TO THE HOT TAKE CANNON
Michigan football offense
This is the graph Brian posted on the front page. I take no credit.
To me, I see exactly one time where Borges coached an offense that was ranked higher than 69th (ugh) that also wasn't stacked with highly performing future professional players. Auburn of '04 featured Cadillac Williams, Ronnie Brown, Jason Campbell, and Marcus McNeil - that runs the gamut of "really important offensive players who would do very well in the NFL," as that would be the two running backs, the quarterback, and the left tackle respectively. Auburn of '05 wasn't as stacked, but still featured Kenny Irons (a pro washout allegedly due to attitude issues but a stud in college and a high draft pick), McNeil again, and Ben Obomanu, who is a decent NFL wideout in Seattle.
The "outlier" - that is, the time when a Borges offense was better than average without obvious pro talent, was the most recent SDSU team. While I suppose this might be comforting because of the fact that the great season is in recent memory, it also is complicated because we haven't seen how NFL teams evaluate the talent level of the current SDSU team to provide a rough approximation of "objective player quality," but I have a hard time giving Borges much credit for deciding to hand off to Ronnie Hillman or throw to Vincent Brown a lot - those are two of the most dominating non-AQ skill position stars in college football right now.
This is my point: I hate to be pessimistic this early in Hoke's tenure, but when I see a coordinator whose performance is average to terrible except when he's coaching a stacked team, I think precisely of Robinson. The analogy is deepened when you consider the fact that Borges is going to be pressured to run an offense that isn't truly his own. A straight, dyed-in-the-wool west coast like Borges seems to favor featuring dominant running backs and quick-decision, accurate (albeit mobile!) quarterbacks is pretty much THE system I think we're least suited for at this moment. That leaves him with two options - Borges can run a system that doesn't fit our personell at all, or he can be forced to coach something he doesn't prefer to run. Either way seems bad.
I want to be positive. I'm all in. I didn't like the Hoke hire initially, but I'm coming around to the man himself and I will support him with everything I have. But I can't see it going well if Michigan's offense is going to be run by Borges.
Can you reassure me?
EDITED because Jason Campbell and Carlos Rogers are two different people, evidently.
I started a research project earlier this week and haven't had a chance to finish it yet, partially because it is a ton of work. However - I am 90% certain of this conclusion despite not chasing down every data point: over the last 24 days, you have witnessed the most prolific 4-game stretch of yardage output in at least 42 seasons, since Bo's takeover as head coach. In fact, if you remove the BGSU game and the 721 yards in that one, I am pretty certain that the first 3 weeks of the season resulted in the most prolific 3 games in the same time span.
2) 2000 season - 446 yards/game (216 rushing, 230 passing)
I believe the offense will be sooooo much better next yr. Why? Were on the second year of the offense. Maybe threet did bad because he wasnt comfortable, so things kept running in his head, and it made him do bad? He has his 2nd year playing in the offense next season. As does EVERYone else. Last offseason was a learning the system type. This offseason its going to be mastering the system. Plus, all those freshmen u seen play, only had 2 months before game 1. Now they got a whole offseason to get ready. When they fix a couple things they will be golden. Less fumbles, and we'll be unstoppable(really). When our offense this yr was on, it was hard to stop.. then bam theres a fumble and everything went down hill.
We had 18 turnovers this season, or 18 fumbles? I dont remember. But RR had the same thing on his first year at WVU, he had a +19 turnover margin, the next yr i think he went -8 or somehting.
Michigan will fix everything, they will be back, NEXT YEAR.
Oh.. and we also got two good dual threat qbs coming in. Maybe one will win the job. Let the best qb play.
Less fumbles, more experience, one more offseason to learn/master the offense, shitload of young talent. I cant wait.. Pray for no injuries(that hurt us at RB this yr)