Mich.
Christina Ordonez, So., Literature, Science and the Arts/undeclared, Elmhurst, Ill.
Jen Pace, Jr., biopsychology, cognition and neuroscience, Valley Village, Calif.
Sydney Raguse, So., School of Kinesiology/undeclared, Newport Beach, Calif.
Megan Schechtman, Jr., movement science, Ann Arbor, Mich.
Chloe Sosenko, Jr., psychology, South Lyon, Mich.
Keyana Thompson-Shaw, Sr., sport management, Long Beach, Calif.
Shelina Zadorsky, Sr., psychology, London, Ontario
There seems to be a contrast of expectations that are somewhat contradictory, the aims of short-run success versus long-run program reputation
When it comes to a power program like Michigan, what evidence should be used to judge the job performance of coaches? There are the usual types of milestones and accomplishments thrown out (division titles, conference titles, BCS games). But I submit that by examining the make-up and changes in winning percentage is the main indicator in the way in which a coach should be judged. The ancillary rewards such as conference championships are rewards for wins and with a high enough winning percentages, those correlated accolades will accrue as the winning percentage increases.
The longer the sample, the less the impact of any one record from any given year would change the program success. On the other hand though, a large change from the program’s winning percentage prior the arrival of that coach to the five-years after his arrival would signal a “great coach” who could “bend the curve of a program’s trajectory”. I took the last six coaches for Michigan and looked at what the evidence shows in terms of success or failure.
If the last three years of the previous coach were poor records wise, then it is likely, the standard set of criteria for success would be, “Has this coach exceeded the results of the last coach?” For most programs, an affirmative answer to this question would result in the coach gaining the confidence of the fan/alumni base. But with Michigan (and other power programs), the next set of criteria would be, “Has the coach matched or exceeded the winning percentage of the program overall?”
When it comes to Brady Hoke, he has clearly met the first set of standards. Rich Rodriguez started from a nearly .700 winning percentage from Lloyd Carr’s tenure. He took this base and promptly shit the bed. By the empirical evidence of winning percentage, Rich Rodriguez is likely the worst coach in modern Michigan football history. The program was in better shape when Bo took over from Bump, so Hoke did not have a high bar to clear to clear the short-run collective memories of Rodriguez. In fact, Hoke’s increase in winning percentage of nearly 28 percentage points is second only to Bo, so he’s clearly a positive over Rodriguez.
The next, more macro set of standards is where the ennui with Hoke begins to set in. Examining the winning percentages on a season by season basis helps to simplify the overall trends and trajectory of a program with attempt to eliminate some of the randomness which can occur on a game to game and even season to season set of events which may limit the overall explanatory capability of the statistic. The power program and winning percentage are a gift and a curse. The gift is that the history helps with the overall great program sell and helps to perpetuate that this school has always been good therefore it will continue to be good mindset. The curse is that if the coach does not meet the historical standards set, he is considered a failure.
This presents a problem because a standard set over two different types of measurements is sure to create disappointment. In the case of Hoke, he has already met the short-run standards, which is a good thing. In his mind he can point to the crater which Rodriguez left and he has begun to fill it in and erect a new statue of success. But since this is a power program, Hoke’s success is relative. Hoke is currently less than the overall winning percentage of the program, .682 (depending on the results of the Copper Bowl) vs. about .735 (using stats from 1892 forward), this is better than the gap between the first few seasons of Bump and RichRod, but it falls short of Carr, Moeller and Bo. In fact, Hoke’s track record indicates that he is somewhat of a slow starter when it comes to his early coaching record versus the overall program’s record.
In contrast, Nick Saban, Urban Meyer and Les Miles have met or exceeded the program long-run average at nearly every stop they have been at (Saban at MSU has a similar profile to Hoke at M vis-à-vis program avg.)
The mark of a good coach is that they made their teams better. The mark of a great coach is that they made their programs better. Both Saban (LSU and Bama) and Meyer (FLA and Ohio) took decent to good programs and made them better. Miles also built upon a strong LSU program and did not regress even with the pace that Saban had set before him.
The other remarkable evidence in recent times are made up of four coaches at three power programs and one decent/good program. Pete Carroll, Jim Harbaugh, Bob Stoops and Mark Richt all set examples of blistering beginnings that M should push to emulate in the next two years.
Carroll and Stoops in particular took power programs and strengthened their long-run advantages.
Hoke’s numbers so far look more like Mack Brown and John Cooper, numbers which are underwhelming to say the least. Mack’s CEO style relies on maintaining the advantage of the program to pull in the best recruits. From Tulane to North Carolina and finally to Texas, Brown’s numbers are not earth-shattering, but they do offer a model for program consistency, if not extreme short-run success.
So, that leaves the questions which is the title to this diary, how many wins does Hoke need to keep his job (using the power program winning percentage as a central metric). Assuming that Hoke does win the Copper Bowl, to maintain the program's long-run success factor, Hoke must win 20 games in the next two seasons. This may sound unreachable sitting here today, but it could be 9 in 2014 and 11 in 2015, the distribution of the wins in a particular year does not matter, but Hoke needs those 20 wins to run his type of program.
This record assumes 10 wins evenly in both years. The power program strategy that Hoke is utilizing relies on the belief that that M is indeed a power thus attracting the recruits who want to be at said power. If that belief is lost, there could be a feedback loop whereas the loss of prestige eats away at the base which believes in that prestige and the entire program continues on this plateau of blah.