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Michigan hockey

Michigan Hockey ‘17-18, Game #39: Michigan 6, Boston University 3

By NastyIsland — March 26th, 2018 at 10:00 AM — 6 comments
Filed under:
  • Corsi
  • frozen four
  • Hockey Game Breakdown
  • Michigan hockey
  • NCAA Hockey Tounament
  • neutral site games

Michigan hung the heads of two teams this weekend [JD Scott]

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

13 5 46%

Second Period

13 8 42%

Third Period

6 3 18%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

32 16 36%

Analysis: This is another game where overall Corsi is not as relevant as either Close Corsi or House Chances. I charted the game on a re-watch, and it really became a game of errors. Michigan definitely created some chances, but they also took advantage of some major gaffes by BU.

Over the first half of the game or so, the Wolverines were able to get into the House with relative ease, as close to half of their attempts came from a desirable location. After the fluky Slaker goal gave Michigan the lead, they mostly went into prevent mode, and BU applied tons of pressure to tie the game. Michigan was happy to sacrifice chances on net for protection of their own net. This wasn’t the best offensive output of the season by any means, but it was reflective of the game that Michigan was playing.

Even so, Michigan missed a few golden chances to extend their lead and end the game. CHN had close corsi at 32-24, BU, which is way more reflective of how this game went. Hughes was the beneficiary of a goal in which all six BU participants stood in a parallel line. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen that before. Warren’s hustle goal also came from a Plinko bounce off of the boards and Oettinger’s skate.

[After THE JUMP: shutdown defense, timely goaltending, and advantageous OMRs]

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Michigan Hockey ‘17-18, Game #38: Michigan 3, Northeastern 2

By NastyIsland — March 25th, 2018 at 3:02 AM — 10 comments
Filed under:
  • better defense
  • better offense
  • Corsi
  • Hockey Game Breakdown
  • Michigan hockey
  • NCAA Hockey Tounament
  • neutral site games

Cooper Marody played like a Hobey Baker finalist [James Coller]

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

23 6 55%

Second Period

24 8 71%

Third Period

15 5 50%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

62 19 58%

Analysis: Awesome. This was a wonderful output of offense from Michigan. The Wolverines consistently got into the House and created chances from all over the ice. While it was a tight game, the main reason that is stayed that way was Cayden Primeau. He made about 5-6 fantastic saves. Otherwise, there is a good chance Michigan hangs a couple more on the possession-starved Huskies.

The DMC line went head-to-head with the top scoring line in the country and hung a –3 on them. I’ll get more into the defense in the next section, but Cooper Marody danced throughout the offensive zone and connected with Calderone and Dancs on numerous occasions. Cooper’s first goal was a circling blind shot that snuck in short-side. Dancs added a soft goal to retake the lead, as he shot from a poor angle and was still able to deflect it off of Primeau and inside the far post. Marody’s game winner came from just outside the crease off of a deft dish from Tony Calderone, who had driven the wing and gotten to the goalline.

FWIW, the Slaker-Norris combination could have also had a couple of goals, themselves…including Norris missing a WIDE OPEN net from just under the dot. The Pastujovs-Becker line also created some havoc. Northeastern has a great scoring line, yet couldn’t always get them the puck in the offensive end. Michigan identified that and exploited it all night.

[After THE JUMP: come for the offense, stay for the defense (!). And special teams. And goaltending]

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Michigan Hockey ‘17-18, Game #37: Ohio State 3, Michigan 2

By NastyIsland — March 10th, 2018 at 11:45 PM — 7 comments
Filed under:
  • better offense
  • Corsi
  • hockey
  • Hockey Game Breakdown
  • Michigan hockey
  • Stay Out of the Box Llewellyn

*NOTE: Corsi numbers now UPDATED and correct.

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

12 3 44%

Second Period

20 14 48%

Third Period

13 6 42%

Overtime

3 0 75%

TOTAL

48 23 48%

Analysis: So, I cannot comment on the Corsi because I don’t know what it looks like with the power plays taken out. I am pretty sure this will be relatively accurate as I don’t remember Michigan registering many power play attempts on net.

It was not one of Michigan’s better offensive games by volume, but they had a number of good chances. Quinn Hughes was unbelievably unlucky tonight. He hit the post twice and barely missed the net on another wide open shot from the slot. The DMC line was dominant. When they were on the ice, OSU struggled to get the puck out of the zone, gave up many good looks at the net, and struggled to skate. As the lines filtered down, OSU’s chances increased.

The Wolverines didn’t have an overwhelming offensive performance, but they played well enough and created enough chances to win. Sean Romeo just played up to his standard, and Michigan drew an unfriendly post. Also, Cooper Marody’s goal in the second period might have been the Goal of the Year. He grabbed the puck, dropped it, got tripped, twisted his body, and roofed it over Romeo.

[More after THE JUMP]

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Michigan Hockey Rooting Guide: Week 24

By NastyIsland — March 8th, 2018 at 9:00 AM — 15 comments
Filed under:
  • Big Ten Tournament
  • Corsi
  • Michigan hockey
  • Ohio State
  • Pairwise
  • pairwise rankings
  • rooting guide

Cutler Martin has never shied away from crushing Buckeyes [Bill Rapai]

Corsi Table

 

Game 1

Game 2

Game 3

Game 4

Michigan

57(17)

53(19)

43

55

Ohio State

69(25)

57(21)

23

31

Hmmmm. What can we extract from all of this? Michigan is 0-4 against the Buckeyes this season. During the first couple of games, Michigan was in the midst of its defensive crater. As you can see, in the second series in Columbus, Michigan had a much better possession rate. In Game 3, they gave up two power play goals (surprise!) and at least one odd-man-rush goal. The final game was pretty even, but Lavigne had a woofer or two. Also, Michigan has scored on Sean Romeo six times in four games. Eeeeeeck. So, where are we now?

Ohio State Preview

 

PWR

Corsi

PP%

PK%

Players Drafted

Skaters >.75 PPG

GAA

Save%

Michigan

7th

23rd

18%

76%

8

3: Marody, Calderone, Hughes

2.78 (Lavigne)

.910 (Lavigne)

Ohio State

4th

16th

24%

91%

3

4: Jobst, Laczynski, Weis, Joshua

2.08 (Romeo)

.925 (Romeo)

Ohio State is really good. They do not give up goals; they’re 4th overall in goals/game. To pair with that, they’re 11th in scoring goals (Michigan is 7th!). So, they put pucks into the net, they keep pucks out of the net, they convert on the power play, and they do not surrender goals on the penalty kill. Also, Sean Romeo is Cale Morris Lite. What is this, football?

So, what is there to do? I don’t know, man. It’s encouraging that Michigan was able to control play in the last couple of games down there. They’re going to need to play their best, most well-rounded game of the year. Also, as much as I disagree with the single-game semi-final format, hooray that Michigan doesn’t have to beat them twice!

[After THE JUMP: qualifying Michigan's most well-rounded game of the year and a look at PWR and relevant teams around the country]

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Michigan Hockey ‘17-18, Game #36: Michigan 7, Wisconsin 4

By NastyIsland — March 4th, 2018 at 12:15 AM — 10 comments
Filed under:
  • better offense
  • Corsi
  • hockey
  • Hockey Game Breakdown
  • Michigan hockey

Dancs Goal

Ol’ Dex struck goals…twice [Bill Rapai]

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

15 7 50%

Second Period

24 10 49%

Third Period

13 4 33%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

52 21 44%

Analysis: Much, much better from the Wolverines tonight, as they tallied six (!) even-strength goals (seven with Slaker’s empty-netter). They eviscerated the Badger defense, getting into the slot and House with ease and finishing their chances.

The DMC line was crushing Wisconsin on the forecheck and Dancs tied the game early after scooping up a loose puck in the House. Becker and Warren added jammer goals down low. Dancs had a snipe as the second period ended, and Luce flung a puck at the net from the blue line that also got through Berry.

One of the keys coming into the series for Wisconsin was to have one of their goalies steal a game. That did not happen at all. In total, they gave up 12 goals on 57 shots for a save % of .790. That’s not going to win many games or series. Michigan went into Clear, Dump, and Change Mode with a three-goal lead and Wisconsin threw the kitchen sink at the net and pulled their goalie with over four minutes left. That’s why there’s such a discrepancy in the third period. Close Corsi ended up 27-26, Michigan.

[More, including the goal of the year, after THE JUMP]

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Michigan Hockey ‘17-18, Game #35: Michigan 6, Wisconsin 5

By NastyIsland — March 3rd, 2018 at 12:17 AM — 8 comments
Filed under:
  • Bad Defense
  • Bad Offense
  • Corsi
  • Hockey Game Breakdown
  • Michigan hockey
  • Stay Out of the Box Llewellyn

IMG_6495

Oh, what a night…for Tony Calderone and his FOUR tallies [JD Scott]

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

6 2 19%

Second Period

10 8 43%

Third Period

12 6 29%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

28 16 29%

Analysis: This is by far the worst even-strength performance of the year. A lot can probably be attributed to the defense, but Michigan just could not keep the puck at all. They did generate some good looks when they could get it; Hayton did not come close to stealing this game. A bit of a spoiler, but if not for Michigan’s power play, they get absolutely run out of their own rink. Hughes did create some nice looks and Calderone was able to finish a garbage goal (his fourth!) midway through the third period, and Michigan hung on after that.

[Insanity ensues after THE JUMP]

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