alternate headline: man does job
EDIT: It's official. Michigan to Outback Bowl where will play South Carolina
Adam Rittenberg reporting Nebraska to Capital One Bowl and Michigan likely to Outback Bowl.
Cap One pick basically done: Georgia-Nebraska. Expect Michigan to Outback and Northwestern to Gator. B1G avoids Johnny Football
Hearing the Big Ten, SEC leadership didn't want Nebraska and Georgia to fall too far after league title game losses.
It's official: Nebraska to play in Capital One Bowl
I’m thinking 2013 offensive linemen. Cameron hunt Or maybe even Dawson!
What do you think ? I'm curious to here from some of you that are much more informed than I am.
If we're headed to the Outback Bowl, we are probably going. Should we get tickets (I'll need 4) through the Bowl website or through Michigan? I'd love to sit with other Michigan fans, but I also want great seats. Thoughts?
While a thread below considers what bowl opponent IS likely for UM, what bowl we SHOULD be going to?
Although some uncertainty remains, most people expect NU and NEB to go to the CapOne and Outback Bowls over UM. The reason is that the B1G sends a team to the Capitol One (or Outback) if it has two more wins (or two fewer losses) than its competitor.*
WIth this rule, however, teams with far easier out-of-conference (OOC) games are much more likely to win the higher bowl bids. And this year, unfortunately, UM had a much tougher schedule. It played its toughest OOC games on the road vs. teams with an average Sagarin PREDICTOR rank of #2, both on the road. NEB and NU played vs. opponents with an average rank of about #43, including one home game.**
Partly as a result, UM has by far the highest Sagarin rank (UM #24, NEB #29, NU #38). Indeed, even according to the final BCS rankings, UM clearly would be ranked above NU (and probably NEB). So, it should be going either to the CapOne or Outback bowl, right?
Imagine what would happen If the B1G were unified once again, without the unfair divisions. Then, if it still wanted a title game, perhaps it should be sending the 2 teams with the highest BCS ranks. So, UM would have played NEB for the title. Um would not have to play on the road, like the last game. It would have to play not with its 3rd string QB. It would have Devin Gardner. And it probably would have Denard Robinson In fact, playing vs. a NEB team that just gave up 70 points to Wisc, Robinson would likely set the all-time NCAA QB rushing record in a big UM win.
But then, like now, UM would probably not going to the CapOne or Outback bowl.
In this alternate universe where the B1G has rational rules, UM would be going to the Rose Bowl.
*These are the only rules I could find on the web, as reported by Rittenberg in 2011. So, I am assuming the rules have not changed. http://espn.go.com/blog/bigten/post/_/id/39509/reviewing-b1gs-bowl-selec...
**I report the Sagarin PREDICTOR rankings because these are the ones most likely to predict actual game outcomes. Here are Sagarin PREDICTOR rank and rating, average Sagarin rank of the top 2 OOC opponents and B1G record for each team.
UM #24 82.05 TOP 2 OOC OPPONENTS; ROAD ND #1 AND ALA#3 (#1-2 BCS), B1G 6-2
NEB #29 80.04 HOME ARKANSAS STATE #54, ROAD UCLA #19, B1G 7-2
NU #38 78.29 HOME VANDY #35 ROAD SYRACUSE #50, B1G 5-3
Reported that Dave Doreen is leaving Northern Illinois to take over as head coach at North Carolina State. He continued a winning program in the MAC, had two straight championship seasons, and just spoiled Kent St’s chance at a BCS berth. He has brought Jordan Lynch along very well, interested what he could do with a better program.
Should be a good hire for them, but here is a primarily Great Lakes area coach now headed to ACC. Wonder how much effect it will have on Midwest area talent. His primary scouting area of familiarity is here.