According to the Sagarin ratings, which predict actual game outcomes:*
IN BB, UM is #1 in the B1G. In the nation, UM is #3, IND #4, and Ohio is not in the top 10.*
IN FB, on a neutral field UM would still be favored over Ohio (by 0.15 pts). Why? UM’s nonconference opponents included the two teams now favored to be in the national title game. By contrast, Ohio’s “marquee” nonconference game this year supposedly was Cal, which is now not even in the top 70 nationally. Moreover, Ohio’s other wins were often very narrow. In fact, even for the UM game, they were only +2 pts after subtracting 3pts for home field (not even considering the injury to UM’s starting QB).
What then should we make of Ohio’s claim that they could win the AP national title? That claim should be laughable to any educated voter. In fact, Ohio is not even ranked in the top 20 nationally by Sagarin (they are #24, whereas UM is #22). Also, Ohio will not be tested in a competitive bowl or conference championship. Indeed, in the latter, on a neutral field, they would be favored by less than half a point vs WISC, 2.5 pts vs NW and they would be underdogs to both NEB and UM.
Interestingly, ND's delusions of grandeur also should be tempered. Although human pollsters will no doubt put them #1, would ND actually be favored to beat all the other teams according unbiased Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings? No, not at this point. Why? ND had many narrow wins, even over marginal teams and teams expected to be huge challenges--like USC--turned out not to be so great. Thus, by Sagarin's ratings, while ALA is #1 and Oregon #2, ND is only #3 Both ALA and OR both would be favored over ND by large margins on a neutral field. In addition, unlike ALA but like Ohio, ND will not be tested in a conference championship game.
*I report only those ratings that predict actual game outcomes. For BB I take the average of ELO and PREDICTOR ratings. For FB, I report only PREDICTOR ratings (not the ELO-CHESS, which is used by the BCS but does not consider margin of victory or predict actual game outcomes).
Partly cloudy, 34 degrees, dry but kind of windy, man.
Is this bad?
Columbus weather forecast Saturday: http://tinyurl.com/b35cgth
My scientific analysis:
We are 8 - 0 in day games, and 0 - 3 in night games, noon kickoff, ergo, Michigan victory.
Like an entrenched field reporter, I have been dilligently standing by for 7 years in war-torn Columbus, Ohio in order to give you first hand reports of what the Buckeye fans think of this year's Game. Any other Columbus area fans care to expand on these points?
- Hoke "gets it," and so does Meyer. They name drop RR as a guy who didn't get it, and even lump in Lloyd and Tressel for being too politically correct in the media about the game.
- They are more scared of Devin than they are of Denard. They think Devin has a better shot at stretching the defense and opening up the field. Little do they know that they will probably see both.
- They see 11-0 and 8-3 as black and white. They don't take into consideration the fact that we've lost to the two teams likely in the NCG and the third with our backup backup QB. I think they see this as a coronation, not as a contest. Hopefully the team is thinking the same way.
- They love Braxton, but harbor some nervousness about the fact that if he has a bad game, they will lose.
Now... win or lose, anyone making the trip down should stop by the Hollywood Casino. I bartend there, but I will not elaborate as to where. If you should figure out who I am, just give a Go Blue and a tip of the hat. I'll be too busy to chat much anyway. It's a fun place to be, and with all the security, likely the safest after hours spot.
What am I, a resident of the WORST STATE EVER, hoping for?
A vintage MICHIGAN win.
The perfect storm has been set for a revival of the amazing caps to the seasons of the 90s; a decent Michigan team meets an undefeated ohio team & ruins the hopes of the scarlet & gray...
underrated Michigan stars (see Biakabutuka) face off against Heisman candidates & outshine the latter...
ecstatic fans loyal tothe "best coach on the planet" begin to call for his resignation because of one perennial loss...
& "They do the talkin', we do the walkin!"
It would be so sweet.
What could make this one of the sweetest wins against ohio is the fact that THIS is their bowl game; if they lose this game, there will be no redeeming possibilities for them in January.
Also,A Moment of Silence Must Be Observed.
Where were you when you heard that you would never ever have another Twinkie, Orange Cupcake, Funny Bone, or Drake's Coffee Cake?
I don't like the idea of this brave new world that we will live in, but I can only hope that one day the brand will be revived.
Why this part is not OT; This bankruptcy can somewhat be attributed to Denard Robinson; he cut junk food out of his diet back in the summer; http://www.annarbor.com/sports/um-football/denard-robinson-has-cut-out-t...
Man, he must have eaten alot of Twinkies before...
In closing, Go Blue, help me forget the news of one of the worst crimes against snack foods since trans fats were outlawed... But more importantly, Beat ohio!
Ohio State removed the image and would not comment on whether it was, indeed, a picture of the jerseys that will be worn for ‘The Game’ this season, but a source close to the team told us it looked very similar.
“It will feature a helmet with an enlarged stripe and a scarlet jersey with standard block numbers outlined in a reflective silver,” the source said of this year’s alternate jerseys.
“It will have the standard gray pants, but with only a 3/4 stripe because of how they are designed. The stripes on the sleeves are enlarged as well, to match the helmet.”
There have also been rumors the helmet will have more of a chrome finish, much like the ones Oregon has been wearing, instead of the usual silver.