Hoke was top notch at this aspect of his job.
While a thread below considers what bowl opponent IS likely for UM, what bowl we SHOULD be going to?
Although some uncertainty remains, most people expect NU and NEB to go to the CapOne and Outback Bowls over UM. The reason is that the B1G sends a team to the Capitol One (or Outback) if it has two more wins (or two fewer losses) than its competitor.*
WIth this rule, however, teams with far easier out-of-conference (OOC) games are much more likely to win the higher bowl bids. And this year, unfortunately, UM had a much tougher schedule. It played its toughest OOC games on the road vs. teams with an average Sagarin PREDICTOR rank of #2, both on the road. NEB and NU played vs. opponents with an average rank of about #43, including one home game.**
Partly as a result, UM has by far the highest Sagarin rank (UM #24, NEB #29, NU #38). Indeed, even according to the final BCS rankings, UM clearly would be ranked above NU (and probably NEB). So, it should be going either to the CapOne or Outback bowl, right?
Imagine what would happen If the B1G were unified once again, without the unfair divisions. Then, if it still wanted a title game, perhaps it should be sending the 2 teams with the highest BCS ranks. So, UM would have played NEB for the title. Um would not have to play on the road, like the last game. It would have to play not with its 3rd string QB. It would have Devin Gardner. And it probably would have Denard Robinson In fact, playing vs. a NEB team that just gave up 70 points to Wisc, Robinson would likely set the all-time NCAA QB rushing record in a big UM win.
But then, like now, UM would probably not going to the CapOne or Outback bowl.
In this alternate universe where the B1G has rational rules, UM would be going to the Rose Bowl.
*These are the only rules I could find on the web, as reported by Rittenberg in 2011. So, I am assuming the rules have not changed. http://espn.go.com/blog/bigten/post/_/id/39509/reviewing-b1gs-bowl-selec...
**I report the Sagarin PREDICTOR rankings because these are the ones most likely to predict actual game outcomes. Here are Sagarin PREDICTOR rank and rating, average Sagarin rank of the top 2 OOC opponents and B1G record for each team.
UM #24 82.05 TOP 2 OOC OPPONENTS; ROAD ND #1 AND ALA#3 (#1-2 BCS), B1G 6-2
NEB #29 80.04 HOME ARKANSAS STATE #54, ROAD UCLA #19, B1G 7-2
NU #38 78.29 HOME VANDY #35 ROAD SYRACUSE #50, B1G 5-3
Reported that Dave Doreen is leaving Northern Illinois to take over as head coach at North Carolina State. He continued a winning program in the MAC, had two straight championship seasons, and just spoiled Kent St’s chance at a BCS berth. He has brought Jordan Lynch along very well, interested what he could do with a better program.
Should be a good hire for them, but here is a primarily Great Lakes area coach now headed to ACC. Wonder how much effect it will have on Midwest area talent. His primary scouting area of familiarity is here.
I don't think I like what college football is becoming. I know the chaos of last year proved that the system is broken. But having 8-5 Wiscy at the Rose Bowl proves to me that the new way we're doing things (and trying to do more of in the future) isn't any better. Yes, I know Ohio is ineligible and so this season is an exception, but looking across the country and through history this isn't the first time undeserving teams win the little playoff game at the end of the season. The Big XII had it happen all the time. Georgia Tech nearly did it. UCLA had a chance to do it last season. And rematches are stupid, anyway, which is another reason I hate these expanded conferences and their title games.
Even worse to me was what SI's "mock" committee selected for the playoffs. The committee would have selected an Oregon team that didn't win its division, and they were flirting with the idea of sending three SEC teams. That makes very little sense to me - the whole point of playoffs is so we can take teams who've been isolated from each other but were the best in their isolated conferences, and match them up to see who's the best of the best. You don't think Stanford is deserving because they lost to the #1 team in the nation on a questionabl goal line stand? Fine - then send K-State, not an Oregon team who had a cakewalk of a non-conference schedule. But the morons who run college football are going screw up this playoff or expand it (which is also screwing it up).
I'll always love Michigan football and always watch them. But I used to love the "chase" for the national title, whether or not we were a part of it. I loved seeing who won what conference and who played in which bowl games and how the BCS filled their slots. But these last two seasons, that has been so unsatisfying. I almost wanted to see 6-6 GT win the ACC just so everyone can see how ridiculous this new system of super conferences and divisions are, with the de facto playoffs at the end that next year lead into the "national" playoffs.
For years we all clamored, begged, and wanted playoffs. I'm regretting what that has led to. We've ripped apart and thrown away traditional rivalries that made these conferences seems like families. I am beginning to wish Penn State had joined the Big East in 1982. I don't think it's crazy to say that none of this super conference bullshit would have happened with that being the case. Sure, maybe the SEC and Big 12 would have formed. But the 14 team Big Ten, the ACC and the Pac 12? Maybe, it was inevitable, I don't know.
Maybe I'll get used to it - Michigan at High Point Solutions Stadium to play Rutgers. Every conference having a title game, the champions meeting in the bowl game playoffs. Maybe the powers that be will figure out the kinks in the next few years and actually make it so 8-5
Wiscy doesn't head to the Rose. And it is a good thing that we'll no longer have our arguments about "who is better?" But is that worth what we've given up? Conferences felt like families, rivalries that built this sport? With Wiscy in the Rose and Maryland in the Big Ten the answer for me is no. And even if this season proves to be an anomaly, we would still have lost something with forsaking tradition and embracing a system that leaves no doubt who's "the champ." And college football is becoming a little bit less special as each of these moves happens.
Oh well. Sorry if this rant clutters up the board without adding anything, feel free to send me to Bolivia if neccessary.
Pull for the Domers or pull for the SEC..... either way you feel tainted and dirty at the end of the day. After watching Gameday this morning and hearing all the SEC fans cheering SEC and overated to Brian Kelly, I decided if Georgia lost I'd be going for Notre Dame.
Alabama looks far from the unbeatable juggernaut most of the country deemed them to be by midseason. They look just as flawed as Notre Dame. I think it all comes down to whos fans can you put up with and I believe I can take Notre Dame fans for 1 year more than than I can take SEC fans for another year
Looks like Arkansas is set to hire Chris Peterson to be the new head coach of the Razorbacks.
As of Saturday evening, multiple sources have said that Boise State coach Chris Petersen is expected to be named the new Razorbacks coach Tuesday. Considering the Hogs will play Oklahoma in basketball that evening at Bud Walton Arena, it’s not out of the realm of possibility that he could be formally introduced to the fans then.
That’s assuming, of course, nothing changes. After the Dana Altman experience of 2007, Arkansas fans have seen just about the strangest of the strange things happen when it comes to new coaching hires. That was when the Creighton coach was hired to replace the fired Stan Heath, took the job and backed out the next day.