alternate headline: man does job
Interesting article about Chase Winovich being won over to Michigan by Coach Hoke after being a lifelong Ohio fan:
Yes, it's mlive but I thought it was tolerable enough and it has subtle shots at Urban!
Because I was bored during lunch, I wanted to see how John Beilein's teams had improved over his tenure at Michigan by looking at the final KenPom and Sagarin numbers. I made 2 quick and dirty graphs that show the teams yearly final rank and rating. I thought the team rank would probably be the best way to compare across years because it is more standardized as the formula for the rating may have slight tweaks that impact the final value of the rating between years.
Amazingly, Michigan's teams under Beilein showed a progressive improvement each year with the outlier of one year, 2009 or 2010. You could make a case that Michigan overachieved ahead of schedule in 2009 or underachieved in 2010. I also thought it was pretty interesting that Michigan has played one of the toughest schedules in the nation under Beilein. Some of this has to do with the Big Ten Conference, but even within the Big Ten, Michigan's SOS are some of the best. Michigan has pretty much had a top 15 SOS every year under Beilein.
EDIT: Can't figure out how to successfully cut and paste the graphs.
The raw numbers:
|Year||KenPom Rank||KenPom Rating||Sagarin Syn Rank||Sagarin Syn Rating||Sagarin Predict Rank||KenPom SOS||Sagarin SOS|
I recently had a conversation with a friend about our expectations for Michigan football over an average 20 year period, and they were wildly different. I am quite conservative (6 B1G, .5 Natties, 8 vs. Ohio, 13 vs. Sparty, 7 #1 B1G Classes), and I was surprised by how much more he expected us to win. So, I wanted to get a reading on how good people expect Michigan to be. Please fill out this survey (or post your opinions as comments)!
NOTE: I came (and thus became a fan) to Michigan in 2008 (whoops!), so I have not experienced the success that many before me have.
EDIT: Obviously, I would like to share the information once I've collected enough responses. Unfortunately, the monkey got me...can only see the data for the first 100 responders until I pay. I'll see what I can do regarding getting the information back to everyone in a few days.
Quasi-interesting article where a guy did some "big data" analysis of the effects of the higher elevation in Mile High Stadium. What's more interesting is that he linked to all of the play by play data from the NFL for 2002 through 2012 (wk 12). For someone with a lot of time on their hands you could do some interesting queries on relative impact of Michigan players versus other schools in the NFL, or whatever questions you can think of. The play description would require some parsing along with some joining with a db of names and schools, but it presents interesting possibilities. I know MGoBlog breaks down Michigan's play by play, but is there a free resource like this for all of college football? (STATS and Sports Network have this data for a license fee.)
Not a huge surprise as Richard Ash and Josh Furman were both redshirt juniors. Hopefully they both get their degrees this spring and find a place to play next year like Michael Cox.
Michigan spokesman says Josh Furman, Richard Ash and Thomas Rawls have all been granted transfer releases.
A feel-good story for your weekend. Go Blue!