the just released schedules were a flat-out statement that the B10 doesn't believe SOS will matter in playoff selection
denard robinson
Unverified Voracity Knits Ridiculously Fast
Depart posthaste. Go read this Hinton piece on Denard Robinson vs Notre Dame or I swear I will find you and glare at you:
Give us some of that old time Denard Robinson religion
Aside from certain injuries and Colorado's existence, generally, the most depressing moment of the early season is Alabama's crisp, methodical bludgeoning of Michigan on opening night, a lopsided dominance display that confirmed everything we already knew about the Crimson Tide defense as the taker of souls. In this case, the life force the Tide consumed belonged to the most exciting player in the country, Denard Robinson, who was hounded, hit, picked and demoralized by a cold, calculating, perfectly calibrated machine bent on snuffing out any hint of spontaneity or creativity in its path. Pick your synonym: Blowout, rout, trouncing, debacle, shellacking – it was the opposite of a "classic." Mere mortals were not spared.
Vamanos. Please leave him some comments that are not ND sprotstakes.
Also highly recommended. OSU got gashed by Cal on Saturday; Ross Fulton breaks down the various ways in which that happened. Some of it's schematic, with Cal busting outside of OSU formations without a force player. OSU runs the same under Michigan does and they were also aligning it to field like Michigan has been, so that's something I'll be looking out for in the future.
Some of it is Shazier being Shazier. He was at least partially responsible for both of Cal's long rushing TDs. The second:
Oy, –3 right there. The first one was the guy getting way too aggressive and shoulder-blocking a tailback who popped outside. He makes a lot of plays for both teams.
"How to knit a stadium in 15 days." Wot it says on the tin:
This has just become the most intriguing blog post in this site's history for my mother. The above is composed of 2670 yards of Andes Bulky wool, 14 of the skeins "hand-dyed in various patterns to simulate the crowd." This woman is deadly with needles.
Oy. A bunch of emails sent back and forth between NCAA folk in the aftermath of the Ed O'Bannon lawsuit dropping have just been released. Highlights include UNL chancellor Harvey Pearlman telling the group they're totally boned, a Texas administrator coming off very poorly…
"I view these cases as being the result of the entitlement attitude we've created in our revenue sports," Plonsky wrote. "We now have threatening s-a's -- many of whom, based on grad rates of the '80s and '90s, sucked a whole lot off the college athletics pipe -- and now want to buckle the system at the knees of the expense of today's s-a's."
…and the admission that EA puts the student athletes in the game and only scrubs them right before launch.
The picture painted is of a lawsuit that has the NCAA in a panic because they know they're SOL. Which, good. I'd rather have old athletes people remember get some money than "today's s-a's," by which they mean "athletic department employees."
Police work. BWS is also talking packaged plays by looking at something Michigan ran against Air Force that turned into the usual zone, but featured the fake bubble LAZER on the outside:
This is interesting to me because it was a standard part of the RR offense. This is different in that it's the inverted veer being run, not inside or outside zone, but the bubble attachment is pure RR. I watched a video of Calvin Magee giving a coaching clinic talk last summer and in it there was an interesting discussion of this very thing. Magee talked about sometimes they called this presnap, but sometimes they "read it out," i.e. allowed the QB to make this read after the snap. There are two ways they did this:
- allow QB to abort mesh point entirely and just throw the bubble.
- give the QB a post-keep option in the event he gets a guy in his face.
Usually this was #1. In a way this was the ur-packaged play. It's a run, it's got a pass built in. The innovation Oklahoma State and WVU added was going vertical with it after they realized refs aren't throwing illegal man downfield penalties. The bubble is behind the LOS and thus invulnerable to that call.
BTW, when they called stuff presnap the bubble route still got run, but just to demand someone cover it, as you can see the linebacker is doing in this frame. Borges said something about not liking the bubble because they prefer their WRs to block, something that didn't make much sense to me because of plays like this. That LB is not going to be relevant in the run game.
Anyway, this could be any of three different things:
- straight called handoff
- zone read
- zone read w/ attached bubble
Given how wide open that bubble is I don't think they've hooked that up yet, and since they let both the playside and backside ends go, I'm guessing this was a straight handoff.
Rocky's really doing it. If you haven't been paying attention to SDSU coach Rocky Long's assertion that he's just going for it all the time, he actually did it a couple weeks back. Result:
Then, with 4:50 remaining in the fourth quarter and SDSU down 21-12, Katz drove the offense 66 yards to the Washington 8.
Conventional wisdom dictated that if the Aztecs converted a 27-yard field goal and stopped the Huskies on defense, they’d be in prime position to go for the tying touchdown, and potential game-winning extra point.
Instead, once again, the offense stayed on the field. Katz’s attempt to squeeze a touchdown into the end zone for tight end Gavin Escobar fell incomplete, and thousands of Aztec armchair quarterbacks screamed at TVs all over the West Coast, wondering why Long hadn’t just opted for the safer field goal.
They talk to a professor about this. It turns out it was fourth and six. My initial reaction there is that's a tight decision. Fourth and six is not easy and when the defense is packed in near the goal line it's even tougher. You need two scores either way. Let's run over to that Advanced NFL stats calculator, which says…
…kick. An NFL kicker has a 95% shot at that field goal, you convert about a third of the time from that distance, and the expected points are dead even. You're still not in good shape but it's a big difference: kicking is 16% win, going 10%. You'd have to think you have a two-thirds shot at making it to justify going. It's NFL so it is not precise, but the differences aren't large enough to swing that.
Moral of the story: if you need two scores you'd better make sure you get one on your second to last drive. Also maybe the Aztecs don't have a kicker—they were down two scores because they went for two twice and failed.
Turns out not so much. Remember the guy who got beat up by a bunch of MSU hockey players? Turns out he's been charged with various things including "making a false police report." Dialing back mass-violence-against-students jokes.
Etc.: Last year's ND game synced with Ufer. Eamonn Brennan considers this year's edition of Michigan basketball, says if things break right they could be a national title contender(?!), which is optimism on a level I am unprepared for.
Everyone say nothing about injuries in the Pac-12. Oral history of last year's game. A look back on ND games past.
Upon Further Review 2012: Offense vs UMass
Formation notes: Nothing particularly new from Michigan except the Norfleet-end-around thing, which I just called 2-back. The plays run from it are being called "triple veer" since there's a third option there, not that I think any of these things are reads.
This was early; Dileo did not come in motion. Same formation plus Norfleet coming in == triple veer series against UMass.
Funchess means a lot more 2 TE formations. Reminder: TV never shows substitutions so I'm usually just describing the formation for the defense here, not the personnel. IIRC UMass was in 4-3 personnel the whole time; sometimes they would commit a LB to the slot, which I called nickel.
Substitution notes: Also nothing too unusual. Kwiatkowski was the starting TE and did pretty well; Funchess saw a lot of time; the usual WR rotation occurred. When Michigan pulled Lewan late they made the same flip they did at the end of the Alabama game, moving Schofield to LT, Omameh to RT, and inserting Burzynski at RG.
As promised, Hoke did not put any of the freshman linemen on the field. At this point we know who the staff is trying to redshirt. On offense those folk are: Braden, Kalis, Magnuson, Bars, Chesson, and Johnson. Norfleet, Funchess, Williams, and Darboh are playing.
Show? Show.
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | DForm | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M35 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun twins twin TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4-3 even | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | 3 | ||||||||
| Funchess off line, both TEs in two-point stance. Implies pass. M runs, shooting Funchess backside and sending Kwiatkowski to the frontside. Blocking bust as Barnum(-2) does not ever pop off the DT he is doubling with Mealer; unblocked LB in the hole. Kwiatkowski(-1) gets stuck between cracking down on this guy and trying to get a DB, eventually doing neither; Lewan(+1) gets big movement on his kickout when Toussaint(+1) bounces it outside. Schofield(+0.5) and Omameh(+0.5) had gotten nice movement on the backside. | |||||||||||||||||||
| M38 | 2 | 7 | Shotgun trips TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel even | Run | Inverted veer keeper | Robinson | 13 | ||||||||
| Omameh(+1) seals the UMass DT inside quickly, allowing Schofield(+1) to move out on a linebacker without delay. Either the hand or the keep works here; Denard(+1) keeps and manages to run through an ankle tackle attempt. Funchess(+1) is inline here and releases downfield, getting a block on a safety at about ten yards after running a fake dig. Barnum pulled through the hole but took a line way outside and did not block the last dude, the FS, who tackles. Denard is riding this mesh point longer [BWS]. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O49 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | Sprint counter | Toussaint | 7 | ||||||||
| MLB reads the Schofield pull and immediately starts heading for wherever he's going. SLB also reads the play and gets into the intended hole before Dileo can crack down on him. Mealer(+0.5) got a free release and pushes the MLB past where he wants to go, but Toussaint doesn't have anywhere to go on the playside. Omameh(+1) has blasted the backside DT back, though, and Funchess(+0.5) escorts a DE way downfield—mostly the DE being bad, not Funchess devastating him. Toussaint(+1) cuts back ably, juking a filling safety to his butt and picking up a nice gain. RPS -1? Nah, but I thought about it. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O42 | 2 | 3 | Shotgun twins twin TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Pass | TE Out | Kwiatkowski | 16 | ||||||||
| Safety rolls down for eight man front, slot CB tight on the line. Both linebackers run right at the LOS on a straight dropback, Kwiatkowski comes wide open, Denard hits him, easy conversion. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +1) Kwiatkowski gets some YAC by running through a tackle. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O26 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun twins | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4-3 even | Pass | PA TE Seam | Funchess | 26 | ||||||||
| This is my candy now, baby. (CA, 3, protection 2/2, RPS +1). BWS picture pages. | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 7-0, 12 min 1st Q. I say, these chaps don't appear to be very good. | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
| M46 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Pass | Bubble screen | Gallon | 14 | ||||||||
| Or LAZER, whatever. LB two yards inside of Gallon who takes off at the run on the snap, M throws the bubble, which is wide open. Gardner(+1) dominates the CB out of Gallon's way and it's an easy first down. (CA, 3, screen, RPS +1) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O40 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | Power off tackle | Toussaint | -1 | ||||||||
| Mostly on Toussaint(-2). Kerridge takes on the playside DE a couple yards in the backfield, and Omameh goes upfield of that. Toussaint goes outside when a quick cut upfield is definitely positive yardage, possibly lots. Mealer(+0.5) had locked out a DT, Lewan(+0.5) and Barnum(+0.5) blew up the other guy. Instead Toussaint runs into an unblocked LB. Well... maybe. This does seem to be asking a lot of him to make a cut when he's going outside so clearly. But with Kerridge where he is Omameh has no shot of getting outside effectively and it's never a good idea to bounce when you have to go around stuff. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O41 | 2 | 11 | Ace twins | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Pass | PA Fly | Gardner | Inc | ||||||||
| They're on to us: this is our passing formation. UMass brings both safeties up and the MLB reads the pull, shooting outside. Barnum's pulled and has two guys to block in space. He doesn't really block either. Denard has two options with his short stuff covered: bomb it against cover zero or start running around. He chooses the latter, missing Gardner by a few yards. (IN, 0, protection ½, team -1) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O41 | 3 | 11 | Shotgun trips TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Rollout Fly | J. Robinson | Inc | ||||||||
| A three-part flood on which the deep corner opens up. JRobinson is open as the CB to that side comes up on Roundtree's route, so Denard fires into the endzone. JRobinson is looking over both shoulders and may be able to do better than this, but Denard did leave it too far inside. It's still decent for a 40-yard pass. JRobinson has a shot at at a one-handed spear, but the S rakes it out. (CA, 1, protection 2/2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 7-0, 9 min 1st Q | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
| O45 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | 2 | ||||||||
| Barnum(-2) falls, allowing the DT right up the A gap. Toussaint manages to squeeze for a yard or two. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O43 | 2 | 8 | I-Form 3-wide tight | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-3 even | Pass | Waggle drag | Gallon | Inc | ||||||||
| UMass suckered and this will get turned up for a first down; Denard just misses. (IN, 0, protection N/A, RPS +1) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O43 | 3 | 8 | Shotgun trips bunch tight | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Pass | Hitch | Funchess | 8 | ||||||||
| Lots of time as UMass sends three. Denard finds Funchess at the sticks and zips it in there, hard and low. This is between two defenders so I'll give Denard the benefit of the doubt. We don't get a replay, unfortunately, so I can't tell how good of a catch this is. I will go with my initial thought that is was really good. (CA, 1, protection 2/2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O35 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | Zone read keeper | Robinson | 20 (Pen -0) | ||||||||
| Backside DE does not contain, so Denard pulls. Neither LB to that side is scraping over the top, and then the playside guy is staring right at Denard with the ball and still runs away. Denard again ditches a shoe and still gets outside for a big gain. Uh... I guess Denard +1 for the read, but this was free yards from a bad, bad D. Roundtree(-1) gets a dubious holding call, but just let go, man. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O35 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4-3 even | Penalty | False start | Lewan | -5 | ||||||||
| Argh | |||||||||||||||||||
| O40 | 1 | 15 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4-3 even | Pass | Screen | Toussaint | 17 | ||||||||
| Both of the UMass LBs to the playside move towards the LOS as they see the OL release, but they move inside, which is not a good idea. Toussaint ends up in a ton of space; Barnum(+1) gets a block in space but I'm not sure he even needs to. Toussaint(+1) jukes a safety and picks up the first down; a second juke attempt at the sideline gets him tackled awkwardly. (CA, 3, screen, RPS +1). | |||||||||||||||||||
| O23 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel even | Run | QB iso | Robinson | 5 | ||||||||
| Barnum's guy fights inside of him, which is not a real good idea when you don't have any LBs behind you. Robinson cuts behind that as Lewan(+0.5) as eliminated the end; Toussaint(+1) gets through the other hole and redirects into a filling safety. Denard's cutting behind that when Barnum's guy tackles. I'm a little leery about Barnum's role in all this but I'll forgo the minus. Mealer(+0.5) got a nice release into the MLB and Omameh got some push on the other DT. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O18 | 2 | 5 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | Inverted veer give | Toussaint | 7 | ||||||||
| I think they've worked on the veer the past couple weeks. Denard's riding it longer and the FB, here Kerridge, is flaring out immediately so that that DE cannot take him out. Kerridge(+1) books for the playside LB and blasts him; Denard(+1) reads that the end is not containing Toussaint and gives. That's about it. A safety fills; Toussaint(+1) moves the pile another three yards. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O11 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun twins | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | 11 | ||||||||
| This seems like a blown read by Denard(-1) as they block the backside OLB and let the 3-4 DE free. He hugs Schofield's back and shoots down the line, so Denard is one on one with the safety for six. He gives anyway. The line has caved in the Minutemen but Toussaint(+2) has to run away from the DE and finds a hole outside. Safety fill is going to take him down after two yards but he busts a tackle and tiptoes down the sideline for six. Lewan(+1) got the movement that created the gap; Mealer(+1) and Omameh(+1) blew up the backside DT and erased any potential LB pursuit. | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 14-0, 3 min 1st Q | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
| M29 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun trips TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Pass | PA quick seam | Dileo | 66 | ||||||||
| The usual. Linebackers suck up, Smith wide open behind them, etc. Denard's throw is a bit in front of Dileo but not too bad; Dileo makes a nice catch and keeps his feet, stiffarming a safety down but getting caught from behind by one of their linebackers. (CA, 2, protection 1/1, RPS +2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O5 | 1 | G | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4-3 even | Run | Inside zone | Smith | 5 | ||||||||
| Mealer(+1) and Omameh(+1) blow up the playside DT, and that's about it. Barnum had some issues with his guy but managed to fend him off; Smith(+1) was decisive. | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 21-3, 13 min 2nd Q | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
| M12 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun twins | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | Zone read keeper | Robinson | 4 | ||||||||
| This is probably a called play and not a read as there is no unblocked player. The run fake takes out the linebackers but UMass is run blitzing their FS right into the hole. Denard(+1) jukes him and is about to hit the jets when an OLB who stunted through clean makes a shoestring tackle. Oooooh. Too bad. Schofield(+1) blew up the playside DT; Kwiatkowski(+0.5) kicked the other guy well. RPS -1, but I like the creativity. Without this call on this is a nice gain. | |||||||||||||||||||
| M16 | 2 | 6 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Pass | Out | Jackson | INT | ||||||||
| The fugly INT. If accurate this is a fine idea. It's not accurate. Also insert complaints about Jackson separation, or lack thereof. (INX, 0, protection N/A) Wow... on replay this route sucks. Jackson's post fake is basically vertical. | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Defensive Touchdown, 21-10, 9 min 2nd Q | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
| M25 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Pass | Bubble screen | Gallon | 6 | ||||||||
| Giving it by alignment, M takes it. Aggressive DB gets upfield of Gardner and manages a shoulder tackle that gets Gallon off his feet. (CA, 3, screen) | |||||||||||||||||||
| M31 | 2 | 4 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Nickel even | Run | QB draw | Robinson | 24 | ||||||||
| UMass puts one of their LBs over the second slot guy and goes six in the box, thus opening this up. The power of a stupid little play. UMass gets out of a lane and this opens up big. Toussaint(+1) gets a good LB block; Dileo(+1) does work on another LB, and Mealer(+1) gets a safety in space. Robinson(+2) sets his blocks up well and sets sail before that #9 again prevents a Michigan TD. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O45 | 1 | 10 | Ace twins | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4-3 even | Pass | Scramble | Robinson | 25 (Pen -15) | ||||||||
| LB blitz sent and picked up by Toussaint, who goes low. Mealer is backing out of a block and makes contact at the same time, which draws a chop block flag because they're throwing that on anything that even vaguely resembles a cut block with two guys. Unfortunate. That pickup gives Denard a ton of space, which he decides to use. Please be a trend. (SCR, N/A, protection 2/2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| M40 | 1 | 25 | Ace trips bunch | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3-3-5 stack | Pass | Throwback screen | Gallon | 12 | ||||||||
| Always works; works. Lewan(+1) donkeys the corner, Gallon goes outside, safety fills. (CA, 3, screen) RPS +1? Sure. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O48 | 2 | 13 | I-Form twins | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4-3 even | Run | Power off tackle | Smith | 6 | ||||||||
| Lewan(+1) blows one DT off the ball; Barnum(+0.5) finishes sealing him. Williams(+0.5) takes on a DE, then moves to the second level, passing the DE off to Kerridge. Williams can't quite lock that LB out, though, and he falls to tackle Smith just as he's breaking through to the secondary with Omameh(+0.5) as a safety-destroyer in front of him. Potential TD otherwise. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O42 | 3 | 7 | Shotgun 3-wide tight | 1 | 1 | 3 | Okie | Pass | Drag | Gardner | 42 | ||||||||
| UMass sends the house. Unblocked guy right up the gut who Smith blows up, allowing Denard time to step around and up into the pocket. Everyone else is taken care of. Gardner's drag has taken him past a LB; Denard hits him. Gardner then just barely outruns #9 (who can play) and tiptoes the sideline for a spectacular TD. (CA+, 3, protection 3/3, special Smith commendation issued) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 28-10, 6 min 2nd Q | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
| M45 | 1 | 10 | Ace | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4-3 even | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | 8 | ||||||||
| DL overplays to the playside here and the WLB is sucked out to the corner because Denard must be contained. Toussaint(+1) finds the cutback after Omameh(+1) shoots an aggressive DT past his hole. Schofield(+0.5) walls off the backside DE. Barnum and Mealer(+0.5) each combo to the second level. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O47 | 2 | 2 | Ace | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4-3 even | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | 10 | ||||||||
| Barnum(+1) has a one on one matchup with playside DT and gets motion on the guy, driving him back a couple yards. SLB runs himself outside aimlessly. Williams and Lewan double playside DE and kick him out; would like to see Lewan climb to second level but this may be short yardage approach. Toussaint(+1) beats a filling safety to the edge and turns a first down into a small chunk. Mealer(+1) got a free release and beat up the MLB. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O37 | 1 | 10 | I-Form | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4-3 even | Run | Iso | Toussaint | 1 | ||||||||
| Nice play by the MLB to find the hole immediately, shooting past Mealer's block and arriving to tackle just as Kerridge is kicking out the SLB. Mealer(-1) could have taken a better angle to the second level, but this is mostly an RPS -1. Barnum(+1) and Lewan(+1) had provided a nice big hole with one on one blocks. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O36 | 2 | 9 | I-Form | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4-3 even | Pass | Waggle throwaway | Roundtree | Inc | ||||||||
| Everyone covered; LB specifically containing this play. Denard pumps and escapes outside, then just dumps it as he nears the LOS and it becomes clear he doesn't really have a running lane. Assumption is this was just putting the ball in the turf. (TA, 0, protection N/A, RPS -1) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O36 | 3 | 9 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Scramble | Robinson | 36 | ||||||||
| Has forever as UMass rushes three, then sends a spy late. Denard eventually decides to use those feet things, at which point laughter happens. Kerridge +1 for getting the downfield block that ends any chance of pursuit. (SCR, N/A, protection 2/2, Denard +3 on ground) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 35-10, 4 min 2nd Q. They get it back with 2:02 to go and run a two minute drill. | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
| M17 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-3 even | Pass | Wheel | Smith | 19 | ||||||||
| Play action with the three WRs running vertical. LB has to sink into the boundary route, opening up a wheel for Smith; Denard floats it in nicely. Smith(+2) then stops on a dime and spins inside the tackle attempt, turning eight yards into 20. (CA+, 3, protection 2/2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| M36 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide tight | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Pass | Cross | Gardner | Inc | ||||||||
| Same route Gardner had for a TD. No pressure this time and Denard just misses this one. This was going for 20+ too. (IN, 0, protection 2/'2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| M36 | 2 | 10 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4-3 even | Pass | Scramble | Robinson | -3 | ||||||||
| Denard appears to be looking for a Jackson hitch. There's a LB under it and he decides against the throw. LB then turns his back to chase downfield; Denard decides to run. Good decision, but he bumps into Mealer before he can get his motor running and falls. (SCR, N/A, protection 2/2) Scramble awarded because this was a good idea that went bad; if Denard escapes the pocket he's got at least ten. | |||||||||||||||||||
| M33 | 3 | 13 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel even | Pass | Cross | Dileo | 16 | ||||||||
| This one is in between Dileo's numbers; route is a yard or two short of the sticks but the throw allows him to turn it up for the first down easily. No pressure. (DO, 3, protection 2/2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| M49 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel even | Pass | In | J. Robinson | 9 | ||||||||
| Has just forever and eventually zings it to JRobinson just in front of a defender. Probably should have looked for Smith, who is abandoned, but he hit the guy so okay. (CA, 3, protection 3/3) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O42 | 2 | 1 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel even | Pass | Hitch | Dileo | 9 + 15 pen | ||||||||
| Another pump, this one at Funchess on a little out; he decides against that and nails Dileo on a hitch. Against better opposition these delays may be a problem. Here Schofield(-1) did get beat; Robinson gets a faceful of DE. (CA, 3, protection ½, Schofield -1) This turns into a dodgy flag. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O18 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | QB draw | Robinson | 16 | ||||||||
| LBs way back, expecting pass and backing out at the snap. As soon as Omameh(+1) shoves the playside DT way down the line this is easy money. Mealer(+1) got a good downfield block; Robinson(+1) is fast and stuff and knows to burrow behind Mealer. RPS +2. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O2 | 1 | G | Goal line | 2 | 3 | 0 | Goal line | Run | Iso | Toussaint | 0 | ||||||||
| Kwiatkowski(-1) does not get any push as a lead blocker and ends up stalemated; Kerridge runs up his back but can't actually contact an opponent, and Toussaint has no crease. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O1 | 2 | G | Goal line | 2 | 2 | 1 | Goal line | Penalty | Illegal sub | N/A | 1 | ||||||||
| All right. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O1 | 2 | G | Goal line | 2 | 2 | 1 | Goal line | Run | Speed option | Robinson | 1 | ||||||||
| If this is a real option, Denard should pitch(-1), but doesn't. He gets tackled by a blitzer in too quickly on Lewan(-1), the fumbles(-2) as he reaches out to the goal line. Lewan, or someone anyway, recovers. Ah, hell. RPS -1. | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 42-13, EOH | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
| O41 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun trips Te | 1 | 1 | 3 | Nickel even | Run | Inverted veer give | Toussaint | 13 | ||||||||
| DE is not containing Toussaint; give. That's about it. Rest of the D is in the box in case Denard keeps. Gardner, Jackson, and Roundtree(+0.5 each) all get okay to good blocks on DBs downfield. RPS +1. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O28 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Nickel even | Run | Inverted veer give | Toussaint | 11 | ||||||||
| Identical thing to other side. DE does not show hard upfield, give. MLB gets outside of Dileo but for naught as there's a ton of space. Lewan(+1) pancaked the other guy, that's why. Jackson(+1) gets a good extended block downfield and Toussaint(+1) takes what's he's given, accelerating past fallen bodies until the sticks. RPS +1. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O17 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Nickel even | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | -1 | ||||||||
| UMass slants; this catches Mealer(+1) but surprise but he adjusts to starts shoving the slanter by the play. Lewan(+0.5) and Barnum(+0.5) had comboed the backside DT and climbed to the second level; Toussaint gets past the Lewan block, downshifts to hit this gaping hole... and gets roped down by a hand. Bad luck, that. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O18 | 2 | 11 | Shotgun twins twin TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Slant | Gallon | Inc | ||||||||
| Batted at the line. (BA, 0, protection 2/2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O18 | 3 | 11 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Nickel even | Pass | Post | Roundtree | 18 | ||||||||
| Excellent time; Denard finds and nails Roundtree on a post the safety probably should have covered but does not. Must have overplayed the route further inside. Not sure if this is too far outside or if Denard is playing it safe but he does hold Roundtree up some. (CA+, 3, protection 2/2) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 49-13, 10 min 3rd Q | |||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | ||||||||
| M28 | 1 | 10 | Ace | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4-3 even | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | 11 | ||||||||
| Playside DT ends up coming through the line but not sure if that's a big problem since by doing so he gets shoved way past where he wants to be by Mealer(+1). Toussaint cuts behind. Barnum(+1) is doing to the same to the next guy. He cuts behind. Kwiatkowski(+1) has blown the last guy two yards downfield; Toussaint(+2) bursts outside. He anticipates and leaps past the safety's attempt to fill, then jukes a corner, and he's in the clear. Pursuit takes him down at the sticks. | |||||||||||||||||||
| M39 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | Triple veer around | Norfleet | 14 | ||||||||
| Norfleet on the outside, he motions in and takes a quick handoff. Unblocked DE to that side is playing an inverted veer and lets Norfleet by. JRobinson(+1) cracks down and blows up the playside LB; the press corner goes with him. Gyarmati is leading now and has only the S to block. He does so; Norfleet tries to shoot past him, ankle tackle. Nice play by that S; if he only maintains leverage this might be six points. RPS +2. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O47 | 1 | 10 | I-Form | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4-3 even | Run | Power off tackle | Toussaint | 3 | ||||||||
| Schofield(+0.5) and Omameh(+0.5) bury the playside DT. Williams(+1) shoves the DE outside and then comes down on a linebacker; Gyarmati finishes kicking the DE. Barnum(-1) freaks out when Wiliams's guy starts moving upfield and hits him instead of continuing outside. He bounces back off this; Toussaint runs into him. That delay gets safeties involved; Toussaint gets what he can surrounded by white shirts. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O44 | 2 | 7 | Shotgun trips TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | Inverted veer keeper | Robinson | 0 | ||||||||
| DE splits the two runners very well, getting Denard(-1) to keep and still tackling. Barnum(-1) flat lost his guy one on one, straight up, no slant, and he penetrates to prevent any Denard funny stuff. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O44 | 3 | 7 | Shotgun empty TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3-3-5 stack | Pass | Cross | Gardner | 6 | ||||||||
| Back out from heavy pressure look to three man line. Gardner sets up on a hitch and then starts drifting across the field; Denard doesn't like the deeper look and zings it underneath. A tiny bit short of the first down. (CA, 3, protection 1/1) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O38 | 4 | 1 | I-Form | 2 | 1 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | Power off tackle | Rawls | 18 | ||||||||
| They've replaced Lewan. Schofield(-0.5) now at LT, he does not get his DL moving and allows some penetration that ends up delaying a pulling Burzynski. Gyarmati(+1) plus a guy on the edge, who does not keep the edge; Rawls(+1) sees that and heads out there. He breaks contain, picks up a bunch of yards, and then lowers the boom on a pretty hefty dude to finish it off. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O20 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | Triple veer give | Rawls | 4 | ||||||||
| Playside DE goes straight at the pulling G and submarines him; Kerridge is trying to seal him inside so that the G can get out but he's got no shot. That's a two for one for the D. Corner is now the contain guy. He sees Rawls has it and is agile enough to crash down to tackle. Rawls takes a hit from the guy Burzynski couldn't block, too. RPS -1, but I like the concept. | |||||||||||||||||||
| O16 | 2 | 6 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-3 even | Pass | Triple veer PA | JRobinson | Inc | ||||||||
| Backside DE is going straight for Denard and gets instant pressure. Denard throws off his back foot at an open-ish Robinson and misses. Torn between IN and PR here. He had few alternatives and didn't put up a punt, so PR. (PR, 0, protection N/A, RPS -1) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O16 | 3 | 6 | Shotgun twins twin TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Out | Roundtree | 7 | ||||||||
| WCO precision route with Williams taking a corner out and opening up a small window for the conversion. (CA, 3, protection 1/1) | |||||||||||||||||||
| O9 | 1 | G | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4-3 even | Run | Inside zone | Smith | 9 | ||||||||
| UMass blitzes from the edge; Kerridge(+1) does a good job to come down on him and clock him, clearing the edge. The edge should be win UMass but the LB just biffs it, taking a crappy angle. Smith(+1) outruns him to the corner and gets in. An RPS -1, probably, but results. | |||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 56-13, 3 min 3rd Q. Backups the rest of the way, including the walk-on OL. Charting ceases. | |||||||||||||||||||
Indubitably, I say.
What?
You said these chaps weren't very good after the first drive.
Oh, right. They're not. Let's do the numbers. So I've got these—
CHARTS
Charts.
Denard.
[Hennechart legend is updated.]
| Opponent | DO | CA | MA | IN | BR | TA | BA | PR | SCR | DSR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 through MSU | 13 | 66(12) | 11(1) | 34(1) | 17 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 55% |
| 2011 after MSU | 9 | 77(9) | 7 | 17 | 9 | 6(1) | 5(2) | 9 | 5 | 69% |
| Alabama | 4 | 15(2) | 1 | 4 | 3 | - | - | 3(1) | 1 | 71% |
| Air Force | 1 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 75% |
| UMass | 1 | 16(4) | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 68% |
An easy day with a lot of open guys and a few worrying misses. Those were the INT, the cross to Gardner flung over his head, and the little Gallon drag similarly flung to Tacopants. The fourth one was a bomb on which he was long, which happens. But hey no BRs (UMass covered no one so there could not be any) and some scrambles (UMass managed to both not cover anyone and give up huge running lanes).
As I was saying, indubitably.
Indububibubly.
What?
BOOM 1987 CEREAL COMMERCIAL
This is burned into my head.
Let's talk about actual things. Denard accuracy monitoring?
Still feeling pretty good about it. Though UMass was actually a slight step back in the Downfield Success Rate metric, its impact on our hypothesis ("Borges + Denard == Tate Forcier passing") is positive since we need more data here.
He's still good for the one or two ARGH NO throws a game nothing will ever get him to stop. Look at those Throwaway numbers: three games, one ball I thought was not an attempt to complete a pass. Four more got filed as scrambles, but that's still a vanishingly low percentage of balls tossed away. Everett Golson doubled that in one game against MSU.
We got some more screens.
Yes, as Heiko's on-going, not-serious-but-actually-deadly-serious bubble/lazer-off with Borges highlights, Denard is throwing more stuff at or behind the LOS. The four throws marked as screens in the last game are almost half of Denard's output from the entire second half of last year.
Bubble bubble yes but there was also an honest to God screen-screen that Toussaint turned up for a bunch. Michigan hasn't been throwing those under Borges because when Denard has tried it he has gotten pressure in his face and launced balls well over the intended receiver's head. Maybe that's technique, maybe it's the fact that he's maybe six foot tall and there is no angle that he can throw the thing that won't get stuffed back in his face and not overshoot the mark dangerously.
On the linked screen above, Michigan actually gets it done by blocking the end and shoving the DT, giving Denard a window. The horizontal aspect also helps prevent disaster—previously a lot of these RB screens were going straighter up the field. I'm still not sure how much that's ever going to be a staple since teams tend not to blitz Denard hard, but having that option is a nice.
Also: throwback. Believe it.
What happened on the next play after that bubble you linked above?
UMass put about five and a half players in the box and got a QB draw in their face for 24 yards. Panacea, no, but an effective play that opens up the rest of your offense when people on the edge are accounted for man-to-man.
Denard doing stuff with legs?
Michigan's been working on the veer. Michigan has moved from a stationary quick pull to the more common hop-hop-hop-decide process where the QB rides that fake as long as possible and only makes a decision when he feels the DE has committed. Even when he doesn't commit that movement and delay gets results on the second play of the game:
You'll notice that the pulling G actually runs by that DE (and then widens out so far that he ends up blocking a guy already being blocked many yards from Denard, so they're not exactly a machine yet).
Michigan's also screwing around with some additions/alterations, like the Norfleet end-around series Michigan broke out in the third quarter.
There the DE is like "veer veer veer" and Norfleet just zooms by him. Once he's outside of that, a big gain is guaranteed. Michigan came back with a handoff and a play action pass off that, neither of which were as successful.
This was kind of like the Minnesota game last year when Michigan test-drove their sprint counter against the twitching corpse of a long-dead opponent. I like seeing new stuff enter the offense, but I'd rather bring it out against Notre Dame. What's the deal with all the secrecy around the program if they're just going to bring out the toys against the UMasses of the world?
Offensive line?
Offensive line. 43 runs in this one, so numbers should approach normal… and would if I hadn't chalked up many of the yards gained as UMass being UMass. Remember that it's the ratio that is important for the OL. On a lot of plays they do okay and get a push.
| Offensive Line | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | + | - | Total | Notes | |||||||||||||||
| Lewan | 7.5 | 1 | 6.5 | Dominating in this game. | |||||||||||||||
| Barnum | 7 | 6 | 1 | Pretty concerning. Fell down some, got straight up beat a couple times. | |||||||||||||||
| Mealer | 9 | 1 | 8 | Mobility in space a pleasant surprise. | |||||||||||||||
| Omameh | 7.5 | - | 7.5 | Beating up on little guys, but Nix will be a load. | |||||||||||||||
| Schofield | 3.5 | 0.5 | 3 | Got beat once in pass pro, but fine. Think people got a little panicked because of Alabama. | |||||||||||||||
| Kwiatkowski | 1.5 | 2 | -0.5 | Eh. | |||||||||||||||
| Moore | - | - | - | DNP | |||||||||||||||
| Williams | 1.5 | - | 1.5 | Eh. | |||||||||||||||
| Funchess | 1.5 | - | - | HE DOES EVERYTHING (against UMass sometimes) | |||||||||||||||
| TOTAL | 39 | 10.5 | 79% | Meaningfulness: not meaningful. | |||||||||||||||
| Backs | |||||||||||||||||||
| Player | + | - | T | Notes | |||||||||||||||
| Robinson | 10 | 5 | 5 | Hit him for the fumble. | |||||||||||||||
| Bellomy | - | - | - | DNC | |||||||||||||||
| Toussaint | 13 | 2 | 11 | Did a lot of bouncing, hit a lot of holes, juked some guys. | |||||||||||||||
| Rawls | 1 | - | 1 | Lowered the boom on a pretty big dude. | |||||||||||||||
| Smith | 4 | - | 4 | Spin move was sweet. | |||||||||||||||
| Hayes | - | - | - | DNC | |||||||||||||||
| Hopkins | - | - | - | DNP | |||||||||||||||
| Kerridge | 3 | - | 3 | Insert complaints about scholarship FBs. | |||||||||||||||
| TOTAL | 31 | 7 | 24 | Gyarmati was also +1. | |||||||||||||||
| Receivers | |||||||||||||||||||
| Player | + | - | T | Notes | |||||||||||||||
| Gardner | 1.5 | - | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||
| Roundtree | 0.5 | 1 | -0.5 | ||||||||||||||||
| Gallon | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
| Jackson | 1.5 | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
| Dileo | 1 | - | 1 | -- | |||||||||||||||
| J. Robinson | 1 | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
| Darboh | - | - | - | -- | |||||||||||||||
| TOTAL | 5.5 | 1 | 4.5 | [Comment] | |||||||||||||||
| Metrics | |||||||||||||||||||
| Player | + | - | T | Notes | |||||||||||||||
| Protection | 32 | 2 | 94% | Team –1, Schofield -1 | |||||||||||||||
| RPS | 14 | 7 | +7 | Veerin'. | |||||||||||||||
That's what happens when you average almost 7 YPC without a run longer than 36 yards. Note also the near-flawless day in pass protection. Denard had forever, and on that 36 yard run he had two forevers before finally deciding to take off.
So, yeah. Complete obliteration of a foe that can only be obliterated and causes panic if you do not obliterate them. File under necessary and not meaningful.
POWER OL POWER RANKINGSSSSS
Um, okay.
1. Lewan
2. Mealer
3. Schofield
4. Omameh
5. Barnum
Barnum had problems?
Yeah. He fell down a couple times; once he just never popped off a double and exposed Toussaint to an unblocked LB, and late on a veer-type run he got beat straight up. By ND transfer Hafis Williams, so not a total scrub, but from a confidence perspective guys who transferred away from the team you're about to play are not the best guys to beat your OL.
Last game I thought Omameh struggled and Barnum did pretty well, so jury is out on both guards.
Toussaint's pretty good again?
Yeah, man. Independent of the opponent he tiptoed the line for a TD and I love a particular aspect of this zone that cuts all the way across the field. Try to figure out what it is:
If you guessed "the little hop he takes when he perceives that an ankle tackle is coming from behind," you win an MGoPoint.
Receivers?
[Passes are rated by how tough they are to catch. 0 == impossible. 1 == wow he caught that, 2 == moderate difficulty, 3 == routine. The 0/X in all passes marked zero is implied.]
| Player | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner | 2 | - | - | 2/2 | 7 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 7/7 | |
| Roundtree | 1 | - | 2/2 | 3 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 4/4 | ||
| Gallon | 2 | 3/3 | 4 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 5/5 | |||
| J. Robinson | 0/1 | 1/1 | 1 | 0/1 | 2/2 | ||||
| Dileo | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | |||
| Jackson | 1 | 1 | 3/4 | ||||||
| Darboh | |||||||||
| Chesson | |||||||||
| Kwiatkowski | 1/1 | 2/2 | |||||||
| Moore | |||||||||
| Funchess | 1/1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 5/5 | |||||
| Williams | |||||||||
| Toussaint | 1/1 | 0/1 | 1/1 | ||||||
| Smith | 1/1 | 0/1 | 3/3 | ||||||
| Rawls |
A bit of a fuss was made about Gardner only bringing in 8 of 20 targets this far. I'm missing one, but of my 19 he's got seven with no shot and three really tough ones. It's somewhat about his routes, but I chalk most of that up to "is deep threat".
I've mentioned this already this week, but Dileo is increasingly a guy who I'm comfortable with getting lots of playing time. He's not big, he's not super fast, but he catches everything in his area…
…and has a knack for keeping his feet as he does so. Usual slot-dot drawbacks apply; Dileo adds a fourth or fifth guy who I think is a pretty good receiving option.
QB Oh Noes returns?
A point of order is in… order after I saw a bunch of @replies in the twitter and BWS pointed out the vast open Funchess TD. QB Oh Noes was coined here to specifically refer to plays on which Denard himself takes a step towards the line as part of a run fake and then backs out. The PA fake made here:
Is something RR did a bit but not a ton. Borges, on the other hand, does run it a ton, and did last year as well. Now that he's got Funchess running down that seam expect even more of it.
[Also, BWS points out that Omameh is not quite Air Force-level illegally downfield. Illegal downfield: go for it, OL!]
Special commendation Vincent Smith needs out-of-table love.
Indurbiertably.
"Why isn't Norfleet playing more?" the message boards ask. That is why. Fingerguns Smith.
BONUS: that's the play of which Borges said this:
I’m knocking on wood. I never assume anything, but his footwork is like night and day. He’s pulling balls down now and working up underneath the pocket and taking off and buying beats. He had a play during the game and it was a zero blitz where he got underneath the rush, gave Vince a chance to chip off a blitzing linebacker and threw the ball to Devin for a touchdown. A year ago he would have run backwards, and they’d have chased him for about an hour, and he’d probably end up throwing it out of bounds.
I'm ready to upgrade the Denard Can Throw hypothesis to a theory if he can just do it on Saturday.
BONUS BONUS: Smith spin move swag featuring Denard touch pass.
Heroes?
Anyone.
Goats?
If you're really mean and stuff, Barnum could have done better.
What does it mean for ND and the future?
Sadly, not much. The worries about the OL will go one way or the other on Saturday and I'm not sure which one it will be. Schofield's going to come in for scrutiny—I'm guessing he handles it fine. More concerned about the guards.
Meanwhile, inching towards the idea that Denard can throw… sidling up to it, not looking at it directly, maybe giving it an eyebrow. Saturday is maybe not an acid test against a young secondary featuring three position switch starters, but after last year yeah it's an acid test. Let's do some stuff not on Gary Gray's back.
Hokepoints: Denard Under Center
There was once a dream that was called Denard Robinson: Accurate Passer. You could only whisper it; anything more than a whisper and it would vanish…it was so fragile. And I fear that it will not survive the fall.
Last Saturday while watching Andrew Maxwell derf another derpity doo, I half-rhetorically asked the assembled a room full of Spartan fans who's the best passing quarterback in our conference this year. Answers, in order of appearance:
- …
- "CHHIIIRP CHIRRRP" –insects with that leg-rubbing noise
- …
- …
- "Howl" –wolf in the distance
- "How about that little dude on Northwestern?" – a Sparty
- "No he graduated." –another Sparty
- …
- "Shit. Really?" –first Sparty
After three weeks the stats (min=25 attempts) say it's Denard and ol' Tyranno-arm:
| Rk | Player | Team | Att | Cmp | Yds | Yds/Att | Ys/Gm | TDs | INTs | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denard Robinson | Mich | 75 | 41 | 699 | 9.3 | 233.0 | 6 | 4 | 146.3 |
| 2 | Taylor Martinez | Neb | 79 | 56 | 713 | 9.0 | 237.7 | 7 | 1 | 170.7 |
| 3 | MarQueis Gray | Minn | 44 | 26 | 398 | 9.0 | 132.7 | 5 | 169.2 | |
| 4 | Reilly O'Toole | Illini | 48 | 38 | 394 | 8.2 | 131.3 | 6 | 2 | 177.3 |
| 5 | Braxton Miller | OSU | 78 | 48 | 611 | 7.8 | 203.7 | 7 | 2 | 149.1 |
| 6 | Robert Marve | Pur | 56 | 41 | 414 | 7.4 | 207.0 | 4 | 156.7 | |
| 7 | Tre Roberson | Ind | 50 | 33 | 368 | 7.4 | 184.0 | 2 | 139.8 | |
| 8 | Cameron Coffman | Ind | 57 | 40 | 410 | 7.2 | 205.0 | 3 | 146.4 | |
| 9 | Matt McGloin | PSU | 104 | 59 | 688 | 6.6 | 229.3 | 8 | 1 | 133.5 |
| 10 | Danny O'Brien | Wis | 71 | 44 | 454 | 6.4 | 151.3 | 3 | 1 | 125.5 |
| 11 | Trevor Siemian | NW | 47 | 32 | 292 | 6.2 | 97.3 | 1 | 0 | 126.7 |
| 12 | Andrew Maxwell | MSU | 114 | 65 | 710 | 6.2 | 236.7 | 2 | 3 | 109.3 |
| 13 | James Vandenberg | Iowa | 103 | 59 | 593 | 5.8 | 197.7 | 0 | 2 | 101.8 |
| 14 | Kain Colter | NW | 56 | 37 | 321 | 5.7 | 107.0 | 2 | 0 | 124.9 |
| 15 | Caleb TerBush | Pur | 43 | 24 | 237 | 5.5 | 118.5 | 3 | 123.0 |
His interceptions are dragging down the passer rating, but half are explained by an accurate throw Vincent Smith deflected, and Roundtree getting shoved into last Tuesday by a Bama cornerback. It's just three games in, and the Big Ten competition this year isn't exactly the NFC South, but raise your hand if four weeks ago you thought there might be even a flimsy statistical case for saying "Denard is the best passer in the Big Ten right now."
In last week's Mailbag article Brian remarked upon a Mike Rothstein study that claims Denard has been way more accurate under center than from the shotgun. The Power Rank made a chart:
We've been over his higher efficiency as a runner from the gun ad nauseum, and charted his regression last year as of December, but is he really a better passer when dropping back? Brian's suggested explanations were Pressure, Situation, or Luck (ie sample size). Let's dig into the UFR database and see if there's an answer.
[ROLL'D OUT AFTER THE JUMP]
UMass Postgame Presser Transcript: Players
Denard Robinson and Vincent Smith
I'm so artsy.
Not to be a total buzzkill or anything, and this is totally the best way to open up a presser after a 63-13 blowout win, but can you talk about your pick six. What did you see there?
Denard: “Uh. Jeremy Jackson came open. I just threw it behind him. It was just a bad, bad throw. It was a good read, just a bad throw. I have to put my feet into it and follow through with the throw.”
On your ermahgerd touchdown, Joe Kerridge blocked for you. Did you notice that?
Denard: “Um… I mean, when you’re on the football field, everybody on the team has to be accountable. Even from the scouts and everybody. When Joey gets on the field I know he’s going to be accountable. He just told me about it. He said, ‘Man, I came in and chipped him,’ and he says [the other guy’s] mouthpiece came out, so it was pretty funny.”
With Notre Dame a week away, is this a game you needed to have?
Denard: “Yeah we needed to get a good win. Every day we need to come out and get better. When we came out today I felt like we got better but we still have some things we have to work on.”
(After the jump, more questions -- some fluffy, some confrontational, some misunderstood -- and maybe one or two interesting responses.)
UMass Recap: Pleasantly Routine

Dave Reginek/Getty Images
A half-empty student section, a press box full of beat writers already finishing their game columns, a field littered with walk-ons and freshmen; with eight minutes remaining in the final stanza, Michigan Stadium exhibited all the telltale signs of a blowout. A one-yard touchdown run by Justice Hayes had just given the Wolverines a 63-13 lead, one that stood as the final margin.
After the last two weeks, this was a welcome sight indeed.
Denard Robinson overcame an ugly pick-six to complete 16-of-24 passes for 291 yards and three touchdowns, adding another 105 yards and a touchdown on the ground to lead the way offensively. Robinson spread the ball around to nine different receivers, led by Drew Dileo's 91 yards on three receptions. The stars from last week, Devins Funchess and Gardner, each recorded a touchdown reception—Gardner's on a stellar effort to tightrope the sideline and dive for the pylon—and the enigmatic Roy Roundtree found paydirt for the first time this season.
It was a rebound performance for Fitzgerald Toussaint, as well, as he gained 85 yards on 15 carries, showing off the agility in tight quarters that made him so effective last season; after finding little room to operate against Air Force, Toussaint reached the edge on his 11-yard touchdown in the first quarter with help from an A.J. Williams block. Vincent Smith added a pair of touchdowns from inside the ten, Thomas Rawls doled out more punishment than he took, Justice Hayes recorded his first career score, and Dennis Norfleet made his offensive debut with a 15-yard jet sweep that surely made Brian one very happy blogger.
Michigan fans were even treated to a Fat Guy Touchdown, courtesy of a Taylor Lewan recovery after Denard fumbled into the end zone. Lewan, for his part, appeared more concerned about his quarterback's error than excited for his own fortune, sheepishly pointing his palms towards the sky when the officials belatedly signaled touchdown.
The defense limited UMass to 259 yards of total offense, though there was still reason for concern. The Minutemen doubled their offensive scoring output from their first two games—six points—and strung together three first downs in a drive for the first time this year. This should not cause PANIC, of course—six points, fergodsakes—but there are still issues to be resolved, especially on the interior of the D-line.
UMass got paid. Michigan got a chance to breathe easy and give their backups plenty of run. Now the team can look ahead to Saturday night's matchup with Notre Dame; for today, they can feel content about handling business as expected. With the baby seal emphatically clubbed, it's time to move on to the real season, not unscathed but with the ultimate goal—a Big Ten championship—still within reach.
Upon Further Review 2012: Offense vs Air Force
Formation notes: The Air Force defense is the opposite of their offense when it comes to formations. They run their 3-4 on virtually every play. They started off in some unusual (for them, anyway) formations, got burned for 79 yards on the second, and then decided to do this every play:
That may look like a four-man line but the line is directly over the C and tackles; the standup end is a linebacker, with AF's other linebacker flared out over the opposite hash.
For Michigan this is "double stacks," BTW.
I did not call this out specifically—it's just shotgun twins twin TE but note the inversion of the line TE—Kwiatkowski—and Funchess, who is in an H-back spot inside of him. Michigan used this mostly to get Funchess on wheel routes.
Substitution notes: A mishmash at WR with Gardner, Gallon, and Roundtree all seeing about the same number of snaps. Jackson and Jerald Robinson were next in line. Funchess, Kwiatkowski, and Williams split a good number of TE snaps.
Toussaint was the only tailback all game save for a few Smith snaps; the line was all starters.
Show? Show.
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M20 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun triple stack | 1 | 0 | 4 | Nickel under | Run | QB counter | Robinson | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Looks like read option in the backfield; Lewan pulls around into the hole. Omameh(-2) lets a DT go straight upfield into the Lewan pull; Lewan delays to prevent a TFL and Denard has to deal with that unblocked LB in the hole. RUN-: Omameh(2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M21 | 2 | 9 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Okie | Run | QB lead draw | Robinson | 79 | |||||||||||||||
| AF goes with a six man front and one MLB behind it with a cover two shell in the secondary. They send five, backing two out, those two are tasked with covering the receivers. They're looking at a bubble screen fake, and bug out. They're gone. Michigan blocks the four frontside guys, with Mealer(+1) and Barnum(+1) getting a scoop on the DT that gets Mealer(+1) to the second level, where he pancakes a safety. Gardner walls off a corner, and then Robinson(+3) is one on one with the last guy. You know how that ends. Ermagerd. RPS +3. This was easy, really. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Robinson(3), Mealer(2), Barnum | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 7-0. 8 min 1st Q. By the time M gets the ball back plays are 24-2 AF. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M27 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB iso | Robinson | -1 | |||||||||||||||
| This is either a run blitz or a really great read; one AF MLB shoots forward at the snap, getting past Mealer(-1) before he can come off a combo block. Maybe Molk makes this play, but it's not awful to not be able to do it. The DT Mealer and Omameh(-1) are trying to combo is shooting way left at the snap, so this is a blitz, I bet. Omameh totally loses the guy. Hopkins(-2) runs right by the blitzer, and this gets Denard buried in the backfield. RPS -1. RUN-: Omameh, Mealer, Hopkins(2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M26 | 2 | 11 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | PA TE seam | Funchess | 21 | |||||||||||||||
| Why, hello. LBs suck up on run fake, Funchess wide open, nailed, caught, this is the beginning of a beautiful friendship. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M47 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| AF tips a blitz like whoah and Michigan does not check. They send a corner and LB, slanting the line away from that blitz. Barnum(-2) gets confused and lets a DT through untouched. This is not good. Toussaint dances through it for a yard or two. Omameh(-1) also did not pick up the blitz and let that LB through clean. Bubble? Open. RPS –1, gotta have a check. RUN-: Barnum(2), Omameh(1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M48 | 2 | 9 | Shotgun double stack | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 3-4 | Pass | PA drag | Gallon | 8 | |||||||||||||||
| Gallon comes in motion as the ball is snapped; M fakes the zone and flips it out to him in space. Same play that he got open on against Alabama but Denard overthrew it. This one is on the money. Gallon gets the edge on the slowish AF defense and nears the first down. (CA, 3, protection N/A, RPS +1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O44 | 3 | 1 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB power | Robinson | 7 | |||||||||||||||
| AF running another blitz up the middle with stunting action. Michigan's pulling outside of a TE and Omameh(+1) plugs a blitzer, ending that backside threat. On the playside, Kwiatkowski(+1) seals the playside end, Toussaint(+0.5) kicks the OLB (easy), and Barnum(+0.5) pulls through to get an OK second-level block. Robinson is about to test those safeties again when a linebacker who was originally blitzing to the backside recovers for the ankle tackle. Nice recovery by that guy. RPS +1; blitz put AF in a bad spot. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Barnum(0.5), Hopkins(0.5), Kwiatkowski | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O37 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun triple stack TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB counter | Robinson | 7 | |||||||||||||||
| Run to the other side with Schofield pulling. AF blitzes right in the intended gap; Schofield(+1) slows up to wall the guy off… guy goes after Toussaint. If Schofield keeps going and bips a safety... oh well. Denard now has a big hole thanks to a big kickout from Lewan(+1) and Barnum walling off a LB who bit on Toussaint. S fills well, Denard tries to go around him and is chopped down by pursuit. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O30 | 2 | 3 | I-Form | 2 | 1 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | Iso | Toussaint | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| Mansome block from Hopkins(+2) who takes a blitzing LB, stands him up, and thrusts him out of the hole. Mealer(+1) adjusted well to a moving LB and escorted him out of the way; Omameh(+1) put a potentially problematic DT on the ground. Safety fill is rapid since he was moving forward on the snap as AF went to an eight man front. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Hopkins(2), Mealer, Omameh | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O25 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 3-4 | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | -1 | |||||||||||||||
| This is just an old Rodriguez inside zone and that it doesn't work is kind of on three people. One: Denard. End isn't crashing but a keep is attractive here. Two: Mealer(-1), who can't get much of a block on a playside LB. Three: Toussaint(-2), who refuses to cut it up and ruins excellent blocks from Barnum(+1) and Lewan(+1) on the backside. Maybe the end shuts this down, but probably not for zero yards. Also... we could use some belly here. FWIW, yeah, Omameh and Schofield are in the backfield but this is essentially fine on zone blocking. That's where they went. Toussaint needs to cut. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Lewan, Barnum | RUN-: Mealer, Toussaint(2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O26 | 2 | 11 | Shotgun trips TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB iso | Robinson | -8 | |||||||||||||||
| AF tips a safety blitz, no checks on either side. Michigan runs directly into it. Lewan is expecting to kick a DE who screams inside of him; nothing he can do. Denard runs around and goes down. RPS -3. This was dead. Moar checks. This was so tipped. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O34 | 3 | 19 | Shotgun double stack | 1 | 0 | 4 | Dime | Pass | Rollout out | Gallon | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| I think. This is a rollout flood route on which AF blitzes and still has everybody blanketed. Denard eventually throws it at a double-covered Gallon, getting it batted near the LOS. Given the situation I don't really mind the attempt—it's a crappy punt in a world of crappy punts if it gets picked off. He had Roundtree if he wanted to throw across his body... does he? I don't know. He's there for a reason, I guess. I'm just going to punt and BA this. (BA, 0, protection N/A, RPS -1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 7-3, 13 min 2nd Q. Gallon costs M 25 yards by not catching a punt before the next drive. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M12 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun triple stack TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB iso | Robinson | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| AF blitzes right up the intended gap; Toussaint(+1) takes that guy out of the play. Mealer(+0.5) does an okay job with the NT; Barnum(+0.5) gets a linebacker he released directly into. Robinson(+0.5) gets a half for moving past the blocks in an optimal way. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M18 | 2 | 4 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | Zone stretch | Toussaint | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| AF stunts, sending the playside DT right into Mealer. He goes low, submarining him and taking out Barnum. Not sure what Mealer can do about that. Omameh and Schofield now have to block guys inside of them that are at angles they are not expecting; they don't do this well. Even if they do, the peel-off leaves an unblocked guy waiting to fill. Williams(-1) did get owned on the edge and that didn't help. Rest of it seems RPS -2. Bubble open, BTW. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M18 | 3 | 4 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Out | Jackson | 8 | |||||||||||||||
| Stacked to the boundary. Bubble yawningly open. Michigan does it the slightly harder way by sending Jackson on an option route at about six yards. He breaks open, but not by much, and Denard shoots it in there like he's a WCO QB. (CA, 3, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M26 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Wheel | Funchess | 24 | |||||||||||||||
| Play action fake to Smith sucks up the OLB, who dodges Funchess like he's blocking. He and Gallon break deep against one safety, who takes the inside. Funchess is open, Denard sees it and hits him. Big paws man. (CA, 3, protection 2/2, RPS +1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O45 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 3-4 | Run | Broken play | Robinson | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Denard(-1) bobbles the snap. I was going to call this an iso since the play worked out like that but after watching it a couple times, Smith is definitely expecting a mesh point and just improvises after he figures out it's not coming. This is a half-step from breaking big, in fact, but a blitz from the OLB gets Denard around the legs just as he's about to burst. Barnum(+1) and Omameh(+1) paved the way. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Omameh, Barnum | RUN-: Robinson | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O43 | 2 | 8 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | Inside zone | Toussaint | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| This one is on the right side of the line as AF slants to get it to the backside. Schofield(-2) is supposed to latch on to that slant and push him past where he's trying to go; instead he just whiffs and dude makes contact in the backfield. This is really all Schofield; Barnum is looking for someone to block in his zone and this is not a tough thing to do. All Schofield has to do is push the guy and Toussaint has a nice lane on the cutback he did find. RUN-: Schofield(2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O42 | 3 | 7 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Hitch | Gardner | 12 | |||||||||||||||
| AF brings the heat. Both Mealer (-1) and Omameh(-1) get blown by, with Omameh's being more relevant. Denard has a guy in his face, and where previously he may have backfooted something turrible this time he shoots one out to Gardner in rhythm. It's a little upfield, but that's fine. (CA+, 3, protection 0/2, Mealer -1, Omameh -1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O30 | 1 | 10 | Ace Big | 1 | 3 | 1 | Base 3-4 | Pass | PA TE corner | Funchess | 30 | |||||||||||||||
| PA gets Funchess one on one with a safety and Denard all day. Funchess loses the S because he's thinking waggle, and Denard fires it. It's a little short, but the S is still running as Funchess finds the ball, so it's not really very off. Much better this than missing. (CA+, 3, protection 2/2, RPS +3). FUNCHESSSSSSS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 14-3, 7 min 2nd Q | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M38 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun twin TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB iso | Robinson | 7 | |||||||||||||||
| Looks like Toussaint(-1) blows an assignment and heads into the wrong gap. He ends up running into Omameh near the LOS; unblocked MLB. Robinson(+1) bounces it and gets the edge thanks to Schofield(+1) driving his guy a couple yards off the LOS. Interior blocking looked good, FWIW | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Robinson, Schofield | RUN-: Toussaint | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M45 | 2 | 3 | I-Form | 2 | 1 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | Power off tackle | Toussaint | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| AF walks down a safety and blitzes him right into this. They tipped this too, but no checks never checks. RPS -2. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M45 | 3 | 3 | Shotgun double stack | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Dumpoff | Smith | Int | |||||||||||||||
| Pass is a little high and hard for the 5'6" Smith, bouncing off his hands and getting intercepted. Denard had all the room in the world to run, but this was also wide open for a first down. (MA, 2, protection 1/1) On replay I don't even know if this is MA. Very catchable. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Interception, 14-3, 5 min 2nd Q. Next drive starts with 1:16 in the half and two TOs. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M19 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | Zone read keeper | Robinson | 10 | |||||||||||||||
| AF shows blitz and backs out of it. Funchess's guy is backing out at the snap. Funchess ends up chasing him a bit, then decides to release downfield. Denard(+1) pulls since there's no one containing him and shoots up in the gap for a first down. Funchess probably should have clocked a linebacker instead of going for the safety, but oh well. RPS +1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M29 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Rollout hitch | Roundtree | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| A crappy throw takes Roundtree off his feet, robbing him of YAC and keeping the clock running. Accurate and this is 8-10 and a stopped clock. (MA, 2, protection 1/1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M34 | 2 | 5 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | In | Gardner | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| Eight men in coverage; Denard can't find anything except a short one to Gardner at the sticks. Accurate, at least. (CA, 3, protection 1/1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M39 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Deep hitch | Gardner | 19 | |||||||||||||||
| Three man rush again; Denard surveys and finds Gardner open between levels in the zone, zips it for a first down. (CA+, 3, protection 1/1). They burn nine seconds before the next snap. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O42 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Post | Dileo | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| AF sends seven; picked up. Denard stares down Dileo and does not see Gardner coming open beneath him. He forces it into three guys. No es bueno. (BR, 0, protection 3/3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O42 | 2 | 10 | N/A | N/A | Penalty | Illegal substitution | -- | -5 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Bleah. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O47 | 2 | 15 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Post | Jackson | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| I'm not charting this given the situation. May as well force it. Do think Gallon was a better option, but whatever. (NC, 0, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: EOH, 14-10. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M42 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB power | Robinson | 58 | |||||||||||||||
| AF sends a blitzer off the corner. Toussaint(+1) deals with him. Omameh has to get around that issue and does. Robinson slows up for him. Now both are on the edge with a linebacker. Omameh(+1) blows him up. Robinson cuts inside that. Lewan(+2) has donkeyed a slanting DL all the way to Schofield(!), so there's a gap. Mealer(+1) sealed away another DT. Williams and Barnum are doubling a linebacker. Denard(+2) has a big cutback lane. Dileo(+1) cracks down on the other OLB and gets a bonus block on a DB who wasn't making the play anyway. Gardner's stalk-blocking the corner to that side; Denard(+1) jukes that guy inside out and seeya. No shoes necessary. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 21-10, 14 min 2nd Q | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M35 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun twins twin TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB sweep | Robinson | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| M pulls Omameh and Schofield around two tight ends to the boundary. AF is stunting things; Williams(+1) does a good job to shove the playside DE past everything. Another DL has stunted himself out of the play, and Lewan(+1) gets the third despite the stunting. Michigan crushes the second level, and the only thing that can prevent Robinson from getting five or six yards is Robinson(-2) not cutting upfield and instead jogging out of bounds. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Lewan, Williams | RUN-: Robinson(2) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M36 | 2 | 9 | Shotgun triple stack TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB draw | Robinson | 10 | |||||||||||||||
| AF tips that blitz again, and this time it seems like we do get a check. Robinson fakes a WR screen to Gallon and takes off. Just like his opening run, the two linebackers haul for WRs on the outside, so if Denard can get past the line he will get yards. Pump fake gets one for free; Lewan(+1) stuffs the other blitzer and there's an avenue outside. No gap in the middle, unfortunately, or this could have been a massive gain. As it is it's an easy first down. Denard(+1) for speed and things. RPS +1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Robinson, Lewan | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M46 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun trips TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB power | Robinson | 5 | |||||||||||||||
| Barnum(+1) pulls and gets there. He takes on a run-blitzing LB at the LOS and wins. Toussaint(+1) kicks the OLB. No chance on the safety because Barnum got used at the LOS but he's got to be cautious and it's a decent gain. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Toussaint, Barnum, Williams | RUN-: | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O49 | 2 | 5 | Shotgun trips TE | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Slant | J. Robinson | 10 | |||||||||||||||
| That's not Milliner. The Other Robinson gets inside position and uses his body to wall off the DB; Denard nails him. Body-caught, but results-based charting. (CA+, 3, protection 1/1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O39 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun twins twin TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Wheel | Funchess | 26 | |||||||||||||||
| TEs both in two point stances. Michigan runs a Toussaint fake and then goes pass, with Funchess running a wheel down the sideline. Man coverage, AF linebacker tries a chuck or something, and that's over. Denard floats a perfect touch pass over the LB. Funchess bobbles it but does bring it in. Great throw maximized YAC. (DO, 3, protection 2/2, RPS +1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O13 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB power | Robinson | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| This time the other way. Kwiatkowski(+1) seals the DE; Lewan(+1) shoves a slanting DT and then gets a second level block. LB spins off it but is significantly delayed. Robinson(-0.5) gets spooked by that fellow and runs a little outside where he should, giving up some yards when a guy Dileo cut decently can make a tackle from his knees. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O7 | 2 | 4 | Ace Big | 1 | 3 | 1 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Waggle out | Gardner | 7 | |||||||||||||||
| Play action fools the entire AF secondary; easy pitch and catch for Denard and Gardner. (CA, 3, protection 1/1, RPS +1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Touchdown, 28-17, 6 min 3rd Q | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M1 | 1 | 10 | I-form Big | 2 | 2 | 1 | Base 3-4 | Run | Power off tackle | Toussaint | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Ugh, just throw the damn ball to Gallon and see if this AF corner's eight-yard cushion is something he can make up. That's a guaranteed five yards. Instead, M runs a power. Williams(-1) loses a DE to the inside. Omameh(-1) does not get there, and that's all she wrote. RPS -1. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M2 | 2 | 9 | I-Form | 2 | 1 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Hitch | Gardner | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Extremely token run fake and max pro. Robinson fires a hitch, accurate but maybe a tiny bit late. Gardner gets his hands on it but ends up dropping it as the CB rakes it out. Could be route here, as separation was not gained. (CA, 1, protection 1/1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M2 | 3 | 9 | Shotgun double stack | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Out | Jackson | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Zone blitz gets two ILBs in Robinson's face, so he flings a dart to Jeremy Jackson that he bobbles and then the OLB backing out knocks down. Dileo had separation and could have turned up for the first; Jackson is just slow. In any case, this was probably a yard or two short of the first down unless Jackson did some mansome OLB dragging after the catch. (CA+, 3, protection 0/2, team) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 28-17, EO3Q | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | D Form | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M34 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB power | Robinson | 6 | |||||||||||||||
| Omameh's back to pulling really badly, as he ends up two yards in the backfield at one point and Robinson has to slow up for him. He does plug the linebacker that shows, I guess. Tentative +1. Lewan(+1) and Williams(+1) club the playside DE with Williams coming out on a LB. Barnum(+0.5) gets the easy NT block; Toussaint(+0.5) kicks the DE, and Denard only has a safety to deal with. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M40 | 2 | 4 | Shotgun trips | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 3-4 | Pass | PA seam | Dileo | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Robinson gets instant pressure from the edge as a blitz comes and has to dump it immediately. Dileo is covered by one of those linebackers coming out from the center of the field and Denard chucks it high of everyone anyway. I'm filing this PR. I don't mind this from Denard. (PR, 0, protection 0/1, team, RPS -1). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M40 | 3 | 4 | Shotgun 4-wide | 1 | 0 | 4 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Out | Jackson | 9 | |||||||||||||||
| Three-step rhythm throw (except this is a shotgun). This is west-coasty. It's Purdue-y. It's a short out to Jackson for the first down. (CA, 3, protection 1/1). Jackson gets some bullish YAC, too. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M49 | 1 | 10 | I-Form twins | 2 | 1 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Pass | PA post | Roundtree | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Toussaint gets a great cut block on a blitzing OLB that gives Denard time. He pumps, indecisive, and then he's got to go. He runs up in the pocket and as he's getting tackled by that OLB unloads 50 yards downfield to Roundtree, who is open by a step; pass is way long. (IN, 0, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M49 | 2 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB draw | Robinson | 7 | |||||||||||||||
| AF sends a double A gap blitz, backing off an OLB. Barnum(+1) catches one LB and escorts him out of the hole. Toussaint(+1) kicks the other one. Crease. Williams(+1) gets a good downfield block on that OLB who backed out. Robinson is one on one with a safety and ends up trying to cut behind Williams; Safety chops him down by the ankles. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O44 | 3 | 3 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB power | Robinson | 11 | |||||||||||||||
| DE slanting inside on the playside makes Omameh move around him, which slows him. Denard slows, too. By the time he's finished doing that, Williams(+1) has shoved that DE all the way past the back of the line, Schofield(+1) has blown the playside DE past Barnum's guy, and a big cutback lane opens that Robinson(+2) takes. Dileo(+1) cuts off a linebacker and bang secondary. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O33 | 1 | 10 | I-Form twins | 2 | 1 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | Waggle corner | Gardner | 20 | |||||||||||||||
| Toussaint again gets a nice cut block on the OLB coming hard on the edge. Denard is now in plenty of space and can leisurely pick out Gardner breaking open 20 yards downfield. Hit in the numbers, easy catch, big gain. (CA+, 3, protection 2/2, RPS +1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O13 | 1 | 10 | I-Form twins | 2 | 1 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | Iso | Toussaint | -1 | |||||||||||||||
| S nominally covering the slot comes on a Kovacs blitz and nails Toussaint for no gain. RPS -2. No blocking matters here. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O14 | 2 | 11 | Shotgun empty | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Delayed slant | Gardner | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Gardner hitches up at five yards and then extends his route when a LB comes up to cover, and Denard goes for him. He's about to have a completion nearing the sticks when an DL who's not even bothering to rush gets a hand up at the LOS and bats it down. Foiled again! RPS +1, great little route. (BA, 0, protection 2/2) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| O14 | 3 | 11 | Shotgun 2-back | 2 | 0 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Pass | Dumpoff | Toussaint | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Air Force sends six. Picked up but Robinson is spooked and dumps it to Toussaint, low and tough. Not caught, not getting the first down even if caught. RUN THE BALL DENARRRRD. Taking off here has possibilities, man. (IN, 1, protection 3/3) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: FG(31), 31-25, 8 min 4th Q | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Ln | Dn | Ds | O Form | RB | TE | WR | DForm | Type | Play | Player | Yards | |||||||||||||||
| M43 | 1 | 10 | Shotgun 3-wide | 1 | 1 | 3 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB power | Robinson | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Playside LB splits Toussaint and Barnum, getting upfield of Barnum and forcing Denard inside away from blocking. This gives AF a free hitter, who tackles Robinson in the hole. Think Toussaint(-1) has to go at this guy and cut him so Barnum can come around. Stunt made the blocking down very easy FWIW. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M45 | 2 | 8 | Shotgun twins twin TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Run | QB sweep | Robinson | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| Williams(-1) gets shoved back and loses his guy, which picks off Brink and gives Brink's guy an avenue to flow. Toussaint(-1) never actually gets a hat on the contain guy, and these folks combine on Robinson for a short gain. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RUN+: Schofield | RUN-: Toussaint, Williams | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M47 | 3 | 6 | Shotgun twins twin TE | 1 | 2 | 2 | Base 3-4 | Pass | PA rollout hitch | Gardner | Inc | |||||||||||||||
| Wide open as the smash route takes the corner to that side deep. Robinson finds it and leaves it short, but catchable. Gardner cant' bring it in. (MA, 2, protection 1/1, RPS +1) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Drive Notes: Punt, 31-25, 2 min 4th Q. Michigan's final snaps are kneels. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
I like this not playing Alabama thing.
Yeah, it's pretty cool.
My favorite bits are Denard running until your brain melts.
Me too!
My second favorite bits are when Denard throws the receivers are not coated in a blood-red harbinger of doom.
I feel you.
I'm even feeling pretty good about this chart you're going to hit me with.
Do… you want to? You know, do it? The thing where I say—
CHART
—chart and you interrupt me to say—
CHART
--chart. The love is back!
[Hennechart legend is updated.]
| Opponent | DO | CA | MA | IN | BR | TA | BA | PR | SCR | DSR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 through MSU | 13 | 66(12) | 11(1) | 34(1) | 17 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 55% |
| 2011 after MSU | 9 | 77(9) | 7 | 17 | 9 | 6(1) | 5(2) | 9 | 5 | 69% |
| Alabama | 4 | 15(2) | 1 | 4 | 3 | - | - | 3(1) | 1 | 71% |
| Air Force | 1 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | - | 75% |
Boom. Denard's misses:
- Dumpoff to Smith that's a little high and hard marked MA. This was the INT.
- Two iffy throws on sideline stop routes, one of which takes Roundtree off his feet inbounds on Michigan's hurry-up drive at the end of the first half, one of which forces Gardner to try and dig out a low throw on Michigan's final real snap. Both MAs.
- Fifty-yard bomb to Roundtree thrown while on the move and getting tackled. IN, but not a big deal.
- Dumpoff to Toussaint as he's getting pressure on third and eleven. IN.
There was also a crappy read right at the end of the first half. That's it. Denard Robinson killed Tacopants tag: deployed.
I mean, I'm just like you guys. Wheels on the money, corner routes on the money, even one of those dinky Purdue routes in traffic squeezed in there. He stood in against pressure and shot darts out to his WRs. QBs make mistakes. There are those little frustrating moments when the guy won't just RUNNNNNNN and you're going HNNNNNNGGGG because look at all that space on third and three. But if you're trying to tell me this is not a significant leap forward, you crazy.
This is pretty.
MAINTAIN PLZ
I am so Funchized right now you guys.
you're what
I am Funchized to the max.
that's not even a thing
Oh, man, this is great stuff.
Fine, fine, I am so Funchized.
I clipped all four of his catches not because I set out to do so but just because it happened. Each was a big gain, each was virtually unstoppable for safety or linebacker, and all but one made you think that Funchess was going to have awesome hands as he plucked the ball out of the air with the twelve-inch skillets attached to his wrists. Was the seam a little behind him? Maybe if it's Dileo the throw forces a spin and a tough catch. Funchess just reaches out for it. Was the touchdown a little short?
Maybe if we're talking about Martavious Odoms or Jeremy Gallon going for that. In Funchess's case, feed the man up high.
Aigh Toussaint?
Let's do another variety of chart first.
| Offensive Line | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | + | - | Total | Notes | |||||||||||||||
| Lewan | 8 | - | 8 | Blew some guys off the ball; locked out edge guys. | |||||||||||||||
| Barnum | 6.5 | 2 | 4.5 | Solid. | |||||||||||||||
| Mealer | 4.5 | 2 | 2.5 | Seems like a decent player. | |||||||||||||||
| Omameh | 5 | 5 | 0 | Pulling getting bad again; got blown by a couple times. | |||||||||||||||
| Schofield | 3 | 2 | 1 | Not tested that much. | |||||||||||||||
| Kwiatkowski | 2 | - | 2 | Did okay. | |||||||||||||||
| Moore | - | - | - | DNP | |||||||||||||||
| Williams | 5 | 3 | 2 | Very blocky. | |||||||||||||||
| Funchess | - | - | - | Blocking is for saps. | |||||||||||||||
| TOTAL | 34 | 14 | 71% | What they needed to do against Air Force. | |||||||||||||||
| Backs | |||||||||||||||||||
| Player | + | - | T | Notes | |||||||||||||||
| Robinson | 11.5 | 3.5 | 8 | XOXOXO | |||||||||||||||
| Bellomy | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
| Toussaint | 5 | 5 | 0 | Pretty good day blocking on rollouts FWIW. | |||||||||||||||
| Rawls | - | - | - | DNP | |||||||||||||||
| Smith | - | - | - | DNR | |||||||||||||||
| Hayes | - | - | - | DNP | |||||||||||||||
| Hopkins | 2 | 2 | 2 | Denard running meant not much Hopkins. | |||||||||||||||
| Kerridge | - | - | - | DNP | |||||||||||||||
| TOTAL | 18.5 | 10.5 | 8 | fast | |||||||||||||||
| Receivers | |||||||||||||||||||
| Player | + | - | T | Notes | |||||||||||||||
| Gardner | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
| Roundtree | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
| Gallon | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
| Jackson | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
| Dileo | 1 | - | 1 | -- | |||||||||||||||
| J. Robinson | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||
| Darboh | - | - | - | -- | |||||||||||||||
| TOTAL | 1 | - | 1 | Eh. | |||||||||||||||
| Metrics | |||||||||||||||||||
| Player | + | - | T | Notes | |||||||||||||||
| Protection | 33 | 5 | 87% | Team –3, Mealer –1, Omameh –1. | |||||||||||||||
| RPS | 17 | 13 | +4 | A lot of RPSes. | |||||||||||||||
Those line numbers have extremely low amplitude because Michigan only got off 28 rushes—Air Force had 71!—and the high RPS numbers mean that I attributed a lot of stuff to play design/response instead of blocking. Like, on the 79-yarder there was only one second level player who needed thumping. That means fewer treats to pass out to the OL and more for Borges. Similarly, getting whacked in the backfield by an unblocked blitzer is not on the OL.
When the line did get called upon, they did well. Mostly.
Okay. Now: Aigh Toussaint?
I'm not sure it was much about Toussaint. He missed one cut pretty badly. Other than that, I'm not sure what he was supposed to do:
Air Force tipped blitzes a lot and Michigan didn't check out of their play but once or twice (and I didn't actually clip the check). Not sure if that's on Denard or Borges, but a lot of the time when Toussaint was getting the ball he was dodging unblocked guys in the backfield. Lewan said this was "embarrassing" OL performance; I do think they had some problems but I think it was mostly Toussaint getting the wrong chamber in Air Force blitz/slant roulette.
Michigan's success in the air was the flipside of that business. Michigan's final TD was easy easy because even Air Force's corners freak out about run.
But the right side of the offensive line is a problem?
I'm not sure Schofield had enough relevant reps in this game to make any sort of declaration. Omameh was pretty bad, though. I was probably too kind when gave him a +1 on some of his pulls. He's back to that arcing thing where he ends up running eight yards when he can run five. And too often yesterday did he let slanting guys right by. Here's the first play:
Have to get a shove on that guy even if he hops past you. Schofield had a similar error on a zone where Air Force slanted hard playside and the only thing preventing Toussaint's good-idea backside cut from working was the whiff. I don't see stuff like that from Lewan.
Robinson only had 4.5 YPC if you take out the big touchdowns, though.
Thanks, Danny Kanell. The way Air Force was playing left them exposed to monster plays. The 79-yarder saw a blitz and both LBs bugging out into a potential bubble screen:
the youtube url for this play has "Wee" in it
There is no one on the second level, period. Air Force did a lot of stunting and slanting blitzing in order to make up for their size deficiencies, and when it worked it got Michigan in second and long. The long runs were a cost they were hoping not to pay. You can't just take them out and expect to say anything meaningful.
Norfleet?
Yo I got your magic midget right here.
He'll get some carries Saturday.
Did you forget something?
Right, receivers:
[Passes are rated by how tough they are to catch. 0 == impossible. 1 == wow he caught that, 2 == moderate difficulty, 3 == routine. The 0/X in all passes marked zero is implied.]
| Player | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner | 1 | 0/1 | 0/1 | 5/5 | 5 | 0/3 | 1/2 | 5/5 | |
| Roundtree | 1 | 1/1 | 2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 2/2 | |||
| Gallon | 1 | 1/1 | 2 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 2/2 | |||
| J. Robinson | 1/1 | 1 | 1/1 | ||||||
| Dileo | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | ||||||
| Jackson | 1 | 2/3 | 3/4 | ||||||
| Darboh | |||||||||
| Chesson | |||||||||
| Kwiatkowski | 1/1 | ||||||||
| Moore | |||||||||
| Funchess | 4/4 | 4/4 | |||||||
| Williams | |||||||||
| Toussaint | 0/1 | 0/1 | |||||||
| Smith | 0/1 | 0/1 | 2/2 | ||||||
| Rawls |
Notice the large drop in 0s. Obviously. The only routine drop was a Jackson out when Michigan was backed up on the goal line. Wouldn't have gotten the first down but would at least have gotten Michigan away from the goal line and give Hagerup an opportunity to boom one. Smith's 0/1 was of course painful.
Heroes?
Denard! Also Funchess.
Goats?
Omameh had a rough day on the OL.
What does it mean for UMass and the future?
UMass will be a walkover.
As for the future, if Denard puts up the same sort of accuracy against UMass that ND game will be monstrous for the fan excitement level. Put up a bunch of completions against the Irish and keep that streak going and it's that MSU game for the Roses. Revert and we're all feeling pretty crappy about ourselves.
Toussaint gets an INC; the right side of the line is the biggest worry now, along with the tight ends holding up against bigger teams.
But, hey, Funchess and a rapidly developing Gardner combine with Denard's running to pose a tricky question for upcoming defenses. The passing just has to be for real.
