"He makes it really easy on you as a coach because he has tremendous football instincts," Michigan tight ends coach Jay Harbaugh said. "Things come really naturally to him. He doesn't have to see things too many times. He has a good sense for how things should look and feel, and he's a tough, physical guy."
One of the burdens we endure as loyal, longtime fans of University Of Michigan football is that even our wins are somewhat taxing, and indeed, we showed a measureable amount of discontent this time around, especially in the first half when our offense could really find a rhythm other than one that Brian Eno might compose.
First, let's look at the summary to date so you can mock my immense ability to procrastinate as I've not yet finished out the data for the "positive" words for a third straight week.
In any case, we see here that the frontrunners are "fuck" and "Harbaugh", and fortunately no one has dared use them together save for the odd unsavory troll a few games back. This person is no longer among us. Rainbow Dash hoofed him right across the temple.
It is worth nothing that, even after three games, those three positive words are already 16% of the overall total of tracked instances. That alone should be evidence of a fanbase whose mindset on their own team has changed completely from this time last year, and that is a positive thing.
Here's thread size by game so far:
The lack of a dedicated live blog has increased participation in the threads, and we began to see that last year, but now that the live blog responsibilities rotate and traffic is limited by the strictures of Blyve's need to ultimately make money, you really see it this year. There is also a renewed interest in this team and a lot of newbies are gravitating towards the open threads. After five games, average combine thread size is 2,110 posts, which is a good 25% better than last year during the same period.
The relative distribution of the "original six" across the first five games:
Because it is in reality a massive chart, this one might be hard to read. What I really wanted to point out here is that we reached a season high for "suck" so far, much of it directed at Jake Rudock and the offense, but in this game in particular, a note problem with run blocking.
Maybe we give Randy Edsall some credit for figuring something out, for at least he knew about the game even if he didn't realize there was a meeting, or perhaps it is just what we assumed - a work in progress. Either way, much of our "suck" in the open threads revolved around that. A good deal of our "fuck too actually, although the referees took on their fair share of "fuck" from our audience. You don't need to be familiar with EVERY rule or know what the fair catch signal looks like to be a ref in the Big Ten, right?
You won't see it here, but "Morris" snuck back into our conversation too - mainly people wondering how bad he must be to have not seen the field by now.
Here's efficiency and tracked words:
Despite Maryland being rather stressful - it now accounts for almost one-quarter of all the tracked words this season so far - you can see that overall efficiency remained mostly flat. We did, after all, win - that usually helps. Adjusted for the "original six", the efficiency is 8.13, which has historically been typical for wins around here.
Here's the Mood Chart - still fiddling with labels for the quadrants. The Harbaugh era makes this difficult to pin down because it is new to us. No, I should say it has been so long for us - revisiting these feelings is a process.
As other MGoUsers pointed out there is still no game time for the MSU game. It's starting to shape up like this could be a top-15 matchup two weeks from now. The number 3, 6, 7, 8, 19, 21, 23 ranked teams all lost games yesterday so there will be some serious reshuffling in the rankings today.
Michigan will almost certainly move into the top 20, while Northwestern was already No. 16 before their shutout yesterday, so they'll move into the top 15. A win vs NW next week would catapult the good guys into the same position.
What are the odds we still haven't heard a game time because the value of the game won't be decided until next week? Could this be a potential College Gameday game?
One of the memorable games of 2014 was the "M00N" - not in a good way. Michigan won by an astonishing score of 10-9.
Fast forward to 2015 and the cats are coming to town. They are on a 5 game winning streak and has beaten up a good Stanford team in their dreams, and shut out Jerry Kill's team last week.
It is thus interesting to look back of the M00N, and check out the Northwestern-Minnesota game yesterday.
Their pass D:
2014 M00N: Gardener had a QBR of 6!
2015 Minnesota: Gophers QBs have an average QBR of 7.1!
Their run D:
2014 M00N: Deveon and company ran over 150 yards (Devin's negative run excluded)
2015 Minnesota: Gophers ran a total of 74 yards
Their pass O:
2014 M00N: Siemian had over 270 yards with 2 interceptions to go with that
2015 Minnesota: Thorson had 128 yards but much more efficient and no interception
Their run O:
2014 M00N: 37 yards (negative runs excluded)
2015 Minnesota: 184 yards!
So Northwestern has indeed improved (if the M00N Michigan team and 2015 Minnesota can be used as reference) but they are not world beaters. 2015 Michigan D will probably limit their run to under 100 yards, and also limit their pass to somewhere around 100 yards as well. On the other hand, we cannot do worse than the M00N Michigan team in pass O, and will probably on par or better in the run O.
Limit the interceptions (Yes, Mr. Rudock!) and fumbles, and I see Michigan beats Jumping Pat 31 - 17.
Thomas Rawls is getting a lot of pub this week, as he may get the bulk of the carries vs. Detroit on Monday night. Its not hard to find an profile article on the web. Here are a couple:
Asked why things didn’t work at Michigan, Rawls said, “Things happen. I don’t regret it. I grew up a Michigan fan and loved my time there, but I moved on from it.”
Too bad the OL and offensive coaching and talent development at Michigan was so poor, when Rawls wore wings. He would thrive in the new Harbaugh system. If he starts on Monday, the over on 100+ yds vs. the spongy Lions D, at home with The 12s behind him looks promising.
It is getting really hot for Charlie Strong at Texas, a guy I thought was a great hire but sheesh, this does not look good. I don't care how good TCU has become, you can't be Texas and lose 50-7, espicially when you are known as a defensive coach. Plus at least one, and reportedely two, pleyers were tweeting about transferring DURING the game.