I put this together every year to show how the NCAA is actually getting it right.
The NCAA controls the championships for FCS, D2 and D3. The CFP is independent of the NCAA's control.
- Conference champions from all 10 conferences get automatic bids
- First round byes for the 8 seeded teams
- First and second round games are on campus
First Round -- Campus Sites -- December 10
^ Automatic qualifier
|Florida at West Virginia||Morgantown, WV|
|Arkansas State^ at USC||Los Angeles, CA|
|LSU at Louisville||Louisville, KY|
|Temple^ at Oklahoma State||Stillwater, OK|
|San Diego State^ at Florida State||Tallhassee, FL|
|Utah at Auburn||Auburn, AL|
|Western Kentucky^ at Colorado||Boulder, CO|
|Stanford at Western Michigan^||Kalamazoo, MI|
Second Round -- Campus Sites -- December 17
|1 Alabama vs West Virginia||Tuscaloosa, AL|
|8 Wisconsin vs USC/Arkansas State||Los Angeles, CA|
|4 Washington vs Louisville/LSU||Seattle, WA|
|5 Penn State vs Oklahoma State/Temple||University Park, PA|
|6 Michigan vs Florida State/San Diego State||Ann Arbor, MI|
|3 Ohio State vs Auburn/Utah||Columbus, OH|
|7 Oklahoma vs Colorado/Western Kentucky||Norman, OK|
|2 Clemson vs Western Michigan/Stanford||Clemson, SC|
A B1G Problem:
The Big Ten has a problem this season. Nobody thinks that the winner of the B1G championship game is the best team in the league. Part of this is because the divisions are unbalanced (which will happen because things change). Another part of this is because there are only 9 games for each team in a 14-team conference. Lastly, non-conference games don’t matter. I know College football is not the NFL, but the NFL uses overall record to determine division champs, and division record as a tie-breaker. Penn State lost to Pitt. 8-4 Pitt. That should matter. Instead, the B1G is all, “Why does it even matter that Penn State is lost in a hole?”
The task of determining the “conference champion” must align with determining the “best team in the conference”. This is especially important in a limited-access playoff. The only reason that people are even giving a second B1G team to get in is because none of the other leagues have two clear top tier teams. The goal of every conference should be to have their conference championship game be a de-facto play-in game for the conference championship. The eye test here says that OSU and Michigan are the best teams in the league. Can we construct a system that generates that result?
A possible solution:
Many of these things can be solved by changing how we determine the conference champion, and re-structuring some things a bit.
- Play 10 conference games. Five at home, five on the road. No more uneven home/road splits.
- Structure non-conference play. You must play one team from a P5 conference, and one team from a G5 conference. Practically speaking, this means that each team will have 6 or 7 home games in a season (because P5 teams will want a home-and-home). Notre Dame should be considered as a P5 team since they are ACC adjacent. And it isn’t like you can tell me that they are worse than the dregs of the P5, even when they go through down stretches. Still, to hell with Notre Dame .
- Use overall record as baseline comparison. All 2-way ties are broken with the head to head result. Three (or more) way ties are broken according to the typical B1G tiebreaking procedure. (1. Record against each other. 2. Record within the Conference. 3. Record within the division. 4. Higher CFP ranking.)
- Play division games first, then re-align divisions into a top division (Top 4 teams from East and West) and a bottom division (Bottom 3 teams from East and West). Have teams in the Top Division play all of the other teams in the Top Division that they haven’t played yet.
- Conference championship games is a rematch between the #1 and #2 teams in the top division (at a neutral site).
So a season would look like this:
- Week 1: P5/G5 opponent
- Week 2: G5/P5 opponent
- Week 3: East/West division game 1
- Week 4: East/West division game 2
- Week 5: East/West division game 3
- Week 6: East/West division game 4
- Week 7: East/West division game 5
- Week 8: East/West division game 6
- Week 9: Bye week. Realign divisions
- Week 10: Top/Bottom division game 1 - Played at West Home field
- Week 11: Top/Bottom division game 2 - Played at East Home field
- Week 12: Top/Bottom division game 3 - Played at West Home field
- Week 13: Top/Bottom division game 4 - Played at East Home field (Bottom division repeats week 10 opponent at other team’s field)
- Week 14: Conference Championship (Rematch of #1 vs. #2 in top division at neutral site)
Week 3-8 games are set so that home/away is balanced. Week 10-13 games are set so that home/away is balanced AND teams still know when home/away games are happening (they just don’t know the opponent). Week 9 bye is set so that people can make travel plans for the final 4 weeks. The importance of realignment is that the top teams all skip the dregs of the other division, and still all play each other.
2016 in review
Out of conference
Teams that would have been 2-0:
Teams that would have been 1-1 (and the team that they lost to):
- Penn State (Pitt)
- Indiana (Wake Forest)
- Michigan State (BYU) 2
- Rutgers (Washington)
- Northwestern (Western Michigan)
Teams that would have been 0-2 (and the teams that they lost to):
- Illinois (North Carolina, Western Michigan)
- Purdue (Actual P5 team, Cincinatti) 3
2016 Division standings
These will include out of conference results
East Division Entrants to the Top Division are:
4. Indiana (Over Maryland due to the better division record)
West Division Entrants into the Top Division:
Top Division finale:
At this point, I no longer care about the bottom division. Someone out of the bunch will get bowl elgible. Michigan State could run the table against Purdue, Illinois, Northwestern, and Purdue and get to bowl elgibility too. In any case, by playing the bottom teams in the opposite division, teams that start slow have a shot at getting to a bowl game. On to the top division. Actual games that were played will only show a score. Games not played will be predicted using S&P+
Week 9 (at West)
- OSU @ Wisconsin (OSU 30-23 OT)
- Michigan @ Iowa (Iowa 14-13)
- PSU @ Nebraska (DNP) PSU is 12th, Nebraska is 34th.
- Indiana @ Minnesota (DNP) Indiana is 48th, Minnesota is 37th.
Week 10 (at East)
- Wisconsin @ Michigan (Michigan 14-7)
- Iowa @ PSU (PSU 41-14)
- Nebraska @ Indiana (Nebraska 27-22)
- Minnesota @ OSU (DNP) Minnesota is 37th, OSU is 3rd.
Week 11 (at West)
- OSU @ Nebraska (62-3, Actual game in C-bus)
- Michigan @ Minnesota (DNP) Michigan is 2nd, Minnesota is 37th.
- PSU @ Wisconsin (PSU 38-31, Actual game in Indianapolis)
- Indiana @ Iowa (DNP) Indiana is 48th, Iowa is 20th.
Week 12 (at East)
- Wisconsin @ Indiana (DNP) Wisconsin is 16th, Indiana is 48th.
- Iowa @ OSU (DNP) Iowa is 20th, OSU is 3rd.
- Nebraska @ Michigan (DNP) Nebraska is 34th, Michigan is 2nd.
- Minnesota @ PSU (PSU 29-26)
Michigan wins the tie-breaker based on the head to head result (according to the 2-way tie-breaker procedure the B1G uses). Michigan plays OSU in the B1G championship game. Predict that game at your peril.
http://sports.yahoo.com/news/sources-jeff-brohm-accepts-purdue-head-coac... Is Purdue the next chaos team?
I am a varsity football coach in Northwest Ohio and I'm looking for some help. I coordinate the special teams at my school, and loved the way Michigan's punt block attacked a shield punt. Does anyone have cut-ups of the special teams from Michigan's special teams?
And in a related note, any good special teams twitter follows? I currently follow Cody Alexander (matchquarters.com) , Chris Brown, and James Light. All three are excellent follows for X's and O's guys out there.
I couldn't help reminiscing about the prior regime when I read "he had such a great week of preparation" in this article:
His NFL numbers are better than the ones he had a Michigan. Seems crazy ...
Video review is much too dificult as it currently exists. I offer an easy fix.
Give each camera a time stamp while the video replay booth has the ability to look at multiple cameras feeds, with each feed time synched.
The ability to watch one view of the play (for instance: a sideline view that can see a knee hit the ground) while at the exact same time a camera 45 degrees away gets another angle (for example, seeing a ball knocked loose but not a knee)
This should be doable with current technology. The refs could, with current abilities, rock the play back and forth, while looking at both angles.
How is this not a thing? All modern sports should have this easily available for video review. Two angles, in view by the ref, at the exact same time.
This cannot be that difficult to do.