Now that the Big Ten is in full meltdown expansion mode, a lot of people are asking about The Game and its impact on the Big Ten championship game, now and in the future. How often both teams appear, how The Game affects the division champions for better and for worse, and everything affliated with it.
The biggest complaint has been a schedule that has Michigan and Ohio State playing each other every year, with weaker teams having guaranteed rivalries against each other. As it turns out, due to regularly dominant teams...Michigan and Ohio State typically come out on top anyway.
I looked at the Big Ten standings and results from 1969-2011. 1969 is the arrival of Bo Schembechler, the start of the modern M/O rivalry. And in 2012, Ohio State is ineligible to win the division, the first time that's happened as the game was being played.
The standings are from the regular Big Ten schedule, without it being weighted for divisional matchups. Division winners were the two teams that finished highest in the Big Ten standings, as divided up by the current divisions. (If a 4th place team was the highest of a current division's teams, they were the appointed division champions.) Ties were broken with head-to-head matchups, and if the teams did not play each other, I split the division title.
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First off, here's how the Big Ten championship games would have looked like, under the current divisions.
1969 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1970 - Michigan/Northwestern vs Ohio State
1971 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1972 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1973 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1974 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1975 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1976 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1977 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1978 - Michigan State vs Purdue
1979 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1980 - Michigan vs Ohio State/Purdue
1981 - Iowa vs Ohio State
1982 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1983 - Michigan vs Illinois
1984 - Iowa vs Ohio State
1985 - Iowa vs Illinois
1986 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1987 - Michigan State vs Indiana
1988 - Michigan vs Illinois
1989 - Michigan vs Illinois
1990 - Iowa vs Illinois
1991 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1992 - Michigan vs Ohio State
1993 - Michigan vs Ohio State/Wisconsin
1994 - Michigan vs Penn State
1995 - Northwestern vs Ohio State
1996 - Northwestern vs Ohio State
1997 - Michigan vs Penn State
1998 - Michigan vs Ohio State/Wisconsin
1999 - Michigan State vs Wisconsin
2000 - Northwestern vs Purdue
2001 - Michigan vs Illinois
2002 - Iowa vs Ohio State
2003 - Michigan vs Ohio State
2004 - Michigan vs Wisconsin
2005 - Michigan vs Penn State
2006 - Michigan vs Ohio State
2007 - Michigan vs Ohio State
2008 - Michigan State vs Penn State
2009 - Iowa vs Ohio State
2010 - Michigan State vs Wisconsin
2011 - Michigan State vs Wisconsin
Lots of Michigan/Ohio State games, but most of the other memorable Big Ten teams win some division titles. The mid '90s Northwestern teams get two, the most recent Michigan State teams won three, and even Anthony Thompson's Indiana team has a division title under this setup. Having Michigan and Ohio State in separate divisions does create a lot of rematches, but just about every deserving and memorable Big Ten team makes an appearance over the course of these games.
In a couple games, Michigan and Ohio State played themselves into potentially huge rematches. 2006 is the most glaring example, but 1973's tie game within the Ten-Year War would have merited a rematch, along with 1992's tie game. And, just as the 1970's was the big 2 and little 8, nine straight years featured a title game rematch.
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With that in mind, let's first look at the potential for rematches.
Going by the eventual matchups, 20 seasons would have featured Michigan/Ohio State rematches for the Big Ten title, or about 47% of the time. 16 of those, or 38% of the time, were outright victories with no tiebreakers.
Those seasons are as follows: 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1974, 1975, 1976, 1977, 1979, 1980, 1982, 1986, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1998, 2003, 2006, 2007
Michigan would have won the Legends division title in 28 seasons, with 27 of those outright. Michigan won more division titles than any other team, pulling ahead of Ohio State for two reasons. The first is that Nebraska, a division rival, does not factor into these seasons at all, winning zero titles in their one eligible year. The second is that Minnesota, a longtime doormat, also won zero division titles over 43 seasons. In comparison, every team in the Leaders division won a division title, with five of the six (all but Indiana) winning at least three titles.
Michigan's division titles are as follows: 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1974, 1975, 1976, 1977, 1979, 1980, 1982, 1983, 1986, 1988, 1989, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1994, 1997, 1998, 2001, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007
Ohio State won a division title in 26 seasons, with 23 of those outright. The Buckeyes had a much stronger division to contend with, but much of their faults were somewhat of their own doing, from timely losses over the years.
Ohio State's division titles are as follows: 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1974, 1975, 1976, 1977, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1982, 1984, 1986, 1991, 1992, 1993, 1995, 1996, 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006, 2007, 2009
In only 9 seasons, the Big Ten championship game would not feature either Michigan or Ohio State, with 8 of those without any tiebreakers. In only 19% of the time, a Big Ten championship game did not feature either Michigan or Ohio State. Those seasons, with a matchup, are below.
1978 - Michigan State vs Purdue
1985 - Iowa vs Illinois
1987 - Michigan State vs Indiana
1990 - Iowa vs Illinois
1999 - Michigan State vs Wisconsin
2000 - Northwestern vs Purdue
2008 - Michigan State vs Penn State
2010 - Michigan State vs Wisconsin
2011 - Michigan State vs Wisconsin
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Dividing up the division titles, here are the rankings of how those would be distributed. The first list is how many divisions were won by all of the Big Ten together, and the second is sorted by division setup.
Michigan 27.5
Ohio State 24.5
Michigan State 6
Iowa 6
Illinois 6
Wisconsin 5
Penn State 4
Northwestern 3.5
Purdue 2.5
Indiana 1
Michigan 27.5
Michigan State 6
Iowa 6
Northwestern 3.5
Ohio State 24.5
Illinois 6
Wisconsin 5
Penn State 4
Purdue 2.5
Indiana 1
While there's a clear separation between Michigan/Ohio State and everyone else, there is also a large group in the middle of the conference, and a small group at the very bottom.
Michigan State, Iowa, Illinois, Penn State, and Wisconsin all ended up with 4 to 6 division titles, forming the clear middle ground of the conference. The average Big Ten team finished with 4 or 6 division titles, with one or two eras of glory over the seasons.
On the very bottom, the conference's bottom feeders won even less frequently. Each division had a team with around 3 titles, and a team with 0-1 titles. Again though, everything is still balanced.
(While this is all speculation, Penn State's arrival in the Big Ten allowed them to rack up 4 division titles in about 20 years. If Nebraska came in around the same time, we would have seen a similar pattern in the Legends division, with the Cornhuskers taking a couple titles away from Michigan. Both divisions would almost literally balance each other out.)
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Lastly, so you can see the methodology and how each division played out, every year's results are listed below. Included are the standings, the Michigan/Ohio State result, the potential Big Ten championship matchup, and a brief recap of the circumstances surrounding it all.
There are a lot of great potential matchups out there, over the years. Enjoy.
1969
Michigan, 6-1
Ohio State, 6-1
Purdue, 5-2
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Both division titles were clinched earlier
1970
Ohio State, 7-0
Michigan, 6-1
Northwestern, 6-1
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan/Northwestern vs Ohio State
- Michigan would have won division with a win, but fell into a tie (the two teams did not play)
- Ohio State already clinched division
1971
Michigan, 8-0
Ohio State, 5-3
Illinois, 5-3
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Michigan already clinched division
- Ohio State would have tied Penn State with a loss, but would have won division with tiebreakers
1972
Michigan, 7-1
Ohio State, 7-1
Purdue, 6-2
Michigan State, 5-2-1
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Michigan already clinched division
- Ohio State won division with a win
1973
Michigan, 7-0-1
Ohio State, 7-0-1
Minnesota, 6-2
- Tie game
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Both teams had clinched divisions earlier
1974
Michigan, 7-1
Ohio State, 7-1
Michigan State, 6-1-1
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Both teams clinched divisions earlier
1975
Ohio State, 8-0
Michigan, 7-1
3 4-4 teams
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Both teams clinched divisions earlier
1976
Michigan, 7-1
Ohio State, 7-1
4 4-4 teams
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Both teams clinched divisions earlier
1977
Michigan, 7-1
Ohio State, 7-1
Michigan State, 6-1-1
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Michigan won division with their win
- Ohio State clinched division earlier
1978
Michigan, 7-1
Michigan State, 7-1
Purdue, 6-1-1
Ohio State, 6-2
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan State vs Purdue
- Michigan tied for division lead with win, but lost to Michigan State earlier in the year
- Ohio State lost division with their loss
1979
Ohio State, 8-0
Purdue, 7-1
Michigan, 6-2
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Michigan clinched division earlier
- Ohio State clinched division with a win, would have gone to tiebreakers with a loss
1980
Michigan, 8-0
Ohio State, 7-1
Purdue, 7-1
Iowa, 4-4
Minnesota, 4-5
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State/Purdue
- Michigan already clinched division
- Ohio State tied for division lead, two teams did not play
1981
Ohio State, 6-2
Iowa, 6-2
Michigan, 6-3
Illinois, 6-3
Wisconsin, 6-3
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Iowa vs Ohio State
- Yes, those standings are correct. Ohio State and Iowa only played eight conference games, and everyone else played nine.
- Michigan would have won the division with a win, by a half-game
- Ohio State would have lost their division by a half-game with a loss
1982
Michigan, 8-1
Ohio State, 7-1
Iowa, 6-2
Illinois, 6-3
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Both teams clinched divisions earlier
1983
Illinois, 9-0
Michigan, 8-1
Iowa, 7-2
Ohio State, 6-3
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Illinois
- Michigan clinched division with win, but had head-to-head tiebreaker
- Ohio State finished out of the race
1984
Ohio State, 7-2
Illinois, 6-3
Purdue, 6-3
Iowa, 5-3-1
Wisconsin, 5-3-1
Michigan, 5-4
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Iowa vs Ohio State
- Michigan would have won division with a victory
- Ohio State clinched division with a win, but had head-to-head tiebreaker
1985
Iowa, 7-1
Michigan, 6-1-1
Illinois, 5-2-1
Ohio State, 5-3
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Iowa vs Illinois
- Michigan needed a win plus an Iowa loss to clinch division
- Ohio State needed a win to clinch division
1986
Michigan, 7-1
Ohio State, 7-1
Iowa, 5-3
Minnesota, 5-3
Indiana, 3-5
Illinois, 3-5
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Both teams clinched division earlier
1987
Michigan State, 7-0-1
Iowa, 6-2
Indiana, 6-2
Michigan, 5-3
Ohio State, 4-4
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan State vs Indiana
- Both teams finished out of the race
1988
Michigan, 7-0-1
Michigan State, 6-1-1
Iowa, 4-1-3
Illinois, 5-2-1
Indiana, 5-3
Purdue, 3-5
Ohio State, 2-5-1
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Illinois
- Michigan clinched division with win, but had head-to-head tiebreaker
- Ohio State finished out of the race
1989
Michigan, 8-0
Illinois, 7-1
Michigan State, 6-2
Ohio State, 6-2
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Illinois
- Michigan clinched division earlier
- Ohio State could have won into division tie, but lost head-to-head tiebreaker
1990
Iowa, 6-2
Michigan State, 6-2
Illinois, 6-2
Michigan, 6-2
Ohio State, 5-2-1
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Iowa vs Illinois
- Michigan won into three-way tie, but Iowa beat both Michigan and Michigan State
- Ohio State lost division title with loss to Michigan
1991
Michigan, 8-0-0
Iowa, 7-1
Ohio State, 5-3
Indiana, 5-3
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Michigan clinched division with win
- Ohio State fell into division tie, but beat Indiana
1992
Michigan, 6-0-2
Ohio State, 5-2-1
Michigan State, 5-3
Illinois, 4-3-1
- Tie Game
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Both teams clinched division earlier
1993
Ohio State, 6-1-1
Wisconsin, 6-1-1
Penn State, 6-2
Indiana, 5-3
Michigan, 5-3
Illinois, 5-3
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State/Wisconsin
- Michigan won very weak division
- Ohio State fell into tie with Wisconsin, where both teams tied during the season
1994
Penn State, 8-0
Ohio State, 6-2
Michigan, 5-3
Michigan State, 4-4
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Penn State
- Michigan already clinched division
- Ohio State finished out of the race
1995
Northwestern, 8-0
Ohio State, 7-1
Michigan, 5-3
Penn State, 5-3
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Northwestern vs Ohio State
- Both divisions were clinched earlier
1996
Ohio State, 7-1
Northwestern, 7-1
Penn State, 6-2
Iowa, 6-2
Michigan, 5-3
Michigan State, 5-3
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Northwestern vs Ohio State
- Both divisions were clinched earlier
1997
Michigan, 8-0
Ohio State, 6-2
Penn State, 6-2
Purdue, 6-2
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Penn State
- Michigan already clinched division
- Ohio State fell into three-way tie, Penn State won by beating the two other teams
- Ohio State would have won division with a win
1998
Ohio State, 7-1
Wisconsin, 7-1
Michigan, 7-1
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State/Wisconsin
- Michigan already clinched division
- Ohio State tied for division lead, the two teams did not play during the season
1999
Wisconsin, 7-1
Michigan, 6-2
Michigan State, 6-2
Minnesota, 5-3
Penn State, 5-3
Illinois, 4-4
Purdue, 4-4
Ohio State, 3-5
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan State vs Wisconsin
- Michigan tied for division lead, but lost to Michigan State
- Ohio State finished out of the race
2000
Michigan, 6-2
Northwestern, 6-2
Purdue, 6-2
Ohio State, 5-3
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Northwestern vs Purdue
- Michigan tied for division lead, but lost to Northwestern
- Ohio State could have tied for division lead, but lost to Purdue earlier
2001
Illinois 7-1
Michigan 6-2
Ohio State 5-3
Iowa 4-4
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Illinois
- Michigan clinched division earlier
- Ohio State finished out of the race
2002
Ohio State 8-0
Iowa 8-0
Michigan 6-2
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Iowa vs Ohio State
- Both division titles were clinched earlier
2003
Michigan 7-1
Ohio State 6-2
Purdue 6-2
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Michigan clinched division earlier
- Ohio State fell into a division tie, but beat Purdue
2004
Iowa 7-1
Michigan 7-1
Wisconsin 6-2
Northwestern 5-3
Ohio State 4-4
Purdue 4-4
Michigan State 4-4
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Wisconsin
- Michigan fell into a division tie, but beat Iowa
- Ohio State finished out of the race
2005
Penn State, 7-1
Ohio State, 7-1
Wisconsin, 5-3
Iowa, 5-3
Michigan, 5-3
Northwestern, 5-3
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Penn State
- Michigan had clinched division earlier due to beating Northwestern and Iowa
- Ohio State tied for division lead, but lost to Penn State
2006
Ohio State, 8-0
Wisconsin, 7-1
Michigan, 7-1
Penn State, 5-3
Purdue, 5-3
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Michigan already clinched division
- Ohio State would have tied Wisconsin with loss, those teams did not play in 2006
2007
Ohio State, 7-1
Illinois, 6-2
Michigan, 6-2
Wisconsin, 5-3
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan vs Ohio State
- Michigan already clinched division
- Ohio State would have tied Illinois with a loss, and Illinois would have won division with tiebreakers
2008
Penn State, 7-1
Ohio State, 7-1
Michigan State, 6-2
Iowa, 5-3
Northwestern, 5-3
Minnesota, 3-5
Wisconsin, 3-5
Illinois, 3-5
Purdue, 2-6
Michigan, 2-6
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan State vs Penn State
- Michigan finished out of the race
- Ohio State tied for division lead, but lost to Penn State
2009
Ohio State, 7-1
Iowa, 6-2
Penn State, 6-2
Wisconsin, 5-3
Northwestern, 5-3
Michigan State, 4-4
Purdue, 4-4
Minnesota, 3-5
Illinois, 2-6
Michigan, 1-7
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Iowa vs Ohio State
- Michigan finished out of the race
- Ohio State would have tied Penn State with a loss, but would have won division with tiebreakers
2010
Michigan State, 7-1
Wisconsin, 7-1
Ohio State, 7-1
Iowa, 4-4
Illinois, 4-4
Penn State, 4-4
Michigan, 3-5
- Ohio State wins
- BTC: Michigan State vs Wisconsin
- Michigan finished out of the race
- Ohio State tied for division lead, but lost to Wisconsin
2011
Legends Division
Michigan State, 7-1
Michigan, 6-2
Leaders Division
Wisconsin, 6-2
Penn State, 6-2
Purdue, 4-4
Ohio State, 3-5
- Michigan wins
- BTC: Michigan State vs Wisconsin
- Both teams eliminated from divisions earlier