alternate headline: man does job
Who are you rooting for when Ohio visits Lil' Bro in East Lansing this Saturday (3:30pm, ABC)? As much as it pains me to (I guess it would either way) I'm cheering for Ohio. They're ineligible for the post-season, so they might as well give State a conference L and make our path to Indy potentially a little easier. Plus after last year's games against us and the NCAA sanctions on Ohio, State needs to be taken down a notch more than Ohio. Here's to an ugly game with the Buckeyes squeaking one out, hopefully on a deliciously heartbreaking Sparty NO!!!!
For those who prefer to peruse a searchable UFR with linked video for every play:
Enjoy ... um, well maybe not enjoy, so much.
There seems to be some strange circumstances surrounding it, but according to Stephen Nesbitt and Nick Baumgardner the estate sale planned for this weekend is cancelled.
Schembechler estate sale has been canceled. Matt Schembechler said groundskeepers canceled, is trying to file an injunction and arrest Matt.— Stephen J. Nesbitt (@stephenjnesbitt) September 27, 2012
I don't know how to explain it, really—the road was blocked by security, Matt Schembechler came to my car window to vent about cancellation.— Stephen J. Nesbitt (@stephenjnesbitt) September 27, 2012
Matt Schembechler: "The man who mows the lawn" canceled the estate sale, "is trying to file an injunction against me and throw me in jail."— Stephen J. Nesbitt (@stephenjnesbitt) September 27, 2012
Owner of Aaron's Estate Sales says the sale belonged to the personal estate of Matt Schembechler, not Bo Schembechler— Nick Baumgardner (@nickbaumgardner) September 27, 2012
And the sale has been canceled because the neighborhood association had filed to have it stopped, citing it was against their bylaws— Nick Baumgardner (@nickbaumgardner) September 27, 2012
Again, original report was wrong -- that was not a sale of Bo Schembechler's personal estate, but rather the estate of his son, Matt.— Nick Baumgardner (@nickbaumgardner) September 27, 2012
Just in case anyone isn't yet aware of this, you might want to tune in to WTKA on your transistor radio (or via the interwebs or smartphone) this Saturday from Noon to 3pm. WTKA is once again using the bye week to bring back the wonderful play-by-play of a MEEEEECHIGAN Classic, this one the 1979 Michigan vs, MSU game.
I'm sure we're all familiar with the highlight tapes and albums and CD's of those wonderful "Uferisms" old Bob used to spout, but listening to an entire game brings you to a whole new level of appreciation of this man's talents and enthusiasm.
Had some down time tonight so I'm running some numbers off the Massey rating website. Using the odds on each game from their prediction pages (click on each team name on the link to get there), here are the odds on an undefeated regular season in 2012 (not including conference championship games).
I'm guessing the odds are grossly overstated at the high end, because the assumption here is that the current Massey ratings accurately assess each team's strength and the only uncertainty is in the individual game results given those strengths. It doesn't include any uncertainty in the ratings themselves and if I was a bookie there's no way I'd quote odds anywhere near this long on anyone.
- Alabama 3:5
- OHIO 5:3
- Florida State 9:2
- Oregon 5:1
- Georgia 7:1
- Rutgers 8:1
- Notre Dame 13:1
- Stanford 18:1
- Louisiana Tech 19:1
- LSU 20:1
- Florida 25:1
- Louisville 30:1
- Texas 31:1
- South Carolina 35:1
- Cincinnati 35:1
- Kansas State 40:1
- Ohio State 70:1
- Northwestern 130:1
- Baylor 185:1
- TCU 450:1
- Texas Tech 1000:1
- Oregon State 1000:1
- West Virginia 2000:1
- Minnesota 13,000:1
- Iowa State 15,000:1
- Mississippi State 20,000:1 (that's what happens when Alabama and LSU are on your schedule)
West Virginia is rated ahead of all three Big East teams. Moving from the Big East to the Big 12 probably changed their odds on an undefeated run and a likely trip to the championship game from about 5:1 to...probably not really 2000:1, but still.....
For comparison, Mississippi State is also rated ahead of all three Big East teams. They're also rated just slightly above Ohio State.
For all the griping about the SEC, the real problem with the current system is the enormous advantage it gives to members of the worst BCS conferences, the Big East in particular. Massey's prediction for WVU is 2-7 in conference; if they were still in the Big East they'd be favored in every conference game.