Just when I thought I was I out, they pull me back in!
I don't know why I am such glutton for punishment, but I am finding this topic interesting (and not just in football sense, but statistically as well). I want to contribute one last time.
Many people on the threads have pointed out that just counting the class experience (basically age) is not enough, you need to count the actual games started as well.
I agree, games started should be part of this analysis.
AmazinBlue pointed out that Phil Steele has published a convenient list of all the games started by the players on the roster before the season began (http://www.philsteele.com/Blogs/2013/JUN13/DBJune08.html). Since the data is so handy, I figured I would go ahead and combine both sets of data and make a handy dandy XY Scatter chart. X-axis is the total combined number of Class Experience (i.e. Frosh=1, rs Frosh = 1.5) and Y-axis is the total number of previous games started.
As you can see from above, Michigan is in a better place than at least four teams (Auburn, UCLA, LSU, and Texas Tech), and surprisingly not that far away from Alabama.
Statistically, Michigan is within one standard deviation from the mean on Total Games Previously Started and just .16 away from one standard deviation for Total Class Experience. That, by definition, says Michigan o-line is not an outlier.
Again, the data says Michigan o-line is young, but not "outlier" young. There are other teams in top 25 who are just as inexperienced and a few who are even in a worse position. Blaming all of our woes on o-line experience does not paint the entire picture.
The link is here: http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/terps/bs-sp-terps-big-ten-1107-20131106,0,2282119.story. Some excerpts:
The public relations campaign was meant to help turn the tide in favor of the move. It included hiring a corporate communications consultant to help shape the message and also working to prevent news of the negotiations from getting out before the move was imminent.
Ullmann [Asst VP of marketing and communications] also wrote that the school planned to "engage professional assistance in helping to drop positive messages into the blogs, comments and message board sites. I will arrange for this service today."
Many of the emails discussing the PR strategy copied top Maryland administrators such as president Wallace Loh and Anderson. The school routinely circulated emails chronicling and commenting on stories, blogs and tweets about the Big Ten move. Consultants also reached out to certain media members, either criticizing them for negative commentary or praising them for supporting the move.
Lee Zeidman, the corporate communications consultant who helped Maryland draft letters and talking points, said Wednesday that it is "standard operating procedure" in the business world to weigh in directly on message boards. "There are special PR agencies who work in the digital space who bombard blogs and newspaper sites where no one puts their name," Zeidman said.
In the days before the Big Ten discussions were made public, Maryland and its consultants considered how to release the story.
"Scott Van Pelt is a powerful voice in the media and a loyal UMD grad," public relations consultant John Maroon wrote to a Maryland communications official before the story broke. "It would be in our best interest to let Van Pelt break the story and talk about all of the positives."
It's interesting to me that blogs like this one would be the targets of this kind of activity. But I suppose it's not surprising. This is the brave new world of college athletics and conference expansion, I suppose. With so much money at stake, administrators needs to control the message as much as possible.
We are 4 days removed from the Satuday Massacre and its time to move forward to Nebraska. Let's put our emotions from saturday behind us (I finally did yesterday) and realize there is still football to play. I think we come out Saturday and we make a statement.
Lucky for me, I'll be visiting Ann Arbor saturday to witness the game with some friends who have never visited Ann Arbor so I'm looking to show them good time along with the W. I wanted to see if any kind mgobloggers would be open to us crashing their tailgate and talking football (Borges/Funk should be banned topic though). Of course we would chip in $$$ for booze and food :).
Guess what, folks? More MACtion tonight. I know, you're thrilled - it's football.
This time, Central Michigan will be taking on Ball State on ESPN2, according to their schedule.
You matchup stats:
|Central Mich.||Ball State|
|Rush Play %||50.84%||45.61%|
|Pass Play %||49.16%||54.39%|
|3D Conv %||38.04%||44.12%|
|RZ Scoring %||77.27%||81.25%|
|Central Mich.||Ball State|
|Opp Completion %||67.72%||59.44%|
|Opp 3D Conv %||52.08%||39.37%|
|Opp RZ Scoring %||91.30%||70.00%|
Compelling: Former Wisconsin guard John Moffitt walks away from the NFL leaving possible millions on the table
Claims the game just doesn't make him happy and that he doesn't care if he has a chance to win the Super Bowl (he plays with Manning in Denver). I admire his perspective--what's surprising is you don't hear about this type of thing happening more often, especially among guys who have had the opportunity to bank 3 or 4 million dollars. As he says here: "How much do you really need?"
Sorry! UPDATE: link: