i find this extremely interesting
According to Mel Kiper:
Mel Kiper on Denard Robinson's draft stock: "He's either the No. 2 or No.1 most highly rated WR option & he hasnt even played the position"
Don't really know how to take this, but interesting nonetheless.
We can now all breathe a sigh of relief knowing that Denard's coming back for his senior season. My guess is that in Denard's case, asking the league for a draft evaluation was not so much about deciding whether to leave school early, as it was about two other things:
- Hearing what league scouts think about his chances to play QB in the NFL, and how much his openness to a position change would affect which round he's selected in; and
- Whether he and his family should get a disability insurance policy before his senior year, and how much they should spend on it.
I was curious to learn more about how disability insurance works for pro-caliber athletes who opt to stay in college rather than enter the draft early. I found this good NY Times piece from 2007, which focused on Louisville QB Brian Brohm. Some highlights:
The policies cover the athletes if an injury, sustained on the field or off, prevents them from playing professionally....
Typically, college athletes and their families will secure loans to cover the premiums. In football, the cost is roughly 1 percent of the policy’s value, or about $10,000 for $1 million worth of insurance. The amount of coverage available for the best players — those expected to be chosen in the first few picks of the draft — has nudged to about $10 million, double what it was at the start of the decade....
Insurance companies have offered disability policies to elite college athletes for decades. But many policies are bought through the National Collegiate Athletic Association, which entered the field in 1990 largely to combat agents who were secretly and illegally building relationships with athletes by offering to secure disability insurance while the athletes were in college.
The N.C.A.A. now offers up to $3 million of coverage for football players and varying amounts to top baseball, hockey and men’s and women’s basketball players....
Policies for elite college athletes are similar to those available to others with big earning potential, like professional athletes, entertainers and executives. A major difference is that a college player has no income history on which to base a policy.
Instead, insurance companies rely on the analysis of draft experts and scouting services. They decipher, a year or two in advance, where a player may be drafted, then calculate the sort of contract such a draft selection would be offered by using information from previous years....
To be eligible for the N.C.A.A. program, a football player must be projected to be drafted in the first three rounds — a guideline that most private insurers use, too, to protect their companies and to prevent players who miss the pros from being saddled with a loan for the premium that they cannot repay.
Denard's case has to be a bit tricky for an insurance company, and for NFL scouts, for that matter. I'd be shocked if Denard wasn't selected within the first three rounds. (Two points of comparison: Antwaan Randle El was taken in the 2nd round (pick #62) by the Steelers in 2002. However, Texas A&M's Reggie McNeal, who ran a 4.4 at the Combine but also whined about not wanting to play WR, wasn't taken until the 6th round by the Bengals in 2006.) But how high does he go? Denard's just as electric with the ball as Reggie Bush ever was -- is there a chance some team takes him in the early first round, and if so, should he get the insurance that reflects that higher contract?
Denard and his family have a big decision coming up. I'm curious what feedback he got from the league on this point.
Assuming he can stay healthy another season, Denard Robinson appears to be in position to overtake Tom Brady, Jim Harbaugh, Todd Collins and perhaps even Elvis Grbac in all time passing yards at Michigan.
As of the end of the 2011 season, including Sugar Bowl, Denard Robinson is ranked 7th all-time among UM QBs having thrown for a career 4,931 yards, 40 touchdowns and 30 INTs over 38 games played.
Currently ahead of Denard Robinson:
6th Tom Brady, 5,351 yards, 35 TDs, 19 INTs over 40 games
5th Jim Harbaugh, 5,449 yards, 41 TDs, 22 INTs over 49 games
4th Todd Collins, 5,858 yards, 37 TDs, 20 INTs over 48 games
3rd Elvis Grbac, 6,460 yards, 71 TDs, 31 INTs over 48 games
2nd John Navarre, 9,254 yards, 72 TDs, 31 INTs over 50 games
1st Chad Henne, 9,715 yards, 87 TDs, 37 INTs over 47 games
Robinson should easily surpass the passing records of Brady, Harbaugh and Collins next season.
Robinson needs 1,530 yards to surpass Elvis Grbac. Not impossible, but highly doubtful that Robinson gets 32 TD passes next year to break Grbac's career TD passes.
For the passing records of Navarre and Henne to fall, Michigan will have to wait until the next freshman phenom QB comes to Ann Arbor to start all 4 years.
Another 1,000 yard rushing season for Denard Robinson might place him close to or above TB Tyrone Wheatley (UM's #4 all time leading rusher with 4,179 yards).This along with the passing yardage numbers above...que ridiculo, no?!
Does anyone have any pictures/video of Denard's block on the end around? That was awesome to see, and I could tell Denard enjoyed getting a chance to dole out punishment.
These are all from Kyle Meinke's (A2.com) Twitter feed.
Hoke was surprisingly revealing today. He typically clamps down on info as game day approaches, esp. on players gaining/losing starting jobs:
- Will Heininger "probably" won't play in the Sugar Bowl.
- Will Hagerup has held off Matt Wile, will start at punter.
- Thomas Gordon will start at free safety. Troy Woolfolk also is expected to see time.
- Should a long field goal be attempted, freshman Matt Wile, not Brendan Gibbons, would be the guy.
- J.T. Floyd joined Denard Robinson in submitting paperwork to the NFL draft advisory board. Hoke expects him to be back.
- Denard used to get too hyped before games, a problem he's mostly solved by listening to slower music like R&B during pregames.
- "Spent my New Year's Eve watching Arrested Development in my hotel room." -- Denard Robinson, showing off his superior taste in TV. [Maize and Bluth]
Michigan coach Brady Hoke provides updates on the team leading up to the Allstate Sugar Bowl.