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denard robinson

Unverified Voracity Has Hot Sellers

By Brian — October 6th, 2009 at 11:32 AM — 31 comments
Filed under:
  • 2003
  • coner
  • denard robinson
  • elliot mealer
  • florida
  • jordan kovacs
  • justin turner
  • notre dame
  • outback bowl
  • t-shirts
  • unverified voracity

New shirts! The MGoStore is rocking two new shirts. One of them is pretty obvious. The other is, er… not. Click either for link:

Print notorious-cone

Yes, the back of the Cone shirt says "leave ya twisted with chalk around ya body" in tribute to Cone rapping up a storm. WOOOOO. Get 'em while they last. Shoelace will be around for a bit, of course. Cone will be in our hearts forever but since it's kind of doubtful he gets a fifth year you probably want to scoop those bad boys up ASAP.

NOTE for folks who live in Ann Arbor and hate the idea of paying shipping costs: MGoShirts are available at Underground's retail space on South U. My cut there is the same as the one online, for people super concerned about the cash flow here. (This does happen.)

Outback Bowlin'. Orson Swindle would do well to avoid this vein-popping Zook special, but you're not Orson so here's the Wolverine Historian version of the 2003 Outback Bowl:

Part Two awaits in the lightbox.

I don't know if this is good or bad. Justin Turner was credited with a special teams tackle on Saturday, but that did not actually happen:

MSU corrected the official boxscore Sunday to show Jonas Mouton in on the tackle, and Turner, the No. 2-rated player in Michigan's 2009 recruiting class according to Rivals.com, remains eligible to redshirt.

So he's probably going to redshirt, and JT Floyd is going to start. Hurrah for good roster management? Boo because of thin secondary depth and the oddity of having such a highly-rated guy on a redshirt track? You make the call.

Also of indeterminate benefit. Rodriguez is going to take a look at linebackers who aren't Ezeh or Mouton (both of whom are at least making a number of good plays to go along with their terrible horrible not good ones in the UFR I've gotten to):

Yeah, every job is up for grabs every week,” Rodriguez said. “It sounds like coach speak, but our guys know they have to play at a certain level. Jonas (Mouton) and Obi (Ezeh) have played very, very hard. … I think Jonas is a very active player, and Obi has played solid, as well, but we can all play better.” …

"You take away a couple of those scramble plays, their big third and long passes, and it was a pretty solid effort,” Rodriguez said. “But you have to count those. Those are part of the whole deal. … We've got to be more consistent I think is the word in all three phases, particularly defensively."

"Player X has played very hard" is an excellent backhanded compliment. FWIW, I don't think anything will come of the starting jobs potentially coming open given Fitzgerald's shaky cameo and Leach's meh performance in the Eastern game. At least Mouton, who does appear to be blitzing a lot more recently, has guru-approved (and obvious) athletic ability. Leach doesn't.

As long as we're talking about the possibility of walk-ons busting into the starting lineup, let's highlight this bolded bit from yesterday's press conference recap:

Mike Williams wasn't 100% going into the game, but taking him out for Kovacs was a substitution issue, not an injury issue.

IE: Kovacs is just playing because the coaches think he's better. Williams got yanked quickly, too, right after he failed to get out on a short zone when Michigan was running three-deep and gave up a 15-yard hitch on Michigan State's endless drive. I didn't even think that was his fault, FWIW, as he was tasked with faking a blitz and had no chance to get out there; with Warren playing in the parking lot that play was super easy. FWIW, Kovacs has turned in a couple of impressive tackles so far. He's probably a disaster in coverage but Michigan is using him as downhill run-stuffer, something he seems capable of.

Family values, but on the tee-vee. Elliot Mealer will feature on that ESPN newsmagazine show E:60. You know, the one with jump cuts of Jeremy Schaap. Details:

Sports leader ESPN has followed the Mealer and Richer families for a year documenting how each family dealt with grief while moving ahead with their lives. On Tuesday the segment will air for the first time on ESPN and ESPN HD on a program called E:60 at 7 p.m.

"I first got contacted really early in the morning after I had just spoken at a FCA event at Napoleon High School," explained Elliott Mealer, a senior at the time of the accident that claimed two lives. "We talked it over as a family and all agreed that this could be something that could bring a positive light to the accident and everything after. As a little kid you always dream about being on ESPN and I guess in this sense it is bittersweet. I really wish I didn't have a story to tell but the fact of the matter is I do."

Worth examining, yes, I talk like Yoda for no reason mmmm.

Oh noes! You probably remember the nonstop caterwauling from Notre Dame fans in the aftermath of the referees getting Armando Allen's screen non-touchdown right. I wonder if they will take up arms and demand justice from the Big East replay officials on behalf of Washington:

ND-2-Point-Conversion-1024x768

That knee you see on the ground is Robert Hughes's. His entire body, and therefore the ball, is outside the endzone at this moment. This is the two point conversion that Notre Dame got to go up three, and without it they would have lost 30-28 in regulation. The lack of a review here is inexplicable. It was obvious the instant NBC cut to a replay of the play. CONSPIRACY

(Also, people: download a torrent and get a frame from that instead of taking pictures of your TV.)

Etc.: This is not Mark May pantomiming Lou Holtz performing fellatio on Jimmah, but it kind of looks like it is. Barwis porn migrates to web comics. Braves & Birds is confused about how to feel about the game Saturday.

  • 31 comments

New Entrant In "Wins At Life"

By Brian — October 1st, 2009 at 1:54 PM — 42 comments
Filed under:
  • denard robinson
  • yep these are my readers

I don't think this quite lives up to getting Tom Hammond-themed clothing banned at Brother Rice, but it ain't far off:

-----------------------------

This was in the basement of the Union and my friend asked denard to sign his forehead, he kindly asked if he really wanted him to do this, he said yes and the rest is history.

denard-robinson-signs-foreheaddenard-has-blessed-your-head

This guy has to not shower until Saturday, right? I think that's a rule: if Denard Robinson signs part of your head you have to keep it there until the next game.

  • 42 comments

Upon Further Review: Offense vs Eastern Michigan

By Brian — September 24th, 2009 at 1:43 PM — 42 comments
Filed under:
  • darryl stonum
  • david molk
  • denard robinson
  • denard robinson is made of dilithium
  • eastern michigan
  • michael shaw
  • spread offense
  • tate forcier
  • upon further review

Formation notes: I usually don't try to determine what personnel the opponent has on the field because it's nearly impossible and the TV announcer men never tell you. So EMU may have just run the same sets of folks out there the whole game, I don't know. I do know that I dubbed this the "nickel" look:

emu-nickel

The guy over the slot receiver there is in man. This would normally leave only six in the box but EMU would walk a safety up, as you can see. The "base 4-3" is basically this with the linebackers slid over and EMU in a two-deep shell. Why would Ron English do this against a high powered spread run offense? I don't know. Ask Armanti Edwards YES I'M STILL A LITTLE BITTER.

Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M49 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read stretch Brown 30
This basically never happened last year no matter how much Michigan tried: this is an outside zone that gets outside the tackle. When that happens it's nice play by the tackle in question, so +1 for Huyge. Also excellent work by Molk(+1) to seal the playside DT—reach block—and Koger(+1) to crush the OLB to the playside. Brown has huge space, darts into the secondary, and is on his way to six points when a diving safety manages to trip him up from behind.
O21 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Pass Bubble screen Odoms Inc
With EMU not directly over the slots this is open, though there's a chance a crappy block by the outside WR ends this play near the LOS. We never find out, though, as Forcier throws it way high. (IN, 0, screen)
O21 2 10 Shotgun 2-back 0 2 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read stretch Brown 4
Ortmann(-1) fails to cut the backside DT and the playside guy is slanting really hard; Molk eventually does get a seal but it's too late for there to be a crease. The hard slant opened up a cutback lane and Schilling(+1) cut the MLB to ribbons, so Brown's got a lane he takes. The backside DT tackles from behind.
O17 3 6 Shotgun empty 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run QB draw Forcier -3
Eastern waiting for it, blitzing right into it. Forcier can't make the blitzer miss and loses three. Their rock, our scissors.
Drive Notes: FG(37), 3-0, 10 min 1st Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M40 1 10 Shotgun trips 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read inside Brown 6
Maybe? This could just be a quick read; I'm not great at differentiating inside and outside zone plays. Anyway, the backside DT gets playside of Ortmann but it doesn't matter much because EMU is not running a scrape exchange and the DE, pulled upfield, leaves a big cutback lane for Brown. He takes it, slashing upfield and into a couple of linebackers for a good gain. Help here from experts and laity requested.
M46 2 4 Shotgun empty 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Pass Bubble screen Grady(19) 3
Hard-charging EMU corner forces Grady to cut it up inside of Webb, who does a good job blocking the guy. Grady's got a choice between slamming it upfield for a first down and not much more or trying to pop it outside for lots. He picks the latter and gets taken down; mistake on his part. (CA, 3, screen)
M49 3 1 I-Form covered twins 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Off tackle (Down G) Brown 14
Oooh, look, a pulling guard. This is our version of that EMU play, I believe. EMU's playing this pretty soft, with both safeties relatively far back and the linebackers off the LOS. They are trying to slant inside and Michigan catches them with an off tackle play. Huyge(+2) gets an excellent downfield block and Webb(+1) seals away the slanting DL, leaving Grady and Schilling on the edge against one EMU player; Grady(+1) takes him out. Brown makes a quick cut upfield into lots of space. Huyge's block is really excellent.
O37 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read stretch Minor 13
Michigan again gets outside the tackle, so give Ortmann +1 and another +1 for Molk, who sealed his guy on a reach. Second level blocks from Schilling and Ferrara are good; Huyge manages to push his guy past Minor as the trio comes together a few yards downfield and Minor runs through the traffic for another first down. First time I've seen Michigan get outside the tackles consistently in the RR era.
O24 1 10 Shotgun trips 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read inside Minor 5
Virtual replay of the earlier Brown run where EMU slants hard to the playside, leaving a cutback lane because they're not scraping.
O19 2 5 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read inside Minor 3
Here Molk(-1) gets blown back into the backfield as the playside DT gets an outstanding jump. Minor's forced to cut up way inside of where he wants to go, and the timing of the play is blown up. Only reason this isn't a bigger loss is that Michigan down-blocked with Ferrara and pulled Huyge around him to get to the second level, so there was no pursuing backside DT this time. Shows some faith in Huyge to expect him to be agile enough to make this block.
O16 3 2 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Pass Rollout hitch Grady(19) 11
Zone read fake with Schilling pulling out to provide some pass protection on Forcier's rollout. He delays the backside DE, giving Forcier time to zip an accurate bullet to Grady for eight or so plus a little YAC. (CA+, 3, protection 1/1)
O5 1 G Shotgun 2-back 0 2 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read stretch Brown -4
On Forcier, I think, as the EMU DE sells out on the stretch, as does the rest of the defense. A keeper has Forcier 1-on-1 with a linebacker and is either a touchdown or close to it. EMI has thrown eight guys at this and it's pretty well blown up; if I had to finger one blocker I think it's Ferrara(-1), who got blown back and allowed the backside pursuit to be relevant when Brown tried to cut back
O9 2 G Ace 4-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Off tackle Brown 9
Michigan might have gotten away with one as Huyge moves what looks like a fraction early. He downblocks the DT, blowing him off the ball (head start probably helped); the unblocked DE gets confused by a Grady end-around fake, opening up a lane for Brown that he runs straight up into, getting chopped down just as he crosses the goal line.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 10-3, 2 min 1st Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M31 1 10 Shotgun 2-back 0 2 3 Base 4-3 Pass PA Corner Odoms 26
Michigan's trying to take advantage of the EMU linebacker on Odoms and running routes on him as he's in man coverage. This coverage is actually pretty good but Forcier lays it in there and Odoms makes a tough catch along the sideline. Excellent execution except maybe on the route. Odoms should be more open than this. (DO, 2, protection 1/1)
O43 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read keeper Forcier 2
EMU shows cover one, so there are seven in the box. Forcier reads the crashing DE and pulls it and Huyge's out to block the WLB. Forcier doesn't read that aspect of the play and takes it too far outside. Slicing upfield immediately would have gotten him into the secondary one-on-one with a single safety; instead his outside angle allows the WLB to come around Huyge and tackle for little gain.
O41 2 8 ??? ? ? ? ? Pass Hitch? Hemingway 7
Miss this entire play for a replay of the last one. Here's a guess from memory: (CA, 3, protection 1/1)
O34 3 1 Ace 2 1 2 4-3 under Run Inside zone Shaw 22
Poor job by Ferrara(-1) of sealing his guy to the outside; he just gets beat, which means the hole Schilling(+1) blew open by crushing the other DT is not open. Shaw(+2) cuts back into an unblocked safety, then makes him look stupid. Damn that kid is fast. Steps out, barely, or this is a touchdown.
O12 1 10 Ace 2 1 2 Base 4-3 Run Inside zone Shaw 7
Extremely aggressive by EMU, with nine guys in the box. A similar result to the last play except with all the guys jamming the LOS the lack of creases is understandable. Shaw again goes backside, picking up good blocks from Ortmann and one of the TEs—can't make out who—before the ninth guy, unblocked on the backside, tracks him down from behind.
O5 2 3 I-Form covered twins 1 2 2 4-3 under Run Down G Shaw 5
Same play as the earlier I-form, with Schilling pulling around as everyone else blocks down. EMU SLB must be in man on Koger or something because he runs himself a couple steps inside when Koger blocks down, which just about takes him out of the play. Koger and Huyge crush the playside DE; Grady(+1) blasts the SLB, taking another linebacker out with him, and Schilling picks off a filling safety; Shaw into the endzone.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 17-10, 9 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M10 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone counter dive Brown 90
You know this play, as it's been discussed in Picture Pages. Michigan runs it again, with Webb(+1) kicking out the DE, Schilling(+1) pancaking the DT, Ortmann and Molk(+1 each) getting solid second-level blocks on the EMU LBs. One EMU safety is charging to the line on a scrape exchange with the DE and the other one heads outside a bit in anticipation of a stretch. Maybe the latter guy recovers against Brandon Minor, but not against Brown. Woop. Gone.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 24-10, 7 min 2nd Q. OH NOES THE TIME OF POSSESSION. Robinson gets the next drive.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M13 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Pass Throwback screen Mathews Inc
Great playcall that drags nine EMU defenders to Robinson's side and is one Schilling block on a safety from being six points. Robinson's throw is way outside and high though; instead of leading Mathews back inside where the corner can get walled off by Ortmann he throws a pass that's too high to catch and too outside for the corner to get blocked. (IN, 1, screen)
M13 2 10 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Run QB draw Robinson 11
EMU has adjusted and is now dedicating a player to the slot receiver and walking up a safety. Robinson reaction? Also why the hell couldn't English figure this out against Armanti Edwards? One thing English hasn't figured out: aggression. All three LBs sit back and wait for the play to come to them; easy double for Schilling and Molk gets the playside DT out of the picture and Shaw(+1) pops the MLB, springing Robinson into the secondary. Robinson impressively drives for an extra three or so yards. BONUS: WMU replay sees color guy compliment Robinson for—no foolies—having the “headiness to pick the ball up.”
M24 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Run Zone read stretch Shaw -1
Mplk(-1) driven back by the DT and Ortmann(-1) also gives ground, forcing Shaw to cut it up into a linebacker who Schilling can't block because the players in the backfield have robbed him of his angle.
M23 2 11 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Pass Rollout corner Odoms Inc
Man coverage on the receivers; Odoms gives a good shimmy to the inside, getting the corner to turn his hips and breaking himself open outside. Robinson lays it in excellently; Odoms bobbles it and on replay the play comes back. (CA+, 3, protection 1/1) Ugh. On replay, this is a dodgy overturn. It looks like Odoms secures the ball and still has a foot down. CONSPIRACY
M23 3 11 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Pass Post Odoms Int
Live I thought this was a horrible decision; it's not. Odoms is two steps inside the defender and a step past him with no deep safety. If this ball is on the money it's a touchdown, but it's way short, undercut, and intercepted. (IN, 0, protection 2/2)
Drive Notes: Interception, 24-10, 4 min 2nd Q. Well... if you want to look at the bright side, if Robinson ever completes a pass it'll go for huge yardage because the defense is freaking out about him.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M31 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Pass PA TE flat -- -9
Ends in a sack as EMU is shooting a safety towards the line of scrimmage to cover the TE (was he the contain on a scrape?) and he's covered despite the man coverage that would normally see him burst open. Playside LB is charging hard, forcing Forcier to hold up and attempt to reverse field. He's surrounded and sacked. Interesting note: Brown was wide open on a wheel finishing his route here. Wonder if we see that added where Forcier pulls up on the rollout and hits that on a throwback. Forcier(-2) fumbles, BTW. (TA, 0, protection N/A)
M22 2 19 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Run Zone counter dive Brown 14
Same play as the touchdown; this one is a great example of the scrape backer running himself out of the play and giving the tailback huge room. Safety takes a better angle this time and prevents another touchdown.
M36 3 5 Shotgun empty 1 1 3 Nickel Pass Hitch Webb 4
Either Webb's got to run this past the sticks or Forcier has to look at the guy on a hitch right next to him who's open for two more yards and a first down. (CA, 3, protection 1/1)
Drive Notes: Punt, 24-17, 1 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M25 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Pass Slant Stonum 10
Our zone-read-bubble-fake-to-slant play, which gets Stonum open for a nice gain. Good timing, good catch. (CA, 3, protection 1/1)
M35 1 10 I-Form 3-wide 0 2 3 Nickel Run Zone counter dive Brown 7
This is a modified form of the dive play that Brown took for 90 earlier with Grady(+1) functioning as the H-back and an end-around threat from Grady(er...) supposed to hold any potential scraper outside. This is M beating the EMU coaches, as the playside EMU DT is slanting away from the hole and gets blasted downfield by Schilling(+1). Good downfield blocks from Molk and Ortmann help; good safety fill holds this down somewhat.
M42 2 3 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read stretch Brown 3
Seven guys in the box and a blitzing corner—aggressive run D—to the stretch side. Molk(+1) manages to get his reach block on the playside DT; Brown has a hole to shoot up into but I think he's trying to take it outside the tackle, which has been closed off by the CB blitz, and he's a little late hitting it, allowing the crashing DE to tackle from behind. Momentum takes them forward and to the first down.
M45 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Pass Tunnel screen Mathews Inc
Excellent play by the DE to the playside to avoid a cut from Huyge(-1) and leap in the passing lane, forcing Forcier to throw it high and uncatchable. Poor downfield block from Koger would have seen this blown up anyway. I'm filing this as a TA since it could have gone a lot worse and I'm giving Forcier the benefit of the doubt. (TA, 0, protection 0/1, Huyge)
M45 2 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Pass Fly Stonum Inc
Great protection; Forcier loads up and tosses it to Stonum, who does have a step on his guy. Forcier leaves it short. I'm grabbing this just so people can maybe talk about Stonum's adjustment to this. I think it's poor. He misjudges the ball and doesn't slow up enough and turn, which would probably have led to the DB running him over and a PI call. Mike Floyd catches this, right? (MA, 1, protection 3/3)
M45 3 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Pass Sack --
EMU gets a delayed, looping blitz and drops into an effective zone on the short side, where Forcier's first read is. Neither the slant nor the wheel is open, so Forcier hesitates, at which point the blitzer is on him. Time to take the sack, and he does. (TA, 0, protection 1/3, team -2)
Drive Notes: Punt, 24-17, 13 min 2nd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M47 1 10 Shotgun 2-back 0 2 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone read stretch Shaw -1
Molk(-1) gets blown back and into the running lane, forcing a cutback into the crashing DE and no gain. Bubble was open, FWIW.
M46 2 11 Shotgun 2-back 0 2 3 Nickel Run Zone read keeper Forcier 3
Forcier pulls it out and runs into the scraping WLB near the LOS. He heads outside and manages to pick up a few.
M49 3 8 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Pass Seam Webb Inc
Weird camera angle so I can't tell you much. Webb gets hit between the numbers, though, for easy first down yardage, and drops it. (CA+, 3, protection 2/2)
Drive Notes: Punt, 24-17, 10 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M40 1 10 Shotgun 2-back Twins 1 2 2 Base 4-3 Run Inside zone Brown 4
This is something different, with Michigan shooting the FB backside but apparently intending this to go more up the center, possibly into the A gap between C and G on the strongside. Schilling and Ortmann are doubling the backside DT but can get him to the ground and he dives over Schilling to tackle Brown; Brown could have taken this outside, maybe, but wasn't expecting the DT.
M44 2 6 Shotgun 2-back Twins 1 2 2 Base 4-3 Run Zone read stretch Brown 3
Koger pushed too far back to take it outside; Molk gets a seal and Huyge/Ferrara scoop the playside DE; so Brown's got a crease. Lot of guys in a small area, though, and Huyge(-1) actually gets blown back on his attempt to block a LB downfield, so not much room.
M47 3 3 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Pass Scramble Forcier 20
Excellent protection gives Forcier some time and then a lane to step up into when he can't find anyone open downfield. With EMU in man Forcier recognizes the tons of space and just takes off. (TA, NA, protection 2/2)
O33 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Pass Bubble screen Odoms 7
Been wondering why they haven't gone to this a little more when EMU shows it's open. Here they do and Forcier takes the simple play. (CA, 3, screen) Good block from Stonum.
O26 2 3 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Run Zone counter dive Shaw 18
Man, we're just gashing people on this all the time. Wonder how it will hold up during Big Ten play. Pretty much the same thing: TE pulls and blows out the crashing DE, line downblocks, and the scrape backer pulls himself out of position. Shaw zips into the secondary and puts a sick, sick move on the safety that doesn't result in a touchdown because the safety reaches out and manages to get a desperate handful of jersey. Robbed of a TD. I like that Shaw tries to juke these guys; seems like Brown and Minor just run into 'em.
O8 1 G Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Run Zone read stretch Shaw 0
Ortmann(-1) lets his guy way upfield and forces a cutback; Huyge couldn't do anything to impede the backside DT and he and the backside DT converge to tackle.
O8 2 G I-Form 3-wide 2 0 3 Nickel Penalty False start Schilling Pen -5
Multiple guys move, actually.
O13 2 G Shotgun 2-back 2 0 3 Nickel Run Reverse Odoms 13
Odoms comes across the formation as M shows a speed option look. He gets the pitch. Backside guys are the DE, who is crashing and just gone, the WLB, who Savoy(+1) crushes, and two members of the secondary that Ortmann and Grady take care of. Odoms sets up his blocks well and cruises into the endzone.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 31-17, 4 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
O21 1 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Nickel Pass PA rollout -- Inc
Zone read fake an a rollout on which Forcier is contained and needs to get rid of the ball. He's got a little out for at least four and maybe more if Grady(19) can beat the guy in man on him, but instead of throwing it he starts running around, eventually getting crushed as he attempts to throw it way. Filing this as a mild bad read. (BR, 0, protection NA)
O21 2 10 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone counter dive Brown 8
Robinson in. Ferrara(+1) blasts the DT down the line, Webb(+1) again pops the crashing DL, and the linebackers 1) follow Webb in man, 2) attempt to scrape on Robinson, and 3) shuffle anticipating a stretch. Brown into the secondary; quick safety fill.
O13 3 2 Shotgun 3-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run QB draw Robinson 13
Not sure if this is improvisation or misdirection as Brown shoots up towards the right side of the line, which draws some linebackers from that side but the hole opens up on the left; Robinson sees it and jets, moving too fast to be seen or caught. Good blocks from Molk(+1) and Schilling(+1) to open the crease.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 38-17, 3 min 3rd Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
M5 1 10 Ace twins 2 1 2 4-3 under Run Inside zone Shaw 5
Good read from Shaw as the backside DT slants too heavily and the DE to that side is sealed away; he hits it up. He should probably try to go between the linebackers, who both have blockers on them, but heads outside and is chopped down by CB pursuit.
M10 2 5 Ace 2 1 2 4-3 under Run Inside zone Shaw -2
Nowhere to go as both Schilling(-1) and Ferrara get banged back and Koger(-1) slips. Shaw runs into Schilling's back and goes down.
M12 3 7 Shotgun 2-back 1 2 2 4-3 under Run Pass Fly Mathews
Safe either get the first down or punt stuff. Borderline interference, way way worse than the Cissoko one, but not called. (CA, 0, protection 2/2). Actually, yeah, this is totally interference as the CB is riding Mathews to the sideline.
Drive Notes: Punt, 38-17, 8 min 4th Q.
Ln Dn Ds O Form TE RB WR D Form Type Play Player Yards
O46 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run Zone stretch Smith 10
DL again slants into the backfield, leaving Smith nowhere to go. Smith should get crushed by the backside DE but zips around him and to the outside where Robinson gets a block on an OLB and springs Smith for a good gain.
O36 1 10 Shotgun 4-wide 1 1 3 Base 4-3 Run QB draw Robinson 36
Weeeee. Double on the NT drives him back and blitzing linebackers attempt to fill both holes; Smith(+1) gets a pad-popping block on one and Robinson shoots into the secondary, where he is not caught because obviously.
Drive Notes: Touchdown, 47-17, 7 min 4th Q. All backups for the rest of the game so charting stops here. Robinson's bomb is filed IN 0 and is at Roundtree. Here's Cox's run, though.

We kind of sucked, couldn't complete a forward pass, and still put up 45 points on an opponent. Woo spread 'n' shred?

Woo spread 'n' shred. The last time Michigan rushed for that many yards was the 2003 Houston game that preceded the 38-0 shellacking of Ty Willingham and ND that saw the student section chant "Houston's better" at the Irish, which latter point I bring up for no reason whatsoever. Remember this?

Before the Ohio State game I mentioned a remarkable statistic: in this year of safeties living in the box and injuries and a makeshift offensive line and just all-around disaster on offense, Michigan actually had a higher yards per carry than they did the year before.

!!!

It was close, though, and Ohio State stomped that. Michigan finished the year averaging 3.91 YPC. 2007 beat that out by six hundredths of a yard. Okay, that's still pretty remarkable. Here's a pop quiz: where does that YPC rank over the past eight years?

# Year YPC
1 2006 4.27
2 2003 4.25
3 2007 3.97
4 2008 3.91
5 2005 3.89
6 2004 3.83
7 2002 3.82
8 2001 3.59

Fourth! Above average!

Through three games, Michigan is obliterating every mark on that list by more than a full two yards. They're currently cranking out 6.39 YPC. Yes, two of those games were against MAC opponents and the third was against the nation's #74 rush defense, one that would rank considerably worse if they were going by YPC, etc etc etc. And yes that number is going to come down precipitously as Michigan churns through Big Ten play.

But the question here isn't "will this be Michigan's best rushing offense of the decade?" It's "by how much will this be Michigan's best rushing offense of the decade?" Here's another handy—

Chart?

—chart I put together for Hail To the Victors 2008 comparing the rushing offenses of West Virginia, Northwestern, and Michigan over the same timespan:

Year West Virginia Northwestern Michigan
YPC Nat'l Rank YPC Nat'l Rank YPC Nat'l Rank
2001 4.19 36th 4.1 45th 3.59 78th
2002 5.16 8th 4.31 39th 3.82 66th
2003 4.6 19th 4.65 18th 4.25 44th
2004 5.14 9th 4.64 26th 3.83 68th
2005 5.23 11th 5.03 14th 3.89 57th
2006 6.68 1st 4.04 52nd 4.27 42nd
2007 6.15 1st 3.61 85th 3.97 61st

Northwestern ran the exact same offense Rodriguez did and crushed Michigan in YPC every year until Randy Walker's untimely death and Northwestern's ensuing descent into disarray. Four of Northwestern's seven marks on this list would be Michigan's best rushing year in the 21st century, and they never had the luxury of playing their own generally-horrible defense. Leap. This is it. The leap.

Okay, woo spread 'n' shred is stipulated. But how, exactly, is Michigan doing this?

I've beaten one aspect into the ground over the first month of the season: Michigan has devised a  suite of highly effective counters to the scrape exchange that exploit the opponent's over-reaction to the frontside and backside of the play to gash defenses not quite right up the middle but slightly to the left or right of the middle.

The other bits are an extension of what was happening at the tail end of last year, when Michigan's run game went from abysmal against Not Notre Dame to above average. The line learned their assignments better and stopped being such a sieve. Brandon Minor RAGED his way into the starting lineup and blasted through tackles instead of meekly submitting to them. The quarterbacks… uh… were the quarterbacks. So this year you've got a pair of senior tailbacks and and improved, non-gimpy version of Mike Shaw. You've got a line of veterans, though Molk's injury will provide some drag over the next 4-6 weeks. And you've got a pair of quarterbacks who either add to the YPC themselves (Robinson) or force opposing defenses to stop selling out against the run (Forcier). A reminder: over the second half of last year Michigan's rushing offense was about 30th nationally. The leap up to third is a fluke of scheduling and fortune, but once it settles down in the 10-20 range it's likely to stay there.

Surely you have more charts?

Charts, but they're not very useful since all the offensive charts focus on the passing game.

(Hennechart again; MA is "marginal", screen results are in parens.)

TATE FORCIER

Opponent DO CA MA IN BR TA BA PR
Western Michigan 2 14 1 2 1 2 - 3
Notre Dame 5 20 (6) 2 4 3 3 - 4
Eastern Michigan 1 8 (2) 1 1 (1) 1 4 (1) - -

DENARD ROBINSON

Opponent DO CA MA IN BR TA BA PR
Western Michigan - 1 1 1 2 - - -
Eastern Michigan - 1 1 (1) 2 (1) - - - -

Forcier was just 7 of 13 for 68 yards but his chart isn't too bad. Our Downfield Success Rate is 7 / 11 = 64%, which is about on par with what he's been doing so far, and one of those TAs (throwaways) was actually a 20-yard scramble. Forcier did zing a screen high, though.

Robinson… well. I don't actually think he made any bad decisions, he just made bad throws. On both of his interceptions he had guys running open downfield and left the ball way, way short. And he did mess up a tunnel screen throw that would have been vast yardage if he'd gotten it right. And the did lay a pretty pass in to Martavious Odoms only to see Odoms juggle it and (eventually) drop it. But I am searching for a bunch of excuses for an 0/4 2 INT day.

Receiverchart:

This Game Totals
Player 0 1 2 3 0 1 2 3
Hemingway - - - - - - - 4/4
Mathews 2 0/1 - 1/1 4 1/4 1/1 6/6
Stonum - 0/1 - 1/1 1 0//1 1/2 4/4
Savoy - - - - 1 - 0/1 2/2
Odoms 2 - 1/1 1/2 3 1/1 1/1 5/6
Grady-19 - - - 2/2 2 - 1/1 5/6
Roundtree 1 - - - 1 - - -
Rogers - - - - - - - -
Koger - - - - - 1/1 1/1 5/5
Webb - - - 1/2 1 - - 1/2
Minor - - - - - - - -
Brown - - - - - 1/2 1/1 3/3
Shaw - - - - - - 0/1 -
Smith - - - - - - - -
Moundros - - - - - - - -

This was a less than great day from the receivers, as in limited opportunities two balls got filed as straight drops: the corner route to Odoms that was overturned on review (I still think he actually caught it but it's really close and result-based charting) and the seam to Webb that hit him between the numbers.

Also, let's talk about Darryl Stonum, deep threat. I mentioned this in the play minutiae most of you don't read so let me replicate it here:

Okay, Forcier left this short and Stonum had a step or step and a half on a guy that can't press him. But from above:

I'm grabbing this just so people can maybe talk about Stonum's adjustment to this. I think it's poor. He misjudges the ball and doesn't slow up enough and turn, which would probably have led to the DB running him over and a PI call. Mike Floyd [or Braylon Edwards] catches this, right?

Even if there's no catch, Stonum should at least give himself an opportunity to get both hands on it. And then there's this from the Notre Dame game:

Stonum is running a fly down the sideline with a guy sort of in tow and plenty of room to the sideline and Forcier gets it to him. Stonum turns inside and ends up doing a 360 on a ball that was perfectly placed to the outside. He turns a very catchable ball into a circus attempt. It was open.

Unfortunately, I didn't get a clip of this; it was worse than the above. Stonum's got speed to burn and a great frame, so what's preventing him from being Michael Floyd is the stuff you see above. Floyd is huge, great at adjusting to a ball in flight, and brilliant at using his body as an asset. Same with Braylon Edwards. Mario Manningham was probably the best I'd ever seen at it; he was as good as those guys without having their height. Stonum doesn't have it, at least not yet. I don't know if that's talent or coaching or a combination of both. Junior Hemingway seems pretty good at it. Could just be a thing you've got or you don't. If Steve Breaston had it he would have won the Heisman.

Anyway, that's why I think Stonum is behind where you'd expect he'd be given his recruiting profile.

Offensive line whatnot?

The most useless protection metric ever:

PROTECTION METRIC: 17/20, Huyge –1, Team –2.

Nothing to see here.

Heroes?

Pick a tailback, any tailback, and an offensive lineman, any offensive lineman.

Goats?

Well, you know… made of dilithium and all but Denard Robinson did throw two interceptions.

What does it mean for Indiana and the future?

The Hoosier's run defense is currently #15 nationally but it's hard to tell how legit that is when the opening opponents are Eastern Kentucky, Western Michigan, and Akron. Given that we're talking about Indiana, the answer is probably "not particularly legit." Michigan wants to continue the pounding ground game against the Hoosiers without showing more of their hand, and you'd imagine they'll be able to. Not to the tune of 10 YPC or even the 7.6 Michigan got outside of the third-longest run in Michigan history, but 5-6-7 in a game where Michigan hopes to spend the second half running out the clock would be fine.

We did get further indication that Denard Robinson is not a suitable replacement for Tate Forcier at the moment, though I figure at this point he's got to be above Sheridan just because I've seen him move.

John Ferrara did pretty well in his first start of the year, though it was against weak competition. The dropoff from the starting line to the Molk-free line might not be too severe. (Though I am pumped to hear Rodriguez describe Molk as not only one of the team's best linemen but "one of the team's best players" when discussing his injury. I lived in moderate fear that the insider reports about Khoury pushing Molk were anywhere near accurate, which would have been a black eye given the David Molk Hype Machine that lives in my keyboard. Then I am not pumped because Molk is out for a month.)

Farther down the road, Michigan looks in excellent shape next year at tailback, where all three backups performed well. Shaw was especially impressive; you could tell that all the stuff about being slowed by a sports hernia was no BS. Guy looked Brown fast. Maybe even faster. Smith and Cox had impressive runs as well, and Fitzgerald Toussaint's highlight tape from high school is a 0.8 McGuffie.

  • 42 comments

Unverified Voracity Won't Discipline Sheep

By Brian — September 18th, 2009 at 11:58 AM — 26 comments
Filed under:
  • charlie weis
  • denard robinson
  • facilities
  • johnny sears
  • jonas mouton
  • jordan kovacs
  • lolnd
  • spread offense
  • unverified voracity

Hooray for automatic translations. Via BHGP:

michigansheep

Michigan State's, on the other hand, have been very naughty lambs. 

Personally, I am deeply affected by this. I am in favor of Michigan's just-approved basketball facilities in all ways except one:

practice-facility

That real estate is the home of my ancestral tailgate. Ah well. The plans look very nice, though, and should help the program steady itself as a respectable one (or better!). More at UM Hoops.

Yes yes yes maybe? 100 cocktails to Yostal, who gets a question in to Chris Brown at EDSBS and extracts a thousand or so words on Michigan from one of college football's most interesting bloggers—apparently Brown's article on Tressel was specifically mentioned by the man himself on a radio appearance! Yostal's question has to do with Michigan's attempt to shoehorn both Tate Forcier and Denard Robinson into useful roles on the field. Brown:

I think the winds are changing, and a two-quarterback system is quite possible. At its best you are likely to have the system Florida used to win the 2006 title: a starting quarterback in charge of most of the offense (Chris Leak), and a second guy with special abilities for whom a package is installed (then-freshman Tim Tebow). This example has now been made universal throughout football under the nauseatingly overused rubric, “the wildcat.” (Had “wildcat” been around in 2006 think of all of the puns Dan Shanoff could have used to describe how Meyer used his young talent.) The reason that works though is because you choose a starting quarterback for one set of skills (passing, reading the defense, making checks, accuracy, some athleticism, etc) but another guy opens up a new dimension because of their running ability, and the spread with a mobile guy gives the offense certain numerical advantages it doesn’t get with an immobile quarterback.

Read or die. /diddy.

Do we care about this? The Detroit News has an article about how a bunch of Michigan coaches have loans from the Bank of Ann Arbor, which is a potential conflict of interest for Bank of Ann Arbor founder Bill Martin:

"I don't suggest banks to any coach," he said. "I don't ever get involved in their financial affairs in any way, shape or form. I believe it would be a conflict of interest (to do so)."

But Martin also acknowledged that now that he is aware of the loans, it does create a conflict.

"Now that I know, I don't like it necessarily," he said. "When you don't know, you don't have a conflict."

This contradicts an earlier statement by Martin. Is this of interest to anyone other than the Bank of Ann Arbor corporate board? I'm thinking not so much.

The scene of the crime. Johnny Sears (Yes That Johnny Sears), now a senior, makes his return to Michigan Stadium tomorrow. Jokes aside, and there is plenty of material, it sounds like Sears has come a long way from the events that precipitated his dismissal:

“I was on the practice squad on my junior college. I didn’t even get to play. Sometimes by myself I thought like, ‘Is it worth it?’ but then I felt like, ‘OK I really want to play football.’ That’s my love. It’s my escape from things. This is what I love to do so I just wanted to make sure I could do that.”

And okay, yes, it is a little funny that Sears ended up on a JUCO's practice squad after starting The Horror. Funny in a sad clown way. When you're discussing the clunky end of the Carr era, "started sophomore DB who had never played varsity football before he got an offer and couldn't crack a JUCO 2-deep after he left because he seemed like the best option" should be somewhere on the list.

The spread is dead part XXVI. Excellent research by Team Speed Kills on Lane Kiffin's latest quote:

"The only time I really see [Florida] lose kids is because kids want to play in a pro-style offense," Kiffin said. "It’s such a great place to play, and they do such a good job of coaching. But you see some kids that don’t want to play in that system because a lot of times it hurts them going to the next level for their draft status."

This will be read as a tiny bit douchy by most and with white-hot rage by one Urban Meyer, and won't be much of an argument going forward:

  • Three spread offense receivers (Crabtree, Missouri's Jeremy Maclin, and Florida's Percy Harvin) were taken in the first round of last year's draft. The only tight end taken in the first round (Oklahoma State's Brandon Pettigrew) came from a spread offense.
  • Both Harvin and Louis Murphy, from Florida's very spread offense, started on opening day for their teams and both caught touchdown passes.
  • Sam Bradford was predicted to be a top ten pick had he come out last year and is the top quarterback prospect for 2010. He plays in a spread offense in Oklahoma.
  • The top two offensive lineman prospects for 2010 according to ESPN (Oklahoma State's Russell Okung and Oklahoma's Trent Williams) block in spread offenses.

It does not matter much what sort of offense you play in as far as the NFL goes.

Moose replace. David Moosman's out this weekend. The replacement derby:

Michigan right guard Dave Moosman suffered a dislocated shoulder against Notre Dame and may miss two weeks. Starting right tackle Mark Huyge moved to Moosman's spot and Perry Dorrestein filled in for Huyge at the end of last week's game. Michigan coach Rich Rodriguez is uncertain about this week's starting plans with Wauseon redshirt freshman Elliott Mealer one of three others being considered.

I'm hoping one of the redshirt freshman breaks through for the long term, but it sounds like it'll be someone more veteran. AA.com says junior John Ferrara is likely to be the guy.

KOVAAAAAAAAACS. A fair amount of attention has been paid to Jordan Kovacs this week, and why not? He's only an unrecruited walk-on who played much of the second half against Notre Dame and did not end up plastered on the bottom of Michael Floyd's foot. Kovacs actually had to try out twice because the first time he tried to sign up he had serious knee issues the athletic department didn't want to volunteer to fix. He got the surgery himself, tried out, made the team, and took a valuable lesson from the whole thing:

"I said I'm never going to come back to the training room," he said. "I'll have to be dying."

Er. Well. A lesson of some variety at least. The official site has their version of Kovacs' life story and a helpful reader forwarded along this article from a 1983 edition of the Toledo Blade that has an article on Lou Kovacs, Jordan's father and a walk-on himself. Bo on the elder Kovacs:

"Having an individual participate in our football program and then continue on is one of the most important aspects we have in this program at any coaching level, and having someone like Lou is even more gratifying because we like to have young men like him stay on in coaching."

That right there is black-belt level coachspeak.

Weis one-ups. This is the most quintessentially Charlie Weis sentence ever:

At fullback they have a versatile fullback who plays fullback in Hawken who plays fullback, but he moves around a lot, giving them a lot of the versatility along with the multiple tight ends they have because they do play three of them.

Bloated, meandering, repetitive, full of fail. A sentence or a life in coaching? Zing!

Etc.: Bacon's latest for Michigan Today has an extensive discussion of the 50 Yard Line club. Yes, that 50 Yard Line Club. "Lose yourself" hype video. Misopogon sees dead cornerbacks in Boubacar Cissoko.

  • 26 comments

Presser/Practice Notes 9-17

By Tim — September 16th, 2009 at 4:59 PM — 28 comments
Filed under:
  • boubacar cissoko
  • brandon graham
  • david molk
  • david moosman
  • denard robinson
  • jonas mouton
  • journalism-like substance
  • junior hemingway
  • renaldo sagesse

Utah Michigan Football

Editor's note: I asked Tim to ask about shading the coverage to Warren's side and about Renaldo Sagesse's play to date.

On the shade:

"You can do a lot of things. But if you rotate your defense to one side or the other, they can throw to the other side or they can run the football. I thought our defensive coaches had a pretty good plan. They [Notre Dame] made some plays and we didn't. Boubacar didn't have his best game, but he's a good football player, and he's a competitor, and I'm sure he'll come back and play better the next time"

On Sagesse:

"He played pretty well. He didn't get a lot of reps, but he's continuing to get better. He's a big guy that we need to keep progressing because we want to play him more. You know, Greg Banks is a guy that's played very, very well, and we're gonna get him more snaps because he's shown that he's a guy that we feel comfortable that we can give 20-30 snaps a game. And Renaldo, hopefully we can get him to the same spot."

So sounds like no thought to realigning the DL.

Other bits:

  • Junior Hemingway practiced yesterday and looked pretty good. Hopefully he'll be moving around better today. He was wearing a green (limited contact) jersey.
  • The OL Lineup Saturday will depend on David Moosman's progress. Moosman was wearing a red non-contact jersey and riding the stairmaster. They're trying different right side combinations. David Molk has played well so far, which is exciting because it's just his second year. There's 7-8 guys that will play on OL. Err on the side of caution with all injuries.
  • On Jonas Mouton's "punch," Rodriguez said he didn't see anything that he thought was a penalty, and if something had happened, the refs would have called something. There will be no additional punishment.
  • Eastern is an intense team, they have good fundamentals and blocking. They almost won their last game. They made a great improvement from week 1 to week 2, and they'll make the same progress this week. They're focusing on Eastern instead of ND. Hungry to prove themselves each week.
  • Getting more players in. "Our plan... is to get more guys ready to contribute, and particularly the young guys... If they're not ready, we can't put them in there. It's not fair to them or the team."
  • Talking to guys about sportsmanship. "Let me make it perfectly clear. No personal fouls will go unpunished (by the coaches)." It's emotional, and sometimes emotional things happen. Play between the whistles and play fair. Penalties can be due to lack of discipline, but the team is doing OK in that respect so far. Saturday didn't seem to be much chippier or physical than most games.
  • Brandon Graham hasn't gotten too much more attention from the first teams than you'd expect. Notre Dame is a heavy max-protect team, so they would probably double him no matter what. He still got some good pressure, and made plays in the run game.
  • Denard Robinson will not be a package guy. "We want him to continue to be an every-down quarterback." He can make all the throws, he's just still learning the offense. The college game is pretty complicated. In the walkthrough, Nick Sheridan seemed to be getting fewer reps than either Tate or Denard.
  • Troy Woolfolk is very active, and has made some big plays, very fast. Safety is the right position for him.
  • The walk-on tryouts went well. 2-3 guys will get asked to join the team for a couple weeks. Looking for a bit of athletic ability, size, or speed. If guys look good, their HS film will be evaluated.
  • Vincent Smith is just a freshman, so blitz protection against TAH-NOO-TAH blitz was the main reason he didn't play against Notre Dame.
  • 28 comments

Mailbag!

By Brian — September 15th, 2009 at 10:56 AM — 64 comments
Filed under:
  • denard robinson
  • devin gardner
  • game theory
  • lingo
  • mailbag

Brian, when was the last time that Michigan won and all 3 of our traditional rivals lost (like on Saturday)? Has this ever happened?
Thanks,
Mike Hamberg

The answer to this can be found about 15 minutes deep into yesterday's podcast. Mwa ha ha.

…

Okay: Jamiemac did the research and the last time this happened was October 2nd, 2004.

  1. Michigan blew out Indiana 35-14.
  2. Ohio State lost in overtime to Northwestern 33-27.
  3. Michigan State got smoked by Iowa 38-16.
  4. And Notre Dame got annihilated by Purdue 41-16.

I'll take Saturday over those results easy. We also brought this up on the podcast: this sort of event needs a name so we can refer to [NAME] I, [NAME] II, and so on with Saturday marking the AFL-NFL merger, as it were. If we want we can count backwards from there and let the 2004 event be 0—it predates the blog—and any previous be negative. But we need a name. MGoMinions, you have your charge.

On that play at the end of the game when Clausen went deep on 2nd and 10 against Warren, I am pretty confident that the fly pattern was not called from the huddle. I think Weis probably had a much more conservative play called (like a hitch or quick out or comeback on the sideline) but as soon as Warren rolled up into press-man, the WR and the QB automatically know that the WR is going to run a jet.  So, while I agree 100% that Weis should have run the ball on second - or at least gone away from Warren, who was in his guy's shirt on all but two plays - I don't think he called for the Home Run. 

What a game for tons of recruits to attend, btw.  Perfect.

Nicholas Marietti

Whoah: I've been arguing that throwing the ball on second and ten is a good idea as long as it's not some crazy bomb. Just because Warren is in press coverage doesn't mean you can't get Rudolph open or slip Hughes out of the backfield or do any number of other things that don't involve a long sideline route against Donovan Warren. And you certainly don't let your QB check to a balls-to-the-wall call when going 35 is called for. Especially with timeouts you don't care about. Take one and get it right.

Aaaand now lets get to the emails that have flooded my mailbox about quarterbacks not named Tate Forcier:

Brian,

I understand that we need to have two viable QBs b/c of the always possible (GOD-FORBID) chance of injury to the one, but what are the chances that we can utilize DR as a WR? If not this year, how about next year (When Gardner is here)? It seems that DR would burn almost everyone trying to cover him, if he has the ability to catch. Thanks!

Mark

This, or a variant of it, has been rampant speculation anywhere one Michigan fan can communicate to another: what do we do with a man who is made of dilithium now that we have all converted to the Church of Tate? In two words: I dunno.

This year you have to keep him at quarterback and work on his ability to play the position as extensively as possible. If Michigan's up 38 against Eastern all remaining offensive drives should be Robinson throwing every down. Establishing himself as a viable option at QB will make his cameos throughout the rest of the season more effective and provide Michigan some non-Sheridan depth at a position that really needs it. That's the rest of this year.

As for next year, and beyond… even that's tough. At this point I assume you dearly want to redshirt Devin Gardner (about whom more in a sec), which would be difficult if Robinson moved to another position. At the same time, you don't want Robinson wiling his time away on the bench; you probably want both Forcier and Robinson on the field.

How do you do that if Robinson's a quarterback? I think you play two quarterbacks. We saw a little bit of this in the last game when Forcier motioned out into the slot and Robinson basically became a wildcat QB; in the future, especially when Minor and Brown leave, I think you might see a good deal of both QBs in the same backfield, with Robinson acting as a sort of Percy Harvin jet ninja who actually throws several time a game. If it works really, really well it might be the base offense.

While we're on the topic, here's a prescient email from before the ND game:

Brian,
After watching the Michigan-Western Michigan on Saturday, not only was I relieved by finally attending a win in the season-opener, but I was also intrigued by the possibilities of the two-quarterback system (not even going to say three-quarterback system, because that would mean DEATH). Tate and Denard reminded me of a very-poor man's version of Florida in 2006 with Chris Leak and Tim Tebow.  With Tate in the game the defense expects him to throw but he has a threat to run (Leak), and with Denard in the game the defense expects him to run with a smaller threat to throw (Tebow). This opens the door up for big plays with the defense cheating one way or the other. If Denard can get into the game around 20-25 plays per game, and can be semi-effective throwing the ball I think the ceiling for the offense is very high. Then again, we are talking about two freshmen, and it was only Western Michigan, but even the possibility that Michigan has two viable, complementary quarterbacks (that aren't last year's quarterbacks) got me excited for the rest of the season.

So, I was wondering what you think we can expect from the two-quarterback system for the rest of the year... and if this scheme is successful going forward, should we plan on this being the norm, or just a way to see which quarterback will separate himself from the other?
Thanks,
Dave Murray
BBA 2008

We all witness Forcier achieve separation last week but that does not mean Robinson, who should improve more rapidly than Forcier because he's farther away from his ceiling, won't get viable towards the end of the year. It's going to be very hard for opposing safeties to not come up when Robinson starts running around, and at some point this year he will pull up and hit someone running wide open. Against Notre Dame's blitz-mad offense in his second game, Robinson was not prepared. He'll be way more viable two months from now against mid-level Big Ten teams. Don't expect him to be as small a part of the offense going forward as he was against Notre Dame.

And now to Devin Gardner:

Brian,

Has the success of Tate Forcier in the early going had any affect on the commitment of Devin Gardner?

U of M in TX

This is another question I've gotten a dozen times and can only really answer with "I don't know." But when Gardner committed he knew there were two freshman quarterbacks in front of him and that one of them would likely be an entrenched starter when he arrived. He's made several comments in the aftermath of his commitment to the effect of "I am a strong Michigan commitment," and yes everyone says that up until the point they don't but he can't say much else to reassure us and has made no motion that would indicate a soft commitment.

So I don't think so. And it's not like the situation anywhere local is much better. Ohio State snubbed him in favor of Montana's kid and with "Lebron in Cleats" looking decidedly un-Lebron he'd have to wait for two years behind Pryor anyway, and given the quarterback depth at Ohio State (virtually none) a redshirt might not be possible. And no other major local program is spread friendly except Penn State, which already has Kevin Newsome, Paul Jones, and Robert Bolden in the last two classes.

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