FWIW. Michigan doesn't seem inclined to get re-involved.
I went back and looked at all of Dylan's previews, noting the Pomeroy predictions for each Big Ten game. They predicted:
Michigan by 11 over PSU(check)
Michigan by 4 over Minnesota(check)
Indiana by 12 over Michigan(check)
Wisconsin by 7 over Michigan(nope...79% chance of badger win)
Michigan by 5 over Northwestern(check)
Michigan by 4 over Iowa(nope)
MSU by 4 over Michigan(nope)
Purdue by 4 over Michigan(nope)
You might as well flip a coin.
If you look at the actual scores, they're all over the place, ranging from Wisconsin(underpredicted by 25 pts) to Iowa (overpredicted by 20) you come up with Pomeroy underestimating Michigan by about 3.5 points/game. (I expected a larger number too, but that Iowa game really knocked the average down).
With the win against Purdue, things look much more doable for the balance of the year. If we hold serve and win three of the remaining four home games, (Indiana, Illinois, and Purdue,) and two road games (Nebraska and Penn State,) we end with 21 wins and 10 losses. Should we steal a win against OSU, home or away, or win at Breslin, or on the road at Northwestern or Illinois, we end up with 22 wins and a better seeding. At this point, I continue to see Michigan winning 21 or 22 games. Thoughts?
Get all your requests in for live feeds and all, get some dinner, and get ready for our first road win! Go Blue!
Michigan is on the road again tonight at Purdue, tipping off at 7PM. Michigan is likely 4 regular season wins from a tournament birth, and 8 or 9 wins from the "Big Ten Champs" goal the wolverines have been breaking the huddle with this year.
This game could tell the tale of which goal is the more realistic one.
Vegas has the bad guys by five, Pomeroy likes the bad guys by 4, and I like the good guys by 7ish.
We probably dont need much of a preview. Its purdue. Robbie Hummel will be starting for the 8'th consecutive year. They're not going to turn the ball over, and dont be surprised if Stu has two fouls when he gets off the bus. Horford didn't travel, so yet again Morgan is going to have to do work.
Here is Dylan's preview
and Generic AP preview lives here
Eventually Evan and Tim are going to snap out of it...aren't they? Michigan has been winning at home despite failing to achieve "average" status from downtown. I say Michigan gets some of those to fall tonight, and goes to Columbus for THE SHOWDOWN. Book it.
ESPN has updated their basketball recruiting top 100 for 2012 - as expected McGary dropped from 5 star to 4 star(#21 player), while GRIII has shot up the rankings all the way to #26(very high 4 star), & Stauskus jumps slightly to #79(up from #83). Overall, I'm pleased to say the least, when was the last time we were able to bring in 2 top 30 players? Coach B has done a great job in all phases of coaching.
AP - 20
Coaches - 22
Hopefully, with the gauntlet we have coming up, we can cling on to the top 25.