ohio state blogs will post literally anything
For long-time MGoBlog readers who'd like a trip down memory lane and into the realm of hearsay and speculation (not to mention a fun distraction from yesterday's events), there's an interesting article on EMU in the DetNews today:
EMU regent Jim Stapleton did not agree with the firing, saying English needed six years to succeed. He said English had one of the best coaching staffs in the MAC, men who won titles elsewhere.
“They did not get dumb overnight,” he said.
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He also blamed former players for creating a negative vibe around the program.
“A lot of those guys fought against his hiring,” Stapleton said. “(English) had internal battles all the time. There was a culture of former players who did not want to see him succeed. … They never liked him.”
* * * * *
Sounds familiar, doesn't it?
The Nebraska center was obviously late snapping the ball on 4th & 2 at the Michigan 31 on their game-winning drive. "Illegal procedure, the whole team" should have been the words out of the official's mouth. Instead, the Nebraska gain of 26 yards on a pass to Kenny Bell stood.
It should have been a 4th and 7 do-over.
Clearly, M fans seem to be sensing that we have bigger problems than a single loss.
If we beat Ohio, does that save the season in your mind? If not, does it at least allow you to stomach the season?
Does it mean anything at all? (Other than what it traditionally means)
As you might expect, the state of our game Open Threads is not good, but there is definitely some stuff that is worthing noting now that we have experienced the Nebraska game and our first home loss since 2010.
We increased our production of cussing and general ill will towards things by an impressive 26.2% game-over-game from last week, which should quell fears - at least for now - that we are growing apathetic as a fanbase. In doing so, we have come within 100 instances of reaching the 3,000 plateau for the tracked words and references, and there are still three games left.
In other good news, we are starting a trend of mixing up the words a little, although we continue to lean rather a lot on "fuck", particularly in the form of an interjection and adjective. We did decrase the overall mix of "fuck" by about another 2%, so it is down to 47.54% as part of the overall total. It won't shock anyone, but "suck" has taken a slight lead as the second most common of the tracked words at a respectable but still distant 13.05% of the overal total.
Here is the updated summary data:
|TOTAL||AVERAGE||STD. DEV.||% oF TOTAL|
|"put in Morris"||99||11.00||13.67||3.41%|
Hidden in here but quite notable is the spike in references to put in Shane Morris. Twenty-eight people had stated that they had their fill of Devin Gardner yesterday, which is the most since the Penn State game. Actually, more than half of the Morris posts tracked here come from that game and now yesterday's game. Here is the game-by-game count - if you double-click on the image, you will get to see the full-scale graph on Photobucket:
The normalized values:
So, it will look different than last week's because of two spikes - we blew the doors off of calls for firing someone. The Z-value this week is 2.04. We also blew the door off of "ass" for some reason, relying on this word at a rate 2.12 standard deviations above the normal use of "ass".
Here are a few interesting relationships that are within the normalized chart. First, something that I will call "F*ck-Fire Relationship":
It is still evident that the watershed moment for the season was Penn State, but you can see even with this subset of data that we've eased on the "fuck" and gone right to "fire" in the past two weeks. Obviously, the anger is understandable. Here's the "Shit-Damn" comparison:
"Damn" saw most of its life during the Penn State game, but "shit" saw spikes during Akron and UConn. My theory - as I was swearing off-blog - is that this was due to the unexpected flow of these games in combination with results. You can see "shit" trending back to decent levels, but "damn" is fading again.
Preliminary results of accumulating data for a Pareto Of Discontent seem to indicate that 80% of the anger is directed at Borges, turnovers, negative run plays and 3rd and longs. More on this as I develop the metric.
For coach Borges I'd like to ask. If you don't beleive we're tipping on hand with certain packages, how do you explain Nebraska consiatantly run blitzing where our RB hole was supposed to be. Or why Penn state would substitute their DE's for tackles on certain plays. Even if you don't see it , what are you going to do to correct it.
For Coach Hoke, If you love The University of Michigan does it hurt you physically when your offensive coaches let the players down? Do you ever want to punch Borges in the face?
For coach Mattison it's more of a statement. We're sorry and please don't join Urban meyer in Columbus when Hoke is fired.
I have become a bit immune to the mess that is on the field, as there are no quick solutions. Whatever "fixes" people are throwing around, it is a 3 year project - if this is even the right staff to implement it. So this leaves fun with records.
I was taken aback by the rush defense statistics Ace posted on the Nebraska recap
This was Nebraska coming into the game - they of the 85th rush defense in the country.
|South Dakota State||33||271||2||8.2|
Today we had 36 rushes for -21 yards inclusive of sacks and sailed center / QB exchanges. With sacks removed, Ace noted UM rushed 22x for 29 yards. (insert "an improvement over the PSU game!" cheer here) That is staggering when you compare it to the data points above. To put in perspective Green: 8 carries for 11 yards, Fitz: 9 carries for 6 yards. Funchess the superstar RB, had 1 carry for 5 yards to boost our average.
Michigan has now rushed in consecutive games for negative yards. Looking ahead, the potential exists for 5 in a row. The only realistic hope for not 5 in a row is next week @ NW.
Rushing defenses in this 5 game span:
- #1 MSU
- #4 OSU
- #32 Iowa
- #71 NW
- #85 Neb
I am marrying with this "team tackles for loss" which would indicate big play ability to create chunky losses. This is one area Nebraska surprisngly shines despite a very average defense. But so does NW. Iowa on the other hand lacks that big playmaking ability (until they play UM's offense of course - /drink)
- #29 MSU
- #30 Neb
- #45 NW
- #59 OSU
- #101 Iowa
Last we will include sacks as this is what the NCAA official running stats include. Nebraska surprisngly efficient here as well with 2.9 a game, pre UM game. MSU is 2.8 inclusive of the 7 UM gave them. Iowa again lags here - they are just a stout discplined run defense, which in some ways makes their #32 ranking more impressive as they do not benefit from splash plays.
- #18 OSU
- #21 Neb
- #26 MSU
- #51 NW
- #84 Iowa
I could not control for Glasgow throws over Gardner's head as the data pool is too small. I will assume 1 for -7 yards each game in our remaining 3. Married to an average of 5 sacks from NW and Iowa (a statistical improvement over Nebraska performance) for say 35 yards total loss this would require +42 yards of positive rushing yardage to hit break even. +43 to avoid infamy. Are you feeling lucky, punk? (A similar OSU analysis was discontinued due to tears of OP)
So the takeaway here is Iowa run defense will pound us in unsexy fashion - many -2 yards and a cloud of dust. However one can expect their sacks and TFL to jump dramatically in the game as we just saw with Neb and MSU. NW might allow us some positive chunk yards on rush offense...by chunk I mean >1.25 yards but <1.75 yards...mixed with our assorted -2 loss plays. NW makes big splash plays and comes in with a slightly more stout rush defense than Nebraska. As for OSU... ummm.... yeah.
I like our chances here to set some dubious NCAA record of 5 games in a row with negative rushing yards. We should know in a week as it appears to be Northwestern or bust with Iowa and OSU being fait accompli. I say if you are going to do something awful, do it big - none of this 3 of the last 5 games being held to negative yards. Go full monty.... and let's do it again in the bowl game after 15 more practices to work on "execution".