So I wanted to get a feel for what the board thinks in regards to B1G team(s) getting into the CFB.
In my opinion, if Penn St beats Wisconsin next week in the B1G Championship, I do not see them getting left out of the CFP. For one, they will have beaten Ohio St head-to-head (who is also fighting for a CFP spot) and a Top 10 Wisconsin team. Their two losses will have come to Pittsburgh (a solid 8-4 team that also beat Clemson) and Michigan on the road when they were dealing with a lot of injuries. Also, in the last few weeks they have annihilated Iowa (a team that might not be so mediocre after all getting big wins over Michigan and Nebraska) and MSU (a team that some believe is better than their record indicates and played both Michigan and Ohio St tough at least in terms of those games' final scores).
If Penn St were to win next week, I could easily see a similar fall out a la 2014 when TCU fell from #3 to #6 in the final rankings despite beating their opponent by 50ish points in the final week of the season. Only this time I can see Ohio St getting snubbed in a similar fashion, and it would be justified as a Penn St team that beat them and won their conference would go instead.
I think it also really comes down to what the committee thinks of Washington. If Clemson takes care of business next week, there is no way they are left out after beating Auburn, Louisville, and FSU and being led by Deshaun Watson. Win and in for them. However, the playoff committee has been skeptical of Washington much of the year, but if they win next week they will have blown out a good WSU and beaten a Top 10 Colorado team. Washington would finish the season at 12-1 with their lone loss coming to a Top 10ish USC that has been widely regarded as the hottest team in college football right now. So I do not see them getting left out of the playoff.
So here are the my predictions for several scenarios and I assume that Alabama takes care of business against Florida and that the BIG 12 is out.
Clemson, Washington win; Penn St wins the B1G:
- Penn St
- Ohio St
Maybe Ohio St gets in here instead of Washington.
Clemson, Washington win; Wisconsin wins the B1G:
- Ohio St/Clemson
- Clemson/Ohio St
In this case, Ohio State will get the nod for CFP as they beat Wisconsin head-to-head and finished the season with one less loss than UW.
EITHER Clemson OR Washington lose:
- Ohio St (if Wisconsin wins B1G)/Clemson OR Washington
- Clemson OR Washington/PSU (if B1G Champion)
- Wisconsin (if B1G Champion)/Ohio St (if PSU wins B1G)
- Clemson OR Washington
In this case, either Washington or Clemson (whichever team loses) would be knocked out of the playoff. This would make room for two B1G teams. If UW wins, they get the 4th spot and OSU gets the 2nd/3rd spot. If PSU wins, they get the 3rd spot, and OSU gets the 4th spot.
If Clemson and Washingotn both lose, then things are totally fucked so I won't go over that scenario. Maybe that makes room for Colorado, the BIG 12, or possibly Michigan.
So do you agree or disagree with me? Am I right about OSU/PSU or am I way off?
*Also, I am not a PSU apologist. I hate them as much as anybody, but I think they have a strong case for the CFP.
Let's get to know our upcoming opponent the Penn State Nittany Lions!
Start HERE (turn volume off annoying sound file used)
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As many of you are aware, Hackenberg decided to not stay and play behind a paper mache OL at PSU and take his chances in the draft. What you probably didn't know is that he thanked pretty much everyone except his current head coach James Franklin, including 2 former coaches, a video director and some guy with a communications specialty. Not sure if there's bad blood between them after the poor protection he's received all year or he just forget after taking one of the 7,364 sacks this season. (Ok so it's not that high, but he was sacked over 100 times in his career at PSU)
It looks like Franklin is going in a much different direction on offense with Moorhead:
Statistically, his teams at Fordham finished in the FCS national top 20 in most important offensive categories with the exception of rushing offense. Fordham was 19th in total offense (453 yards per game) in 2015, ninth in scoring offense (37 points per game), 20th in pass offense and 42nd in rushing.
In 2014, Fordham was seventh in total offense, 15th in scoring, third in passing and 70th in rushing.
In Moorhead's two seasons at UConn, he installed an up-tempo, mostly no-huddle attack, largely from spread formations, at a program known for running the ball out of pro-style formations. The Huskies finished second in the Big East in scoring offense both years with a fairly even run-pass mix. In 2010, they won the conference title and played in the Fiesta Bowl.
Do we have a possible perfect storm coming up to get that needed help? Let's look at a few item for MSU/PSU:
PSU O vs MSU D:
Last night the wind may have protected the MSU secondary from being exposed. PSU's most successful play and biggest talent is at QB and had good receivers. Can PSU throw on MSU and get a lead? (insert comment on the strength of the MSU D line here)
MSU O vs. PSU D:
MSU isn't a rushing juggernaut. Cook may still be out. Can MSU generate offense against a stout PSU defense? PSU D can generate turnovers.
No spread yet. It's gonna be exciting!
anyone going to the Penn State game from NYC? i'm looking for carpooling if possible.