landing spot. will be interesting to see how he does.
This bothered me a lot in the game regardless if it was some team doing it to us or vice versa
In the video linked below @ :19 seconds you see a player run into Irvins leg while he is in the air which causes him to fall a little akwardly. Not that big of a deal but...
@1:28 a player goes underneath Irvin while he is in the air making him fall quite hard on his arm. You can later see him rubbing his arm that he fell on.
I think there are more examples of this but why is this allowed?
Since there have been a couple of board posts discussing the [unnecessary] dichotomy of choosing Jaylen Brown or Caris LeVert, I thought I'd look at the stats of past 5 star wings to see what you could reasonably expect from Brown.
I used ESPN recruit rankings. I first looked at the stats of 5* freshmen who were labeled as SGs or SFs (i.e. Russel was listed as a SG on ESPN) from the 2014 class. Next, I went from 2014 to 2007 and picked out SGs or SFs who were ranked as a top 5 recruit in that class (because Jaylen Brown is a top 5 recruit), because I think that you can reasonably expect more from the #2 ranked player than the #20 ranked player. I know top 5 is arbitrary, and maybe next time I'd look at all players given the same ranking that Brown received (96)...although I'm sure those grades are also relatively arbitrary.
|ESPN 2014 Rankings||School||Points||Rebounds||Assists||Minutes||Proj. Draft #|
|Isaiah Whitehead||Seton Hall||12||3.9||3.5||27.8||N/A|
|James Blackmon Jr.||Indiana||15.7||5.3||1.5||30||N/A|
|Top 5 Wings|
|Caris Levert (Jr yr)||Michigan||14.9||4.9||3.7||35.8|
Stats compared to LeVert:
|2014 5* Wings|
|More points + reb||2/14|
|> 30 minutes||4/14|
|Top 5 Wings|
|More points + reb||5/13|
|> 30 minutes||10/13|
|Stayed > 1 year||3/13|
Some interesting take-aways:
There is, unsurprisingly, a wide range of productivity from 5* freshmen. If you are taking any 5* player, the chances that they can produce at LeVert's level is very low.
That being said, when you look at 5* wings that were ranked in the top 5 of their recruiting class (none of the current freshmen SG's or SF's were top 5), the variability drastically decreases, and productivity goes way up.
I don't know if Brown has the same hype as a Wiggins or Parker, but based on past recruits' performances, it seems likely that he could step in and be extremely productive.
Something that I guess I never truly appreciated enough about LeVert is his assist numbers. While I took LeVert's abbreviated stats from this season, which heavily samples games against scrubs, it is still impressive to see how many assists he had a game compard to other great wings. Losing LeVert would not only mean loss of a lot of experience, but also the loss of a great floor general.
One (somewhat unsurprising) thing is that almost every single top 5-rated wing went pro after their freshmen year. It leads me to believe that we'd either get one good-great year out of Brown, or a year where he didn't perform at the same level as a LeVert and then came back and tried to improve his game. I think it definitely removes the advantage of saying "well you might get multiple years out of Brown," because the only way that happens is if he doesn't play that well. In other words, I'm saying that I'd go with past precedent over the (well-intentioned) words of a high school senior when it comes to staying for more than one year.
All of this may very well be moot, as we have no clue of either Brown's or LeVert's intentions. It also doesn't give any clear answer to the pointless game of "pick one." However, it does show that...getting Brown would be awesome!
Every site is trolling for clicks today with their "Way Too Early Top 25" rankings. Joe Lunardi took it a step further by actually predicting the 2016 bracket. We're an 11 seed in a play-in game against Oregon.
Chris Balas: Austin Hatch will be on the MBB roster next year [EDIT: But Sam thinks Michigan would make room for Brown]
I know we had a post yesterday saying Coach Beilein expects no attrition* from the team, but that post did not say that Hatch would remain on athletic scholarship. Chris Balas (the link is free) now reports Coach Beilein said yesterday that Hatch would be on the team next year. This means, FWIW, that Michigan will only have room for Jaylen Brown if LeVert leaves for the NBA.
Editorial: My admiration for Coach Beilein never stops growing, and obviously I love Hatch. But man would it be nice to have Jaylen Brown!
*This does not account for LeVert or Bielfeldt.
EDIT: See Maison Bleue's post below for Sam Webb's thoughts on the situation. Sam disagrees with Balas's take.
Other B1G teams..
#11 Michigan State