the season has truly begun now
A new season of Michigan Hockey is quickly approaching, and I know i am very excited after last season's disappointing end. I figured I should share my excitement by sparking some discussion on mgoboard because mgoboard is really the best place to discuss anything. So one thing that I have been wondering is who everyone thinks will be the new guys on the team who come in and contribute right away? Also, i was wondering how everyone thinks we will do this season.
I'm going to be a grad student at UW this fall. While I was browsing the UWBadgers.com website, I came across a little nugget here: http://www.uwbadgers.com/tickets/mhky/page_840.html
"The grounds of Camp Randall have been host to many historic events throughout Wisconsin’s history. From its place as a training ground for soldiers of the Civil War to its more recent distinction as the home of the Wisconsin Football Badgers, a more hallowed parcel of ground is hard to find throughout Wisconsin. On February 6, 2010 the University of Wisconsin will build on Camp Randall’s bedrock position in this state’s history as the Wisconsin Men’s Hockey and Women’s Hockey teams take to the outdoor ice against Michigan (men) and Bemidji State (women)."
What do you guys think about this? Being an avid NHL fan, it sounds like they're riding on the success of the NHL's winter hockey classics (which have been pretty awesome to say the least) but the fact that UM is playing makes it a draw for me.. I'll probably purchase 2 student tickets, as it's just $10 apiece.
So mitigating the fact that we lost last night to Air Force, not only did we as a #1 seed lose, #4 seed (but dynasty) Miami beat their #1 seed Denver, Bemidji is beating Notre Dame 3-0 tonight, and all in all, you'd be 3-5 in betting (assuming ND loses) all favorites in the first round. Not a good year for chalk in mens hockey. I guess it's just one of those years.... Obviously since the WCHA didn't have 8 of the 12 teams in the tourney.
Just a heads up for all Mgoblog East Coasters. I just picked up tickets to the regional hockey final on Saturday in Bridgeport, CT (which I just learned is about a 90 minute train ride from NYC). The Web site indicated that there were no tickets at this time, but I called Ticketmaster and got 2. I'm in Section 116. Hopefully I won't be in the middle of a bunch of Yalies.
Here is a look at every team in the NCAA and whether we want them to win or not:
(Rankings are based on RPI as of Saturday Morning 2/28; parenthesis enclose Pairwise Ranking)
1. Boston University (1)-Win: There is no chance of Michigan catching BU, so it would be nice if they could knock down some other Hockey East teams (i.e. Northeastern)
2. Notre Dame (3)-Lose: We trail them, we have the opportunity to catch them, and they're Notre Dame
3. Michigan (4)-Win: Obvious
4. Northeastern (5)-Lose: If Northeastern does well in their conference tournament, they may pass us
5. Denver (2)-Lose: They lead us in the Pairwise and we stand a good chance of passing them if they lose once, as every remaining game they have should come against Pairwise top-25 teams.
6. Vermont (t-6)-Lose: Like Northeastern, they too have a fair chance to pass us. However, unless they win out, we should be ok.
7. Yale (t-6)-Win: We have a solid lead over them in our comparison and they have a shot at winning comparisons against
Denver, Northeastern, and Vermont, which would boost or secure Michigan's ranking.
8. New Hampshire (t-8)-Lose: When I say lose here, I mean that we don't want New Hampshire to win the Hockey East Tournament. Unless they do that, we should stay in front of them. Also, it would be nice to see UNH upset some higher ranked teams.
9. North Dakota (t-8)-Lose: North Dakota is surging. They probably won't pass us, but even if they don't, it would be nice if they lost some momentum going into the NCAA tournament.
10. Princeton (10)-Win: Another team that can't catch us but could hurt other teams. However, Yale can do a better job of this so we want Yale over Princeton.
11. Cornell (11)-Mixed: Can't really do anything for us but if they lose to Yale and/or Princeton, it'll help our cause indirectly. That said, they don't really matter.
12. Minn-Duluth (t-12)-Win: They play other WCHA teams that we want devalued. They also aren't a threat.
13. Miami (t-12)-Lose: Thanks to OSU, we have a secure comparison here. However, it would be nice for some security in the 2-spot of the CCHA standings (if we beat Ferris State tonight, this point becomes moot).
14. Ohio State (14)-Lose: They're Ohio State
15. Colorado College (t-15)-Win: Like Minn-Duluth, they could knock down some other WCHA teams ranked above them
16. St. Lawrence (t-15)-Mixed: Same as Cornell, but when they win, our RPI improves
17. Minnesota (17)-Lose: We currently hold the #4 overall seed. Should Minnesota make the tournament, we would probably play them in the first round at their home rink. This would suck.
18. Boston College (18)-Win: Another Hockey East team that could screw over teams ranked ahead of them.
19. Wisconsin (t-19)-Win: Another WCHA team that could hurt teams above it. Also, we want Minnesota State to lose, and they play Minnesota State.
20. Air Force (t-19)-Win: You never root against the Air Force
21. St. Cloud State (21)-Win: Same as Wisconsin. Also, they play Denver tonight.
22. UMass-Lowell (22)-Win: Another Hockey East team that could screw over teams ranked ahead of them.
23. Alaska (23)-Win: We'd be indifferent, but they're playing Alaska-Anchorage, whom we want to lose.
24. Rochester Institute of Technology (24)-Indifferent: They play such a low level of competition that they have no bearing on us.
25. Minnesota State (25)-Lose: Minn State provides a lot of TUC wins to WCHA teams, including Denver. If they're knocked out of the top 25 RPI, Denver falls below us.
26. Dartmouth (NR)-Win: Pass Minn State
27. Massachusetts (NR)-Lose: We don't want a weak Hockey East team in the top 25 or the rest of Hockey East gets a boost in their TUC records
28. Northern Michigan (NR)-Lose: If NMU makes the top 25, Michigan gets 2 losses in their TUC record. It also makes for a crappy comparison.
29. Alaska-Anchorage (NR)-Lose: They add wins in the TUC column of the rest of the WCHA if they make it into the top 25.
30. Nebraska-Omaha (NR)-Win: If they make it into the top 25, Michigan gets 2 more TUC wins.
36. Michigan State (NR)-Lose: FYS
Everyone else: Play the spoiler against teams that aren't us.
Update: With Alaska's loss to Alaska-Anchorage, Alaska now is on the cusp of falling out of the Pairwise. Should this happen, Michigan moves into third place behind Notre Dame. Furthermore, Notre Dame loses credit for a sweep against a TUC. This will lead to a highly interesting scenario where Notre Dame will get a one seed if they get two wins against TUCs or a loss in the second round.
Just something I noticed that's kind of indicative how top-heavy the CCHA is:
CCHA Teams Ranked in order of Goal Differential (in conference, updated through Saturday)
1. Michigan +36 (82 GF, 46 GA)
2(t). Notre Dame +35 (83 GF, 48 GA)
2(t). Miami +35 (78 GF, 43 GA)
4. Ohio State +2 (72 GF, 70 GA)
5(t). Ferris State +1 (54 GF, 53 GA)
5(t). Alaska +1 (49 GF, 48 GA)
7. Northern Michigan -7 (58 GF, 65 GA)
8. Lake Superior State -8 (59 GF, 67 GA)
9. Nebraska Omaha -12 (59 GF, 71 GA)
10. Western Michigan -16 (57 GF, 73 GA)
11. Michigan State -33 (39 GF, 72 GA)
12. Bowling Green -34 (49 GF, 83 GA)
Michigan, Notre Dame, and Miami are the only teams with NCAA tournament worthy offenses and defenses. Ohio State has a tournament-worthy offense and Alaska has a tournament-worthy defense. Every other team has neither.
Finally, as an aside, Michigan State really sucks.