mesmerism! presidential assassinations! circuses on fire!
Five times so far as a Michigan quarterback, Denard Robinson has been at the helm in the final four minutes of a game with Michigan either trailing or tied. When the game is not played at Iowa City he has fared, er, not too poorly in those spots:
|comp||att||pass yds||TD||INT||rushes||rush yds||rush TD||Game Outcome|
|2010 @ ND||5||6||55||0||0||6||17||1*||Won, 28-24|
|2010 @ Ind||1||1||42||0||0||4||31||1*||Won, 42-35|
|2011 vs ND (a)||2||3||48||1**||0||2||10||0||NSFMF...|
|2011 vs ND (b)||2||3||80||1*||0||0||0||0||Won, 35-31|
|TOTALS||10||13||225||2||0||12||58||2||3 wins, 0 losses|
*-Winning score **-Winning score NSFMF
Those are numbers and accomplishments that any QB, including Brady and Manning, would die to have. Even if against not-exactly 2011 LSU or Bama defenses. But that's not Denard's fault is it.
Now. Denard's other two times leading M in the final four minutes when trailing or tied have both occurred at Iowa against the Hawkeyes. Different passing success, different outcomes:
|comp||att||pass yds||TD||INT||rushes||rush yds||rush TD||Game Outcome|
|2009 @ Iowa||1||2||17||0||1#||1||7||0||Lost, 30-28|
|2011 @ Iowa||4||12||63||0||0||0||0||0||Lost, 24-16|
|TOTALS||5||14||80||0||1||1||7||0||2 losses, 0 wins|
#-Ended Michigan's last chance to win
To be fair, Denard's passing numbers on the last drive this past Saturday were plenty good enough right up until Roundtree was tackled on the 3 — 4/8 for 63 yards. That's pretty good when you're starting on your own 18 with 2:15 left and only one timeout. With just a bit more time, or another timeout, would Borges have called a rollout or designed Denard run, as Rich Rodriguez instantly did in 2010 at both ND and Indiana when UM gained a first down inside the 5 with just under 30 seconds to go? One would like to think yes, but we are talking about Al Borges here. Do you think RR would have called for a Denard sweep on that 1st-and-goal on the 3 with 0:16 left and no timeouts? I wouldn't have bet against it. That's probably exactly what Iowa was fearing the most.
Adding the two charts together, in his five opportunities to pull off a Tom Brady-style comeback at the end of a game, Denard is 15/27 for 305 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT -- good for an NCAA passer rating of 167.5.
Results-based world, results-based blog -- don't throw asterisks on the Gallon play vs ND, or the jumpball to Hemingway at the end of Indiana last year. A 168 passer rating in such situations is glistening. Add to that 5 yards per rush, including two game-winning TD runs, and WTF. For a livin' fact, Denard can pass the football and lead a team at crunch time.
Uhh, just not from inside the 5-yard-line, only from the pocket.
Oh, to have had 10 more seconds on the clock or another timeout last Saturday -- or someone other than Uncle Fester calling those final damn four plays.
Looking for some help from my fellow M fans. I am looking to go to either the Nebraska or Ohio games this year. I have found plenty of tickets for purchase, but am unfarmiliar with the seating at the stadium as well as the orientation of it. I was hoping someone could tell me which parts of the stadium are student sections so I don't buy a ticket I'll need a student I.D. for. Keep in mind, as I don't know the directional orientation of the stadium, I won't know what it means to say south or north endzone. The only thing I have to go by on stub hub is home and away sidelines. Any help would be appreciated, thanks.
Before you kill me for posting an advice thread let me just say that I am aware that there is a MGoTickets spreadsheet and plenty of useful information about the game day experience in the user-curated hall of fame. I plan on taking advantage of those resources but I'm also looking for more direct advice and suggestions.
My buddy and I are going to fly in for the OSU game. It will be the first time in Michigan for either of us and I have a few specific questions:
- Is it unreasonable to expect to find a hotel in Ann Arbor for that weekend? If not, or if it will be significantly more expensive, what other cities should I look at?
- We are probably flying into Detroit. Is there public transportation available to Ann Arbor or would we be better off renting a car?
- I've heard that some rows are too close to the field. At what point does the view become obstructed?
Any feedback would be appreciated. Thanks and Go Blue.
I searched and didn't see a topic already discussing this topic, and since everyone seems down in the dumps today after the tough Iowa loss (or, alternately, all Penn State-y, which is even more depressing), I thought I'd point out the good news that we're on great position to break our 2010 NCAA Record for Highest Average Home Game Attendance, which was set at 111,825. Here's where we stand so far:
Western Michigan 110,506
Notre Dame 114,804
Eastern Michigan 110,343
San Diego State 110,707
Ohio State xxx,xxx
So, through six games 669,581 fans have visited Michigan Stadium so far this season, averaging out to 111,597. We're alittle behind 2010's pace, but our only two home games left will be two of our biggest presumed-attendance games: Nebraska and Ohio State. I don't think replicating UTL's numbers for either of those contests seems likely, but we might use last year's MSU or UConn games as good placeholders (both between 113,000-113,500). If we estimate conservatively and hit 113,000 for each of our final two home games, we would be just under 112,000 fans on average, beating out old record by around 125 per game.
Also, M-Wolverine asked about the NCAA Single-Season Total Home Attendance record (since the 2010 average-attendance record was set with just 7 home games). Our 2007 team holds that with 882,115. We would need to average only 106,268 in our last two games to break that, so it seems an even more sure bet! Assuming 113,000 in our last two games would put the new record around 895,000, breaking the old record by almost 13,000!
It was probably inevitable with the stadium additions that we break our 1999 average-attendance mark a couple of times, and our 2007 total home attendance record eventually, and this season has been the perfect storm of having Ohio State, Nebraska, and Notre Dame all visit the Big House (one of them in a record-setting first night game) amid 8 homes games. Still, its fun to know that all of us who attended a game this season were part of the soon-to-be new records, and that Michigan athletics will continue to garner publicity for The Big House. Go Blue!
EDIT: I used the 1999 average-attendance record initally (dang you, un-updated Wikipedia!), not the 2010 record. That has been corrected.
Shaq Thompson not visiting for Nebraska. Insider article basically says that the trip is cancelled to focus on his HS team. However, he is still talking with the coaches and hopes to make it in December. Does not have a leader.
I'm not off the Denard bandwagon. I know a lot of people have started to turn on him, but there are worse people to be compared to.
After showing signs of being something special during his freshman year, Juice followed it up by a largely injury plagued sophomore season. Throughout those first two years, he had only one more TD pass than interception but it was clear he had a spark that most QBs did not have.
Williams made a huge impact in his junior year. He came out of his shell and combined for 3,900 all purpose yards. At this time, he was considered a groundbreaker at the position, as he was just HARD to contain. We all know that to be true, as he torched us for the most yards in Big House history. Despite this, he did have some glaring deficiencies that were largely overlooked, because.... did you SEE that? First and foremost, his accuracy was questionable. He seemed to get hurt a lot as well.
Fast forward to his senior year. He was on every watch list you can think of. He came out of the gate and sputtered. Was this due to regression on his part, or did DC's focus in on him more closely? Did they gameplan strictly to stop his skills?
It seems like during his senior season, opposing defenses put just enough pressure on Juice to expose and open the cracks in his armor. The regression may not have been actual regression, instead it was the defenses who tipped the field on its axis slightly enough to reveal his flaws. Juice was relegated to second string midway through the year after throwing 2 INTs against OSU.
I think that the new regime would rather have a pocket passer, obviously, but we do not have the players to accomodate that. I still think that if Gardner gets his act together, he may end up starting at some point next year. I love what Denard has done and I hope that this is not the case.