that is nice bonus change
As always, the game will get its own thread this afternoon, as will the other game. But for those that are excited on this Easter Sunday...here's a thread for us to discuss today's games.
|2:20 PM||(4) Michigan vs (3) Florida*||CBS|
|5:05 PM||(2) Duke vs (1) Louisville*||CBS|
Put this together very late last night had family over and did not get a chance to work on it til around midnightish or so but hope you enjoy GO BLUE!!!! BEAT THE GATORS!!!
Deep and rugged with good to very good teams it might be, it's nowhere near nationally dominant.
It's been proven once again. This time with an exclamation point because this was the year when the hype was the biggest.
A miracle effort Friday by the likely national player of the year is the only thing currently preventing a total skunking in next week's Final 4. Scorecard: 4 teams in the sweet 16 who all played semi-home games in the early rounds and when the games went truly neutral and competition stiffened, they couldn't produce.
Syracuse absolutely embarrasses the league champion. Then the Big East plants 3 in the elite 8. After Louisville clobbers Duke tonight, the eye test wins again. When you watch Big East top teams play: bigger better athletes, deeper with those athletes, and with elite coaching.
I am the biggest Big Ten fan ever, but let's be real. It's more or less a legend (or leader) in it's own fantasy land. Year in, year out.
|True Shooting %||57.3%||57.6%|
I don't have a lot to say here except to note how RIDICULOUSLY identical both teams are in statistical profile. Rebounding and FT% are EXACT, 3P% is just one tenth off, and Steals, FT% and Assist rate are all razor thin.
I'd like to THINK that a team putting up identical numbers to M in the SEC should be highly advantageous for Michigan. I mean, by and large, they even play our game.
POSS - 64.7 / 62.7
FGA/Game - 58.2 / 54.3
3PA/Game - 19.7 / 21.8
OFF REB/Game - 10.7 / 10.7
It's unreal! It's a freakin' Mortal Kombat Mirror Match!
We will not be beaten at our own game.
So, we all know there was a very tiny chance of Michigan completing its comeback against Kansas on Friday, as evidenced by the win probability chart Brian frontpaged earlier.
Kenpom records that at the worst, with just over two mnutes to play, Michigan had just a 0.62% chance to win.If that game happend 200 times, the math says Michigan would win one of them. (And another one would either be Schroedinger's Basketball Game or that weird 3/10ths of a child that American families somehow manage to produce on the regular, but I digress).
Was that the most unlikely comeback this season? Not even close. Kenpom Blog recounds 13 others that were even LESS likely. You'll need a membership to read about each game, but the article mentioning each one is free.
The winner? Northern Kentucky over Jacksonville, trailing by 13 with just 2.27 to go, had a .22% chance. It just goes to show, never, never EVER say die.