mesmerism! presidential assassinations! circuses on fire!
The Michigan Women just got done destroying Duquesne at Crisler in the WNIT Second Round.
Next up, they travel to bowling green in the WNIT Third Round on Thursday, March 27 at 7pm.
Goree once again had a double-double, her 13th of the season. Michigan was sputtering in the first half when she went out with two fouls, but once KBA put her back in, Michigan took control of the game once again.
The final score is not indicative of how lopsided the game was. Michigan was up 56-29 and also had a 31-point lead at one point.
bowling green was an NCAA bubble team this season. Michigan played them in the first game of the season out in New Rochelle, NY in the Iona Tournament and lost 52-63.
Thing is, this Michigan team returned less than 15% of its scoring from last season. They are a completely different team now than they were back in November.
For the first time in program history, Michigan has three straight 20+ win seasons. Kim Barnes Arico is the first MIchigan coach ever to have back-to-back 20+ win seasons. She also is the winningest coach in Michigan history in terms of overall win percentage.
It probably didn't cross anybody's mind either because we are in the midst of March Madness or just because the Pistons are...the Pistons, but Trey Burke and the Jazz are hosting the Pistons tonight at 9 PM on FSD for those interested in watching! I hope Trey drops another double-double on them like he did in January! After all, it is March....
Ever wonder how the collective knowledge of MGoBloggers stacks up against the big names and professional blowhards of the business?
As many of you know, Saint_in_Blue has once again set up a bracket contest at ESPN for the blog. There are 440 entries (well, 455, but 15 of them are blank and I'm going to ignore them).
ESPN and CBS have posted "celebrity brackets" at their websites and here's how we measure up after the first weekend. (Scores are normalized to the standard 1-2-4... pts/game method used at CBS and most private contests--ESPN multiplies these scores by ten, to no effect.)
- 436 of 440 have scores of 33 or better. (Jimmy Kimmel)
- 424 of 440 have scores of 36 or better (Fran Fraschilla)
- 418 of 440 have scores of 37 or better (Gregg Doyel)
- 349 of 440 have scores of 40 or better (Colin Cowherd)
- 221 of 440 have scores of 43 or better (President Obama)
- 181 of 440 have scores of 44 or better (Jay Bilas, Dick Vitale, Dennis Dodd)
- 133 of 440 have scores of 45 or better (Doug Gottlieb)
- 37 of 440 have scores of 48 or better (Andy Katz, Jim Cramer--yes, that Jim Cramer)
Yes, it's true...four of you are doing worse than Jimmy Kimmel.
I won't name names.
Conference partcipation (teams per conference) in the NCAA Tournament began as follows:
Seven teams: Big 12
Six teams: Big Ten, ACC, Atlantic 10, Pac 12
Four teams: American Athletic Conference, Big East
Three teams: SEC
Two teams: Mountain West, West Coast Conference
One team: America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Big West, CAA, Conference USA, Horizon League, Ivy League, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, MVC, NEC, Patriot, Southern, Southland, SWAC, Sun Belt, Summit League, WAC
After one week, we're down to the following:
Three teams: Big Ten, Pac 12, SEC
Two teams: American Athletic Conference, Big 12
One team: Mountain West, Atlantic 10, ACC
Zero teams: Big East, America East, Atlantic Sun, Big Sky, Big South, Big West, CAA, Conference USA, Horizon League, Ivy League, MAAC, MAC, MEAC, MVC, NEC, Patriot, Southern, Southland, SWAC, Sun Belt, Summit League, WAC
Final thought: What stands out to me is that all three SEC teams made it to the Sweet Sixteen while the ACC, Big 12, and Big East combined only had three total teams survive the weekend.
Earlier today I wrote a diary which looked at how John Beilein has performed as a coach when his team gets 4-7 days of rest. Now I look at how John Beilein has performed as a coach in the tournament when compared to other coaches and the norm.
As many pundits such Nate Silver have pointed out, John Beilein is the best at outperforming his seed level. This was evident last year and back in his Richmond days when the No. 15 Spiders took down a No. 2 seed. But what does that actually look like?
John Beilein is 9-4 in the NCAA Tournament while at Michigan and he was 5-2 at West Virginia. He went 1-1 at Richmond bringing his combined tournament record to 15-7 or a .681 win percentage. Of course, some of those losses were with a stacked deck. Can anyone blame Richmond for losing a second round game in 1998? Can anyone blame John Beilein for losing to Duke on a missed floater, or losing to Louisville after last year's run?
By adjusting for what the expected outcomes are, John Beilein is solid in the NCAA tournament when favored to win or in a close matchup. He is also .500 when expected to lose. Yes. On the biggest stage, coach B is .500 when his team is expected to lose! Amazing.
Let's start at how I came to this conclusion
Richmond: 1-1 in games where he was expected to lose (15 seed).
West Virginia: 2-0 in games he was expected to win (vs. Northwestern State, Southern Illinois) and 1-0 in toss up games (his No. 8 seed vs. No. 9 Providence) and 2-2 in games where his team was the clear underdog.
Michigan: 4-1 when expected to win (the loss being against Ohio) and 2-0 in toss up games (Clemson, Tennessee). He is also 3-3 in games where his teams were expected to lose such as games vs. Oklahoma, Duke, Kansas, Syracuse, Florida and Louisville. In fact that may be generous as many expected Michigan to fold against VCU last year. That could have been considered a tossup.
Spanning his three schools, coach B is 6-1 in games he was expected to win, 3-0 in tossup games and 6-6 where his team was an underdog. Based on Ken Pom rankings, you can make the case that this is a tossup game. Based on the seeds, you can say No. 11 Tennessee is a clear underdog. But even if you classify Michigan as the underdog, remember, coach Beilein is 6-6 in the NCAA Tournament in games he is supposed to lose with wins over top seeds and blue blood programs.
No matter how much love is given to Tennesee's big men or their tournament play as of late, Beilein has beaten better teams with far less. And for that, you have to feel pretty excited about his tournament odds.
By the way, his .681 win percentage is just slightly south of Izzo's .688 conference game winning percentage. And if you are wondering what the best percentage is in the tournament? Well, that belongs to coach K. He's right around .750.