no, YOU'RE off topic
Like many of you, I study recruiting too closely. I have for years. And in this time I've begun to notice patterns that tend to emerge that I use to predict recruiting commitments.
I don't know if I'm better or worse than the next guy but at least there's method to my madness. Here are my three "Recruiting Heuristics:"
1.) If a kid has been "heavily favored" somewhere for a long time without a commitment, he's unlikely to end up there. An explanation for this phenomenon might be that you're waiting around for something better.
2.) Late-game inexplicable "surprise visits" tend to be motivated to goad the bagmen into visiting. Beware the surprise LSU visitor. Leonard Fournette wasn't coming to Michigan, guys. But who can blame scheduling a free vacation in order to get paid a couple G's to skip it? No judgment here.
3.) If you think in terms of "tiers of program prestige," you rarely pick a school more than one tier down from your most prestigious offer. Kids might sometimes turn down Michigan for State or Nebraska. Kids rarely turn down Michigan for Rutgers, say.
Obviously, there are tons of exceptions. These aren't hard and fast rules. But in my experience they'll rarely steer you wrong.
So what does this mean for our targets?
High on: Marshall (rule 1), R. Smith (rule 1), Burnett (rule 3), Adams (rule 3)
Low on: Clark (rule 1), Wheatley (rule 1, although that may not apply here), Jefferson (rule 2).
Thoughts? What are your "rules?"
Detroit (MI) Cass Tech linebacker Michael Oliver, a CMU commit, is visiting Michigan today. He's a 247 Composite 3-star, the #78 inside linebacker, and the #48 player in the state. Here are his highlights.
Michigan is looking at Austrailian punter Blake O'Neill who would be a graduate transfer. He played one season with Weber State.
These are the announcement times for the top Michigan targets. It's going to be a long day.
Chris Clark is 8:30.
Roquan Smith is 11:00
Iman Marshall is 4:00
This is per cleveland.com.The story says it's one reason but his wife and many other in=laws are OSU alums.
Edit: Hard to believe he would be such an idiot to let that stand in the way of a career advancement opportunity. Glad he didn't come.