The Chicken Littles vs. Polly Annas betting thread that reshp1 (I think?) was doing earlier in the fall dropped off after it became apparent that this season would be an abyss of sadness, but they were cool while they lasted. Nice way to get folks to give to good causes. I thought it'd be fun to resurrect them now that we have a thing which we pretty much all agree has a clearly binary positive/negative outcome, much as a football game does: Harbaugh 2 Michigan 4 Lyfe, Or Not. Praise Harbaugh.
I am in the camp of people who don't think he is coming.
That said, if he does come, I will give a $25 cash donation to the charity of choice* of the first person to reply to this thread.** If he does not come, that same first responder has to make a $25 donation to the Washington Animal Rescue League (warl.org).
Any subsequent posters can offer similar person-to-person wagers, with the first responder to that comment completing the wager.
Meanwhile, I will be hoping that someone takes this bet and that I then lose it.
*No political or politically-tinged charities. Let's keep this place politics-free.
**I am also willing to eat a lemon in lieu of making a donation, and post a video of said eating.
The B1G went a respectable 7-5 ATS last weekend; while Michigan did not obviously fare as well. Wisconsin is the only team left with a perfect record ATS.
|Michigan||-31.5||59-9 (CMU)||+18.5||-5||41-30 (ND)||+6||-37||28-24 (Akron)||-33|
|Ohio||-34||40-20 (Buff)||-14||-28||42-7 (SDSU)||+7||-13.5||52-34 (@Cal)||+4.5|
|Michigan St||-28||26-13 (WMU)||-15||-21.5||21-6 (USF)||-6.5||-23||55-17 (Young St)||+15|
|Indiana||-25||73-35 (Ind St)||+13||-12.5||35-41 (Navy)||-18.5||-2.5||42-10 (BGSU)||+29.5|
|Illinois||-17||42-34 (So Ill)||-9||+8||45-17 (Cinci)||+36||+10.5||24-34 (Wash)||+0.5|
|Northwestern||-6.5||44-30 (@Cal)||+7.5||-17||48-27 (Syr)||+4||-28||38-17 (WMU)||-7|
|Penn State||-8||23-17 (Syr)||-2||-28||45-7 (EMU)||+10||-4.5||31-34 (UCF)||-7.5|
|Nebraska||-31||37-34 (Wyo)||-28||-28||56-13 (S Miss)||+15||-1.5||21-41 (UCLA)||-21.5|
|Iowa||-3||27-30 (N Ill)||-6||-26||28-14 (Misso St)||-12||-1||27-21 (@Iowa St)||+5|
|Wisconsin||-44||45-0 (UMass)||+1||-45||48-0 (Tenn Tech)||+3||+7||30-32 (@AZ St)||+5|
|Purdue||+10.5||7-42 (Cinci)||-24.5||-17||20-14 (Ind St)||-11||+17||31-24 (ND)||+10|
|Minnesota||-13.5||51-23 (UNLV)||+14.5||-16||44-21 (N Mex St)||+7||-27.5||29-12 (W Ill)||-10.5|
Penn State is the big mover; the line has increased 7 points since the open. Indiana opened as the underdog, but the market has determined that game is a toss-up. We have our first B1G match-up with Purdue @ Wisconsin. Of course with a current spread 23.5 it doesn't really set off fireworks for the start of league play. Can Michigan recover and win by 3 TD's? They may be able to cover that O by themselves.
|Penn State||-14||-21||54||Kent St|
If MCalibur, or anyone else, has the missing O/U I'll update them as they come in.
Not sure how well received this will be but right now BYU is the underdog in their matchup with Gonzaga tomorrow. I don't think I've ever seen an 11 seed be favored in an 11-3 matchup. I realize Gonzaga has played well recently but all their wins in the regular season were against joke teams. I'm trying to figure out if the Big East was just vastly overrated, st. johns had a poor showing yesterday or if its actually possible that the Zags should be favored tomorrow. At +110 for BYU I feel confident betting on that game. Thoughts?
Betting is wrong ...OK now we have games tonight and "just for fun" lets talk about what we think about the Vegas odds
Kansas +5.5 vs Southern Miss
Cal -3 vs Nevada
I like Cal giving the FG .. and id like to find a Saturday game to tease with in order to get Kansas +11 .. anybody got any feelings ?
So, do any mgogamblers out there use accuscore or other computer program to bet? Accuscore looks pretty detailed, and from what I remember from last years NFL season, it was more accurate in predicting the outcome of games than the panel of experts. I want to say it was around 75%.
Does anyone use this or a similar program to bet? Is it actually profitable to do so?
Here's the question: Assume MSU makes it past Maryland (not a foregone conclusion at all.) Nonetheless, if MSU plays UNI, who do you root for? The right choice (and only choice, as far as I'm concerned) is for UNI to win.
But . . . a complicating factor: brackets, and money riding on the tourney. If MSU winning BENEFITS you financially, and UNI winning causes you to lose money, who do you root for?
I suppose the choice is still easy if you only have $10 or $20 in an office pool, but what's your price? Is there a point where you swing to the dark side and root for MSU? It's the "Indecent Proposal" question. (would you root for MSU for $1,000,000?)
A week or so ago, I got an e-mail from an MSU alum reminding me that it had been some ridiculous amount of days since UM had beat MSU in basketball or football. (full disclosure: I did call and hum the Victors 4 - 5 years ago after yet another epic Sparty collapse.) Regardless, the last two years factors into the equation for me. While I didn't mind what happend for State last year, I can't stand to see MSU continue to win. I want them to go down, regardless of the money. And after all the App State gloating, who better for them to lose to then UNI?