Peppers at 10, which seems low.
I thought it might be an interesting exercise to evaluate the “behavior” of the passing game this season, if you will, by comparing the individual game numbers to the running average as it would have been at the end of a given game. To see what this would look like, I took a look at five major metrics and then made a sixth chart which simply compares passing touchdowns to interceptions so it is possible to see what the “behavior” was producing.
First, I looked at the NCAA overall QB rating for each game’s passing statistics versus what the cumulative line would show for a rating. In eight games out of twelve, Michigan’s QBs maintained a rating above what the cumulative statistics would have dictated at the end of that game. In a couple cases, it was barely above the cumulative rating – against Purdue (coming off ND), and against Ohio State (because of 2ndhalf).
The charts for yards per attempt and yards per completion do somewhat mimic one another for obvious reasons, and it was my curiosity that led me to make both of these admittedly. That being said, they do not exactly follow each other during the games in which Gardner started. There is a steady decline in YPC from Minnesota to Ohio State, but the YPA is somewhat erratic in comparison.
Interestingly, the chart for completion percentage follows a somewhat similar track to the one for yards per attempt, although there are some noted differences. It is almost possible to say that the more vertical our passing game was getting, the more successful it tended to be. Without having done the correlation calculations, of course, I don’t know what the strength of that relationship would be.
The chart for passing yards per game is interesting and tells a bit of a story, I think. Discounting Alabama only because one number is its own average, of course, we can see the following. When we were above the current average in a game, we were 5-0, and when our passing yards in a given game were below the average as of that game, we were 3-3.
Here is a quick look at the progess of passing TD and INT totals as the season progressed:
DG is at the basketball game in a walking boot, per people I know in attendance. Did anyone see what caused this injury?
Now that Phoenix (AZ) Mountain Pointe offensive lineman Kenny Lacy has been offered, I wrote up a scouting report on him. He's a little bit too passive, in my opinion. I would characterize most of Michigan's commits and offerees as being very aggressive, so Lacy appears to be a little bit of an outlier. The athletic talent is there, but he might need to have a little bit of a fire lit under him to get the competitive juices flowing.
Gareon Conley has decomitted as being reported by various people on the twittersphere. Mattison was at his school today. Commence death and dispair.
Also hearing that he will take an OV to OSU, Cincinatti, and here. All is not completely lost.
Who will finish up the 2013 class has been much discussed on the board, but how will we get the schollies for them? As of this second, there are 23 available for next year. There are currently 23 commits, and assuming they all stay committed (Conley really looks like he's going to stay) we could potentially need 4 more if we get McQuay, Treadwell, Green, and another Olineman. I think it's safe to say Lewan is going pro and Mike Jones won't be returning, but all of the other redshirt juniors had roles on this team. Would we stop at 25 and say no to one or potentially 2 five star players?
The ACC isn't going quietly. Looks as though they decided to be proactive and collect their $52 million. Here is the lawsuit document:
The document establishes the buyout at a little over $52.2 million, actually. Likely filed first so as to be able to file in North Carolina instead of Maryland, maybe bring some of that Dukie refereeing to the table. Strong case in that regard as the lawsuit points out the ACC operates under North Carolina law.
As someone who prefers the ACC stay together, I'm happy to see the conference being proactive here, and IME, the uglier this gets, the better.