gambling establishment etc
Steve Wiltfong at 247 just tweeted:
Commit coming today to Michigan
Let the speculation begin.
Not caring much who won yesterday, I thought that the most interesting part of the game was the Patriots' decision to let the Giants score. Reactions seem to fall anywhere from "That was crazy" to "They should have done it sooner." The latter makes more sense, I think - and specifically that the Pats should have let NY score on first down at the 18.
Some quick facts (one based on my memory of the game):
* CNNSI.com lists Giants' kicker Lawrence Tynes' stats on the year as 3-4 from 30-39 and 12-12 from 1-29.
*IIRC, the Giants had the ball at the 18 on first down with two minutes left.
*Manning has been historically good in the 4th quarter this year.
*The Patriots had the 31st rated defense in the league, but were much better (15th) when it came to points.
My thoughts: The Giants seemed very unlikely to end up with a 35 yard attempt when they were at the 18 with two minutes left. They were moving the ball with little trouble. I don't think, then, that we can look at the situation as one in which giving up a touchdown there is giving surrendering a 25% chance of winning (1/4 being the amount of field goals from 30-39 that Tynes missed). Even if the Giants had stalled at the 18, they were likely to use up a lot of time before they kicked that 35 yard FG (and/or caused the Pats to exhaust their timeouts). The Pats would only have needed a FG in response to a NY field goal, of course, but the value of that diminishes as every second ticks off of the clock.
Letting the Giants score a TD with roughly two minutes left gives you the ball back in Brady's hands with two timeouts and a realistic amount of time. Letting NY score with one minute, on the other hand, didn't leave you enough time. Finally, letting Tynes kick a 35-yard field goal as time expires gives you, IMO, the smallest chance of wininning (25% based on his performance during the year?).
Two final notes: I realize that Bill Belichick's socks know more about football than I do. I'm just throwing this out for fun.
Second, I realize that this probably came up yesterday at some point on the board. However, many of us were not on the board then because we were watching the game with friends and family or manning the international space station.
Very slow day, Anybody hear anything?? Last I saw on the board there was some talk of Kozan deciding not more than a day or two after Diamond. Any info that would be of use??
New Lenox (IL) Lincoln-Way West OL Colin McGovern is one of the standouts among a loaded class of offensive linemen in the state of Illinois. The 6'6", 280-pound junior recently picked up a Michigan offer to go along with early offers from Illinois, Indiana, Northwestern, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. McGovern, rated as a four-star tackle to 24/7, has the potential to play either guard or tackle at the collegiate level and displays some very impressive run-blocking ability in his junior film (above). I got the chance to talk to Colin over the weekend and here's the full transcript of the interview:
ACE: First of all, how is everything going with your recruitment, and who do you have offers from?
COLIN: It started off back in December, Northwestern was the first one to offer me. It was kind of slow [for a while]. After that, I was talking with Michigan a lot and it was just a lot of talking with schools, no offers. Then about two weeks ago Tennessee came in, Coach [Sam] Pittman, and he offered me, and from there it just picked up. That was two weeks ago, so within the last two weeks I picked up six more offers, and I got one today from Indiana—you probably haven't seen that yet because I haven't told anyone about it.
ACE: Of the schools that have been in contact with you so far, do you have any early favorites?
COLIN: I'm pretty much neutral on all the schools because I never really grew up a fan of a certain team. I just grew up watching all games. Going into the recruiting process I don't really have a favorite.
ACE: With Michigan, I know they just offered you. Who have you been in contact with the coaching staff and how did you learn about getting the offer?
COLIN: Coach Funk is the only coach that I've been talking with and I actually called him yesterday—he was the one that offered me.
ACE: What are your impressions of Michigan as a school and a program?
COLIN: Well I only caught one game this year and that was the Ohio State game. From what I saw it was a pretty great game—two great football teams going at it and Michigan came out on top. Just from after the game you saw, once they did beat Ohio State, you saw the celebration and all that kind of stuff; all the fans getting into it and all the tradition. Obviously they're the most winningest team in college football history, they have a great educational school—everything's great about Michigan.
ACE: How would you describe your game on the field? What are your main strengths and what are you trying to work on for your senior year and getting to the next level?
COLIN: For being so tall one of my strengths is being able to get and stay low through the whole block—I don't get too high. I need to work on maybe getting a little lower, finishing through the block, and maybe my explosiveness off the ball too.
ACE: The early returns on the offensive line class from the state of Illinois for 2013, there are some really good prospects coming out of there. Have you been in contact with any of the guys like Logan Tuley-Tillman, Ethan Pocic, Kyle Bosch, and Colin Goebel? Do you talk to those guys at all and is there any feeling among you guys of trying to go to the same school?
COLIN: I haven't really talked to them all that much. I have been doing Core 6—I did the Core 6 practice and showcase with Tillman, but I haven't really talked that much with him. Pocic I haven't really had a chance to talk to even though he was at the showcase. I'm really not even that acquainted with the guys, so I wouldn't really be able to say, with either of the two, whether we're out really for ourselves or trying to get together or whatever.
ACE: I was going to ask you about Core 6. What's it like being able to have all these high-caliber high school athletes all together in one place working out? How much does that help your development?
COLIN: Well, I've only been to one, like I said, and then the showcase. As of right now I don't think I'm going to be working with them just because I had prior commitments. I think I'm just going to keep on going with what I'm doing. When I did go to those two things, it was pretty cool having all those other, not only great football players, but recruits there too, because they're going through the same thing and you could relate to them. At the same time they helped me get better when you're practicing with them, too. It seems like a great thing.
ACE: So what are your plans in terms of training over the offseason? Do you have any plans for going to any camps or visiting any schools over the summer?
COLIN: I was planning on visiting a lot of places, I'm not exactly sure what the schedule for that is yet. In terms of workouts, I'm going to be working with [former Northwestern and NFL lineman] Matt Ulrich and Ron Potonic* and just doing my football team lifts during the week.
ACE: In terms of a timeline for your recruitment, do you know when you want to narrow things down and wrap it up?
COLIN: I've been thinking about that and I was planning on hopefully getting committed somewhere before next season starts, but if I don't have my school picked out I'm not going to rush such a big decision.
ACE: What are you looking for in a school when it comes down to decision time?
COLIN: The number one factor for me is the education. If a school doesn't have a good education that's going to be a major turnoff towards a school. It would be great to play in the NFL but honestly you always have to have that backup plan and I'm going to need a good degree. So, I'd say the educational standing of a school and then of course the football program, because if I'm going to go play football at a school I might as well be on a good football team. Those are pretty much it. If I had to pick a third, I'd say maybe playing time or conference, maybe, but they wouldn't be huge deciding factors.
ACE: Going away from football, what's one thing that you want people to know about you that goes outside of the football field?
COLIN: Actually, Allen Trieu from Scout.com just talked with my coach and he wrote an article about what my coach had to say about me. What he was saying is not only am I a hard worker on the field and off the field in the classroom and in the weight room, but he said the number one thing is that I've kept my head on straight and I've stayed humble throughout this whole process. I haven't let it go to my head.
*I believe this means he's training at Winning Edge Athletics in Chicago.
No official confirmation, but WTKA said this morning that all of the tickets in the initial allotment for the Cowboy Classic have been sold out. If it's true it really sucks, normal season ticket holders and the Public never even got a chance to buy any. Hopefully the school can get more or something
I read this article this morning talking about our QB situation for the 2012 season. They are obviously trying to create buzz by the title, but the article basically says there is no QB controversy. I agree.
Moving on to 2013 when we basically have:
Devin Gardner - 2 years elg. left (pending probable RS)
Shane Morris - True Freshman
Russell Bellomy -3 year elg. left (RS Sophomore)
What are the chances we see Sugar Shane starting in the 2013 season? If not at the beginning, then at least by the end? Obviously, this depends on the development of Devin this year, and how good Shane is when he hits campus. But, I think pretty good.
The coaches are always saying the best 11 will play. You also tend to see young QBs come in and play early when the system is changing or there is no real good upperclassmen options. Example would be Chad Henne is 2004 or Braxton Miller last year.
So, if Shane can come in and compete better or as well as Devin, and Shane is presumably the future of the program, Shane should play - there is so much upside to this decision. But, what happens to Devin? Obviously, the kid is a freak athlete and can contribue, but if not at QB, where?
Just interested in the board's thoughts on a slow day awaiting Alex Kozan's decision.