mesmerism! presidential assassinations! circuses on fire!
a win tonight and we're # 1 in the nation and # 1 in the big ten
If you were a Athletic Director and you recently fired your head basketball coach, which coach (besides Beilein) from the Big Ten would you hire and why? Personally, I would hire Tom Crean- a great recruiter and an intense coach.
(15-5, 2-4 Big Ten)
Wins vs Top 100 Opponents
|Wins (RPI 1-50)|
|8||Dec. 8||@ Gonzaga||85-74|
|21||Jan. 5||Ohio State||74-55|
|Wins (RPI 51-100)|
|76||Dec. 16||Eastern Kentucky||66-53|
|67||Jan. 22||@ Nebraska||71-51|
|Losses (RPI 1-50)|
|41||Jan. 12||@ Wisconsin||51-74|
|Losses (RPI 51-100)|
|Losses (RPI 101-150)|
|112||Jan. 2||@ Purdue||61-68|
SO. Tracy Abrams. G .6'1" 185 lbs.
11.4 PTS. 3.8 REB. 3.0 3PA. 28% 3PT.
SR. D.J. Richardson. G. 6'3" 195 lbs.
11.8 PTS. 4.5 REB. 7.1 3PA. 33% 3PT.
SR. Brandon Paul. G. 6'4" 200 lbs.
18.0 PTS. 4.8 REB. 6.6 3PA. 34% 3PT.
SR. Sam McLaurin. F. 6'8" 220 lbs.
3.9 PTS. 3.6 REB. 3,2 FGA, 44% FG.
SO. Nnanna Egwu. C. 6'11" 235 lbs.
6.3 PTS. 4.6 REB. 1.5 BLK.
Key Bench Players
JR. Joseph Bertrand. G. 6'6" 195 lbs.
22.9 MIN. 8.7 PTS. 4.7 REB.
SR. Tyler Griffey. F. 6'9" 220 lbs.
22.8 MIN. 7.5 PTS. 3.4 REB.
Key Team Stats (Big Ten Rankings)
11th. AST/TO. (.89)
10th. Rebounds per game. (35.4)
10th. Assists per game. (10.9)
8th. FG %. (43%)
2nd. FT %. (71%)
2nd. Blocks per game. (4.8)
6th. PTS per game. (72.8)
6th. OFF Rebounds per game. (12.0)
What I make out of all of this
This is a team that lives and dies by the three. When they were making them early in the year, they were a top ten team nationally. They have attempted almost 100 more threes than Michigan, but have only made 4 more (they've played 20 games, we've played 19). It is going to be very important that we don't give them any open looks on the outside. They get a decent amount of Off Rebounds, but they also have the most FGA in the conference.
Spread Mich -6
Michigan 68, Illinois 61
I think Illinois is going to start off hot, similar to Purdue, and build a decent first half lead on us. After an inspirational Bacari Alexander half time speech, the defense will shut down Illinois from the perimeter in the second half and Michigan will go on a run. Illinois won't be able to continue their 3pt shooting success and Michigan will take over the game.
Didn't see this up yet, so I figured I would take the initiative. Top 25 Matchups are
- 25 Miami v. FSU
- 7 IU v. 13 MSU
- 17 Creighton v SIU
and obviously us later at 6:00
Obviously, the IU MSU game has the most effect on us, but other games of note include Iowa v. Purdue, and possibly Rutgers v. UConn.
A recurring theme I've heard put forward over the past month or two is that this is THE year for Michigan basketball. Go for broke, because after this year, Burke leaves, THJ leaves, and even Little Dog may leave. Beilein has pulled out the redshirts this year because it is a year to win it all.
I don't disagree that it is a year to win it all for Michigan basketball, and it's worth putting everything into it. However, I'm wondering if it's true that this is THE year. In that spirit, I thought we could take an early look at 2013 Michigan basketball and what the odds are that next year could be "The Year" too.
First off, lets set a prospective depth chart for 2013. This depth chart will assume that we lose the following players for 2013:
|Trey Burke||Draft||Point Guard|
|Tim Hardaway Jr||Draft||Shooting Guard|
|Glen Robinson III||Draft||Shooting Foreward|
That makes our returning curren depth chart as follows:
|Spike Albrecht||Sophomore||Point Guard|
|Nick Stauskas||Sophomore||Shooting Guard|
|Jon Horford||RS Junior||Center|
|Caris LeVert||Sophomore||Shooting Guard|
|Max Bielfeldt||RS Sophomore||Foreward|
|Jordan Morgan||RS Senior||Center|
To these players, Michigan is adding the following freshmen for 2013 (others may be added, but these are sure things):
|Derrick Walton||Point Guard||4|
|Austin Hatch||Shooting Guard||3|
Ed: No Hatch. He reclassified. Blame Bourbon
This Gives us a 2013 depth chart that looks something like the following:
|Point Guard||Spike Albrecht||Derrick Walton|
|Guard||Nick Stauskas, Caris Levert|
|Foreward||Max Bielfeldt||Zak Irvin|
|Center||Mitch McGary||Jordan Morgan||Jon Horford, Mark Donnal|
First of all, lets just come out and say it. That's a damn good depth chart. A little light, but damn good. At any rate, to figure out where we're at for 2013, we should look at lost production and minutes first. Per ESPN:
|Tim Hardaway Jr.||33.7||16.2||2.6|
|Glenn Robinson III||32.2||12.1||1.3|
I am going to discount the top five guys in that list because all put together they average less than 18 minutes per game. That's garbage time that you fill with those guys to reduce the chance of injury to your starters and primary backups and so that they get a chance to play.
PG - 33.7 MPG, 17.8 PPG, 7.2 APG
SG - 33.7 MPG, 16.2 PPG, 2.6 APG
F - 32.2 MPG, 12.1 PPG, 1.3 APG
I know that doesn't cover everything these guys are doing for the team, or even close to it. But if similar production can be put up, it can be assumed that production in other areas, defense, rebounding and general intangibles will be close.
The question is, between the improvement of Freshmen to Sophomore players and the addition of high rated freshemen, do we have it? There is no good math for just how players will perform when their minutes skyrocket (Spike?) or how freshmen will perform (Irvin?), because it varies so much. Therefore, I ask you. Do we have it?